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CBN Stress Test Shows Weak Capital Signs in Banks

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

A Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) stress test has shown that only large banks will stay above the regulator’s capital adequacy ratio threshold if the non-performing loans levels of the Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) should rise by 50 percent, Punch is reporting.

The results of the stress test were contained in the CBN’s latest Financial Stability Report posted on its website on Thursday.

According to the report, the end-June 2017 banking industry stress test, which covered 20 commercial and four merchant banks, was conducted to evaluate the resilience of the banks to credit, liquidity, interest rate and contagion risks (shocks).

The banking industry was categorised into large banks (those with assets up to N1tn or above); medium banks (those with assets more than N500bn but less than N1tn); and small banks (those with assets up to N500bn or below).

The stress test results stated, “The stress test showed that only large banks could withstand a further deterioration of their NPLs by up to 50 per cent. However, none of the groups withstood the impact of the most severe shock of a 200 per cent increase in the NPLs as their post-shock CARs fell below the 10 per cent minimum prudential requirement.

“The impact of the severe shocks on the banking industry, large, medium and small banks will result in significant solvency shortfall of 15.21, 9.78, 93.42 and 17.53 percentage points from the regulatory minimum of 10 per cent CAR, amounting to N2.77tn, N1.54tn, N0.98tn and N0.25tn, respectively.”

According to the CBN report, the average baseline Capital Adequacy Ratios for the banking industry, large, medium and small banks at the end of June 2017 stood at 11.51, 13.13, -6.71 and 13.54 per cent, respectively.

These represented a decline of 3.27, 2.34 and 19.46 percentage points for the banking industry, large and medium banks, respectively from the position as at end-December 2016.

However, the small banks group grew by 10.40 percentage points from 3.14 to 13.54 per cent

The CBN said the decline in the CARs was attributable to the challenges in the oil and gas sector coupled with the slow recovery in the domestic economy, which resulted to a rise in the NPLs and capital deterioration.

In the sectoral credit concentration risk stress test, the breakdown of banking industry’s total credit by sector showed that, oil and gas sector accounted for 28.83 per cent of the industry credit, while manufacturing, general, information and communications, government and others accounted for 13.76, 8.82, 4.94, 8.53 and 35.12 per cent, respectively at end-December 2016.

The report added, “The results of the stress test of default in exposure to oil and gas sector showed that the banking industry and peered groups, with the exception of medium banks, withstood up to 20 per cent default as their post-shock CARs remained above 10.00 per cent – industry (10.74 per cent), large banks (12.30 per cent) and small banks (13.34 per cent).

“Under a more severe shock of 50 per cent default, only small banks had CARs above 10.00 per cent (12.30 per cent). This showed that banking industry, large and medium banks were more exposed to the credit risk in the oil and gas sector than the small banks.”

The CBN liquidity stress test showed that after a one-day run, the liquidity ratio of the industry declined to 31.5 per cent from the 48.1 per cent pre-shock position, and to 11.8 and 7.9 per cent after a five-day and cumulative 30-day run, respectively.

According to the report, the asset quality of commercial banks declined in the first half of 2017.

The ratio of the NPLs to gross loans increased by 2.2 and 4.3 percentage points to 15.0 per cent at end-June 2017 compared with the levels at end-December 2016 and end-June 2016, respectively.

In his reaction under the Governor’s Statement on the FSR, the CBN Governor, Godwin Emefiele, said, “Reflecting the recession in the first half of 2017, there was noticeable deterioration in banks’ loan portfolios, especially exposures to the oil and gas sector and foreign currency denominated credit.

“To maintain financial system stability, efforts have been intensified to proactively engage operators to effectively manage the associated risks. Also, a framework for the establishment of private asset restructuring companies to acquire non-performing loans from banks and other financial institutions will be released in due course.”

The Deputy CBN Governor, Financial System Stability, Dr. Joseph Nnanna, stated that the regulatory attention was currently focused on ensuring an improvement in the quality of banks’ assets as well as ensuring that the banks contribute effectively to the real sector.

“The disruptions experienced in the economy with declining oil prices and government revenue resulted in an increase in the non-performing loans in the banking industry. The CBN will continue to monitor developments and initiate measures to limit contagion and ensure that financial institutions remain safe and sound,” he added.

The results of the CBN’s stress test were in line with the Article IV Consultation report by the International Monetary Fund, which highlighted the risks the banking sector faced, particularly with regards to solvency ratios of “four small and medium-sized undercapitalised banks,” Afrinvest, a Nigeria-based investment and research firm, said in a research note.

It noted that some of the “small and medium-sized banks are kept afloat through continuous recourse to the CBN’s lending facilities”

The IMF report stated that banks needed to raise their capital buffers hence, the CBN’s directive on dividend payment was a welcome development, while also calling for a broad review of asset quality to unmask potential capital needs.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Banking

MSMEs Funding Gap: CBN May Raise Capital Base of NEXIM Bank, BoI, Others

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NEXIM bank

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is considering the recapitalisation and restructuring of Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) to address the significant financing gap facing micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs).

The Deputy Governor of the apex bank in charge of Economic Policy, Mr Muhammad Abdullahi, disclosed this during a panel session at the launch of the Nigeria Development Update by the World Bank in Abuja on Tuesday.

He explained that a recent review by the apex bank found that existing DFIs were too small to meet the credit needs of businesses.

DFIs are specialised, government-backed financial entities designed to promote economic growth by funding critical sectors like agriculture, infrastructure, and SMEs. Key institutions include the Bank of Industry (BOI), Development Bank of Nigeria (DBN), Nigeria Export Import Bank (NEXIM Bank), Bank of Agriculture (BOA), National Credit Guarantee Company Limited, and Nigerian Consumer Credit Corporation, among others.

“We conducted a review last year of the development finance space. Across all the DFIs in Nigeria, the total asset base is slightly above N8 trillion, whereas what is required in development finance for MSMEs is over N130 trillion,” he said.

He said that simply injecting capital would not solve the problem.

“The only way to address this is not only through public sector capital injections into these institutions, but also by making them bankable and investable,” he said.

Abdullahi said the CBN and the Ministry of Finance are reviewing DFI structures to improve their efficiency and risk appetite.

“We are reviewing the entire sector to ensure that we can correct the incentives, improve risk appetite, and also strengthen capital levels,” the deputy governor added.

He also said the reforms aim to introduce stronger market-based principles.

“We are looking at the structure to see how more market fundamentals can be incorporated, because the way it has been done in the past has not delivered the desired results,” Mr Abdullahi said.

On the persistent financing challenge for MSMEs, he said lending to the real sector has always been one of the structural challenges “Nigeria’s economy faces in terms of ensuring that credit reaches businesses that require it”.

Business Post reports that the CBN recently concluded the recapitalisation of the Nigerian banking sector, while the insurance sector is ongoing.

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Sterling Bank Disburses N43.9bn Loans to 2,450 Female Entrepreneurs

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sterling bank OneWoman initiative

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The women-focused initiative by Sterling Bank, OneWoman, is already yielding positive results, especially in promoting financial inclusion and empowering female-led enterprises in Nigeria.

Business Post reports that the programme was created to support women through three key pillars of capital, capacity, and community.

In 2025, according to the Head of the OneWoman Initiative, Ms Ezinne Nwokafor, the initiative gave out N43.9 billion loans to 2,450 female entrepreneurs, trained 6,000 of them, served about 380,000 women across three sectors of career women, women in business and freshers, and their vision 2030 is to give out N500 billion loans to one million women across their three sectors.

She noted that a significant majority of Nigerian women remain excluded from formal credit, with only a small percentage able to access structured financing. Despite improvements in financial inclusion, women continue to face systemic barriers that limit their ability to secure funding.

Ms Nwokafor pointed out that women account for a substantial share of micro, small, and medium enterprises and contribute meaningfully to the economy, yet face a financing gap estimated at $42 billion annually, according to the International Finance Corporation.

She also referenced data showing that more than half of women-led businesses identify access to finance as a major constraint, while rejection rates for loan applications remain significantly higher for women than for men.

According to her, these challenges are often linked to structural issues such as gaps in asset ownership, social norms, and limited access to financial data and visibility.

“Sterling’s OneWoman initiative is positioned to bridge this gap by combining financial solutions, mentorship, capacity building, and community support for women across different stages of their journey,” she said at the Funding Her Future Breakfast Dialogue in Lagos.

The session brought together voices from across sectors for a focused and necessary conversation on how to unlock more inclusive and effective financing pathways for women-led businesses in Nigeria.

On his part, the chief executive of Sterling Bank, Mr Abubakar Suleiman, said, “Women-led businesses need the right support systems, the right networks, and the right ecosystem to grow with confidence and scale with resilience.”

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Alpha Morgan Bank Supports Redeemer’s University Business School

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alpha morgan bank redeemer's university business school

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Alpha Morgan Bank has reaffirmed its commitment to supporting institutions that drive intellectual growth and national development.

The lender gave this reassurance at the commissioning of the Redeemer’s University Business School by Pastor (Mrs) Folu Adeboye, the wife of the General Overseer of the Redeemed Christian Church of God (RCCG), Pastor Enoch Adeboye.

Speaking at the event, the Managing Director of Alpha Morgan Bank, Mr Ade Buraimo, said the company was proud to be associated with the school, noting its commitment to education and institutional development.

As part of its broader focus on knowledge sharing and thought leadership, Alpha Morgan Bank will host its Economic Review Webinar in May 2026, bringing together experts to share insights on key economic trends and opportunities.

The commissioning of the business school was witnessed by distinguished guests, including the Pro-Chancellor and Chairman of the Governing Council of Redeemers University, Professor Oluwatoyin Ogundipe; the Vice Chancellor, Professor Shadrach Olufemi Akindele; Mrs Bola Obasanjo; and other notable dignitaries.

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