Economy
US Stocks Extend Rally on Trade Talks Optimism
By Investors Hub
The major U.S. index futures are pointing to a higher opening on Tuesday, with stocks likely to extend the strong upward move seen over the two previous sessions.
Optimism about trade talks between the U.S. and China may continue to generate buying interest on Wall Street amid a second day of meetings between U.S. and Chinese officials.
The second day of negotiations coincided with an unannounced visit by North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, with some analysts saying China could use Kim?s visit as a bargaining chip in the trade talks.
In a post on Twitter this morning, President Donald Trump claimed, ?Talks with China are going very well!?
Traders remain skeptical about the potential for a long-term trade deal, however, potentially keeping buying interest somewhat subdued.
A relatively quiet day on the U.S. economic front may also keep some traders on the sidelines amid the ongoing government shutdown.
Following the substantial rally seen last Friday, stocks saw some further upside over the course of the trading session on Monday. With the upward move, the major averages continued to offset the sell-off seen last month.
The major averages pulled back off their best levels in afternoon trading but remained firmly positive. The Dow rose 98.19 points or 0.4 percent to 23,531.35, the Nasdaq surged up 84.61 points or 1.3 percent to 6,823.57 and the S&P 500 climbed 17.75 points or 1.7 percent to 2,549.69.
The continued strength on Wall Street partly reflected optimism about high-level trade talks between the U.S. and China in Beijing.
Deputy U.S. Trade Representative Jeffrey Gerrish is leading the U.S. team at the two-day meeting, with a spokesman for China’s Foreign Ministry predicting “positive and constructive discussions.”
Meanwhile, traders largely shrugged off a report from the Institute for Supply Management showing growth in U.S. service sector activity slowed by more than anticipated in the month of December.
The ISM said its non-manufacturing index dropped to 57.6 in December after inching up to 60.7 in November. While a reading above 50 still indicates service sector growth, economists had expected the index to dip to 59.0.
“The non-manufacturing sector’s growth rate cooled off in December,” said Anthony Nieves, Chair of the ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. “Respondents indicate that there still is concern about tariffs, despite the hold on increases by the U.S. and China.”
Last Thursday, the ISM released a separate report showing a notable slowdown in the pace of growth in U.S. manufacturing activity in December
The purchasing managers index tumbled to 54.1 in December after rising to 59.3 in November, hitting its lowest level since November of 2016. Economists had expected the index to slip to 57.9.
Oil service stocks moved sharply higher over the course of the session, resulting in a 4.4 percent spike by the Philadelphia Oil Service Index. The rally by oil service stocks comes amid an increase by the price of crude oil.
Considerable strength was also visible among biotechnology stocks, as reflected by the 3.4 percent jump by the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index.
Loxo Oncology (LOXO) led the sector higher after the biopharmaceutical company agreed to be acquired by drug giant Eli Lilly (LLY) for $235 per share in cash or approximately $8 billion.
Retail stocks also turned in a particularly strong performance on the day, driving the Dow Jones Retail Index up by 2.7 percent.
Natural gas, semiconductor, networking and computer hardware stocks also saw significant strength, while gold and utilities stocks bucked the uptrend.
Economy
Shettima Blames CBN’s FX Intervention for Naira Depreciation
By Adedapo Adesanya
Vice President Kashim Shettima has attributed the Naira’s recent depreciation to the intervention of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in the foreign exchange (FX) market, stating that the currency could have strengthened to around N1,000 per Dollar within weeks if the apex bank had allowed market forces to prevail.
The local currency has dropped over N8.37 on the Dollar in the last week, as it closed at N1,355.37/$1 on Tuesday at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM), after it went on a spree late last month and into the early weeks of February.
However, speaking on Tuesday at the Progressive Governors’ Forum (PGF), Renewed Hope Ambassadors Strategic Summit in Abuja, the Nigerian VP said the intervention was to ensure stability.
“In fact, if not for the interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria yesterday, the 1,000 Naira to a Dollar we are going to attain in weeks, not in months. But for the purpose of market stability, the CBN generously intervened yesterday.
“So, for some of my friends, especially one of our party leaders who takes delight in stockpiling dollars, it is a wake-up call,” the vice president said.
He was alluding to CBN buying US Dollars from the market to slow down the rapid rise of the Naira.
Latest information showed that last week, the apex bank bought about $189.80 million to reduce excess Dollar supply and control how fast the Naira was gaining value.
The move was aimed at preventing foreign portfolio investors from exiting Nigeria’s fixed-income market, as large-scale sell-offs could heighten demand for US Dollars, intensify capital flight, and exert further pressure on the exchange rate.
Amid this, speaking after the 304th meeting of the monetary policy committee (MPC) of the CBN on Tuesday, Governor of the central bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, said Nigeria’s gross external reserves have risen to $50.45 billion, the highest level in 13 years.
This strengthens the country’s foreign exchange buffers, enhances the apex bank’s capacity to defend the Naira when needed, and boosts investor confidence in the stability of the Nigerian FX market.
Economy
Dangote Refinery Exports 20 million Litres Surplus of PMS
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Up to 20 million litres in surplus of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), otherwise known as petrol, is being exported daily by the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals after supplying about 65 million litres to the domestic market.
Nigeria’s average daily petrol consumption stands at between 50 and 60 million litres, indicating that the refinery’s output exceeds current domestic requirements, marking a decisive break from decades of fuel import dependence and recurrent scarcity.
The president of Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, speaking in Lagos, while confirming a structured offtake agreement with selected marketers to ensure nationwide distribution and eliminate supply instability, said the structured model was designed to eliminate supply bottlenecks and curb speculative practices that have historically triggered disruptions.
“We have agreed an offtake framework to supply up to 65 million litres daily for the domestic market. Any surplus, estimated at between 15 and 20 million litres, will be exported,” he said.
Under a revised distribution framework endorsed by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, the refinery will channel nationwide supply through major marketing companies, including MRS Oil Nigeria Plc, Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited Retail (NNPC), 11 plc (Mobil Producing Nigeria), TotalEnergies Marketing Nigeria Plc, Rainoil Limited, Northwest Petroleum & Gas Company Limited, Ardova Plc, Bovas & Company Limited, AA Rano Nigeria Limited, AYM Shafa Limited, Conoil and Masters Energy.
With local refining now exceeding national demand, the country stands to conserve billions of dollars annually in foreign exchange previously spent on petrol imports. Analysts say this would ease pressure on the naira, strengthen external reserves, and improve trade balance stability.
Economy
NECA, CPPE Laud CBN’s 0.50% Interest Rate Cut
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA) and the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) have separately commended the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for reducing the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) from 27.0 per cent to 26.5 per cent at its 304th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting.
In reaction, NECA Director-General, Mr Adewale-Smatt Oyerinde, praised the decision in a statement, noting that the 50 basis-point cut is “a cautious but noteworthy signal” that authorities were responding to sustained pressures on businesses.
He said the marginal reduction might not immediately lower lending rates, but reflected “a gradual shift toward supporting growth without undermining price stability”.
According to him, the overall stance remained tight, with the Cash Reserve Ratio retained at 45 per cent and the liquidity ratio at 30 per cent.
He added that the asymmetric corridor around the MPR was also maintained, reinforcing a cautious monetary approach.
“With a substantial portion of deposits still sterilised, banks’ capacity to expand credit to the real sector may remain constrained in the near term,” he said.
Mr Oyerinde described the move as “a careful balancing act” aimed at moderating inflation without worsening pressures on businesses.
He noted that firms continued to grapple with high operating costs, exchange rate volatility and weakened consumer demand.
“Inflation, particularly in food, energy and transportation, remains a significant challenge to employers and households,” he said.
He stressed that the modest easing must be supported by coordinated fiscal and structural reforms to address supply-side constraints.
Such reforms, he said, should improve infrastructure and enhance productivity across key sectors of the economy.
Mr Oyerinde urged financial institutions to ensure the MPR reduction was gradually reflected in lending conditions for manufacturers and SMEs.
He affirmed that although the MPC had not fully relaxed its tightening stance, the rate cut signalled cautious optimism.
“Sustained improvements in inflation, exchange rate stability and investor confidence will determine scope for further easing that supports growth and employment,” he said.
On its part, the CPPE said the decision reflected improving macroeconomic fundamentals and a cautious shift from aggressive tightening.
The organisation noted that sustained disinflation, stronger external reserves, an improved trade balance and relative exchange-rate stability had created room for monetary easing.
It said the rate cut could boost investor confidence and support private-sector growth, but cautioned that weak monetary transmission might limit its impact on lending rates.
The CPPE identified high cash reserve requirements, elevated lending rates, government borrowing and structural banking costs as major constraints to effective transmission.
The group also stressed the need for fiscal consolidation, citing high public debt, persistent deficits and rising debt-service obligations as risks to macroeconomic stability.
According to the chief executive of CPPE, Mr Muda Yusuf, effective policy coordination and stronger transmission mechanisms were critical to unlocking investment and sustaining growth, lauding the CBN for what he described as a measured and data-driven policy adjustment.
The CPPE boss noted that the easing reflected strengthening macroeconomic performance, declining inflation, growing reserves, improved trade balance and enhanced foreign exchange stability.
Mr Yusuf added that for the benefits of monetary easing to be fully realised, authorities must strengthen transmission to ensure lower lending rates for the real sector and advance credible fiscal consolidation to safeguard stability.
He said that if supported by structural reforms and disciplined fiscal management, the current policy direction could unlock a stronger investment cycle and more durable economic growth.
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