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Oil Mixed as Chinese Demand Improves, US Interest Rate Cut Remains Unclear

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Brazilian Crude Oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

The oil market was mixed on Monday amid hopes of stronger demand backed by higher factory activity in China as concerns emerged that the US Federal Reserve would not cut interest rates again at its December meeting.

Yesterday, Brent crude futures depreciated by 1 cent to trade at $71.83 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose by 10 cents or 0.15 per cent to $68.10 per barrel.

New data showed China’s factory activity expanded in November at the fastest pace in five months as the Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI rose to 51.5 in November from 50.3 the previous month, the highest since June.

This boosted Chinese business optimism after US President-elect Donald Trump pledged an additional 10 per cent tariff on imports from China.

He had previously threatened to end China’s most-favoured-nation trading status and slap tariffs on Chinese imports as high as 60 per cent, which is much higher than those imposed during his first term.

On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, which took effect last Wednesday, appeared to be shaky as it has not halted fighting.

Israel said on Monday that it was currently striking terror targets in Lebanon amid mutual accusations of ceasefire violations between Israel and the Lebanese armed group Hezbollah.

Meanwhile, the US, which was instrumental in the deal said the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanese armed group Hezbollah was holding.

Traders also watched developments in Syria, weighing whether recent escalation could widen tensions across the Middle East and affect supply.

Rebels linked to Al-Qaeda took some territories in the high-conflict country over the weekend, and this has added to more worries about the stability of the Middle East region. This may trigger another spate of crises after years of civil war in the country.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, together known as OPEC+, postponed the group’s next meeting to December 5.

The meeting will discuss delaying a planned oil output increase scheduled to start in January.

Market analysts noted that attention will be on the potential delay of the planned production hike, as an indefinite delay could alleviate downward pressure on prices.

This Thursday’s meeting will decide policy for the early months of 2025.

There are also signals that the US may decide not to cut interest rates again at the Federal Reserve’s December meeting, with upcoming data on jobs important in shaping the decision.

Higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing, which can slow economic activity and dampen demand for oil.

Pressure also came as the Dollar strengthened after Mr Trump on Saturday threatened 100 per cent tariffs on BRICS member countries if they create a new currency or support another currency that could replace the Dollar in trade.

A stronger greenback makes Dollar-denominated oil more expensive for investors holding other currencies, hurting demand.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Extensive Distribution Network, Promotional Activities Buoy Indomie 60% Noodles Market Share

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dufil indomie

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Dufil Prima Foods Limited, makers of the popular Indomie Noodles, has been able to control over 60 per cent of the noodles market share in Nigeria because of its strong customer base, extensive distribution network and promotional activities, GCR Ratings has said.

These strategies deployed by the organisation have improved its financial profile, prompting the rating agency to upgrade the national scale long-term and short-term issuer ratings of Dufil to A(NG)/A1(NG) from A-(NG)/A2 (NG), previously, with a stable outlook.

It was disclosed that the company has witnessed strong cash generation and modest debt levels, which have enhanced its credit profile.

GCR said Dufil’s supply chain stability and ongoing product development have helped it to sustain the brand’s appeal to the young demographics in Nigeria and deepen market penetration.

These strengths are partly offset by high revenue concentration, with noodles accounting for more than 74 per cent, while other business lines, including flour, pasta, snacks, packaging, and palm oil, contribute a combined 26 per cent in 2025, it stated.

“We expect noodles to remain a dominant contributor to topline, supported by plans to expand noodle production capacity in 2026. Nevertheless, the completion of the flour plant expansion in Q3 2026 is expected to modestly increase the contribution of the flour business and support margins in the snacks segment,” a part of the statement obtained by Business Post read.

In the 2025 fiscal year, Dufil grew its earnings by 30 per cent to N1.1 trillion as a result of inflation-induced price review and gradual volume recovery. Its absolute EBITDA contracted to N84.5 billion from N92.7 billion in 2024, while its EBITDA margin eased to 8 per cent from 11.4 per cent in 2024.

Also, gross debt reduced to N96.2 billion from N163.6 billion in 2024, and to N79.6 billion in the first quarter of 2026, driven by management efforts to deleverage its balance sheet from expensive borrowings.

In addition, the liquidity position has slightly improved on robust cash holding of N44.6 billion, including restricted cash of N20.8 billion as of March 2026, adequate to cover the anticipated short-term debt obligations of N47.9 billion over the next nine-month period to December 31, 2026.

Although refinancing risk remains high with short-term debt accounting for above 40 per cent of the total debt, liquidity is further supported by sizable, unutilised committed facilities of N106.5 billion, indicating the company’s wide access to funding sources.

GCR said it expects the anticipated higher capital spending of N32.5 billion over the next 21 months to December 2027, as well as projected higher dividend payments in view of robust prior year profits to be sufficiently covered by the projected robust operating cash flow.

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Economy

FG Encourages Businesses to Tap $1bn AfCFTA Financing Scheme

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AfCFTA

By Adedapo Adesanya

The federal government says Nigerian businesses now have access to a $1 billion financing facility under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), designed to strengthen production and improve export competitiveness across African markets.

Speaking at the 2nd Quarter 2026 meeting of the AfCFTA Central Coordination Committee in Abuja, the Minister of Industry, Trade and Investment, Mrs Jumoke Oduwole, described the financing window as a major opportunity for businesses looking to scale operations and deepen regional trade.

“This financing facility presents a significant opportunity for Nigerian companies seeking to expand operations, modernise production, and increase exports across African markets,” she said.

Mrs Oduwole noted that despite progress in AfCFTA implementation, Nigerian exporters still face challenges such as documentation bottlenecks, certification requirements, and standards compliance issues.

She said the government is addressing these gaps through trade facilitation reforms and stronger collaboration with agencies, including the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) and the Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC).

The trade minister also stressed the importance of strengthening Nigeria’s legal and regulatory framework, particularly through the domestication of the AfCFTA Digital Trade Protocol.

At the meeting, the National Coordinator and CEO of the Nigeria AfCFTA Coordination Office, Mrs Patience Okala, said the $1 billion AfCFTA Adjustment Fund Credit Facility is targeted at large-scale businesses with a minimum financing threshold of US$10 million.

“The facility will support business expansion, modernisation, working capital requirements, project development, industrialisation efforts, and regional value chain integration,” she explained.

Mrs Okala added that the coordination office is working with fund managers to ensure qualified Nigerian firms can access the facility, while also assembling a pilot group of businesses to maximise participation.

She further highlighted growing private sector engagement, noting that recent sensitisation events in Kano attracted more than 470 businesses, including women-led enterprises.

On his part, a representative of the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment, Mr Simon Om-Ezomo, commended stakeholders for their collaboration and urged sustained commitment to policy implementation.

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Economy

Senate Pushes for Ban on Textile Imports

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textile park kano

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

To revive the local industry and create jobs to boost the economy, the Senate has advised the federal government to ban textile imports.

The upper chamber of the federal parliament made this suggestion on Tuesday at the plenary presided over by the Deputy Senate President, Mr Jibrin Barau.

They noted that to resuscitate textile industries in the country, the Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment, and the Federal Ministry of Agriculture should immediately implement investment-friendly policies.

The red chamber of the National Assembly recalled when Nigeria used to have a vibrant textile industry, but lamented that the influx of foreign fabrics destroyed the sector.

The Senate emphasised that to stimulate economic growth and tackle insecurity in the country, there must be a total ban on the importation of textile materials into Nigeria.

“With the lifting of the ban on textile importation in 2010, Nigeria now has almost 80 per cent of its textiles imported from China, Indonesia, Taiwan and other countries.

“This trend is definitely not helping the Nigerian economy in terms of employment generation and the conservation of foreign exchange,” Mr Katung Marshall, who co-sponsored a motion on the Urgent Need to Revive the Textile Industries in Nigeria, said on the floor of the Senate yesterday.

The Senator informed his colleagues that the government protection policies in the 1960s and 1970s, particularly the restrictions on textile imports, attracted investors and helped the sector to flourish.

According to him, during the period, Nigeria’s textile industry accommodated about 167 mills and directly employed over 500,000 people, making it the nation’s second-largest employer after the federal government.

But he said this went south in the late 1990s due to obsolete machinery, inadequate capital and persistent power supply challenges, adding that by 2007, major companies, including Kaduna Textile Limited, Arewa Textiles and United Nigerian Textiles Limited, had shut down operations, leading to the loss of over 7,000 jobs.

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