By Adedapo Adesanya
All states in the country are on red alert to face the impact of flooding, a new forecast from the Nigeria Hydrological Services Agency (NIHSA) shows.
In the 2023 Annual Flood Outlook (AFO) themed Flood Prediction and its Impact, the Minister of Water Resources, Mr Suleiman Adamu, at the Public Presentation of the 2023 Annual Flood Outlook, said that the impact on the Socio-Economic Livelihood of Nigerians predicted that 178 Local Government Areas (LGAs) in 32 States of the federation and the FCT fall within the Highly Probable Flood Risk Areas.
These states are Adamawa, Abia, Akwa- Ibom, Anambra, Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Cross- River, Delta, Ebonyi, Ekiti, Edo.
Others are Gombe, Imo, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Kebbi, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Nasarawa, Niger, Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Rivers, Sokoto, Taraba, Yobe, as well as Zamfara and the FCT.
The minister also said 224 LGAs in 35 States of the Federation, including FCT, fall within the moderately probable flood Risks Areas. The remaining 372 LGAs fall within the probable Flood Risks Areas.
The 2023 Annual Flood Outlook emphasized the categories of flood anticipated as the Minister revealed that the Highly Probable Flood Risks Areas is expected between the month of April and November.
In addition, the level of floods in this category is expected to be high in terms of impact on the population, agriculture, livelihood, livestock and infrastructure, and the environment.
Part of 66 LGAs across the country falls within the Highly Probable Risks Areas in the months of April, May, and June, while part of 148 LGAs in the months of October and November 2023.
The Minister further explained that a moderate impact level of floods is expected in Parts of 41 LGAs within the months of April, May, and June, while parts of 199 LGAs fall within the month of July, August, and September, and parts of 73 LGA’s within the months of October and November 2023.
He hinted that Bayelsa, Cross-River, Delta, Edo, Lagos, Ogun, Rivers, and Ondo would be experiencing Coastal flooding due to a rise in sea level and tidal surge, which would impact fishing, wildlife habitation, and river navigation.
Meanwhile, cities like Lagos, Kaduna, Suleija, Gombe, Yola, Makurdi, Abuja, Lafia, Asaba, Port- Harcourt, Yenagoa, Ibadan, Benin-City, Birnin- Kebbi, Lokoja, Kano, Nsukka, Sokoto, Ado- Ekiti, Owerri, Calabar, Maiduguri, Osogbo, Abakaliki, and Awka will be experiencing flash and urban flooding.
Mr Adamu noted that the Federal Government is committed to ensuring that necessary measures are taken to mitigate the impacts of natural disasters taking into cognizance the devastating consequences of the 2022 floods.
In addition, he emphasized the need for accurate flood forecasting in protecting the lives and property of citizens, noting that NIHSA has made tremendous progress in improving flood forecasting capabilities and confidence and that the predictions presented will help to better prepare for response to potential flood events as well as serve as a veritable tool for strategic planning to avert loss of lives and property through adequate coordinated and effective flood early warning and sensitization awareness campaigns, improved flood mitigation strategies and preparedness for risk reduction by all stakeholders.
On her part, the Permanent Secretary Federal Ministry of Water Resources, Mrs Esther Didi Walson-Jack, represented by the Director of River Basin Operations, Mr Johnson Ochigbo, reiterated the overall objective of the meeting, stating that it is to sensitize the nation, particularly water users, planners, decision and policymakers, farmers, stakeholders and the general public on the need to embark on preventive measures, necessary to improve the safety of lives and reduce potential damages to property and infrastructures that have been witnessed from the recent flood disasters, particularly the 2022 flood disaster.
She urged participants to translate the 2023 forecasts into concrete actions that will make the nation’s communities flood resilient, noting that the yearly message of AFO to the general public will decline the negative impact of flood, thereby promoting a better understanding of flood risks and ensuring that appropriate mitigation measures are deployed.
