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GCR Affirms AA-(NG) Rating on UBA With Stable Outlook

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Kennedy Uzoka UBA Shareholders

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The national scale ratings of AA-(NG) and A1+(NG) in the long and short term respectively assigned to United Bank for Africa (UBA) have been affirmed by Global Credit Ratings (GCR).

The Nigeria-based rating agency, in a statement, disclosed that it also affirmed the long term international scale rating of B+ assigned to the lender with the outlook accorded as stable.

However, GCR stressed that downward ratings movement may emanate from a significant deterioration in asset quality, liquidity, capital and profitability metrics, noting that the international scale rating will be sensitive to changes in the sovereign rating of Nigeria.

In the statement, GCR explained that UBA’s ratings reflect its established franchise, significant domestic market share (being one of the top-tier banks in Nigeria) and status as a systemically important bank.

It added that further rating support was derived from the bank’s risk appropriate capitalisation, comfortable liquidity, as well as geographic and earnings diversification, with operations in 20 African countries and offices in three global financial centres (London, Paris and New York).

UBA’s capitalisation is considered satisfactory for the current risk level, with a risk weighted capital adequacy ratio of 20 percent and 18.4 percent at FY17 and 3Q FY18 respectively, above the regulatory minimum of 15 percent.

Supported by strong internal capital generation, shareholders’ funds grew consistently over the years and stood at N529.4 billion at FY17, representing a compounded annual growth rate of 22.5 percent over a five-year review period.

The gross non-performing loans (NPL) almost doubled (rising by 89.8 percent) to N114.8 billion at FY17, largely impacted by the downgrade of a single large exposure, underpinning the gross NPL ratio rise to 6.7 percent at FY17, from 3.9 percent at FY16.

According to management, remedial action on the loan has commenced and recovery prospects are considered high. Specific provision coverage of impaired loans stood at 22.0 percent at FY17 (FY16: 36.0 percent).

Consequently, capital value at risk (NPLs net of provisions to capital) was a higher 9.7 percent at FY17 (FY16: 1.9 percent). At 3Q FY18, the NPL ratio stood at 7.2 percent.

“Although the contractual and behavioural mismatch of assets and liabilities in FY17 reflected a liquidity gap of N1,631.7 billion and N712.7 billion respectively within the critical ‘less than one-month’ maturity bucket (equivalent to 3.1x and 1.3x of shareholders’ funds respectively), liquidity risk is mitigated through maintaining a sizeable portion of liquid assets.

“The bank’s liquidity profile is further supported by $500 million Eurobond facility raised during the year, as well as available credit lines from other financial institutions.

“UBA’s statutory liquidity ratio ranged between 33.8 percent and 55.5 percent in FY17, against the regulatory minimum of 30 percent,” the rating agency said.

In 2017 financial year, UBA reported a pre-tax profit of N105.3 billion, representing a 16.1 percent year-on-year growth. While net interest income was largely supported by improved investment yields and funding costs, non-interest income was driven by increase in transaction related income and foreign exchange gains.

Operating expenses rose by 23.7 percent on the back of increase in staff costs, IT and other administrative expenses, resulting in a cost to income ratio of 57.8 percent at FY17 (FY16: 56.3 percent).

Overall, the return on average equity and assets stood at 16.6 percent (FY16: 19.0 percent) and 2.1 percent (FY16: 2.3 percent) respectively in FY17.

In 3Q FY18, the bank delivered a pre-tax profit of N79.1 billion, comparing favourably with the corresponding period in FY17 and in line with budget on annualised basis.

Substantially improved asset quality, positive earnings profitability, and capitalisation metrics, as well as further enhancement of geographic and earnings diversification benefits, would be positively considered.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Banking

Coronation Merchant Bank Targets Top-Tier African Status in Next Growth Phase

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Coronation Merchant Bank has set its sights on attaining top-tier status among African banks, leveraging a decade of operations and Nigeria’s ongoing economic reforms to drive its next phase of growth across key sectors.

Speaking at the Chairman’s Dinner held to commemorate the bank’s 10th anniversary in Lagos, the chief executive of the lender, Mr Paul Abiagam, said the institution had successfully carved out a distinct niche in Nigeria’s highly competitive financial services market despite a decade defined by economic volatility, policy shifts and macroeconomic uncertainty.

“Over the last 10 years, we have found our own space in a very tight market and built credible footprints in the specific markets we chose to serve,” Mr Abiagam said.

Describing the bank’s journey as “valiant” amid the changing economic landscape, he said the anniversary represents both a moment of gratitude to the bank’s founder, shareholders, board and partners, and a recommitment to scale new heights in the decade ahead.

Mr Abiagam attributed the bank’s resilience and steady growth to strong shareholder and board support, as well as a clear and disciplined corporate strategy.

He noted that Coronation Merchant Bank’s focus on defined target markets had enabled it to expand its footprint across key sectors of the economy while maintaining operational clarity.

Looking ahead, the CEO said ongoing reforms and the Federal Government’s ambition to build a $1 trillion economy present significant opportunities for financial institutions with the right expertise and positioning.

He identified infrastructure, construction, real estate, oil and gas, and manufacturing as priority sectors where the bank is already aligning its strategy.

“Volatility often comes with opportunity, What we see clearly is opportunity, and our strategy is to ensure we are well positioned to take advantage of it.” Mr Abiagam said.

Among the bank’s notable milestones, Mr Abiagam highlighted its international credit ratings, placing Coronation among a small group of internationally rated merchant banks in Nigeria.

He also pointed to human capital as a core strength, describing the bank’s people and talent as its greatest asset.

In his remarks, the Chairman of Coronation Merchant Bank, Mr Babatunde Folawiyo, reflected on the challenges of operating in Nigeria’s banking sector over the past decade, noting that the true measure of success lies in an institution’s ability to grow through uncertainty and emerge stronger.

“Anyone who has operated in Nigeria’s banking space over the last 10 years knows how challenging it has been,” Mr Folawiyo said, citing policy changes, macroeconomic shifts and leadership transitions. “The real test is whether you can grow through those challenges—and we have.”

Mr Folawiyo said recent reforms have introduced greater certainty into the economy, particularly in the foreign exchange market, which is critical for business planning and sustainable growth. While acknowledging that the adjustment period has been difficult, he stressed that predictability, even at higher exchange rates, is far more beneficial than extreme volatility.

“No business thrives without some level of stability. What hurts the economy most is wild and sudden swings. Predictability allows businesses to plan, adjust and grow,” he said.

On the outlook for the sector, Mr Folawiyo said Nigeria remains significantly underbanked, creating room for diverse players within the financial system. While technology and fintechs are expanding access to financial services, he emphasized the enduring role of specialized institutions such as merchant banks in serving corporate and structured finance needs.

“A corporate client structuring commercial papers or complex funding solutions needs more than a fintech app. It needs a bespoke, one-stop financial partner. That is where merchant banks like ours play a critical role,” the Chairman said.

He added that Coronation Merchant Bank’s strategy is anchored on long-term economic fundamentals rather than political cycles, noting that the current policy direction of the Central Bank and the Federal Government, though initially painful, aligns with sound economic principles.

“These are textbook reforms. There is no gain without pain, and we are already beginning to see the gains, not just in the financial sector but across the broader economy,” he added.

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S&P Forecasts 25% Credit Growth for Nigerian Banks in 2026

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Nigerian Banks

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerian banks are expected to post stronger credit growth of up to 25 per cent in 2026 while retaining positive profitability, according to a new outlook by S&P Global Ratings.

In its Nigerian Banking Outlook 2026, S&P said improved lending to key sectors of the economy alongside resilient non-interest income would help banks absorb the impact of regulatory headwinds and easing interest rates.

The ratings agency projected credit growth of between 20 and 25 per cent in 2026, driven largely by increased investments in oil and gas, agriculture and manufacturing.

It added that the outlook for lending was supported by expectations of moderating inflation and gradual monetary easing, following recent interest rate cuts by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

“We expect credit growth of about 20-25 per cent supported by investments in the oil and gas, agriculture, and manufacturing sectors. Although interest rates have started to decrease, profitability should stay resilient in 2026, supported by growth in non-interest income (NII) and lower provisions.

“We expect Nigerian banks to prove resilient and capable of preserving their profitability in 2026,” S&P said, noting that earnings would be supported by transaction driven fees, commissions and a still elevated cost of risk, even as margins come under pressure.

The ratings agency noted further that it expects nominal lending growth to remain high at about 25 per cent, supported largely by investments in the oil and gas sector, agriculture and manufacturing.

S&P said Nigerian banks would continue to benefit from rates that remain high relative to peers, supporting net interest margins while interest rates are expected to decline further in 2026.

“Although interest rates have started to decline, we expect rates to remain high relative to peers, which will continue to support banks’ net interest margins through 2026.

“We forecast the average return on equity (ROE) will normalise at 20-23 per cent in 2026 compared to 25 per cent estimated for 2025, while return on assets will decline marginally to 3.0-3.1 per cent from an estimated 3.3 per cent in 2025. Profitability will be supported by still high interest margins, growing NII, and slightly lower provisions, while capital issuance will increase the equity base leading to a lower ROE.

“Although interest rates have started to decline, we expect rates to be high relative to peers, which will continue to support the banks’ net interest margins through 2026. We forecast an average margin drop of about 50bps to 100bps in 2026, as banks’ margins will continue to benefit from higher yields on government securities and large recourse to low-cost customer deposits.”

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CBN Targets Reforms to Ease Compliance Burdens on Fintech Firms

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fintech innovators

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

To ease regulatory compliance burdens on financial technology (fintech) companies, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is considering some strategic reforms through a policy known as the Single Regulatory Window.

In its 2025 Fintech Report, the central bank said this scheme will significantly reduce time-to-market for new digital financial products by streamlining licensing and supervisory processes across multiple agencies.

The CBN said there would be a shared regulatory infrastructure in form of a Compliance-as-a-Service model to cut down duplicative reporting, ease the burden on regulated fintechs, and enhance supervisory visibility.

The apex bank said it came up with this idea after being aware of some challenges stakeholders, especially operators, go through in the ecosystem.

The bank said fintech firms remain a critical leg in its financial inclusion drive in Nigeria and must be supported to expand their operations to achieve the goal.

The CBN report showed that 62.5 per cent of fintech firms lamented how regulatory timelines materially affect product rollouts, while over one-third noted that it takes more than 12 months to bring a new product to market, largely due to compliance bottlenecks.

“Stakeholders cited delays in approvals and ambiguity in regulatory guidelines as their most pressing concerns,” a part of the report disclosed.

The report recommended “exploring models for a Single Regulatory Window to simplify multi-agency compliance processes and reduce time-to-market.”

It was also suggested that to address the issues, the bank must review “approval timelines and operational guidelines.”

In addition, the central bank was advised to either review the PSB framework or introduce a dedicated digital banking licence that would enable inclusive lending under stronger prudential oversight.

“A dedicated digital bank licence may be a more effective pathway for inclusive lending than expanding the PSB mandate,” the respondents suggested.

As for digital assets, the CBN signalled a shift towards a more nuanced regulatory framework for cryptocurrency, balancing innovation with financial integrity rather than imposing blanket restrictions, as fintechs acknowledged crypto’s potential to drive cost-effective cross-border transactions and strengthen remittance channels, while also warning of risks linked to illicit flows and consumer protection.

“There was broad agreement on the need for a risk-based, activity-focused regulatory framework,” the report stated, adding that regulators must avoid equating all crypto activity with criminality, especially as many scams originate offshore.

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