Economy
73% of Nigerians Would Put Spare Cash into Savings—Report
By Dipo Olowookere
A new report released by Nielsen Africa, which measures Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) in some countries on the continent, said things were not to rosy for Nigeria in the second quarter of 2019 because the country’s index slightly increased by one point to 127 unlike its West African neighbor, Ghana, which gained 10 points to settle at 118.
The 127 points reached by Nigeria, according to a summary of the report made available to Business Post, remains the highest confidence level for the country since the first quarter of 2016.
“Following a turbulent period in its history, Nigeria’s economic recovery is gaining momentum with GDP expected to grow slightly to 2.5 percent year on year, off the back of moderate improvements in net exports and domestic demand. Nigerians are optimistic about their future and this is reflected in the confidence scores,” Nielsen MD for Nigeria, Mr Ged Nooy, commented.
Looking at the consumer picture, Nigerians immediate-spending intentions have shown a healthy increase; with 54 percent of consumers versus 46 percent in the previous quarter saying now is a good or excellent time to purchase what they want or need.
However, their perception around job prospects have slightly declined, with 60 percent viewing them as excellent or good, a nine-point drop from the previous quarter.
It was stated that sentiment around the state of personal finances has shown a slight improvement with 82 percent Nigerians agreeing their state of personal finances will be excellent or good over the next year, a one-point increase from the previous quarter.
Looking at whether Nigerians have spare cash to spend, 51 percent said yes, versus 55 percent in the previous quarter.
In terms of their spending priorities, once they meet their essential living expenses, 76 percent would invest in home improvements/ decorating, 73 percent would put their spare cash into savings and 66 percent say they will invest in shares/mutual funds.
Surprisingly, in light of their propensity towards savings and investment, the lowest number 39 percent said they would put their spare cash into retirement funds.
Looking at the top concerns for Nigerians over the next six months, work/life balance tops the list with 27 percent (a six-point increase compared to the previous quarter) and has displaced political stability as the number one concern for Nigerians.
This is followed by increasing food prices at 22 percent (a one-point increase compared to Q1’19) and the economy at 20 percent (a four-point increase compared to the previous quarter)
Elaborating on these results, Mr Nooy said, “Nigerian consumers are positive and open to spending, however, the country’s retail environment continues to feel the effects of steep inflation. Manufacturers and retailers will therefore need to tackle this challenge head on, to harness the true value of Nigeria’s powerful consumer base.”
On the part of Ghana, its CCI for the second quarter of 2019 showed an extremely healthy increase of 10 points to 118.
Looking at Ghana’s overall performance, Nielsen Market Lead for West Africa, Yannick Nkembe said, “Ghana is currently the poster child for African economic growth and positive consumer sentiment. The International Monetary Fund estimates its GDP will rise 8.8 percent this year – double the pace of emerging economies as a whole, and well ahead of world growth.
“This is a result of factors such as expanding crude oil production, a stable democracy and the introduction of a more favourable taxation structure. Ghana’s manufacturing industry has also been boosted by policies aimed at diversifying the economy and preventing an over-reliance on the commodity markets.”
This overall positive outlook is reflected by Ghanaian consumers’ greatly improved view of their job prospects, with a 10-point increase to 63 percent, saying they will be excellent or good in the next six months.
In terms of the state of their personal finances over the next 12 months, 74 percent say excellent or good up from 70 percent and the number of Ghanaian consumers who feel now is a good or excellent time to purchase has also seen a large increase quarter on quarter, from 34 percent to 46 percent.
Looking at whether Ghanaians have spare cash, 52 percent say yes, up nine points from the previous quarter. Once they meet their essential living expenses, the highest number of consumers (82 percent) put their spare cash into savings, followed by 72 percent on home improvements/decorating and 67 percent who invest in stocks and mutual funds.
When looking at the real life factors that are having a negative impact on Ghanaians outlook, the top concerns over the next six months include work/life balance at 24 percent; the same figure as the last quarter, rising food prices at 22 percent (dropped by three points compared to Q1’19) and tolerance towards different religions, also at 22 percent (increased by one percent since the previous quarter), and children’s education and welfare at 18 percent which has seen a 2-point increase.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange was plunged into the danger zone by 1.40 per cent on Thursday, July 23, by five securities on the platform.
Leading the pack was Okitipupa Plc, which crashed by N20.20 to trade at N248.00 per share compared with the previous day’s N268.20 per share. MRS Oil Plc tumbled by N15.00 to close at N135.00 per unit versus the preceding session’s N150.00 per unit, Nipco Plc weakened by N7.00 to N415.00 per share from N422.00 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc lost N3.92 to settle at N143.63 per unit compared with midweek’s N147.55 per unit, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc declined by N3.05 to quote at N95.27 per share versus N98.32 per share.
These losses contracted the value of the unlisted securities exchange by N36.77 billion to N2.594 trillion from N2.631 trillion, and decreased the NASD Security Index (NSI) by 61.26 points to 4,322.22 points from 4,383.48 points.
Business Post reports that there were two price gainers yesterday at the market, but they could not salvage the situation. NASD Plc grew by N1.36 to N37.36 per unit from N36.00 per unit, and Afriland Properties Plc gained N1.09 to end at N16.85 per share versus the previous session’s N15.76 per share.
As for the activity chart, the volume of trades crashed by 96.7 per cent to 377,635 units from 1.4 million units, the value of transactions slumped by 6.3 per cent to N40.4 million from N43.1 million, and the number of deals moderated by 20.4 per cent to 39 deals from 49 deals.
At the close of business, the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis remained Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc, with 3.4 billion units sold for N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units worth N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 75.5 million units traded for N5.4 billion.
GNI Plc also ended the session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units exchanged for N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira appreciated for the seventh straight session against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) by 0.14 per cent or N1.87 on Thursday, July 23, to trade at N1,367.76/$1, in contrast to the previous day’s N1,369.63/$1.
The Nigerian currency also improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N8.67 to close at N1,824.45/£1, in contrast to the preceding day’s N1,833.12/£1, and against the Euro, it gained N6.25 to sell at N1,556.78/€1 compared with the midweek session’s N1,563.03/€1.
Similarly, the Naira gained N5 against the US Dollar in the parallel market yesterday to settle at N1,395/$1 versus Wednesday’s closing rate of N1,400/$1, and at the GTBank forex counter, it strengthened by N4 to quote at N1,379/$1 compared with the previous session’s N1,383/$1.
The positive outcome for the Naira comes amid a decline in FX turnover at the Nigerian foreign exchange market by 24 per cent to $1.163 billion from the $1.532 billion recorded a day earlier.
Meanwhile, the number of deals cut across the window by a slew of financial institutions in the country acting as market makers surged to 417 from 313 reported the previous day.
However, traders project that the local currency may weaken soon, largely due to foreign-currency buying from fuel importers.
Dangote Refinery, which distributes the majority of the country’s petrol supply, resumed the sale of petrol in Naira after it announced last week that it would start selling petroleum products to marketers in Dollars.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was down, as $800 billion evaporated from the biggest US technology stocks, regarded as a rare stretch of independence for an asset that has tracked the AI trade all month.
Market analysts noted concerns that Big Tech is spending on artificial-intelligence infrastructure faster than profits can justify, with Dogecoin (DOGE) down by 4.4 per cent to $0.0693.
Further, Cardano (ADA) also dropped 4.4 per cent to $0.1668, Ethereum (ETH) depreciated by 2.2 per cent to $1,883.48, Solana (SOL) dipped by 2.1 per cent to $75.85, Ripple (XRP) crashed by 2.0 per cent to $1.11, Bitcoin slipped by 0.4 per cent to $65,415.27, and Binance Coin (BNB) tumbled by 0.3 per cent to $568.41.
But TRON (TRX) gained 0.3 per cent to end at $0.3287, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
By Dipo Olowookere
Lower trading activity could not tie down Nigerian stocks on Thursday, as they rebounded by 0.98 per cent after the previous day’s loss caused by profit-taking.
The growth recorded by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited yesterday was driven by interest in Guinness Nigeria, First Holdco and others.
Guinness Nigeria and Zichis gained 10.00 per cent each to sell for N365.20 and N26.95, respectively, Access Holdings appreciated by 9.98 per cent to N29.20, First Holdco jumped by 9.91 per cent to N120.90, and UPDC REIT soared by 9.38 per cent to N14.00.
Conversely, Mecure lost 9.96 per cent to trade at N62.40, FTN Cocoa depreciated by 9.16 per cent to N8.63, Omatek slumped by 7.89 per cent to N1.75, Africa Prudential crashed by 4.44 per cent to N12.90, and Cornerstone Insurance fell by 4.35 per cent to N5.50.
A total of 36 stocks appreciated during the session, while 28 stocks depreciated, indicating a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.
Customs Street experienced lower trading activity during the trading day, with market participants transacting 782.4 million equities for N56.3 billion in 46,273 deals, in contrast to the 1.3 billion equities worth N118.2 billion traded in 47,458 deals on Wednesday, representing a drop in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 39.82 per cent, 52.37 per cent, and 2.50 per cent, respectively.
Bargain-hunting was seen across the key segments of the bourse, with the banking index up by 3.92 per cent. The industrial goods space rose by 1.27 per cent, the insurance sector appreciated by 0.75 per cent, the consumer goods counter improved by 0.63 per cent, and the energy segment grew by 0.04 per cent.
When the closing gong was struck to announce the end of trading activities for the day, the All-Share Index (ASI) advanced by 2,413.03 points to 247,831.40 points from 245,418.37 points, and the market capitalisation added N1.575 trillion to close at N159.894 trillion compared with the previous day’s N158.319 trillion.
