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Nigeria, SA, 3 Others Attract 58% FDI Projects in Africa

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By Dipo Olowookere

A total of 676 foreign direct investment (FDI) projects were attracted by Africa in 2016, out of which Egypt, Kenya, Morocco, Nigeria and South Africa (the key hub economies) collectively attracted 58 percent, an EY Africa Attractiveness report has disclosed.

However, the report named South Africa as the largest FDI hub in Africa.

The latest Africa Attractiveness, seen by Business Post, provided an analysis of FDI investment into Africa over the past ten years.

The 2016 data showed a decline of 12.3 percent from the total of number of FDI projects attracted the previous year by Africa.

Also, the FDI job creation numbers declined by 13.1 percent, but the capital investment rose by 31.9 percent during the period under review.

The surge in capital investment was primarily driven by capital intensive projects in two sectors, namely real estate, hospitality and construction (RHC), and transport and logistics. The continent’s share of global FDI capital flows increased to 11.4 percent from 9.4 percent in 2015. This made Africa the second-fastest growing FDI destination by capital.

Commenting on the report, Africa CEO at EY, Ajen Sita, noted that, “This somewhat mixed picture is not surprising to us. Investor sentiment toward Africa is likely to remain somewhat softer over the next few years.

This has far less to do with Africa’s fundamentals than it does with a world characterised by heightened geopolitical uncertainty and greater risk aversion. Investors with an existing presence in Africa remain positive about the continent’s longer-term investment attractiveness, but they are also cautious and discerning.”

Asia-Pacific investors are bullish on Africa

In a sign of ongoing diversification of Africa’s FDI investors, more than one fifth of FDI projects and more than half of capital investment into Africa came from Asia-Pacific in 2016, an all-time record. Most notably, Chinese FDI into Africa increased dramatically, making the country the single largest contributor of FDI capital and jobs in Africa in 2016.

Foreign investors refocus on Africa’s hub economies

South Africa remains the continent’s leading FDI destination, when measured by project numbers, increasing 6.9 percent. Morocco regained its place as Africa’s second largest recipient with projects up by 9.5 percent, followed by Egypt, which attracted 19.7 percent more FDI projects than the previous year.

New investment hubs appear in East and West Africa

Although foreign investors still favour the key hub economies in Africa, a new set of FDI destinations is emerging, with Francophone and East African markets of particular interest.

Despite having a 31.7 percent decline in FDI projects in 2016, and weak growth in recent years, West Africa’s second largest economy, Ghana, remains a key FDI market. The country’s improving macro-economic environment and strong governance track record has seen Ghana rise to fourth position in the EY Africa Attractiveness Index (AAI). The index was introduced in 2016, to measure the relative investment attractiveness of 46 African economies based on a balanced set of shorter and longer-term metrics.

Staying in West Africa, Cote d’Ivoire also features in the top 10 of the AAI, and with a 21.4 percent jump in FDI projects in 2016, this illustrates that it’s becoming a country more favoured by investors.

Also in the west, Senegal has emerged as a potential major FDI destination although this is not reflected in its current FDI numbers. It does however rank strongly on the AAI 2017, taking eighth position, due to its diverse economy, strong strides in macro-economic resilience and progress in improving its business environment.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Renewed Buying Interest Lifts Local Stock Exchange by 0.57%

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Local Stock Exchange

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited ended in the green territory on Monday after it chalked up 0.57 per cent on the back of renewed buying interest in financial equities.

The local stock exchange witnessed the insurance and the banking counters closing higher by 0.54 per cent and 0.08 per cent, respectively, amid profit-taking in the others. The energy index shed 1.77 per cent and the consumer goods sector depreciated by 0.26 per cent, while the industrial goods industry was flat.

At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 1,412.65 points to 251,125.02 points from 249,712.37 points, and the market capitalisation soared by N906 billion to N160.983 trillion from N160.077 trillion.

Investor sentiment was bullish yesterday after Customs Street ended with 35 price gainers and 30 price losers, indicating a positive market breadth index.

Airtel Africa surged 10.00 per cent to N3,655.70, International Energy Insurance advanced by 9.68 per cent to N3.74, Sovereign Trust Insurance went up by 9.65 per cent to N2.50, Caverton rose by 9.63 per cent to N7.40, and VFD Group gained 9.55 per cent to close at N10.90.

Conversely, McNichols lost 10.00 per cent to finish at N7.20, The Initiates dropped 9.91 per cent to trade at N30.45, Learn Africa slipped by 9.69 per cent to N11.65, Zichis crashed by 7.93 per cent to N30.98, and May and Baker declined by 6.60 per cent to N46.70.

During the trading day, market participants transacted 629.4 million shares worth N40.9 billion in 82,434 deals compared with the 711.9 million shares valued at 29.1 billion traded in 62,386 deals last Friday, implying a decline in the trading volume by 11.59 per cent, and a rise in the trading value and number of deals by 40.55 per cent and 32.14 per cent, respectively.

Access Holdings was the busiest equity for the session with a turnover of 61.3 million units valued at N1.5 billion. Zenith Bank traded 37.9 million units worth N5.0 billion, Fidelity Bank sold 35.8 million units for N851.2 million, Japaul exchanged 24.7 million units valued at N90.9 million, and Tantalizers transacted 22.8 million units worth N103.2 million.

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Economy

Naira Opens Week Stronger at N1,374/1$ in Official Market

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Naira-Dollar exchange rate gap

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira appreciated against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) by 54 Kobo or 0.04 per cent on Monday, May 25, to trade at N1,374.92/$1 compared to last Friday’s value of N1,375.46/$1.

However, it further depreciated against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N6.01 to sell for N1,855.73/£1 versus the preceding session’s N1,849.72/£1 and lost N158.02 against the Euro to close at N1,755.06/€1, in contrast to the N1,590.04/€1 it was traded last Friday.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira weakened against the United States Dollar at the GTBank FX counter yesterday by N2 to quote at N1,383/$1 versus N1,381/$1, and gained N5 in the parallel market to settle at N1,385/$1 compared with the previous rate of N1,390/$1.

The performance of the domestic currency comes as the external reserves inched higher to $48.72 billion, indicating a complex mix of sustained FX demand pressures and modest reserve accretion.

The movement in the FX market underscores the continued tension between demand-side pressure and policy-driven attempts to stabilise the naira.

While recent monetary tightening measures by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) have helped to moderate extreme volatility, market participants are struggling to navigate a landscape shaped by intermittent dollar inflows, import-related demand and shifting investor sentiment.

As for the cryptocurrency market, most tokens were up amid optimism of a near-term US-Iran peace deal, as Iranian negotiators arrived in Doha, Qatar, for talks.

The Strait of Hormuz has been largely blockaded since the US and Israel struck Iran on February 28, though traffic has partially resumed in recent days. The agenda would include the reopening as well as uranium control.

TRON (TRX) rose by 1.8 per cent to $0.3714, Cardano (ADA) added 1.2 per cent to trade at $0.2444, Bitcoin (BTC) improved by 0.9 per cent to $77,283.62, Binance Coin (BNB) jumped 0.8 per cent to $661.30, and Ripple (XRP) increased by 0.8 per cent to $1.35.

Further, Ethereum (ETH) grew by 0.7 per cent to $2,018.82, Solana (SOL) expanded by 0.6 per cent to $85.37, and Dogecoin (DOGE) appreciated by 0.6 per cent to $0.1001, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

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Economy

Oil Prices Crash 7% on Hopes of US-Iran Peace Deal

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Oil Prices fall

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices fell nearly 7 per cent on Monday as optimism grew that the United States and ‌Iran were moving closer to a peace deal that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures were down by $7.24 or almost 7 per cent to $96.30 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures decreased by $6.30 or 6.5 per cent to trade ​at $90.88 per barrel.

Comments by President Donald Trump that diplomatic negotiations with Iran are advancing eased market fears of severe energy supply disruptions due to the Middle East conflict.

This is as a top negotiator of Iran, and its foreign minister was in Doha ​for talks with Qatar’s prime minister on a potential deal with the US to end the three-month-old ⁠war

Recently, both countries have downplayed expectations for an immediate peace agreement to end their three-month-old war, backing away from claims of an imminent breakthrough.

President Trump later revealed that he has instructed negotiators not to rush the process, asserting that the US naval blockade on Iranian ports will remain in full effect until a finalised accord is certified and signed.

Also, the US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has affirmed that the US government will exhaust diplomatic channels, also warning that it will handle Iran in “another way” if a good agreement cannot be secured, hinting at a potential return to active war.

The deal outlines a process to fully reopen the vital global shipping lane without tolls, resolving the global energy crunch. Iran would receive targeted sanctions relief and the gradual unfreezing of up to $20 billion to $25 billion in assets currently held in foreign banks.

Even if ⁠a peace deal is reached, analysts expect a return to normal oil flows through the strait will take months, while damaged oil and gas facilities are repaired. There is currently a supply shortfall of up to 11 million ​barrels per day of crude oil that does not go away immediately, even if a deal is reached soon.

Ship-tracking data showed three Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) tankers passed through the ​strait in recent days, heading to Pakistan, China and India, as well as a supertanker with Iraqi crude for China after being stranded for nearly three months.

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