Economy
Trapped Foreign Investors Invest in Nigerian Stocks, OMO Bills
By Dipo Olowookere
Some foreign portfolio investors, who sold off their Naira investments before and shortly after the lockdown in Nigeria in high hopes of repatriating their funds, but got trapped, are already re-investing their money in local investment tools, an investigation by Business Post has revealed.
In March 2020, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) practically stopped the sale of foreign exchange (forex) to authorised traders.
Since the lockdown in Lagos, Abuja and Ogun State, Dollar sales at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window have reduced drastically.
The I&E segment of the forex platform was created by the apex bank about three years ago for the exchange of Naira to Dollar by FPIs and business corporations.
Before the movement cessation on March 30, the average daily trading value at the investors’ segment was within $400 million to $500 million, but since the lockdown, it has broadly dropped to $30 million to $40 million. This has largely eased the pressure on the domestic currency and there have been huge drop in demand for forex at the market as well as supply.
Business Post reports that on Friday, the total value of transactions at the I&E segment was $62.45 million, higher than the $25.43 million recorded on Thursday.
Nigeria has been battling with Dollar inflows due to fall in the prices of crude oil, which contributes over 80 percent to its foreign earnings, causing the nation’s external reserves, where the CBN takes forex to defend the Naira, to deplete.
Business Post observed that some FPIs, who sold their Naira investments last month, have been unable to repatriate their proceeds weeks after. This has forced some of them to reconsider putting the funds back into the capital market.
In the past two to three weeks, the Nigerian equity market has suddenly experienced surge in the trading volume and value. It has also regained its strength despite the threats posed by the coronavirus disease, which has plunged the global economy into a recession, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Last week, the stock market appreciated by 7.19 percent week-on-week. This was after it moved up by 1.37 percent the previous week. This week, the market receded by 1.41 percent as a result of profit taking, though there was a 0.57 percent growth recorded yesterday (Friday).
Investigations by Business Post showed that non-resident investors, who could not get their funds out of the country, chose to turnover the money and wait until the restrictions are lifted and Dollar supply to the I&E is resumed by the CBN.
At the treasury bills market, in the last two weeks, there have been upsurge in transactions at the Open Market Operations (OMO).
Last year, the CBN restricted local retail and institutional investors from buying its OMO bills and only allowed FPIs to invest in the liquidity management tool.
Since the lockdown commenced late last month, the OMO auctions had been snubbed by offshore investors, but when they could not repatriate their funds, they began to look the way of the exercise about two weeks ago.
At the last exercise held on Thursday, OMO bills worth N100 billion were auctioned across 89-day, 180-day and 341-day tenor, but the bank received subscriptions worth N323.8 billion from investors.
According to the analysis, N10 billion worth of the short-dated bill were offered for sale, another N10 billion worth of 180-day instrument were auctioned, while N80 billion worth of 341-day maturity were offered.
But when the bids were analysed, investors staked N64.10 billion on the short-dated bill, N33.50 billion was staked on the mid-dated bill, while N226.16 billion was staked on the long-dated bill.
A day earlier, the Debt Management Office (DMO) auctioned local bonds worth N60 billion to investors, but when the bids were analysed, the papers were oversubscribed by 459 percent, with the debt office getting subscriptions valued at N275.67 billion.
Next Monday, President Muhammadu Buhari has a huge task to carry out. Nigerians would be expecting to hear his verdict on the present lockdown, which is currently in its fourth week.
Nigeria has continued to witness rise in the cases of COVID-19. As at Friday, a total of 1,095 cases of the virus have been confirmed in the country.
The Nigeria Centre for Disease Control (NCDC) last night announced 114 new cases, with 80 in Lagos, 21 in Gombe State, 5 in Abuja, 2 each in Zamfara and Edo States, and one each in Ogun, Oyo, Kaduna and Sokoto States.
Lagos has the highest number of cases, 657 cases, followed by Abuja with 138 cases.
If the lockdown is extended by another two weeks or one, the capital market may continue to benefit from it because it means more liquidity at the market, which is enough to keep the positive momentum at the stock market on.
However, most Nigerians, who are daily income earners will continue to groan as some of them claimed they have not received palliatives from government to encourage them to stay home any longer.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Brent futures climbed $1.06 or 1.3 per cent to $83.55 a barrel on Friday amid ongoing uncertainty about the negotiations in progress that determine control of and reopening of the key shipping artery of the Strait of Hormuz.
In the same vein, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures finished at $78.18 a barrel after it chalked up 89 cents or 1.15 per cent.
Iran is reviewing a bill to ban American and Israeli vessels from the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas normally passed before the war began at the end of February.
Market analysts noted that while this week’s signals on a potential deal have sent a roller-coaster ride in market sentiment, the market remains in the dark as to what needs to happen for the agreement to be clinched.
Part of the question being asked is whether the Iran-Oman agreement would allow a US-flagged vessel to transit the Strait of Hormuz or allow a vessel headed for an American port to go through.
Shipping through Hormuz remains heavily constrained as Middle East oil production is still well below pre-war levels while attacks on commercial vessels have continued even as negotiators discuss possible arrangements for the waterway.
Some also said that this week’s developments have signalled that hostilities between Iran and the US are not yet over. This is because the proposed deal is not easily workable because of sanctions and restrictive insurance clauses on any payments by the US government.
Iran is seeking fees of between 5 per cent and 7 per cent of the price of cargoes from ships using the strait, while Oman is discussing fees of about 3 per cent, while the Donald Trump administration wants no fees at all.
Citi has raised its third-quarter Brent crude forecast to $80 per barrel from $75 as the war drags on and repeated attempts at a deal fail to restore normal oil flows through the strait.
The bank still expects the conflict to be resolved, but the five-month war has lasted longer than Citi anticipated and kept more geopolitical risk in crude prices. Citi left its fourth-quarter Brent forecast unchanged at $70 per barrel and still sees the benchmark averaging $65 in 2027.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerian businessman and chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, has unveiled plans for a new phase of investments and acquisitions as the conglomerate pushes towards its target of generating $100 billion in annual revenue by 2030.
Mr Dangote disclosed this while receiving a delegation of senior executives from global investment banking and financial services firm Goldman Sachs, led by co-chief executive of Goldman Sachs International and Global Co-Head of Investment Banking, Mr Anthony Gutman, during a tour of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals and Dangote Fertiliser Limited complex in Lagos.
Speaking after the visit, Mr Dangote said the refinery and associated industrial facilities underscore the transformative impact of long-term investment in Africa, stressing that the group’s ambitions extend beyond its current strategic plan.
“No matter how we try to explain what we have built, you cannot fully appreciate it until you see it. But this is only the beginning. We need to look beyond 2030.
“The next phase of our journey will include new investments and acquisitions as we continue to scale the business,” he said.
He added that detailed internal modelling had reinforced management’s confidence that the Group’s target of generating $100 billion in annual revenue by 2030 was achievable.
According to him, the projections were based on conservative assumptions and had strengthened the company’s conviction to pursue an even more ambitious long-term growth strategy.
Mr Dangote also revealed that the strong participation of employees in the refinery’s recent private placement reflected growing internal confidence in the company’s long-term strategy and future prospects.
The Goldman Sachs delegation, after an extensive tour of the 700,000 barrels-per-day refinery, described the project as an extraordinary achievement.
“It is extraordinary what Mr Dangote and the whole organisation have achieved. The ambition, the scale of the project, the quality of the project and the culture of the people is very impressive,” the executives said.
According to a statement issued by Dangote Group on Friday, the delegation was led by Mr Anthony Gutman and included Mr Adib N. Zouein, Co-Head of EMEA Emerging Markets Regional Sales and Head of the Middle East and North Africa region for Global Banking & Markets Public; Mr Ryad Yousuf, Global Head of FICC Sales Strats and Structuring; and Mr Jimi Adesanya, Head of Sub-Saharan Africa Sales (excluding South Africa).
The visitors were received by Dangote; Group Vice President, Oil & Gas, Mr Devakumar Edwin; Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals, Mr David Bird; Group Executive Director, Oil & Gas, Ms Fatima Aliko Dangote; Chief of Staff to the President/CEO, Ibrahim Dikko; Group Chief Branding and Communication Officer, Mr Anthony Chiejina; Group Chief Economist, Mr Hassan Mahmud; Group Chief Strategy Officer, Mr Aliyu Suleiman; and Head of Administration, Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals, Mr Musa Bala, among other senior executives.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Senate Public Accounts Committee has heard that Nigeria spent N1.16 trillion on fuel subsidy in 2021, while N1.20 trillion was deducted from federation crude oil sales proceeds during the same period.
The disclosure came from the Chairman of the Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission (RMAFC), Mr Mohammed Bello Shehu, during the committee’s ongoing investigation into the 2021 to 2023 Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) audit reports on the oil and gas sector.
According to the commission, crude and petroleum product losses cost N16.2 billion, pipeline repairs accounted for N22.05 billion, while strategic stock holding attracted N6.75 billion.
The revelations come against the backdrop of Nigeria’s long-running fuel subsidy regime, which successive governments maintained to keep the pump price of petrol artificially low despite mounting fiscal pressures.
Over the years, subsidy payments consumed trillions of Naira, significantly reducing revenues available to the three tiers of government and contributing to widening budget deficits.
The issue reached a turning point in May 2023 when President Bola Tinubu announced the removal of fuel subsidy during his inauguration speech, declaring that “fuel subsidy is gone.” The decision followed years of concerns over the rising cost of the programme, allegations of fraud, and repeated recommendations by fiscal authorities and international financial institutions that the subsidy had become unsustainable.
The removal triggered a sharp increase in the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit (petrol), leading to higher transportation and living costs across the country. In response, the federal government introduced a series of palliative measures, including cash transfers, support for mass transit, and wage-related interventions, while arguing that savings from the subsidy would be redirected to infrastructure, education, healthcare, and other critical sectors of the economy.
The commission also argued that the current method of calculating the 13 per cent derivation fund undermines the constitutional intention of the policy.
Meanwhile, the committee stood down the Niger Delta Development Commission’s presentation until next Wednesday to allow lawmakers review its submission.
The committee also expressed displeasure over the absence of the Auditor-General of the Federation, warning that he must appear before lawmakers next Tuesday or face compulsory appearance through the constitutional powers of the National Assembly.
