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Economy

Nigeria’s FX Reserves Gain $1.3bn to Inch Closer to $41bn

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Nigeria's FX Reserves

By Ashemiriogwa Emmanuel

In the past week, the Nigerian foreign exchange (FX) reserves expanded by $1.3 billion or 3.4 per cent from $39.6 billion on Thursday, October 14 to $40.9 billion on October 21, 2021.

Observing the data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) by Business Post, this is the first time in over two years that Nigeria’s FX reserves will get to such a high level.

This, however, is coming as little or no surprise given that the country’s foreign savings account has in August 2021 been projected to cross the $40 billion mark in a matter of weeks following the $3.35 billion Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) direct allocation approved by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to Nigeria.

While it has not been confirmed yet that this fund has been credited to the nation, the recent accretion to the nation external buffers is likely from the sale of crude oil. The price has recently witnessed a significant increase compared with what was obtained last year when prices went down below $20 per barrel in contrast to the over $80 per barrel it currently sells.

Crude oil accounts for over 80 per cent of Nigeria’s total exports revenue and the latest update from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Oil Market Report revealed that Nigeria’s average crude oil production was 1.451 million barrels per day in September.

This represented a 12.0 per cent or 156 million barrels per day increment when compared with the preceding month, where it averagely produced around 1.296 million barrels per day.

The steady rise in the FX reserves means the apex bank will have enough forex to defend the Naira at the currency exchange market. Supply is also expected to be boosted with the $4 billion Eurobond sale by the Debt Engagement Office (DMO) last month.

Business Post reported in September that the sales of the debt instrument to offshore investors would serve as a major boost to the nation’s reserves.

The debt office also hinted recently that it plans to return to the Eurobond market to borrow fresh $2.1 billion for the balance of its $6.1 billion borrowing from foreign investors.

Observing the movement in the external reserves during the week, it went from $39.6 billion on Thursday, October 14 to $39.8 billion the following day, gaining about $199.2 million.

On the first working day of the following week, the amount then expanded by $566.4 million to $40.4 billion, after which it further rose to $40.8 billion on Wednesday, October 20, before settling at $40.9 billion at the close of the next day.

Economy

CBN Boosts FX Market Liquidity With Fresh $197.71m

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FX Speculation

By Dipo Olowookere

About $197.71 million has been injected into the foreign exchange (FX) market by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to boost liquidity.

This intervention by the apex bank is expected to strengthen the Naira in the different segments of the forex market after coming under pressure in the past few days as a result of the new import tariffs imposed on countries, including Nigeria, by the President of the United States, Mr Donald Trump.

Business Post reports that on Friday, the Naira depreciated against the United States Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) by 1.45 per cent or N22.49 to settle at N1,573.23/$1 versus Thursday’s exchange rate of N1,550.74/$1, and in the parallel market, it lost N10 to sell for N1,570/$1 compared with the N1,560/$1 it was transacted a day earlier.

To ease the pressure on the domestic currency, the central bank sold fresh $197.71 million to authorised FX traders between Thursday and Friday.

“The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has noted recent movements in the foreign exchange market between April 3 and 4, 2025, reflecting broader global macroeconomic shifts currently affecting several emerging markets and developing economies.

“These developments were as a result of the recent announcement of new import tariffs by the United States government on imports from several economies, which has triggered a period of adjustment across global markets.

Crude oil prices have also weakened – declining by over 12% to approximately $65.50 per barrel – presenting new dynamics for oil-exporting countries such as Nigeria.

“In line with its commitment to ensuring adequate liquidity and supporting orderly market functioning, the CBN facilitated market activity on Friday, April 4, 2025, with the provision of $197.71 million through sales to authorised dealers.

“This measured step aligns with the Bank’s broader objective of fostering a stable, transparent, and efficient foreign exchange market.

“The CBN continues to monitor global and domestic market conditions and remains confident in the resilience of Nigeria’s foreign exchange framework, which is designed to adjust appropriately to evolving fundamentals.

“All authorised dealers are reminded to adhere strictly to the principles outlined in the Nigeria FX Market Code and to uphold the highest standards in their dealings with clients and market counterparties,” a notice from the Director of Financial Markets Department at the CBN, Ms Omolara Omotunde Duke, said.

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Economy

Nigeria’s Domestic, Foreign Debts Now N‎144.67trn

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managing Nigeria's debt portfolio

By Dipo Olowookere

The Debt Management Office (DMO) has revealed that the total public debt stock of Nigeria increased by 48.58 per cent or N47.32 trillion to N144.67 trillion ($94.23 billion) as of December 31, 2024, from N97.34 trillion ($108.23 billion) in the preceding year.

In a report released on Friday, the agency disclosed that the rise in the domestic and foreign debts was due to the borrowing of funds by the government in the period under review.

Business Post reports that external debt of the total debt accounted for 48.59 per cent at N70.29 trillion ($45.78 billion), while the domestic component was 51.41 per cent at N74.38 trillion ($48.45 billion).

A breakdown showed that for the total foreign borrowings, the federal government accounted for 43.49 per cent at N62.92 trillion ($40.98 billion), while the 36 states of the federation and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) accounted for 5.10 per cent at N7.37 trillion ($4.80 billion).

As for the domestic debt, the federal government contributed 48.67 per cent at (N70.41 trillion ($45.86 billion) and the states and the FCT contributed 2.74 per cent at N3.97 trillion ($2.59 billion).

Analysis showed that in 2023, the external debt was N38.22 trillion ($42.50 billion) before rising in one year by 83.89 per cent to N70.29 trillion ($45.78 billion) in December 2024, while the local debt stood at N59.12 trillion ($65.73 billion) as of December 2023 before jumping by 25.77 per cent in 12 months to N74.38 trillion ($48.44 billion).

Since the current administration of Mr Bola Tinubu assumed office on May 29, 2023, it has sourced funds from local and external sources through treasury bills, Naira-denominated and Dollar-denominated bonds to finance its budget deficits.

However, much has been done to cut down Nigeria’s revenue-to-debt service ratio to 65 per cent from 97 per cent, according to Mr Tinubu in November 2024.

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Economy

Market Volatility Further Suppresses Customs Street by 0.01%

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Customs Street

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited ended Friday’s trading session lower with a marginal decline of 0.01 per cent as a result of continued market volatility.

Customs Street was down during the last trading session of the week despite bargain-hunting activities in the banking and industrial goods sectors, which closed higher by 0.51 per cent and 0.01 per cent, respectively.

Business Post reports that profit-taking in the other sectors contributed to the downfall of the local bourse yesterday, with the insurance index weakening by 3.21 per cent.

Further, the energy counter went down by 0.50 per cent, and the consumer goods space depreciated by 0.24 per cent, while the commodity industry closed flat.

At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) shrank by 13.37 points to 105,511.89 points from 105,525.26 points and the market capitalisation declined by N8 billion to settle at N66.147 trillion versus Thursday’s closing value of N66.155 trillion.

A total of 348.3 million shares worth N8.1 billion exchanged hands in 11,444 deals on Friday compared with the 397.1 million shares valued at N8.7 billion traded in 13,667 deals a day earlier, implying a drop in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 12.29 per cent, 6.90 per cent, and 16.27 per cent, respectively.

The activity log was led by UBA with the sale of 26.3 million stocks for N972.3 million, United Capital traded 25.6 million shares valued at N391.5 million, FCMB exchanged 24.2 million equities worth N211.2 million, Zenith Bank transacted 22.9 million shares valued at N1.1 billion, and Fidelity Bank traded 22.6 million stocks worth N441.7 million.

Investor sentiment remained bearish yesterday after the NGX finished with 19 price gainers and 29 price losers, showing a negative market breadth index.

Lasaco Assurance and AXA Mansard were the worst-performing equities with a decline of 10.00 per cent each to sell for N2.34, and N8.64 apiece, May and Baker decreased by 8.72 per cent to N7.85, Guinea Insurance crashed by 8.70 per cent to 63 Kobo, and FTN Cocoa lost 6.43 per cent to end at N1.60.

However, Learn Africa and Livestock Feeds closed as the best-performing stocks after they gained 10.00 per cent each to quote at N3.30, and N7.92, respectively, VFD Group soared by 9.83 per cent to N57.00, Union Dicon expanded by 9.43 per cent to N5.80, and NGX Group rose by 8.17 per cent to N32.45.

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