Economy
Trapped Foreign Investors Invest in Nigerian Stocks, OMO Bills
By Dipo Olowookere
Some foreign portfolio investors, who sold off their Naira investments before and shortly after the lockdown in Nigeria in high hopes of repatriating their funds, but got trapped, are already re-investing their money in local investment tools, an investigation by Business Post has revealed.
In March 2020, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) practically stopped the sale of foreign exchange (forex) to authorised traders.
Since the lockdown in Lagos, Abuja and Ogun State, Dollar sales at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window have reduced drastically.
The I&E segment of the forex platform was created by the apex bank about three years ago for the exchange of Naira to Dollar by FPIs and business corporations.
Before the movement cessation on March 30, the average daily trading value at the investors’ segment was within $400 million to $500 million, but since the lockdown, it has broadly dropped to $30 million to $40 million. This has largely eased the pressure on the domestic currency and there have been huge drop in demand for forex at the market as well as supply.
Business Post reports that on Friday, the total value of transactions at the I&E segment was $62.45 million, higher than the $25.43 million recorded on Thursday.
Nigeria has been battling with Dollar inflows due to fall in the prices of crude oil, which contributes over 80 percent to its foreign earnings, causing the nation’s external reserves, where the CBN takes forex to defend the Naira, to deplete.
Business Post observed that some FPIs, who sold their Naira investments last month, have been unable to repatriate their proceeds weeks after. This has forced some of them to reconsider putting the funds back into the capital market.
In the past two to three weeks, the Nigerian equity market has suddenly experienced surge in the trading volume and value. It has also regained its strength despite the threats posed by the coronavirus disease, which has plunged the global economy into a recession, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Last week, the stock market appreciated by 7.19 percent week-on-week. This was after it moved up by 1.37 percent the previous week. This week, the market receded by 1.41 percent as a result of profit taking, though there was a 0.57 percent growth recorded yesterday (Friday).
Investigations by Business Post showed that non-resident investors, who could not get their funds out of the country, chose to turnover the money and wait until the restrictions are lifted and Dollar supply to the I&E is resumed by the CBN.
At the treasury bills market, in the last two weeks, there have been upsurge in transactions at the Open Market Operations (OMO).
Last year, the CBN restricted local retail and institutional investors from buying its OMO bills and only allowed FPIs to invest in the liquidity management tool.
Since the lockdown commenced late last month, the OMO auctions had been snubbed by offshore investors, but when they could not repatriate their funds, they began to look the way of the exercise about two weeks ago.
At the last exercise held on Thursday, OMO bills worth N100 billion were auctioned across 89-day, 180-day and 341-day tenor, but the bank received subscriptions worth N323.8 billion from investors.
According to the analysis, N10 billion worth of the short-dated bill were offered for sale, another N10 billion worth of 180-day instrument were auctioned, while N80 billion worth of 341-day maturity were offered.
But when the bids were analysed, investors staked N64.10 billion on the short-dated bill, N33.50 billion was staked on the mid-dated bill, while N226.16 billion was staked on the long-dated bill.
A day earlier, the Debt Management Office (DMO) auctioned local bonds worth N60 billion to investors, but when the bids were analysed, the papers were oversubscribed by 459 percent, with the debt office getting subscriptions valued at N275.67 billion.
Next Monday, President Muhammadu Buhari has a huge task to carry out. Nigerians would be expecting to hear his verdict on the present lockdown, which is currently in its fourth week.
Nigeria has continued to witness rise in the cases of COVID-19. As at Friday, a total of 1,095 cases of the virus have been confirmed in the country.
The Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) last night announced 114 new cases, with 80 in Lagos, 21 in Gombe State, 5 in Abuja, 2 each in Zamfara and Edo States, and one each in Ogun, Oyo, Kaduna and Sokoto States.
Lagos has the highest number of cases, 657 cases, followed by Abuja with 138 cases.
If the lockdown is extended by another two weeks or one, the capital market may continue to benefit from it because it means more liquidity at the market, which is enough to keep the positive momentum at the stock market on.
However, most Nigerians, who are daily income earners will continue to groan as some of them claimed they have not received palliatives from government to encourage them to stay home any longer.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Three securities lifted the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 1.38 per cent on Friday, July 3, with the NASD Security Index (NSI) up by 58.80 points to 4,307.26 points from 4,248.46 points, and the market capitalisation closing higher by N35.30 billion to N2.585 trillion from N2.549 trillion.
The price gainers were led by 11 Plc, which expanded by N20.05 to close at N220.55 per share compared with the previous day’s N200.50 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc increased by N5.36 to N151.82 per unit from N146.46 per unit, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc appreciated by N3.52 to N90.74 per share from N87.22 per share.
Yesterday, the value of transactions surged by 1,431.2 per cent to N160.1 million from the preceding session’s N10.5 million, and the volume of trades rose by 303.7 per cent to 1.8 million units from 440,653 units, while the number of deals decreased by 34.4 per cent to 21 deals from 32 deals.
Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc was the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units worth N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 70.7 million units transacted for N4.9 billion.
GNI Plc was also the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units exchanged for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.
By Dipo Olowookere
The losing streak on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited was halted on Friday after the bourse closed higher by 2.19 per cent at the close of trading activities.
The gains reported by Nigerian stocks were buoyed by renewed bargain-hunting by investors, which resulted in all the key sectors of Customs Street ended in the green territory.
The banking space rose by 2.78 per cent, the insurance counter appreciated by 1.26 per cent, the energy segment expanded by 0.36 per cent, the consumer goods index chalked up 0.06 per cent, and the industrial goods sector grew by 0.05 per cent.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 4,918.37 points to 229,240.34 points from 224,321.97 points, and the market capitalisation increased by N3.156 trillion to N147.103 trillion from N143.947 trillion.
Investor sentiment was bullish after 34 stocks ended on the price gainers’ chart and 18 stocks finished on the losers’ log, representing a positive market breadth index.
The quintet of The Initiates, Universal Insurance, DAAR Communications, Omatek, and Airtel Africa surged by 10.00 per cent to sell for N25.85, 88 Kobo, N1.65, N1.76, and N5,274.00, respectively.
On the flip side, International Energy Insurance lost 9.96 per cent to trade at N4.70, Meyer shed 9.95 per cent to close at N18.55, Veritas Kapital dropped 5.07 per cent to finish at N1.31, Fidelity Bank slipped by 2.17 per cent to N18.00, and Jaiz Bank crashed by 1.84 per cent to N28.12.
During the session, a total of 414.7 million equities worth N25.1 billion exchanged hands in 47,106 deals compared with the 855.4 million equities valued at N28.4 billion transacted in the preceding day in 51,609 deals, implying a contraction in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 51.52 per cent, 11.62 per cent, and 8.73 per cent, respectively.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira closed flat against the United States Dollar at N1,370.19/$1 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, July 3.
However, it appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market segment by N2.29 to settle at N1,829.88/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,832.17/£1, and marginally depreciated against the Euro by 4 Kobo to close at N1,568.32/€1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,568.28/€1.
At the parallel market, the Naira also traded flat against the US Dollar at N1,390/$1, and at the GTBank forex desk, it also maintained stability at N1,832/$1.
Market conditions improved shortly after the following minimal intervention by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) through modest Dollar sales, which boosted liquidity and supported stronger trading activity.
Easing pressure came after half-year profit-taking tapered down, while continued stronger policy signals from the central bank add to near-term support.
Deals executed at the official market on Friday came in at $70.430 million across 82 interbank deals, from $85.517 million the previous day.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market continued its recovery after June non-farm payrolls printed at 57,000, less than half the 113,000 consensus, sending the implied probability of a September Federal Reserve rate hike from 64 per cent to 54 per cent and dragging AI stocks sharply lower.
Weak labour data reduces inflationary pressure and, by extension, the Federal Reserve’s justification for holding rates elevated. That transmission mechanism is direct: lower rate-hike odds compress the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like crypto.
Bitcoin regained the $62,000 mark after it rose by 1.3 per cent to $62,475.29.
Cardano (ADA) gained 6.6 per cent to trade at $0.1759, Ripple (XRP) appreciated by 3.5 per cent to $1.14, Ethereum (ETH) expanded by 2.4 per cent to $1,756.82, Dogecoin (DOGE) improved by 2.1 per cent to $0.0768, Solana (SOL) chalked up 1.8 per cent to $82.65, TRON (TRX) increased by 1.5 per cent to $0.3235, and Binance Coin (BNB) soared by 1.4 per cent to $569.12, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 apiece.
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