Economy
LCCI Predicts 4% GDP Growth For 2024 Amid Economic Challenges
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) foresees Nigeria’s economy closing the current year in positive growth up to 4 per cent.
This was disclosed by the president of the chamber, Mr Gabriel Idahosa, at the organisation’s Annual General Meeting (AGM) on Thursday in Lagos.
The LCCI forecast builds up on recent gross domestic product (GDP) released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) which points out that Nigeria’s economy grew 3.46 per cent in the third quarter of 2024.
The body said achieving faster recovery requires the fiscal and monetary sides of the economy to promote policies that would encourage private capital flows to the economy.
According to him, fiscal and monetary authorities need to develop a medium-term growth plan anchored on boosting local production, supporting ease of doing business and attracting private investment.
Mr Idahosa said the plan should also focus on developing infrastructure, business-friendly regulatory policies, economic diversification, and employment generation.
“Nigeria is presently confronted with a myriad of challenges including sustained double-digit inflation, a steadily rising debt profile, revenue mobilisation challenges and others.
“We have advocated for a well-coordinated synergy between the fiscal and monetary authorities in engagement with the private sector to navigate the uncertain economic terrain.
“We will continue to engage with government in creating an enabling business environment where the private sector is empowered to grow, create jobs and generate revenue for the government,” he said.
Addressing some economic indices, the LCCI president noted that the private sector was currently plagued with increased borrowing costs and a pressured foreign exchange market.
He said recent hikes in the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) had directly translated to higher interest rates, making it more expensive for businesses to access credit for working capital, expansion, and sustainability.
He said that rate hikes alone would not curb inflation without resolving the challenges of the real sector of the economy.
Mr Idahosa added that the country needed to diversify its exports by boosting local crude refining capacity production of petrochemical products and accelerating reforms in the and gas sector.
“The chamber looks forward to the sustained implementation of naira payments for crude oil sales to the Dangote refinery and other local refineries, which started on October 1, 2024.
“We urge the government to summon the courage to be consistent with the oil and gas sector reforms and implement the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) fully.
“We see the long-term gains of these reforms if they are implemented under a conducive regulatory environment,” he said.
Speaking on the projected N47.9 trillion 2025 budget presented recently by President Bola Tinubu, Mr Idahosa said the key parameters and assumptions on which the budget was proposed were too optimistic in the face of some economic and social indicators.
On her part, Mrs Chinyere Almona, Director General, LCCI, urged government to create an enabling environment for businesses to thrive to enhance their productivity and contribute more meaningfully to the economy.
She noted that while the year was filled with very difficult reforms, businesses should stay the course on these reforms and things would improve.
Mrs Almona urged businesses to think of alternatives to improve efficiency, attract finance and be more productive, while hoping for the next year to be better.
She also called on authorities to focus on non-oil exports to attract more foreign exchange.
“When we talk of exports, we are not just talking of exporting raw materials but processing materials to command top dollar in the export market.
“At the chamber, we are looking for ways to improve our export and small and medium enterprises (SMEs) groups to improve their capacity and productivity to export more, ” she said.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange extended its presence in the green territory with a 0.07 per cent growth on Tuesday, January 7, spurred by a gain recorded by Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc.
At the close of business yesterday, the Nigerian securities depository company increased its share price by 15 Kobo to end at N23.20 per unit compared with the previous day’s N23.05 per unit.
As a result of this, the market capitalisation of the bourse went up by N750 million to finish at N1.056 trillion like the preceding session, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) expanded by 2.18 points to wrap the session at 3,080.29 points compared with 3,080.47 points recorded at the previous session.
The market was relatively quiet on Tuesday as investors reconsidered their exposure to unlisted securities, with the volume of transactions declining by 96.8 per cent to 59,432 units from the 1.8 million units achieved a day earlier.
In the same vein, the value of trades recorded yesterday decreased by 89.9 per cent to N2.1 million from N20.7 million, and the number of deals slumped by 79.3 per cent to six deals from 29 deals.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc ended the session as the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 1.9 million units worth N74.2 million, trailed by 11 Plc with 12,963 units valued at N3.2 million, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI )Plc with 10.7 million units sold for N2.1 million.
IGI Plc finished the trading session as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 10.6 million units valued at N2.1 million, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 1.9 million units sold for at N74.2 million, and Acorn Petroleum Plc with 1.2 million units worth N1.9 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
It was a bad day for the Nigerian Naira in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Tuesday, January 7 as its value weakened further by 0.03 per cent or 45 Kobo to trade at N1,537.03/$1, in contrast to the preceding day’s N1,536.58/$1.
Equally, the domestic currency depreciated against the British Pound Sterling in the official market yesterday by N21.60 to wrap the session at N1,924.15/£1 compared with Monday’s closing price of N1,902.55/£1 and against the Euro, it lost N15.55 to quote at N1,595.07/€1 compared with the previous day’s N1,579.52/€1.
However, in the black market, the Naira traded flat against the US Dollar during the trading session at N1,655/$1 as the spot market battles fresh FX demand pressure.
Meanwhile, ihe cryptocurrency market was largely negative as two stronger-than-expected US economic data placed pressure on digital assets’ bright early-year momentum.
Job openings for November unexpectedly rose to 8.1 million from 7.8 million the previous month, easily topping analyst estimates for a decline to 7.7 million while the ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index, a monthly gauge of the level of economic activity in the services sector, came in at 54.1 for December, overshooting expectations for 53.3 and nicely ahead of November’s 52.1.
Market analysts noted that combined together, both data shook up an already jittery market.
The biggest loser was Dogecoin (DOGE), which recorded a value depreciation of 11.6 per cent to sell at $11.6, Cardano (ADA) slid by 10.9 per cent to trade at $0.9768, Litecoin (LTC) tumbled by 10.1 per cent to $101.89, and Solana (SOL) slumped by 10.0 per cent to finish at $194.73.
Further, Ethereum (ETH) went down by 9.5 per cent to close at $3,321.85, Ripple (XRP) dropped 6.4 per cent to sell at $2.29, Bitcoin (BTC) recorded a 6.1 per cent fall to trade at $95,647.42, and Binance Coin (BNB) depreciated by 6.0 per cent to $95,647.42, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained stable at $1.00 flat.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil prices went up on Tuesday, driven by concerns over limited supply from Russia and Iran because of Western sanctions and expected higher Chinese demand, with Brent crude futures increasing by 75 cents or 0.98 per cent to $77.05 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures grew by 69 cents or 0.94 per cent to $74.25 a barrel.
The US on Tuesday ramped up sanctions on Iran, targeting 35 entities and vessels it said carried illicit Iranian petroleum to foreign markets as part of what the US Treasury Department called Tehran’s “shadow fleet.”
The sanctions build on those imposed on October 11 and come in response to Iran’s October 1 attack on Israel and to its announced nuclear escalations, the Treasury Department said in a statement.
The move generally prohibits US individuals or entities from doing business with the targets and freezes US-held assets.
Meanwhile, cold weather in the US and Europe boosted heating oil demand, though oil price gains were capped by global economic data.
Eurozone inflation accelerated in December, an expected blip that is unlikely to derail further interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank.
Market analysts noted that the higher inflation in Germany raised suggestions the European Central Bank (ECB) may not be able to cut rates as fast as hoped across the bloc.
Market participants await more economic data, including the US December non-farm payrolls report on Friday.
On the supply end, a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+, South Sudan, will resume oil production on Wednesday after Sudan lifted the force majeure on the pipeline route through Sudan and onto Port Sudan on the Red Sea.
Earlier this month, Sudan lifted the 10-month-long force majeure on the oil flows from landlocked South Sudan through its neighbor to the north, Sudan, following new security arrangements and improved security conditions.
In March 2024, Sudan declared force majeure on crude oil exports from its South Sudan, following a major rupture in the pipeline carrying crude from South Sudan to the port in Sudan in an area with active military activity.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the United fell by 4.022 million barrels for the week ending January 3. For the week prior, the API reported a draw of 1.442-million-barrel in US crude oil inventories in the midst of build season.
In 2024, crude oil inventories dropped by more than 12 million barrels, according to the API’s inventory data.
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