Economy
Agricultural Cycles and Nigerian Currency Markets
Nigeria’s farming sector shapes currency markets through crop cycles, food imports, and rural income patterns. While oil dominates foreign exchange earnings, agriculture affects millions of Nigerians and creates seasonal currency demand that smart traders notice.
The country grows massive amounts of cassava, yam, maize, rice, and other staples for both local eating and exports. Weather, planting times, and harvest cycles create predictable changes in farm output that affect import needs and rural spending power. Agricultural price movements help explain currency swings that seem unrelated to oil prices or central bank policies.
Crop Cycles and Import Replacement
Rice production follows clear wet and dry season patterns affecting Nigeria’s huge rice import costs. Better domestic harvests during good growing seasons cut foreign currency needs for rice from Thailand, India, and other suppliers.
Cassava processing into flour and starch creates export chances to nearby markets while replacing wheat imports. Nigerian cassava flour exports to neighboring countries bring in foreign currency supporting the naira during certain periods.
Maize cycles affect both human food and animal feed supplies. Bad maize harvests increase import needs for livestock feed and food products, adding foreign currency demand during specific seasons.
Yam production stays mostly local but affects rural income levels influencing domestic currency patterns. Good yam harvests boost rural buying power and may change local currency flow.
Cocoa Exports and Global Markets
Nigeria ranks among top cocoa producers worldwide, earning substantial foreign currency through exports to chocolate makers in Europe and North America. Global cocoa price swings directly hit Nigerian foreign exchange earnings from this sector.
Cocoa farming areas in southwestern Nigeria see income cycles following international cocoa market trends. High cocoa prices lift farmer incomes and rural spending, while low prices cut economic activity in cocoa states.
Quality bonuses for Nigerian cocoa beans affect export earnings beyond basic quantity math. Better processing and quality control generates higher foreign currency returns per ton exported.
Seasonal workers moving to cocoa farms affect regional economic patterns and currency flow. Workers from northern Nigeria head south during harvest seasons, creating temporary population and economic shifts.
Palm Oil Production and Regional Trade
Oil palm growing in southern Nigeria produces palm oil for local use and regional exports. Nigerian palm oil competes with Malaysian and Indonesian products in West African markets.
Small processing facilities let rural communities add value to palm fruit production, earning more foreign currency than raw fruit exports. These operations affect rural jobs and income spread.
Regional demand for Nigerian palm oil from Ghana, Benin, and Cameroon creates steady export opportunities generating foreign currency separate from global oil conditions.
Environmental concerns affect international market access for Nigerian palm oil products. Certification programs and sustainable practices influence export potential and foreign currency earnings.
Livestock and Cross-Border Trade
Cattle herding creates cross-border trade between Nigeria and neighbors like Niger, Chad, and Cameroon. These livestock movements involve informal currency exchanges affecting regional currency dynamics.
Poultry production needs imported feed and equipment, creating foreign currency demand varying with production cycles and local corn availability. Large poultry operations depend on steady feed supplies.
Fish farming development cuts seafood import needs while creating regional export opportunities. Aquaculture expansion affects both foreign currency savings through import replacement and earnings through exports.
Dairy production stays limited in Nigeria, creating ongoing import needs for milk powder and dairy products requiring foreign currency payments year-round.
Weather Patterns and Farm Output
Nigeria’s rainy season from April to October determines farming success across most of the country. Rainfall timing and amounts affect crop yields and related foreign currency impacts.
Drought in northern Nigeria cuts crop yields and increases food import needs, adding foreign currency demand during tough weather years. Climate swings affect farm planning and currency market patterns.
Flooding in southern areas can disrupt farm production and processing, affecting both local food security and export potential. Extreme weather creates unpredictable currency market pressures.
Sahel desertification affects farm productivity in northern states, potentially increasing long-term food import needs requiring ongoing foreign currency spending.
Rural Banking and Farm Finance
Farm financing patterns affect how rural income translates into currency market activity. Harvest season loan payments create concentrated banking activity periods in farming regions.
Microfinance serving rural areas helps agricultural trade and may enable currency activities for small farmers and traders in cross-border farm commerce. Professional currency traders often monitor these agricultural patterns through established platforms like fbs.com to identify seasonal trading opportunities linked to farming cycles.
Mobile money adoption in rural areas improves financial service access and may eventually help currency activities for farming communities previously outside formal banking.
Agricultural insurance development could stabilize rural incomes and create more predictable currency market patterns from farm activities.
Food Processing Industry Growth
Tomato paste facilities cut Nigeria’s dependence on imported tomato concentrate, saving foreign currency while creating jobs in farming regions. Processing industry growth affects both import replacement and export potential.
Wheat flour mills depend on imported wheat since local production stays limited. These operations create steady foreign currency demand regardless of local farm production cycles.
Sugar refineries process both local sugarcane and imported raw sugar, creating complex currency effects varying with local production success and international sugar prices.
Vegetable oil processing facilities work with various oilseeds producing cooking oil for local consumption and regional exports.
Farm Export Infrastructure
Lagos port facilities handle substantial farm export volumes, though infrastructure limits can create bottlenecks affecting export timing and foreign currency earnings.
Rural road networks affect farmers’ ability to transport crops to processing facilities and export terminals. Infrastructure improvements can boost farm export potential and foreign currency generation.
Storage facilities influence farm export timing and quality, affecting foreign currency earning potential from farm products. Post-harvest losses cut export volumes and foreign currency earnings.
Cold chain logistics for perishable farm exports stay limited, restricting Nigeria’s access to high-value export markets that could generate premium foreign currency earnings.
Regional Farm Trade Relationships
West African regional markets provide steady demand for Nigerian farm products including processed foods, spices, and raw materials. These regional trade relationships create foreign currency earnings independent of global commodity markets.
Cross-border farm trade with Benin, Niger, and Cameroon involves both formal and informal currency exchanges affecting regional currency flow patterns.
Farm product price differences between Nigeria and neighboring countries create arbitrage opportunities generating cross-border trade and related currency flows.
Regional food security concerns affect trade policies and may create sudden changes in farm export permissions influencing foreign currency earning opportunities.
Climate Adaptation and Farm Sustainability
Changing rainfall patterns affect farm productivity and may require increased irrigation infrastructure involving imported equipment and foreign currency spending.
Drought-resistant crop varieties may cut farm vulnerability to weather changes while maintaining export potential and foreign currency earning capacity.
Soil conservation programs help maintain farm productivity but may need foreign technical help and equipment creating foreign currency demand.
Farm research partnerships with international organizations bring foreign currency inflows while improving long-term farm productivity and export potential.
Nigeria’s farming sector creates complex currency market relationships operating independently of oil market dynamics while affecting millions of rural residents. These farm influences on currency markets reflect the country’s broader economic structure and development challenges beyond petroleum production.
Economy
NGX Seeks Suspension of New Capital Gains Tax
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited is seeking review of the controversial Capital Gains Tax increase, fearing it will chase away foreign investors from the country’s capital market.
Nigeria’s new tax regime, which takes effect from January 1, 2026, represents one of the most significant changes to Nigeria’s tax system in recent years.
Under the new rules, the flat 10 per cent Capital Gains Tax rate has been replaced by progressive income tax rates ranging from zero to 30 per cent, depending on an investor’s overall income or profit level while large corporate investors will see the top rate reduced to 25 per cent as part of a wider corporate tax reform.
The chief executive of NGX, Mr Jude Chiemeka, said in a Bloomberg interview in Kigali, Rwanda that there should be a “removal of the capital gains tax completely, or perhaps deferring it for five years.”
According to him, Nigeria, having a higher Capital Gains Tax, will make investors redirect asset allocation to frontier markets and “countries that have less tax.”
“From a capital flow perspective, we should be concerned because all these international portfolio managers that invest across frontier markets will certainly go to where the cost of investing is not so burdensome,” the CEO said, as per Bloomberg. “That is really the angle one will look at it from.”
Meanwhile, the policy has been defended by the chairman of the Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, who noted that the new tax will make investing in the capital market more attractive by reducing risks, promoting fairness, and simplifying compliance.
He noted that the framework allows investors to deduct legitimate costs such as brokerage fees, regulatory charges, realised capital losses, margin interest, and foreign exchange losses directly tied to investments, thereby ensuring that they are not taxed when operating at a loss.
Mr Oyedele also said the reforms introduced a more inclusive approach to taxation by exempting several categories of investors and transactions.
Economy
Food Concepts Return NASD OTC Exchange to Danger Zone
By Adedapo Adesanya
Food Concepts Plc neutralized the gains recorded by three securities, returning the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange into the negative territory with a 0.27 per cent loss on Thursday, December 4.
Yesterday, the share price of the parent company of Chicken Republic and PieXpress declined by 34 Kobo to sell at N3.15 per unit compared with the previous day’s N3.49 per unit.
This shrank the market capitalisation of the OTC bourse by N5.72 billion to N2.136 billion from N2.142 trillion and weakened the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 9.57 points to 3,571.53 points from 3,581.10 points.
Business Post reports that Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc went down by 50 Kobo to N38.50 per share from N38.00 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc gained 29 Kobo to sell at N55.79 per unit versus N55.50 per unit, and Geo-Fluids Plc added 5 Kobo to close at N4.60 per share compared with Wednesday’s closing price of N4.55 per share.
Trading data indicated that the volume of securities recorded at the session surged by 6,885.3 per cent to 4.3 million units from the 61,570 units posted a day earlier, the value of securities increased by 10,301.7 per cent to N947.2 million from N3.3 million, and the number of deals went up by 146.7 per cent to 37 deals from the 15 deals achieved in the previous trading session.
At the close of business, Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc was the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with the sale of 5.8 billion units for N16.4 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 170.4 million units worth N8.0 billion, and Air Liquide Plc with 507.5 million units valued at N4.2 billion.
InfraCredit Plc also finished the session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units transacted for N16.4 billion, followed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.2 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units traded for N524.9 million.
Economy
Investors Gain N97bn from Local Equity Market
By Dipo Olowookere
The upward trend witnessed at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited in recent sessions continued on Thursday as it further improved by 0.10 per cent.
This was despite investor sentiment turning bearish after the local equity market ended with 23 price gainers and 28 price gainers, indicating a negative market breadth index.
UAC Nigeria gained 10.00 per cent to finish at N88.00, Morison Industries appreciated by 9.94 per cent to N3.54, Ecobank rose by 8.53 per cent to N36.90, and Coronation Insurance grew by 8.47 per cent to N2.56.
On the flip side, Ellah Lakes depreciated by 10.00 per cent to N13.14, Eunisell Nigeria also shed 10.00 per cent to finish at N72.90, Transcorp Hotels slipped by 9.95 per cent to N157.50, Omatek shrank by 9.23 per cent to N1.18, and Guinea Insurance dipped by 8.46 per cent to N1.19.
Yesterday, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 152.28 points to 145,476.15 points from 145,323.87 points and the market capitalisation chalked up N97 billion to finish at N92.726 trillion compared with the previous day’s N92.629 trillion.
Customs Street was bubbling with activities on Thursday, though the trading volume and value slightly went down, according to data.
A total of 1.9 billion stocks worth N19.2 billion exchanged hands in 23,369 deals during the session versus the N2.3 billion valued at N21.0 billion traded in 21,513 deals a day earlier.
This showed that the number of deals increased by 8.63 per cent, the volume of transactions depleted by 17.39 per cent, and the value of trades decreased by 8.57 per cent.
For another trading day, eTranzact led the activity chart with 1.6 billion units sold for N6.4 billion, Fidelity Bank traded 31.0 million units worth N589.3 million, GTCO exchanged 28.3 million units valued at N2.5 billion, Zenith Bank transacted 27.1 million units for N1.6 billion, and Ecobank traded 21.9 million units worth N744.3 million.
-
Feature/OPED6 years agoDavos was Different this year
-
Travel/Tourism9 years ago
Lagos Seals Western Lodge Hotel In Ikorodu
-
Showbiz3 years agoEstranged Lover Releases Videos of Empress Njamah Bathing
-
Banking7 years agoSort Codes of GTBank Branches in Nigeria
-
Economy2 years agoSubsidy Removal: CNG at N130 Per Litre Cheaper Than Petrol—IPMAN
-
Banking3 years agoFirst Bank Announces Planned Downtime
-
Banking3 years agoSort Codes of UBA Branches in Nigeria
-
Sports3 years agoHighest Paid Nigerian Footballer – How Much Do Nigerian Footballers Earn












