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Economy

$30b Loan: IMF, World Bank Pressure Buhari For Economic Blueprint

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

President Muhammadu Buhari has been told come up with an economic blueprint as he seeks to borrow money to reflate the Nigerian economy, which is still in recession.

Recently, Mr Buhari wrote the National Assembly, seeking their approval to borrow $29.96 billion from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

This is presently generating mixed reactions from Nigerians, who do not understand why the Federal Government wants to embark on such when the government had claimed in the past that it has recovered huge amount of money allegedly looted by the immediate past administration of Goodluck Jonathan.

But the latest report is that both the World Bank and the IMF are pilling pressure on Mr Buhari to come up with an economic blueprint, if its drive for foreign loans was not to be stalled.

Vanguard gathered that officials of both financial institutions have questioned the Minister of Finance and her team over the absence of a blueprint for which the loans being sought would be utilised.

Sources at the Presidency said at the last IMF/World Bank Group Annual Meetings, that the Nigeria team was asked to produce an economic blueprint for which the IMF/World Bank Group will offer support.

Specifically, Vanguard learned that the US Secretary of Finance and that of the United Kingdom, told the Nigerian team that without a comprehensive economic blueprint, Nigeria would not get support from IMF and the World Bank.

The source said that usually, the IMF asks countries for what it called Policy Support Instrument (PSI), an instrument which serves as a document through which the multilateral institution monitors the economic progress of the country they support.

The source further said that during the Obasanjo administration, the NEEDS document was the Policy Support Instrument used to negotiate debt relief. The source also said the World Bank Group was interested in such a document as a means of evaluating its recently launched Sustainable Development Goals.

It was also learned that at the various road shows in London, foreign investors had asked Nigerians for an economic blueprint. Such an economic framework, they argued, aside from addressing the current challenges, would go a long way to engender confidence in both local and international investors on the way forward.

The source said this had become very imperative, given that investor-perception of Nigeria’s outlook was critical to its economic recovery.

At the moment, the Federal Government has not been able to come up with such a policy document.

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But in reaction to Vanguard’s enquiry a presidential aide said the present administration was working on a comprehensive economic blueprint that would soon be ready for launching.

The source, who said the issue of economic blueprint had become very contentious in government circles, said the economic management team had produced a blue print that will be launched soon. Stressing the need for an economic blueprint last week, Dr Obadiah Mailafia, a former deputy governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), advised the Federal Government to produce a comprehensive economic blueprint to fast track economic growth and development.

Mr Mailafia gave the advice while speaking as a guest lecturer at the Federal Radio Corporation of Nigeria, FRCN, 2016 Annual Lecture in Abuja.

In the lecture, entitled Fighting Corruption and Growing a Sustainable Nigerian Economy, Mr Mailafia appealed to President Muhammadu Buhari to listen to the right advice that would help fix the nation’s economy within a short time.

“Nigerians are getting impatient and they are complaining that this change is not translating into what they are hoping for.

“We must do what we have to do to rescue our economy and to get the great Nigerian people back to work,” Mr Mailafai said.

He also advised the government to create an entrepreneurial state by encouraging innovation and generating critical public goods that would support creativity and high level productivity.

Besides, he urged government to pursue economic policies within the framework of a coherent and credible development strategy, with a greater coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities.

He said: “Sadly, we noticed that Nigeria does not have an economic administration. The British Chancellor of the Exchequer, for example, has at his beck and call some 300 highly well-trained economists in the Treasury.

“Their job is to worry day and night about the economy, monitor key trends, analyse critical developments and proffer policy. We need to build such an administration, in addition to strengthening the National Economic Management Team that has become virtually comatose.

“We cannot continue to blame previous administrations.

“We can only hope like the great Franklin Roosevelt in America of the 1930s and like Barack Obama during the height of the Great Recession.

“Our President needs a brains trust of people who love Nigeria passionately and are ready to do what it takes to take us to the path that destiny has ordained for us,” the ex-CBN deputy governor said.

Debt Management Office (DMO), which is charged with the responsibility of borrowing on behalf of government, had said in its Debt sustainability report for 2016 “There is an urgent need for the Government to formulate an Economic Blueprint or Road-Map for the medium-term.

“Aside from addressing the current challenges, it would go a long way to engender confidence in both local and international investors on the way forward. This has become very imperative, given that investor-perception of a country’s outlook is critical to its economic recovery.

“It is advisable that the Federal Government sustains the on-going reforms and initiatives in the various key sectors of the economy, including agriculture, education, housing, power, and transportation, as this would foster the needed inclusive economic growth and development.

“The passage of the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) by the National Assembly is long overdue and should be given speedy attention by the authorities.

“Its passage is expected to liberalise the oil and gas sector, and thus, attract more investments into the sector, which will have positive multiplier effect on the economy. Given that in the short to medium-term, oil would still remain a key revenue earner of the nation, the Federal Government is encouraged to continue on its efforts to curtail crude oil production disruptions in the oil producing areas.

“In view of the country’s huge infrastructure requirements, the Federal Government is enjoined to creatively explore other alternative and viable sources of financing critical infrastructure development outside the routine budgetary process.

“These may include the setting up of an Infrastructure Development Fund, the issuance of Infrastructure-tied Bonds, as well as encouragement for the private sector to participate in funding viable infrastructural projects through Public-Private-Partnership arrangements.

“As part of the initiatives for boosting revenue, the Federal Government is encouraged to fast-track the process of liberalising the exploration of the solid minerals deposits across the country. This is to make the sector much more attractive and competitive, and further expand the non-oil revenue base.

“As part of government’s commitment to encouraging private sector participation in the development of the economy, the demand for FGN Guarantees may likely increase. In order to instil discipline and discourage frivolous requests that may unduly expose the Federal Government, it is also recommended that the issuance of FGN Guarantees to the private sector should attract appropriate fees, and should be within an established framework.”

Former President Olusegun Obasanjo weekend also kicked against the plan by the Federal Government to obtain a $29.96 billion foreign loan.

Mr Obasanjo was said to have phoned the Minister of Finance, Mrs Kemi Adeosun, shortly after the media reported the loan bid, which the Federal Government explained would be used to finance critical infrastructure deficiency between now and 2018.

But the Finance Minister, it was learned, told an alarmed Mr Obasanjo that she would pay him a visit to explain the rationale for the plan, which had triggered mixed reactions on the necessity or otherwise of such loan.

The former president, it was gathered, spoke on the proposed foreign loan when he received members of a political association, The National Patriots’ Movement of Nigeria (NPMN), led by the national coordinator, Chief Dosu Oladipo, at his Hilltop residence in Abeokuta, the Ogun State capital, on Friday.

Mr Obasanjo, it was learned, not only opposed the loan bid, but also threatened to draw a battle line with the Federal Government should it go ahead to obtain the loan which he said could have far-reaching negative effects on the nation.

While some experts have advised the government to deploy part of the funds reportedly recovered from allegedly corrupt politicians in the last political dispensation to such purpose, others claimed the loan could be raised internally.

It will be recalled that the Mr Obasanjo led administration had successful negotiated with Western nations to write off $12.5 billion foreign debt to the Paris Club, a body of European creditors during his tenure.

However in justifying the proposal for the N29.96 billion external loan, President Muhammadu Buhari, had in a letter to the National Assembly said, “The total cost of the projects and programmes under the borrowing (plan) is $29.96 billion made up of proposed projects and programmes loan of $11.274 billion, special national infrastructure projects, $10.686 billion, Euro bonds of $4.5 billion and Federal Government budget support of $3.5 billion.”

But Nigeria’s foreign reserves have dipped lately, ostensibly owing to economic recession and intense pressure on Nigeria’s naira as a result of the scarcity of United States dollars.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Airtel Africa Buoys Nigerian Exchange’s 1.20% Surge

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By Dipo Olowookere

The first trading session of the week on the floor of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited ended in the green territory on Monday, with a 1.20 per cent rise.

This was buoyed by the gains recorded by Airtel Africa and other equities, according to analysis of data harvested from the Customs Street yesterday.

During the trading day, the consumer goods index grew by 0.76 per cent, enough to offset the losses recorded by the other sectors.

The insurance counter shrank by 1.64 per cent, the banking space lost 0.24 per cent, the energy sector contracted by 0.09 per cent, and the industrial goods segment retreated by 0.05 per cent.

When trading activities ended for the day, the All-Share Index (ASI) was up by 2,956.15 points to 248,529.75 points from 245,573.60 points, and the market capitalisation gained N1.909 trillion to finish at N160.422 trillion compared with the previous session’s N158.513 trillion.

Fortis Global Insurance expanded by 10.00 per cent to N2.86, Chams surged by 9.80 per cent to N4.48, NAHCO jumped by 9.29 per cent to N153.00, Airtel Africa soared by 8.59 per cent to N6,300.00, and Sovereign Trust Insurance rose by 6.59 per cent to N1.78.

Conversely, AVA Capital shed 10.00 per cent to N9.90, Ecobank decreased by 9.92 per cent to N64.95, Caverton crashed by 9.09 per cent to N5.00, Ikeja Hotel slipped by 8.41 per cent to N43.00, and FTN Cocoa dropped 8.37 per cent to trade at N8.10.

A total of 23 equities were on the gainers’ chart yesterday, while 37 equities ended on the losers’ table, indicating a negative market breadth index and weak investor sentiment.

As for the activity log, the trading volume remained elevated, though lower than the preceding session, as it receded by 26.67 per cent to 1.1 billion units from 1.5 billion units. The trading value, however, increased by 1.12 per cent to N27.0 billion from N26.7 billion, while the number of deals advanced by 39.00 per cent to 59,185 deals from 42,580 deals.

Consolidated Hallmark was the most active stock yesterday, with a turnover of 354.1 million units valued at N1.5 billion, Fortis Global Insurance traded 307.3 million units worth N818.3 million, Access Holdings exchanged 48.1 million units for N1.4 billion, Chams transacted 37.4 million units worth N163.3 million, and First Holdco sold 35.8 million units valued at N5.1 billion.

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Oil Prices Surge 5% as Iran Sets Conditions for Hormuz Reopening

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil prices traded 5 per cent higher on Monday after Iran and the United States ‌argued about demands for compensation, further stalling a possible deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures chalked up $4.17 or 4.99 per cent to sell at $87.72 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ​crude futures surged $3.95 or 5.05 per cent to $82.13 per barrel.

Iran said the US must lift sanctions on it and meet other conditions for reopening the vital waterway, which carried a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas before the start of the Middle ​East conflict in late February.

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said Iran must pay compensation for “all of the people that ​they have killed and gravely wounded.”

This comes as the Middle East country said it was nearing a final pact with Oman to define new shipping lanes through the strait but repeated that the US must meet other conditions, including compensation and an end to sanctions and military threats before the strategic waterway is reopened.

In a further threat to supply, the Iran-aligned Houthis said they had struck Saudi Aramco’s Jazan refinery on Sunday. Saudi Aramco has postponed the restart of the 400,000-barrel-per-day ​refinery to August 30 after ​two Houthi attacks in recent ⁠weeks.

ADNOC, a state-owned oil company in the ​United Arab Emirates, said ⁠on Friday that 15 of its vessels had been attacked while transiting the Strait of Hormuz since the beginning of the conflict.

Meanwhile, Ukraine’s military continued to attack Russia’s energy infrastructure, hitting the Taneco oil refinery in Tatarstan and the ZapSibNeftekhim petrochemical plant in Russia’s Tyumen ⁠region.

On the ​US supply side, stocks of crude oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve ​(SPR) fell by about 6.1 million barrels to 298.7 million barrels last week, the lowest level since January 1983.

Bank of America (BoFA) warned that oil prices could continue climbing into the winter if the US and Iran fail to reach an agreement reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with severe shortages already emerging in diesel, petrol, and global natural gas markets.

Mr Francisco Blanch, Bank of America’s head of commodities and derivatives research, told CNBC on Monday that only around 5 to 10 ships per day are currently passing through Hormuz, compared with roughly 140 before the war. With some crude now being rerouted through Saudi Arabia and the UAE, traffic would need to recover to around 80 to 100 ships per day just to stabilise energy markets.

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Senate Seeks Stronger Financial Sector Collaboration for Economic Stability

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance and Other Financial Institutions has called for stronger collaboration among financial sector regulators and other stakeholders to strengthen Nigeria’s financial system and support sustainable economic growth.

The committee made the call during an expanded stakeholders’ engagement in Lagos, attended by the leadership of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria (AMCON), National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) and Nigeria Export-Import Bank (NEXIM), among other industry stakeholders and financial experts.

Chairman of the committee, Mr Adetokunbo Abiru (Lagos East), who was represented by Mr Osita Izunaso (Imo West), said stronger legislative reforms and regulatory collaboration were necessary to reposition Nigeria’s financial architecture for long-term economic prosperity.

Mr Abiru said the financial sector remained critical to investment, job creation, business expansion and macroeconomic stability, stressing that its ability to mobilise savings, channel credit to productive sectors, facilitate investment and manage risks was fundamental to sustainable economic growth.

He said the current economic realities required closer collaboration between the legislature and financial regulators, noting that challenges confronting the sector were interconnected and could not be effectively addressed through isolated interventions.

The lawmaker identified inflationary pressures, global economic uncertainties, cybersecurity threats, low insurance penetration and the need to diversify Nigeria’s export base as some of the challenges requiring coordinated policy responses.

He said the engagement was aimed at generating practical solutions to strengthen the country’s financial architecture and support sustainable economic growth.

According to him, monetary policy, financial safety nets, banking institutions, the insurance industry and export finance were interdependent components of a stable financial system and must therefore be strengthened collectively.

The Commissioner for Insurance and Chief Executive Officer of the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM), Mr Olusegun Ayo Omosehin, said the Nigeria Insurance Industry Reform Act (NIIRA) 2025 had contributed significantly to stabilising and repositioning the insurance sector.

Mr Omosehin disclosed that 43 insurance companies had successfully recapitalised, describing the development as a major milestone for the industry.

He commended Abiru and members of the committee for their role in advancing insurance sector reforms and urged the House of Representatives to expedite action on the relevant insurance reform bill to enable it to receive presidential assent and become operational.

Representatives of the CBN Governor and the Managing Directors of AMCON, NEXIM and NDIC also commended the Senate committee for its oversight and legislative support, saying its interventions had strengthened the agencies’ capacity to discharge their statutory mandates.

The engagement, held under the theme, Strengthening Financial System Architecture for Sustainable Economic Growth and Stability in Nigeria, also featured presentations by Professor Uche Uwaleke, President of Capital Market Academics of Nigeria (CMAN); Professor Biodun Adedipe, Chief Consultant, B. Adedipe Associates Limited; and Dr Tilewa Adebajo, Chief Executive Officer of CFG Advisory.

The experts presented policy recommendations on key issues affecting Nigeria’s financial system, with emphasis on financial stability, investment and sustainable economic growth.

Mr Abiru said the Senate would continue to engage financial regulators and other stakeholders to deepen financial inclusion, strengthen public confidence in financial institutions and improve regulatory effectiveness.

He said the broader objective was to position Nigeria’s financial system to compete more effectively in the global economy while remaining resilient and responsive to the country’s economic transformation agenda.

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