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Oil at $85 Could Boost Nigeria’s External Balance Account—Bloomberg

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oil production rig

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria has been identified as one of the winners of an oil windfall following the US and Israel’s war on Iran.

According to Bloomberg Economics, the rise in prices will improve the current account balance of just three sub-Saharan African economies.

Bloomberg Economics’ Ms Yvonne Mhango wrote in a report on Thursday that if oil stays at about $85 a barrel, Angola, Nigeria and Ghana will see their current account balance improve, while the Democratic Republic of Congo, South Africa and Kenya will be among the worst-hit.

“For most African economies, higher oil prices mean weaker currencies and renewed inflationary pressure, which could put rate hikes back on the table,” she said.

According to the analyst, Nigeria, which is Africa’s largest oil producer, will not only gain from crude sales but from fuel exports.

Bloomberg Economics data showed that Nigeria’s current account balance could benefit by as much as 2.3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP), second only to Angola’s 3.3 per cent and Ghana’s 0.2 per cent.

Already, the 650,000-barrel-a-day Dangote oil refinery has raised the prospect of sending more product to Europe if the price is right.

Dangote is ​offering up to 44,000 ​metric tons of jet fuel for loading March 20-22, ​as well as ​at least 40,000 tons of ‌gasoil ⁠with a maximum sulphur content of 50 parts per million ​for ​loading ⁠March 15-30.

However, countries like Africa’s largest economy – South Africa – may face challenges if India and Oman, two of its biggest fuel suppliers, cut down on exports. It may see a -1.0 per cent hit to its current account balance.

South African consumers are bracing for fuel costs to increase in April, according to Central Energy Fund data, while traders moved to price in a chance of an interest-rate hike later this month.

Following US and Israeli strikes on Iran over the weekend and retaliatory moves by the Islamic Republic, global crude prices have adjusted sharply.

The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow shipping lane between Iran and Oman, through which roughly a fifth of global oil supply normally passes, has been blocked completely by Iran.

As of press time, Brent crude, which Nigeria prices its crudes is trading up at 2.3 per cent at $83.23. Nigerian crude grades, Brass River and Qua Iboe, are selling at $87 per barrel.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Gross Foreign Reserves Hit 17-Year High of $51.04bn

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Reserves

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The gross foreign reserves of Nigeria reached a 17-year high of $51.04 billion, data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) shows.

Business Post gathered from the apex bank’s website that this new feat was achieved on Thursday, June 18, 2026.

A day earlier, which was Wednesday, June 17, 2026, the amount in the country’s external reserves stood at $50.96 billion, indicating accretion of 0.16 per cent.

This latest development is expected to strengthen the value of the Nigerian Naira in the foreign exchange (FX) market.

It was observed that since the beginning of this month, the amount in the forex reserves has been building up gradually after an initial scare.

It is believed that inflows from crude oil sales have been boosting the reserves, though prices are expected to trend downward as a result of the ceasefire deals between the United States and Iran on Friday.

The price of crude oil has cooled to around $80 per barrel. It should further moderate to its level before February 28, 2026, when the bombardment of Iran started, which led to the death of the country’s 86-year-old Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

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Economy

DBN, EIB Seal €200m Financial Partnership for Nigerian MSMEs

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€200m Financial Partnership

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

A €200 million financial partnership to support the development of small-scale investments of Nigerian enterprises contributing to the country’s green and digital economy has been signed by the Development Bank of Nigeria (DBN) and the development arm of the European Investment Bank (EIB) Group, EIB Global.

The funds would be disbursed to Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in Nigeria, with a focus on agriculture, renewable energy, digitalisation and innovation.

The collaboration aligns with EIB Global’s strategy to support sustainable, inclusive, and resilient economic growth in Nigeria under the Global Gateway Initiative.

The investment programme will boost private sector development in Nigeria and support entrepreneurs and job creation by easing access to suitable finance for MSMEs and Midcaps.

It will also strengthen Nigeria’s green transition by expanding financing opportunities for companies in the renewable energy and agribusiness sectors.

In agriculture, it will help improve productivity, develop local supply chains, and strengthen food security for a country that hosts the largest population in Africa.

On the energy side, improved financing for renewable energy businesses will support clean energy access, reduce carbon emissions, and help build climate resilience in underserved communities.

“This partnership with DBN will strengthen the competitiveness of Nigeria’s private sector, especially for SMEs in the green and digital sectors.

“In supporting green projects and women entrepreneurs, we are also fostering inclusive growth and climate action.

“This is a powerful example of EIB’s real impact on the ground,” EIB Vice-President, Mr Ambroise Fayolle, said at a signature ceremony on Thursday, June 18, 2026, at the Lagos office of the DBN.

Also commenting, the chief executive of DBN, Mr Tony Okpanachi, described the investment as a significant milestone in efforts to drive Nigeria’s economic growth and sustainability.

“The €200 million investment from EIB Global is a significant milestone in our mission to drive Nigeria’s economic growth and sustainability. By supporting local financial institutions and MSMEs in key sectors like agriculture, renewable energy, digitalisation, and innovation, we’re empowering entrepreneurs and fostering a culture of sustainable innovation,” he stated.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Crude Oil Output Can Hit 1.9mbpd—Eyesan

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crude oil output

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria has the potential to produce 1.9 million barrels of crude oil per day, having hit a peak production of 1.86 million barrels per day in May, according to the chief executive of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), Mrs Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan.

The NUPRC chief said this on Wednesday during a meeting with the chairman of the Nigeria Revenue Service, Mr Zacch Adedeji, at the NRS headquarters in Abuja.

In a statement signed by the agency’s Head of Media and Corporate Communications, Mr Eniola Akinkuotu, it was disclosed that the country’s oil industry has continued to record production growth, noting that crude output reached a peak of 1.86 million barrels per day in May, placing the industry on a stronger recovery path.

The meeting also focused on strengthening collaboration between the two agencies to promote transparency, accountability and efficiency in the collection of oil and gas revenues.

Speaking during the engagement, Mrs Eyesan commended the leadership of the NRS for reforms that culminated in the enactment of the NRS Act and described the transition of revenue collection responsibilities as smooth.

Mrs Eyesan said the process had been seamless. The CCE also highlighted the Commission’s efforts in creating an enabling environment for operators in the oil and gas industry.

“We are here to enable them, enable their businesses, ensure that they survive and succeed. And we want to grow the pie because when you grow the pie, everybody benefits,” she said.

She also disclosed that recent gains in crude production demonstrate that industry reforms and collaborative efforts by stakeholders are beginning to yield positive results.

“We are back to production. We are ramping up now, and we want to continue working. We still recognise the constraints. Infrastructure and asset integrity are major constraints, but we will work on these. Even human capacity in the industry—we see that because we want to grow, we must also grow that capacity to meet the demands,” she said.

The NUPRC boss also pointed out that one of the key targets upon assuming office was the digitisation of NUPRC’s operations, a goal she said has largely been achieved.

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