Economy
World Bank Projects 2.5% Growth for Nigeria in 2022
By Adedapo Adesanya
The World Bank has projected that Nigeria’s economy will grow by 2.5 per cent in 2022.
The World Bank gave the forecast in its latest Global Economic Prospects report on Wednesday, adding that Africa’s largest economy will further add 0.3 points to a 2.8 per cent growth forecast in 2023.
In the publication, the Bretton Wood institution noted that “In Nigeria, growth is projected to strengthen somewhat to 2.5 per cent in 2022 and 2.8 per cent in 2023.”
The Washington-based institution further said that, “The oil sector should benefit from higher oil prices, a gradual easing of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) production cuts, and domestic regulatory reforms.”
“Activity in service sectors is expected to firm as well, particularly in telecommunications and financial services.
“However, the reversal of pandemic-induced income and employment losses is expected to be slow; this, along with high food prices, restrains a faster recovery in domestic demand,” it added.
According to the global lender, activity in the non-oil economy will remain curbed by high levels of violence and social unrest, as well as the threat of fresh COVID-19 flare-ups with remaining mobility restrictions being lifted guardedly because of low vaccination rates.
It stated that just about two per cent of the nation’s population had been fully vaccinated by the end of 2021.
The financial institution lamented that the pandemic has reversed at least a decade of gains in per capita income in Nigeria and some countries.
It explained that after barely increasing last year, per capita incomes were projected to recover only at a subdued pace, rising 1.1 per cent a year in 2022 – 23, leaving them almost two per cent below 2019 levels.
The World Bank stated that in some countries, the services and manufacturing sectors again reeled from the adverse impact of the pandemic, while high unemployment and elevated inflation dented consumer confidence.
While focusing on Nigeria’s north-east region and some Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries such as Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, and Niger, it said rising social unrest, insecurity, and civil conflicts have further restrained investment and consumer spending.
“Incoming indicators for major SSA economies point to a renewed improvement in economic activity towards the end of 2021,” the report revealed. “Mobility indicators continued to recover as many economies eased social-distancing restrictions following a decline in new COVID-19 cases from the peak reached in mid-2021.
“However, the Omicron variant detected in late November is now contributing to COVID-19 flare-ups across the region, particularly in Eastern and Southern Africa. More than 70 per cent of SSA countries reported at least a 50 per cent increase in new COVID-19 cases during the last two weeks of 2021,” it stated.
In Sub Saharan African, growth is projected to firm to 3.6 per cent in 2022 and 3.8 per cent in 2023.
The near-term recovery is expected to persist supported by elevated commodity prices as activity continues to rebound in the region’s main trading partners (China, the euro area, and the United States), albeit at a slower pace than last year.
The outlook is also predicated on a gradual recovery in tourism, with vaccinations in some tourism-reliant economies already proceeding at a much faster pace than in the rest of the region.
Projected growth in the region in 2022-23 is, however, still nearly a full percentage point below its 2000-19 average, partly reflecting the lingering adverse effects of COVID-19, while the pace of vaccinations is also expected to remain slow in many of the region’s countries.
The lender added that the speed of recovery is to be constrained by elevated policy uncertainty in many countries, a high incidence of social unrest and conflict, rising poverty and food insecurity, and delays to investments in infrastructure and mining, as well as slow implementation of structural reforms.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Brent futures gained $2.90 or 2.8 per cent to trade at $108.23 a barrel on Monday as peace talks between the United States and Iran stalled and shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remained limited, keeping global oil supplies tight.
Also, the US West Texas Intermediate crude rose by $1.97 or 2.1 per cent to $96.37 per barrel after Iran reportedly offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but insisted US nuclear talks be postponed, a condition the Americans are unlikely to accept.
Iran presented the proposal through regional mediators to reopen the waterway and move toward ending the war first, while postponing nuclear negotiations. The proposal would separate shipping security from the dispute over uranium enrichment, where negotiations have deadlocked.
The stalled negotiations are leading to fears for the global economy as both nations are no closer to a lasting truce after US President Donald Trump cancelled American participation in talks with Iran.
President Trump discussed a new Iranian proposal on resolving the war with Iran with his top national security aides, with the conflict currently in a stalemate and energy supplies from the Middle East region reduced.
The market is also beginning to price the supply story beyond crude. Higher petrol and heating oil prices are feeding concern that the conflict is moving into transport, manufacturing, and consumer costs.
At least seven ships – mainly dry bulk vessels – have crossed the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours, in line with muted activity in recent days. That represents a fraction of the average 140 daily passages before the Iran war began on February 28, when around 20 per cent of global oil supplies passed through the strait.
In addition, six tankers loaded with Iranian oil have been forced back to Iran by the US blockade in recent days.
Also, Russian President Vladimir Putin praised the Iranian people for battling to stay independent in the face of US and Israeli pressure and said Russia would do all it could to help Iran.
Major global central banks are set to hold interest rates steady this week.
The European Central Bank (ECB) will meet on Thursday, with a ceasefire easing the pressure on it for an immediate interest rate hike. Higher interest rates increase consumer borrowing costs, which can reduce economic growth and oil demand.
Traders are betting that the US Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England will all maintain rates at current levels.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited suffered a 0.94 per cent loss on Monday, April 27, 2026, which marked the commencement of an extended market session.
A few weeks ago, it was announced that trading activities on Customs Street would now be from 9:00 am to 4:00 pm instead of the usual 9:30 am to 2:30 pm.
This action was taken to allow market participants more time to explore the bourse and further make it robust, especially after the restoration of Nigeria’s frontier market status by FTSE Russell.
The NGX came under selling pressure, which resulted in 35 equities finishing on the gainers’ chart and 40 equities ending on the losers’ table, indicating a negative market breadth index and weak investor sentiment.
Trans-Nationwide Express, First Holdco, and UBA were the worst-performing equities after giving up 10.00 per cent each to trade at N7.11, N67.50, and N49.50, respectively. Access Holdings depreciated by 9.90 per cent to N28.20, and Fidelity Bank crashed by 9.87 per cent to N20.10.
The best-performing equity for the session was Abbey Mortgage Bank, which gained 9.26 per cent to N5.90, Zichis went up by 8.91 per cent to N16.99, Wema Bank expanded by 8.80 per cent to N34.00, NPF Microfinance Bank soared by 8.19 per cent to N5.68, and Coronation Insurance grew by 7.27 per cent to N2.66.
It was observed that the profit-taking was mainly from banking stocks, as the index shed 6.49 per cent. The consumer goods sector lost 0.41 per cent, and the energy counter depreciated by 0.24 per cent.
However, the industrial goods space improved by 0.85 per cent, and the insurance segment appreciated by 0.15 per cent.
But at the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) slipped by 2,120.20 points to 223,602.29 points from 225,722.49 points, and the market capitalisation shrank by N1.365 trillion to N143.970 trillion from N145.335 trillion.
A total of 678.2 million shares worth N44.1 billion were traded in 82,838 deals on Monday compared with 627.6 million shares valued at 44.5 billion transacted in 55,232 deals last Friday, representing a drop in the trading value by 0.90 per cent, and a surge in the trading volume and number of deals by 8.06 per cent and 49.98 per cent, respectively.
Zenith Bank was at the zenith of the activity chart yesterday with 76.1 million units sold for N9.5 billion. Wema Bank traded 49.9 million units worth N1.7 billion, Access Holdings exchanged 39.1 million units valued at N1.1 billion, Tantalizers transacted 30.0 million units worth N113.9 million, and AIICO Insurance traded 28.3 million units valued at N118.3 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria has ramped up efforts to secure its oil-rich waters and curb maritime crime, deploying significant naval assets under Exercise Obangame Express 2026 to protect critical energy infrastructure and trade routes in the Gulf of Guinea.
Flagging off the exercise in Onne, Rivers State, the Chief of Naval Staff, Vice Admiral Idi Abbas, said the exercise is central to safeguarding economic assets and sustaining investor confidence in Nigeria’s maritime domain.
“The safer maritime environment has enhanced investor confidence, increased shipping activities and supports the Federal Government’s drive towards a sustainable blue economy,” he said in a statement.
The multinational exercise, coordinated with the United States Africa Command, focuses on combating oil theft, piracy, illegal trafficking and other threats that directly impact Nigeria’s oil revenues and regional trade flows.
The focus on maritime security comes amid persistent concerns over crude oil theft and supply chain disruptions, which continue to undermine Nigeria’s production capacity.
Mr Abbas emphasised that coordinated regional efforts remain the most effective response to evolving threats.
“OBANGAME EXPRESS provides a unique opportunity for participating nations to train together, operate together and build the trust necessary for real-time coordination,” he said.
He added that no country can independently secure its maritime domain, stressing the need for sustained partnerships to protect the Gulf’s strategic energy corridor.
Also, the Commander, Eastern Naval Command, Rear Admiral CD Okehie, said the operation reflects a strategic shift toward protecting high-value maritime assets.
“The Gulf of Guinea serves as a major global sea lane of commerce, making it indispensable not only to regional economies but also to international trade,” he noted.
According to him, the Navy’s deployment of 10 ships, helicopters and special forces is designed to strengthen surveillance, interdiction and rapid response capabilities.
With Nigeria’s offshore assets and export routes forming a backbone of national revenue, the exercise signals a renewed push to tighten security, reduce losses and stabilise the broader oil and gas ecosystem.
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