Feature/OPED
$500m Domestic Bond: A Stitch in Time
By Ahmed Yusuf
A popular saying has it that a stitch in time saves nine. This saying correctly explains the $500 million Domestic Bond the Federal Government of Nigeria has floated to stabilize the exchange rate and boost the country’s foreign reserves. It is part of the efforts the Tinubu administration is making to get the economy quickly on a sound footing to bring about the urgently needed recovery and growth. The recovery may be slow, but it is safe to say, as Mr Wale Edun, Finance Minister and Coordinating Minister for the Economy has said at several events and fora, that the administration’s reforms are working.
The domestic bond, which has a tenor of five years with a minimum of $10,000, is targeted at Nigerians in the Diaspora with foreign currency savings, those at home with domiciliary accounts and foreigners resident in the country, to allow for broader participation. This is an opportunity for Nigerians and foreigners alike to invest in a bond that is not only safe and secure but also has the certainty of bringing a bountiful harvest, especially since it is to be listed on the FMDQ and the Nigerian Exchange Limited.
With a 9.75 per cent return on the bond, investors – institutional and individual – see the investment as being of relatively lower risk with high return, compared with dollar-denominated investments in the domestic market which come with lower returns. This has excited investors, and there are indications the bond will be fully subscribed by Friday, August 30, 2024, when the offer is expected to end. With increased dollar inflow into the economy, there is going to be a reduction in demand for the greenback and increased confidence in Nigeria’s domestic market.
The objectives of the bond, apart from boosting foreign reserves and stabilization of the exchange rate, include making liquidity available for borrowing by investors and manufacturers to increase productivity, job creation and reduction in the unemployment rate. This is in addition to the need to make money available to the government for funding of key social services like health and education, and the massive infrastructural development plan of the administration, which includes building new roads and rehabilitation of the many that have literally collapsed across the country. The government’s announcement that it has no plan to initiate any new infrastructure projects in 2025, but to focus on completing the ones it has started and rehabilitating those that are in various states of disrepair, resonates well with Nigerians who want dilapidated roads across the country to be made usable.
The need for an intervention like the dollar-denominated domestic bond that was launched on Monday, August 19, 2024, must therefore be viewed within the context of the benefits it would bring to the country. It is worthy of mention that a foreign-denominated bond beefs up the local currency and makes more money available for borrowing by investors, to go into key sectors like agriculture, manufacturing, oil and gas, construction, transportation, etc. These are the areas in Nigeria that urgently need intervention because they are the areas from which economic recovery and growth are going to come.
For too long, the country has been almost entirely import-dependent, producing virtually nothing for export to earn enough foreign currency to stabilize the exchange rate. No country achieves economic growth and, by extension, development, when it does not produce for export. As a corollary, no country develops when it imports almost everything it consumes. An injection of $500 million is going to bring about a massive boost to the economy by shoring up the naira.
The decision to denominate the domestic bond in dollars is quite strategic. It saves the country the trouble of incessant external borrowing which was the bane of development under the Buhari administration. Now, the government has an opportunity to earn the much-needed foreign exchange to help boost reserves and stabilize the exchange rate without resorting to borrowing from external sources. This should be considered against the background of the strident efforts it is making to repay some of the existing foreign loans.
It is quite appropriate that the chief marketer of the domestic bond is none other than Edun, who has brought energy into the government’s drive to stabilize the exchange rate, right from the inception of the current administration. Edun has been very optimistic about the outcomes of the administration’s economic reforms, not missing any opportunity to voice this out, perhaps more than President Tinubu, his principal, has done.
At a roadshow in Lagos to unveil the bond, the minister pointed to the successes recorded through a combination of the government’s monetary and fiscal policies, which have manifested in the form of foreign portfolio investments and foreign direct investment, the latter being more evident in the oil and gas sector. His argument, which hits the nail on the head, is that more foreign exchange leads to higher foreign reserves and a stronger exchange rate. This argument finds favour in the fact that as of August 12, 2024, Nigeria’s foreign reserves stood at $36.62 billion, according to statistics released by the Central Bank of Nigeria. The figure supports Edun’s position on greater foreign exchange inflow into the country in the last few months.
The $500 million domestic bond has come at a time when it is most needed. We can only hope that like other policies that have started to show positive signs, its objectives would be seen in the short run on the exchange rate and foreign reserves, before others become evident in the long run, in areas such as prices of manufactured goods, job creation and improvement in the standard of living of the people.
Yusuf, a public affairs analyst, wrote from Abuja
Feature/OPED
The Future of Payments: Key Trends to Watch in 2025
By Luke Kyohere
The global payments landscape is undergoing a rapid transformation. New technologies coupled with the rising demand for seamless, secure, and efficient transactions has spurred on an exciting new era of innovation and growth. With 2025 fast approaching, here are important trends that will shape the future of payments:
1. The rise of real-time payments
Until recently, real-time payments have been used in Africa for cross-border mobile money payments, but less so for traditional payments. We are seeing companies like Mastercard investing in this area, as well as central banks in Africa putting focus on this.
2. Cashless payments will increase
In 2025, we will see the continued acceleration of cashless payments across Africa. B2B payments in particular will also increase. Digital payments began between individuals but are now becoming commonplace for larger corporate transactions.
3. Digital currency will hit mainstream
In the cryptocurrency space, we will see an increase in the use of stablecoins like United States Digital Currency (USDC) and Tether (USDT) which are linked to US dollars. These will come to replace traditional cryptocurrencies as their price point is more stable. This year, many countries will begin preparing for Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), government-backed digital currencies which use blockchain.
The increased uptake of digital currencies reflects the maturity of distributed ledger technology and improved API availability.
4. Increased government oversight
As adoption of digital currencies will increase, governments will also put more focus into monitoring these flows. In particular, this will centre on companies and banks rather than individuals. The goal of this will be to control and occasionally curb runaway foreign exchange (FX) rates.
5. Business leaders buy into AI technology
In 2025, we will see many business leaders buying into AI through respected providers relying on well-researched platforms and huge data sets. Most companies don’t have the budget to invest in their own research and development in AI, so many are now opting to ‘buy’ into the technology rather than ‘build’ it themselves. Moreover, many businesses are concerned about the risks associated with data ownership and accuracy so buying software is another way to avoid this risk.
6. Continued AI Adoption in Payments
In payments, the proliferation of AI will continue to improve user experience and increase security. To detect fraud, AI is used to track patterns and payment flows in real-time. If unusual activity is detected, the technology can be used to flag or even block payments which may be fraudulent.
When it comes to user experience, we will also see AI being used to improve the interface design of payment platforms. The technology will also increasingly be used for translation for international payment platforms.
7. Rise of Super Apps
To get more from their platforms, mobile network operators are building comprehensive service platforms, integrating multiple payment experiences into a single app. This reflects the shift of many users moving from text-based services to mobile apps. Rather than offering a single service, super apps are packing many other services into a single app. For example, apps which may have previously been used primarily for lending, now have options for saving and paying bills.
8. Business strategy shift
Recent major technological changes will force business leaders to focus on much shorter prediction and reaction cycles. Because the rate of change has been unprecedented in the past year, this will force decision-makers to adapt quickly, be decisive and nimble.
As the payments space evolves, businesses, banks, and governments must continually embrace innovation, collaboration, and prioritise customer needs. These efforts build a more inclusive, secure, and efficient payment system that supports local to global economic growth – enabling true financial inclusion across borders.
Luke Kyohere is the Group Chief Product and Innovation Officer at Onafriq
Feature/OPED
Ghana’s Democratic Triumph: A Call to Action for Nigeria’s 2027 Elections
In a heartfelt statement released today, the Conference of Nigeria Political Parties (CNPP) has extended its warmest congratulations to Ghana’s President-Elect, emphasizing the importance of learning from Ghana’s recent electoral success as Nigeria gears up for its 2027 general elections.
In a statement signed by its Deputy National Publicity Secretary, Comrade James Ezema, the CNPP highlighted the need for Nigeria to reclaim its status as a leader in democratic governance in Africa.
“The recent victory of Ghana’s President-Elect is a testament to the maturity and resilience of Ghana’s democracy,” the CNPP stated. “As we celebrate this achievement, we must reflect on the lessons that Nigeria can learn from our West African neighbour.”
The CNPP’s message underscored the significance of free, fair, and credible elections, a standard that Ghana has set and one that Nigeria has previously achieved under former President Goodluck Jonathan in 2015. “It is high time for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a beacon of democracy in Africa,” the CNPP asserted, calling for a renewed commitment to the electoral process.
Central to CNPP’s message is the insistence that “the will of the people must be supreme in Nigeria’s electoral processes.” The umbrella body of all registered political parties and political associations in Nigeria CNPP emphasized the necessity of an electoral system that genuinely reflects the wishes of the Nigerian populace. “We must strive to create an environment where elections are free from manipulation, violence, and intimidation,” the CNPP urged, calling on the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) to take decisive action to ensure the integrity of the electoral process.
The CNPP also expressed concern over premature declarations regarding the 2027 elections, stating, “It is disheartening to note that some individuals are already announcing that there is no vacancy in Aso Rock in 2027. This kind of statement not only undermines the democratic principles that our nation holds dear but also distracts from the pressing need for the current administration to earn the trust of the electorate.”
The CNPP viewed the upcoming elections as a pivotal moment for Nigeria. “The 2027 general elections present a unique opportunity for Nigeria to reclaim its position as a leader in democratic governance in Africa,” it remarked. The body called on all stakeholders — including the executive, legislature, judiciary, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), and civil society organisations — to collaborate in ensuring that elections are transparent, credible, and reflective of the will of the Nigerian people.
As the most populous African country prepares for the 2027 elections, the CNPP urged all Nigerians to remain vigilant and committed to democratic principles. “We must work together to ensure that our elections are free from violence, intimidation, and manipulation,” the statement stated, reaffirming the CNPP’s commitment to promoting a peaceful and credible electoral process.
In conclusion, the CNPP congratulated the President-Elect of Ghana and the Ghanaian people on their remarkable achievements.
“We look forward to learning from their experience and working together to strengthen democracy in our region,” the CNPP concluded.
Feature/OPED
The Need to Promote Equality, Equity and Fairness in Nigeria’s Proposed Tax Reforms
By Kenechukwu Aguolu
The proposed tax reform, involving four tax bills introduced by the Federal Government, has received significant criticism. Notably, it was rejected by the Governors’ Forum but was still forwarded to the National Assembly. Unlike the various bold economic decisions made by this government, concessions will likely need to be made on these tax reforms, which involve legislative amendments and therefore cannot be imposed by the executive. This article highlights the purposes of taxation, the qualities of a good tax system, and some of the implications of the proposed tax reforms.
One of the major purposes of taxation is to generate revenue for the government to finance its activities. A good tax system should raise sufficient revenue for the government to fund its operations, and support economic and infrastructural development. For any country to achieve meaningful progress, its tax-to-GDP ratio should be at least 15%. Currently, Nigeria’s tax-to-GDP ratio is less than 11%. The proposed tax reforms aim to increase this ratio to 18% within the next three years.
A good tax system should also promote income redistribution and equality by implementing progressive tax policies. In line with this, the proposed tax reforms favour low-income earners. For example, individuals earning less than one million naira annually are exempted from personal income tax. Additionally, essential goods and services such as food, accommodation, and transportation, which constitute a significant portion of household consumption for low- and middle-income groups, are to be exempted from VAT.
In addition to equality, a good tax system should ensure equity and fairness, a key area of contention surrounding the proposed reforms. If implemented, the amendments to the Value Added Tax could lead to a significant reduction in the federal allocation for some states; impairing their ability to finance government operations and development projects. The VAT amendments should be holistically revisited to promote fairness and national unity.
The establishment of a single agency to collect government taxes, the Nigeria Revenue Service, could reduce loopholes that have previously resulted in revenue losses, provided proper controls are put in place. It is logically easier to monitor revenue collection by one agency than by multiple agencies. However, this is not a magical solution. With automation, revenue collection can be seamless whether it is managed by one agency or several, as long as monitoring and accountability measures are implemented effectively.
The proposed tax reforms by the Federal Government are well-intentioned. However, all concerns raised by Nigerians should be looked into, and concessions should be made where necessary. Policies are more effective when they are adapted to suit the unique characteristics of a nation, rather than adopted wholesale. A good tax system should aim to raise sufficient revenue, ensure equitable income distribution, and promote equality, equity, and fairness.
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