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Economy

Asian Shares Fall as Hopes of Possible US-China Trade Deal Fades

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By Investors Hub

Asian stocks fell across the board on Monday as hopes of an imminent U.S.-China trade deal faded and investors looked ahead to the U.S. midterm elections as well as the Federal Reserve meeting for directional cues.

China’s Shanghai Composite Index ended the session down 11.05 points or 0.4 percent at 2,665.43 despite President Xi Jinping praising globalization and China’s commitment to free trade.

On the data front, China’s private sector expanded at the slowest pace in more than two years in October, with both services and manufacturing seeing weaker performances, survey results from IHS Markit showed today. The Caixin composite output index fell to a 28-month low of 50.5 in October from 52.1 in September.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index tumbled 551.96 points or 2.1 percent to 25,934.39. The private sector in Hong Kong continued to contract in October, albeit at a slower pace, the latest survey from Nikkei showed with a PMI score of 48.6, up from 47.9 in September.

Japanese shares fell sharply in thin trading as caution set in ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. The Nikkei 225 Index slumped 344.67 points or 1.6 percent to 21,898.99 after jumping 5 percent last week. The broader Topix Index closed 1.1 percent lower at 1,640.39.

Gaming giant Nintendo gave up 2.7 percent after posting disappointing earnings last week. SoftBank shares ended 0.6 percent higher. After the market close, the company reported second-quarter earnings that topped forecasts.

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the economy has clearly improved and the central bank will consider both positive and negative effects of its monetary policy in a balanced manner going forward.

Separately, domestic demand is expected to continue on an upward trend, while annual inflation is predicted to maintain its gradual climb to the target of 2 percent, the minutes from the Bank of Japan’s September meeting revealed.

Activity in Japan’s services sector expanded at a faster rate in October, the latest survey from Nikkei revealed, with a PMI score of 52.4, up from 50.2 in September.

Australian markets finished lower to snap a six-day winning streak, with energy and healthcare stocks pacing the decliners. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index dropped 31.10 points or 0.5 percent to 5,818.10, while the broader All Ordinaries Index ended down 0.5 percent at 5,904.80.

Hearing aid maker Cochlear tumbled 3.8 percent after it lost a U.S. patent infringement case. CSL fell 2.4 percent to end lower for the first time in seven sessions.

Energy stocks such as Woodside Petroleum, Santos, Oil Search and Beach Energy declined 1-3 percent as oil prices continued to fall amid signs of rising global supply.

Lender Westpac Banking Corp rose 0.6 percent after reporting a 1 percent rise in annual net profit, in line with expectations. ANZ climbed 1.1 percent and NAB advanced 0.7 percent.

Mining giant BHP Billiton fell 1.2 percent, while Rio Tinto gained 1.6 percent and Fortescue Metals Group jumped 2.4 percent.

Online travel agency Webjet entered a trading halt after it agreed to acquire Dubai-based business travel wholesaler Destinations of the World for A$240 million.

On the economic front, the latest survey from the Australian Industry Group revealed that the service sector in Australia continued to expand in October, albeit at a slower pace, with a PSI score of 51.1, down from 52.5 in September.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

NASD OTC Securities Exchange Closes Flat

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Nigerian OTC securities exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange closed flat on Thursday, December 12 after it ended the trading session with no single price gainer or loser.

As a result, the market capitalisation remained unchanged at N1.055 trillion as the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) followed the same route, remaining at 3,012.50 points like the previous trading session.

However, the activity chart witnessed changes as the volume of securities traded at the bourse went down by 92.5 per cent to 447,905 units from the 5.9 million units transacted a day earlier.

In the same vein, the value of securities bought and sold by investors declined by 86.6 per cent to N3.02 million from the N22.5 million recorded in the preceding trading day.

But the number of deals carried out during the session remained unchanged at 21 deals, according to data obtained by Business Post.

When trading activities ended for the day, Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units sold for N3.9 billion, Okitipupa Plc came next with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc was in third place with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 million.

Also, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units worth N89.2 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 billion.

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Economy

Naira Firms to N1,534/$1 at NAFEM, Crashes to N1,680/$1 at Black Market

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naira official market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira appreciated against the United States Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) by N14.79 or 0.9 per cent to trade at N1,534.50/$1 compared with the preceding day’s N1,549.29/$1 on Thursday, December 12.

The strengthening of the domestic currency during the trading session was influenced by the introduction of the Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System (EFEMS) by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The implementation of the forex system comes with diverse implications for all segments of the financial markets that deal with FX, including the rebound in the value of the Naira across markets.

The system instantly reflects data on all FX transactions conducted in the interbank market and approved by the CBN; publication of real-time prices and buy-sell orders data from this system has lent support to the Naira at the official market.

Equally, the local currency improved its value against the British Pound Sterling by N3.91 to wrap the session at N1,954.77/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,958.65/£1 and against the Euro, the Nigerian currency gained N2.25 to sell for N1,610.41/€1 versus N1,612.66/€1.

However, in the black market, the Naira crashed further against the US Dollar on Thursday by N10 to quote at N1,680/$1 compared with Wednesday’s closing rate of N1,670/$1.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market majorly corrected after earlier gains as US President-elect Donald Trump reiterated his ambition to embrace crypto assets, but a bond market rout dragged risk assets lower.

Mr Trump said, “We’re going to do something great with crypto” while ringing the opening bell at the New York Stock Exchange, reiterating his ambition to embrace digital assets in the world’s largest economy and create a strategic bitcoin reserve.

Alongside, the European Central Bank trimmed its benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points and in its dovish policy statement hinted that more rate cuts were likely to happen.

The biggest loss was made by Cardano (ADA), which fell by 4.9 per cent to trade at $1.10, followed by Ripple (XRP), which slid by 4.1 per cent to $2.33 and Dogecoin (DOGE) recorded a value depreciation of 2.9 per cent to sell at $0.4064.

Further, Solana (SOL) slumped by 1.8 per cent to $225.89, Binance Coin (BNB) slipped by 1.3 per cent to $746.92, Bitcoin (BTC) declined by 0.6 per cent to $99,998.18, Ethereum (ETH) crumbled by 0.5 per cent to $3,909.43, and Litecoin (LTC) dipped by 0.3 per cent to $121.52, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Oil Market Falls on Expected Increase in Supply Surplus

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crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The oil market slumped on Thursday, pressured by an expected increase in supply, supported by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.

The International Energy Agency (EIA) made a slight upward revision to its demand outlook for next year but still expected the oil market to be comfortably supplied, with Brent crude futures losing 11 cents or 0.15 per cent to trade at $73.41 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declining by 27 cents or 0.38 per cent to finish at $70.02 per barrel.

The IEA in its monthly oil market report increased its 2025 global oil demand growth forecast to 1.1 million barrels per day from 990,000 barrels per day last month, largely in Asian countries due to the impact of China’s recent stimulus measures.

At the same time, the IEA expects nations not in the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and Allies (OPEC+) group to boost supply by about 1.5 million barrels per day next year, driven by the US, Canada, Guyana, Brazil and Argentina – more than the rate of demand growth.

On Wednesday, OPEC cut its demand growth forecast for 2024 for the fifth straight month.

The IEA said that, even excluding the return to higher output quotas, its current outlook is to a 950,000 barrels per day supply overhang next year, which is almost 1 per cent of the world’s supply.

The Paris-based agency said this would rise to 1.4 million barrels per day if OPEC+ goes ahead with its plan to start unwinding cuts from the end of next March.

Next year’s surplus could make it harder for OPEC+ to bring back production. The hike was earlier due to start in October 2024, but OPEC+ has delayed it amid falling prices.

Meanwhile, inflation rose slightly in November increasing the possibility of a US Federal Reserve rates cut again as the data fed optimism about economic growth and energy demand.

Support also came as crude imports in China grew annually for the first time in seven months in November, up more than 14 per cent from a year earlier.

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