Economy
What Nigeria Gains From US-Iran Crisis
By Adedapo Adesanya
On Friday, January 3, 2020 the United States president, Mr Donald Trump, ordered an airstrike, which killed top Iranian General, Mr Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran’s elite Quds military force and one of the most powerful figures in the country.
This spurred hike in oil prices as Brent crude oil futures, the global benchmark, coursed more than 4 percent, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil jumped more than 3 percent due to the escalation of the geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran.
For a country like Nigeria, whose mainstay is oil, this development turned out to be a blessing because global events, which badly affect prices oil, have always been a major source of worry for government due to low revenues generated from the sale of the black gold.
But with the ongoing tensions from the assassination of the Iranian military chief, more money would continued to be raked from the sale of crude oil at higher prices.
In fact, Nigeria will like prices of oil to continue to trend higher at the global market because in the 2020 budget, the benchmark for crude oil was pegged at $60 per barrel.
Since last Friday, when the unmanned US drone attacked Mr Soleimani, prices have hovered around $70 (on Friday, January 3), $69 dollars over the weekend, and as the time of this report at $68 per barrel. This means prices are still in a safe net for the country.
By estimates, Nigeria produces over 1.5 million barrels of oil per day and at with an average increase of $69 per barrel since Friday, according to analysis by Business Post, the country has raked over $400 million so far from the sale of the commodity.
However, analysts have noted that a further escalation of the Mideast tensions could drive prices up as Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has vowed to inflict “severe retaliation” on those involved in Mr Soleimani’s death, and following this, the United States has also strengthened its military presence in and around the region.
A retaliation means that oil will rise with analysts saying that Iran’s could initiate attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf, as it did in 2019 with a British tanker and a number of drones. This would provide support for oil prices but would be not hold on for much longer.
A bigger occurrence would be an attack on oil infrastructure of US allies in the Persian Gulf such as the September strikes on Saudi oil infrastructure, which led to a loss of 5.7 million barrels per day of oil production capacity when Iranian-backed Houthi rebels attacked the facilities.
The biggest would be if Iran closed off the Strait of Hormuz, which serves as a passageway for a major portion of the oil supply. Such an action would limit access to Asian markets where China, India, Japan and South Korea, some of the largest consumers are located.
However, even with the possible rise, oil prices face huge pressure from non-OPEC supplier like the United States, Brazil, and Norway, who would want to increase their output and eventually crash prices or lead the market to an oversupply which the OPEC and its allies – which includes Nigeria took a decision to curb by reducing oil production by 1.7 million barrels per day to help prices and stop oil glut this year.
But whichever way, Nigeria will continue to cash in on the crisis and use the opportunity to shore up its external reserves, which have depleted in recent times due to low prices of crude oil.
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The federal government has been urged to give all the necessary support to indigenous investors, as they remain Nigeria’s most important drivers of employment, foreign exchange generation and long-term economic resilience.
This advice was given by foremost businessman, Mr Aliko Dangote, when he welcomed the Minister of State for Industry, Mr John Owan Enoh, to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals in Lagos recently.
The business mogul noted that efforts must be made to place industrialisation at the centre of the government’s economic strategy, insisting that no nation has attained prosperity without a strong manufacturing base.
“If Nigeria is to achieve sustainable growth and become a trillion-dollar economy, industrialisation must be the foundation. Indigenous investors remain the strongest catalysts for that transformation,” Mr Dangote stated.
He further stated that, “There is no way to create jobs and prosperity without industrialisation,” declaring that, “The greatest attraction for foreign investors is the success of domestic investors. When local investors thrive, they send a powerful signal that the environment is conducive for investment.”
In his remarks, the Minister promised deeper collaboration with the private sector to accelerate industrialisation, job creation and economic transformation.
He also pledged that the Ministry and its agencies would remain strong advocates of the refinery and the broader industrialisation agenda, adding that the government would continue to engage Dangote Industries Limited through the Industrial Revolution Work Group and ministerial roundtables to address challenges facing manufacturers, particularly access to affordable long-term financing.
Mr Enoh described the integrated industrial complex as one of the most significant investments in Africa and a model for the type of industrial development required to drive Nigeria’s economic growth aspirations.
“This facility matters because of what it represents for Nigerian industry, for our people and for the realisation of President Bola Tinubu’s vision of a one trillion-dollar economy,” he stated, noting that the refinery has emerged as a powerful symbol of value addition, industrial competitiveness and Nigeria’s growing manufacturing capability.
The Minister noted that the refinery has fundamentally changed global perceptions of Nigeria by helping to transform the country from a major importer of refined petroleum products into an exporter serving international markets.
“When global supply disruptions occurred, Nigeria was able to export petroleum products to markets in the Middle East and beyond. That is an extraordinary achievement and one that deserves recognition,” he added.
By Bon Peters
The Port Harcourt Area I Command of the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, handed over a consignment of intercepted expired medicaments to the National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC) in Rivers State.
The command’s spokesperson, Barilule Aanee, an Assistant Superintendent of Customs I, said in a statement that the transfer of the items underscored the strong inter-agency collaboration in safeguarding public health.
The handover was witnessed by representatives of the National Drug Law Enforcement Agency (NDLEA), the Department of State Services (DSS), other security agencies, freight forwarding associations, stakeholders and members of the media.
The Customs Area Controller for the command, Comptroller Salamatu Atuluku, stated that the seizure was a clear demonstration of the agency’s commitment to preventing harmful and prohibited pharmaceutical products from finding their way into Nigerian markets, disclosing that the expired medicaments were intercepted during a joint examination conducted by officers of the command in collaboration with NAFDAC and other relevant agencies.
She added that the consignment contained several cartons of expired pharmaceutical products with a Combined Insurance and Freight (CIF) value of over N50 million.
Ms Atuluku emphasised that the interception prevented what could have resulted in serious public health consequences, as expired medicines posed significant health risks, including treatment failure, drug toxicity and antimicrobial resistance.
She reaffirmed that her organisation “would remain resolute in protecting the nation’s borders against the importation of expired, substandard, falsified and prohibited goods.”
Receiving the items, the Deputy Director of NAFDAC for Port Inspection Directorate, Mr Adepoju Bayo Raufu, commended the customs for its vigilance and sustained partnership in protecting Nigerians from harmful pharmaceutical products.
He assured that the agency would immediately commence the necessary regulatory procedures to ensure the safe disposal of the expired medicaments in accordance with established laws and guidelines.
By Adedapo Adesanya
United Capital Plc has unveiled an ambitious roadmap to surpass N2 trillion in total assets by the end of 2026, following a strong first-half performance that saw gross earnings rise by 58 per cent to N37.9 billion and profit before tax increase by 80 per cent.
The company disclosed this during its H1 investor relations call on Wednesday, where executives outlined plans to drive growth through digital transformation, Pan-African expansion, and disciplined capital management.
Speaking during the call, Group Managing Director of United Capital Plc, Mr Peter Ashade, said the company is undergoing a major “retooling” process to position itself for long-term growth beyond Nigeria.
“We are equipping from people, technology, governance, and our structure as we retool because what we see ahead is bigger than where we are today,” Mr Ashade said.
He noted that the firm’s long-term vision is to build a platform that allows clients to trade seamlessly across its African footprint, including Nigeria, Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Rwanda, Senegal and Burkina Faso.
Mr Ashade added that the company has deliberately reduced its borrowing in favour of expanding its managed funds business, which it considers its biggest growth opportunity.
“We have decided deliberately to reduce our borrowing so that we can focus on growing managed funds to about 71 per cent of our funding size, which is where we see the greatest opportunities for the group,” he said.
He disclosed that managed funds have recorded significant growth, while total assets have already exceeded the N1 trillion mark.
“Our target for this year is to do over N2 trillion in terms of total assets,” he added.
Providing a breakdown of the financial performance, Group Chief Financial Officer, Mr Shedrack Onakpoma, said profit before tax rose to N24.78 billion, significantly outpacing revenue growth as a result of improved operational efficiency.
“We are building a resilient and thriving institution of great repute that focuses on sustainable value creation and delivery across multiple markets,” Mr Onakpoma said.
“The numbers tell a story of innovation and how we are building a lasting legacy that goes beyond mere revenue growth or short-term profitability.”
Addressing shareholders’ concerns over the company’s 30 kobo interim dividend, the firm’s Chief Economist, Ayodele Akunwunmi, said the decision reflects a long-term capital allocation strategy anchored on the residual dividend theory.
“Residual dividend theory says that a company must finance all profitable investments available from internally generated cash flows before paying the residual to shareholders,” Mr Akunwunmi explained.
“By financing our expansion this way rather than borrowing money that would dilute earnings, we have the opportunity to grow the bottom line and potentially double profitability in the future.”
He urged shareholders to focus on the company’s broader value creation strategy, arguing that prioritising investment today would generate stronger returns over the long term.
