Economy
Reactions as JP Morgan Warns Investors Against Nigerian Bonds
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The decision of JP Morgan to warn investors interested in buying securities from Nigeria to be extra-ordinarily careful is not going down well with some observers, who blamed the federal government for this.
According to the financial institution, it had to downgrade Nigeria, which prides itself as the biggest economy in Africa, from its emerging market sovereign list because the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has not been able to transfer revenue generated from the sale of crude oil to the federation account for three months.
JP Morgan believes the country is undergoing a serious revenue crisis that could affect its ability to pay foreign bondholders, which is why it is alerting investors to probably avoid Nigerian bonds as the government plans to approach the market soon.
“Nigeria’s fiscal woes amid a worsening global risk backdrop have raised market concerns despite a positive oil environment,” the American bank said.
The NNPC has struggled to remit funds to the federal government between January and March 2022 as a result of the payment of subsidies for petrol.
Though Nigeria has crude oil in abundance, it does not refine the commodity. It instead gives the crude oil to refiners and then brings the derivatives into the country, making it difficult for consumers to buy at cheaper rates except the government subsidises the products.
Business Post reports that the fuel subsidies have been on for decades and attempts in the past to remove them have been met with threats from the labour unions.
Despite signing the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) into law recently, making subsidies illegal, the government of President Muhammadu Buhari delayed the implementation of the law till after his tenure.
Many observers saw this move as purely political, especially because it was coming a year before the general elections.
In his report, JP Morgan said Nigeria has not been able to take advantage of the rise in the prices of crude oil on the global scene. Also, the country is not taking advantage of the Russia-Ukraine war to sell its gas to Europe, which is in a dire need of the commodity as it is planning to stop patronising Russian energy.
However, it replaced Nigeria on the list with Serbia due to the country’s high reserves and a fiscally cautious government and also Uzbekistan due to its relatively low debt despite Russian exposure.
The revelation by the US-based lender has triggered questions from Nigerians, who want to know the whereabouts of the funds from crude oil sales.
“JP Morgan Chase, the bankers to NNPC/CBN says not a cent has been deposited into their coffers in 3 months, specifically from January to March 2022.
“So where are the $ proceeds from the sale of Nigerian crude oil during this period?” a financial analyst, Mr Kalu Aja asked in one of his tweets on Twitter on Wednesday.
Economy
Wale Edun’s Claims of 1.8mbpd Crude Output Contrast Official Data
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun, says Nigeria’s crude oil production has risen to 1.8 million barrels a day, contrasting with available production data.
Speaking in an interview with Reuters on Wednesday on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank Group spring meetings in Washington D.C., the Minister said the current oil output would generate fiscal breathing space that will allow the government to support vulnerable households as it ploughs ahead with reforms.
Nigeria, which is a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), is Africa’s largest oil producer.
Mr Edun said rising crude production was positive for Nigeria’s revenue, foreign exchange and the country’s fiscal situation.
“It gives us that extra fiscal space within which to look at … helping the vulnerable households at this time,” he told the publication, noting that support would be targeted, adding “there is no thought of any return or retardation to broad untargeted subsidies.”
Mr Edun also said the Bola Tinubu-led administration was also committed to continuing its reform programme.
“Nigeria is in a position where the resilience that has been built in the economy is actually very obvious for all to see,” he said.
Despite the 1.8 million barrels per day figure claim, Business Post reports that production data for March 2026 from the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) shows that Nigeria attained 1.546 million barrels per day, made up of 1.382 million barrels per day of crude, 42,809 barrels per day of blended condensate and 120,442 barrels per day of unblended condensate.
The average crude production represents 92 per cent of the OPEC quota, which is fixed at 1.5 million barrels per day.

Economy
SEC Opens Capital Market to Free Trade Zone Companies
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Securities and Exchange Commission Nigeria (SEC) has unveiled a new regulatory framework that would allow companies operating within free trade zones to raise capital from the Nigerian public, subject to strict eligibility and disclosure requirements.
The proposal, titled New Rules for Public Offering of Securities by a Free Trade Zone Entity, is anchored on provisions of the Investments and Securities Act (ISA) 2025 and is designed to integrate free trade zone enterprises into the domestic capital market while strengthening investor protection.
Under the proposed rules, only entities duly licensed by recognised free zone authorities, such as the Nigeria Export Processing Zones Authority and the Oil and Gas Free Zones Authority, will be eligible to issue shares to the public.
The commission clarified that the rules will apply strictly to free trade zone entities (FTZEs), excluding companies operating outside designated zones, even if licensed by zone authorities. It also emphasised that no FTZE will be permitted to offer securities to the public without prior approval from the Commission.
To qualify, an FTZE must demonstrate a minimum of three years’ operating track record immediately preceding its application, with at least two years of independent business activity within a free trade zone. Additionally, such entities are required to have competent senior management and a minimum paid-up share capital of not less than N7.5 billion.
The SEC said FTZEs seeking to access the capital market must subject themselves to Nigeria’s tax laws and comply fully with ongoing disclosure and reporting obligations applicable to publicly listed companies.
The proposed framework also outlines extensive registration requirements. Issuers will be required to submit evidence of licensing by a free zone authority, constitutional documents, and verified details of shareholding structure and board composition.
A “No Objection” letter from the relevant free zone authority will also be mandatory, alongside a commitment to list the offered shares on a registered securities exchange.
The SEC noted that the rules are intended to provide clarity on eligibility criteria and operational conditions for FTZEs seeking to conduct public offerings, thereby deepening the capital market and aligning free zone operations with national financial system standards.
Economy
Guinness Nigeria Shareholders to Pocket N4.38bn Interim Dividend for Q1’26
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Shareholders of Guinness Nigeria Plc will share about N4.38 billion as an interim dividend for the first quarter of 2026, the board has disclosed.
This cash reward amounts to N2.00 per share, as the company has shares outstanding of 2,190,382,819 on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited.
The brewer stated that the interim dividend would be paid to investors whose names appear on the register of members as of the close of business on April 20, 2026.
The dividend payout is being proposed following the sustained profitability reflected in the unaudited financial results of the company in the first three months of this year and its “strong performance in FY 2025.”
It would be “paid from distributable profits in accordance with Sections 426–428 of the Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA) 2020.”
Analysis of the performance of the brewery giant between January and March 2026 showed that revenue grew by 4 per cent on a year-on-year basis to N122.77 billion from N118.34 billion in the same period of last year, while the gross profit contracted to N43.48 billion from N44.52 billion due to prevailing cost pressures within the operating environment.
The company’s operating profit also shrank to N17.18 billion from N18.00 billion in the first quarter of 2025 due to elevated marketing & distribution costs and administrative expenses.
However, the reduction in net finance costs to N1.43 billion from N7.72 billion in Q1 of 2025 helped the organisation to grow its post-tax profit to N10.39 billion in the period under review versus the N7.03 billion recorded in the corresponding period of last year.
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