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Naira Stability Buoys Nigeria’s Consumer Confidence Index in Q2—Report

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Consumer Confidence Index Nigeria

By Dipo Olowookere

A new report released by South Africa-based Nielsen Africa has revealed Nigeria’s Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for the second quarter of 2018 recorded a very healthy increase of nine points to 122, while Ghana’s CCI for the same quarter dropped 12 points to 108.

In an emailed statement to Business Post, Nielsen Africa noted that in terms of Nigeria’s performance, its Sub Saharan Africa chief, Mr Bryan Sun, submitted that, “The stability of forex rates and a steady Naira has led to stable retail prices of most manufactured goods and imported staples, resulting in a recovery in confidence levels in Nigeria. The improvements seen in the economic environment are reflected in the overall enhanced sentiment, with 83% of Nigerians describing the state of their personal finances over the next year as excellent or good.”

He stated further that this has resulted in a more positive outlook in terms of Nigerian consumers immediate-spending intentions, which has risen to 48% (up from 38% in Q1) who say now is a good or excellent time to purchase what they need or want.

This increasingly positive sentiment is also reflected in their job prospects, with 67% viewing them as excellent or good (up from 56% in Q1’18) and 29% as not so good or bad.

More cash, more spend

Looking at whether Nigerians have spare cash, a majority of 54% said yes, up nine points from the previous quarter, while 46% said no. Looking at what their spending priorities are once they do have spare cash, the highest number 86% would put it in savings followed by 82% on home improvements, 72% on new clothes and 67% would use their spare cash for both out of home entertainment and investing in shares and mutual funds.

When asked about the changes in their spending to save on household expenses, compared to this time last year, 80% of Nigerians agreed that they have changed their spending habits.

In terms of the actions they took to save money last year, the highest number (66%) said they spent less on at home entertainment, followed by 57% who took less holidays, 42% who spent less on new clothes and 39% who delayed the replacement of major household items.

Some of the major concerns driving this more cautionary mindset include 19% who think economy is their biggest concern over the next six months, whereas 12% consider food prices and 11% said work/ life balance is their biggest concern. When asked what their second biggest concern would be over the next six months, 19% said food prices, 13% said work/life balance and 12% mentioned job security.

Growing uncertainty in Ghana

From a stable confidence level in Q1’18, Ghana dropped 12 points this quarter to 108, the lowest since quarter 3, 2016.

Mr Sun comments; “Though consumer confidence in Ghana has declined in Q2’18, it still leans on the positive side, 100 being the neutral point on the index. The declining economic growth in Ghana, subdued performance in the non-oil and industrial sector, and poor agricultural performance has led to declining confidence levels this quarter.”

He adds that this uncertain sentiment is reflected by the six point drop in Ghanaians, down to 79%, who describe the state of their personal finances over the next year as excellent or good, and 17% (increase of 10% from Q1’18) who say that state of their personal finances is “not so good” or “bad”.

“It’s therefore no surprise that Ghanaian consumers’ immediate-spending intentions have declined, with only 35% of respondents (down from 48% in Q1’18) who say now is a good or excellent time to purchase what they need or want, versus the 61% who said it was not,” reports Mr Sun.

This declining sentiment is also reflected in Ghanaians’ job prospects, which has dropped 11 points to 54% who view them as excellent or good and a 10 point rise to 39% who think their job prospects are not so good or bad compared to the previous quarter.

Disposable income

Looking at whether Ghanaians have spare cash to spend, there was an even 50/50 split between those respondents who said yes and no. Looking at what their spending priorities are once they do have spare cash, the highest number 78% would spend it on home improvements, 77% would put it into savings and 61% would spend on new clothes.

When asked about the changes in their spending to save on household expenses, compared to this time last year, 61% of Ghanaians agreed that they have changed their spending habits. In terms of the actions they took to save money last year, the highest number (49%) said they spent less on at home entertainment, followed by 48% who took less holidays, 32% who delayed the replacement of major household items and 31% who spent less of new clothes.

The factors driving this more cautionary mindset are embodied in Ghanaians biggest and second biggest concerns over the next six months. The highest number of respondents (14%) said health is their biggest concern, followed by work/life balance (13%), and food prices and the economy (both at 12%).

When asked about their second biggest concern over the next six months, 16% of respondents said work/life balance, 12% said their kids’ education/welfare, and food prices and higher fuel prices both recorded 11%.

Elaborating on these results, Sun says: “Despite the decline in confidence levels, Ghana’s outlook is still positive. A strong domestic demand and favourable performance on oil, cocoa, and gold, coupled with ongoing investment in the country, gives hope for a brighter second half in 2018 for the country, resulting in a revival of consumer sentiments and spend”.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Nigeria Renews Push for West African Single Currency as ECOWAS Hold Talks

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ECOWAS Single Currency

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria is stepping up engagement toward the creation of a regional single currency, following fresh consultations among West African monetary authorities, following constant delay of achieving the goal.

In an update by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) via its X handle, the Governor of the apex bank, Mr Yemi Cardoso, led the country’s delegation to the Committee of Governors meeting held in Monrovia, Liberia, where policymakers reviewed progress and renewed discussions on establishing the long-proposed single currency known as the Eco.

Last year, the West African bloc announced that the single regional currency would be launched by 2027 to foster greater economic integration among member states by facilitating trade through a unified payment system, enhancing price stability and reducing inflationary pressures.

In the latest development, the CBN statement noted that the Nigerian delegation also included Deputy Governor (Economic Policy), Mr Muhammad Sani Abdullahi.

“The meeting formed part of statutory engagements jointly organised by the Economic Community of West African States alongside the West African Monetary Agency, the West African Monetary Institute, and the West African Institute for Financial and Economic Management. The consultations brought together financial regulators and economic policymakers across the sub-region to assess convergence benchmarks required for launching the unified currency”, the apex bank said.

The Eco project is designed to deepen economic integration among ECOWAS member states by providing a common legal tender that would facilitate cross-border trade, enhance price transparency and reduce transaction costs tied to multiple currency exchanges. The initiative has been under discussion for over two decades but has experienced repeated postponements as member countries struggle to meet strict macroeconomic convergence criteria.

The apex bank noted that the meeting focused on evaluating member states’ performance against key economic indicators. These include inflation rate ceilings, fiscal deficit thresholds relative to gross domestic product, and foreign reserve adequacy, all considered critical safeguards for ensuring stability within a potential monetary union.

Despite many delays, ECOWAS latest move shows it may be aligning with Nigeria’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mr Yusuf Tuggar, saying last year that member states have started attaining benchmarks to see the goal actualised.

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Economy

NCS Denies Manipulating FX Rates in Import, Export Valuation

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customs exchange rate

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) has clarified how foreign exchange rates are applied in its import and export valuation, saying it neither determines nor alters rates used in cargo clearance.

The service, in a statement by its National Public Relations Officer, Mr Abdullahi Maiwada, explained that it relies solely on official figures transmitted by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

Mr Maiwada stated that recent public commentary surrounding forex pricing, investor reactions, and customs valuation had prompted NCS to explain the operational framework guiding its digital clearance platform.

“It is worthy of note that the reported exchange rate of N1,451.63/US$ for February 6, 2026 did not originate from the B’Odogwu system.

“That figure was sourced from trade.gov.ng, a legacy public trade information portal that does not reflect live Customs processing data,” it stated.

According to him, all exchange rates used in trade processing are automatically integrated into its Unified Customs Management System, known as B’Odogwu, which it described as the sole official portal for declarations, clearance, and valuation.

“It is important to provide factual clarification on how exchange rates are received, processed, and applied within the NCS digital clearance system, B’Odogwu, a Unified Customs Management System which serves as the sole official platform for Customs declarations, clearance, and valuation,” the statement reads.

The NCS spokesman said the Service receives rates electronically from the apex bank and applies them uniformly across commands nationwide, ensuring transparency, predictability, and compliance with statutory fiscal and monetary policies.

He argued that NCS does not generate or manipulate exchange rates under any circumstances.

Instead, it explained that the platform operates structured data-integration protocols designed to ingest and apply exchange-rate feeds exactly as transmitted.

“For the avoidance of doubt, the Nigeria Customs Service does not independently determine, generate, alter, or apply margins to foreign exchange rates used for import and export valuation.

“All exchange rates applied within the B’Odogwu platform are official rates electronically transmitted by the Central Bank of Nigeria, which remains the competent authority for exchange rate determination under Nigeria’s monetary framework,” Mr Maiwada added.

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Economy

Dangote Gets $400m Chinese Construction Equipment for Refinery Expansion

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Dangote Group

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

To fast track the expansion of its Lagos-based refinery, Dangote Group has sealed a $400 million construction equipment deal with one of the leading manufacturers of construction machinery in China, XCMG Construction Machinery Company Limited.

A statement from the conglomerate disclosed that beyond refining, the expansion programme will see polypropylene production increase from 900,000 metric tonnes per annum to 2.4 million metric tonnes per annum.

Urea capacity in Nigeria will be tripled from 3 million to 9 million metric tonnes per annum, in addition to the 3 million metric tonnes per annum capacity in Ethiopia, strengthening the Group’s position as the largest urea producer globally.

There are plans to expand the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals from 650,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day, positioning it to become the largest refinery in the world.

The Chinese deal will enable Dangote Group to acquire additional wide range of advanced construction equipment to support ongoing and forthcoming projects across refining, petrochemicals, agriculture and large-scale infrastructure development. The new equipment will complement existing assets deployed for the refinery expansion, which is expected to be completed within three years.

Production capacity for Linear Alkyl Benzene (LAB) will also be increased to 400,000 metric tonnes per annum, positioning the Group as the largest producer in Africa and strengthening supply to the detergent and cleaning agents manufacturing industry. Additional base oil production capacity also forms part of the broader expansion programme.

Dangote Group described the agreement as a strategic investment aimed at deepening its construction footprint and accelerating its ambition to build a $100 billion enterprise by 2030.

“The additional equipment we are acquiring under this partnership will significantly enhance execution across our projects. With this investment, we are positioning ourselves to become the number one construction company in the world,” it stated.

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