Economy
Bears Keep Nigerian Stocks in Captivity for 5 Straight Days
By Dipo Olowookere
The bears have continued to keep Nigerian stocks in captivity. On Wednesday, it was the fifth consecutive day the local bourse has been under their tight control.
Business Post observed that the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) was initially looking to get its free from the grip, but the roars of the bears forced the market back by 0.09 percent, reducing the year-to-date gain to 2.54 percent.
This was majorly due to the losses printed by four of the five key sectors of the market as only the industrial goods counter closed in green by 0.46 percent.
The insurance sector lost 2.29 percent, energy index declined by 1.12 percent, the banking sector depreciated by 0.55 percent, while the consumer goods counter fell by 0.15 percent.
The poor outing of these sectors contributed to the 24.48 points lost by the All-Share Index (ASI), which finished at 27,523.08 points against its previous 27,547.56 points. Similarly, the market capitalisation reduced by N9 billion to N14.338 trillion from N14.347 trillion.
The low prices of equities at the stock exchange yesterday gave room to some investors to expand their portfolios, leading to improved level of activity.
The volume of stocks traded at the midweek session rose by 72.64 percent to 290.2 million units from 168.1 million units, while the value increased by 132.96 percent to N5.0 billion from N2.2 billion, with the number of deals growing by 14.73 percent to 3,528 from 3,075.
A further breakdown showed that GTBank was the most transacted stock at the market, selling 79.4 million units worth N2.3 billion, while Zenith Bank traded 40.0 million units valued at N780.9 million.
FBN Holdings exchanged 34.6 million shares for N199.5 million, Japaul Oil transacted 16.3 million stocks for N3.3 million, while UBA traded 15.7 million equities worth N120.5 million.
On the price movement chart, Forte Oil was the heaviest price decliner, reducing by N1.85 to N16.70 per unit, while Custodian Investment lost 60 kobo to sell at N5.45 per share.
GTBank went down by 45 kobo to trade at N28.40 per unit, NCR Nigeria declined by 28 kobo to N2.70 per unit, while Dangote Sugar depreciated by 25 kobo to quote at N12.10 per share.
On the price risers’ log, Lafarge Africa dominated after adding 60 kobo to its share value to close at N15.70 per share, while C&I Leasing gained 55 kobo to sell at N6.35 per unit.
Africa Prudential rose by 46 kobo to N5.12 per share, United Capital moved up by 29 kobo to N3.22 per share, while Caverton improved by 22 kobo to sell at N2.82 per unit.
The bulls may stage a surprise comeback today to take charge of the market, having had a short survey of the bourse during yesterday’s session.
Economy
Tinubu to Present 2025 Budget of N47.9trn to NASS December 17
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
On Tuesday, December 17, 2024, President Bola Tinubu will present the 2025 budget to a joint session of the National Assembly.
The size of the 2025 Appropriation Bill is about N47.9 trillion and would be presented to the parliament for approval.
Speaking at the plenary on Thursday, December 12, 2024, the President of the Senate, Mr Godswill Akpabio, said the presentation by Mr Tinubu would be at the chamber of the House of Representatives.
However, it is not certain if the lawmakers will pass the budget before December 31 to allow for a recent budget cycle of January to December.
Recall that on December 3, the senate approved the Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper (MTEF/FSP) for 2025 to 2027.
This was after the President presented this the National Assembly on November 19 ahead of the consideration of the 2025 budget proposal.
In the MTEF/FSP, the government said it planned to borrow about N9.22 trillion from local and foreign sources to finance the budget deficit.
It pegged the crude oil benchmark at $75 per barrel and a daily oil production of 2.06 million barrels at an exchange rate of N1,400 to $1, and a targeted gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 6.4 percent.
At the plenary today, Mr Akpabio informed his colleagues that, “The President has made his intention known to the National Assembly to present the 2025 budget to the joint session of the National Assembly on December 17, 2024.”
Economy
Nigeria Adds 150,000 b/d Crude Production in November 2024
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria added 150,000 barrels per day to its crude production in November 2024 as it continues to pursue an ambitious 2 million barrels per day target.
According to the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Nigeria’s oil production rose to 1.48 million barrels per day in November, up from 1.33 million barrels per day the previous month.
In its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), OPEC revealed that at 1.48 million barrels per day, it is the continent’s leading oil producer, surpassing Algeria’s 908,000 barrels per day and Congo’s 268,000 barrels per day.
Business Post reports that OPEC doesn’t account for condensates, which Nigeria’s accounts for in its broader 2 million barrels per day target.
Despite the surge in production levels, Nigeria is still under producing its 1.5 million barrels per day output quota under a deal involving OPEC and 10 other producers known as OPEC+.
OPEC said it relied on primary data gotten through direct communication, noting that secondary sources reported 1.417 million barrels per day as Nigeria’s crude production in November — up from 1.4 million barrels per day in October.
The data also shows that OPEC’s total oil production among its 12 members rose by 104,000 barrels per day in the month under review.
According to secondary sources, the total of the 12 OPEC countries’ crude oil production averaged 26.66 million barrels per day in November 2024.
“Crude oil output increased mainly in Libya, Iran, and Nigeria, while production in Iraq, Venezuela, and Kuwait decreased”, OPEC said.
“At the same time, total non-OPEC DoC crude oil production averaged 14.01 mb/d in November 2024, which is 219 tb/d higher, m-o-m. Crude oil output increased mainly in Kazakhstan and Malaysia,” the organisation added.
In a related development, OPEC trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts for the fifth time this year.
Now, the cartel expects the world’s oil demand growth at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previously 1.82 million barrels per day.
For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, a 900,000 barrels per day cut from the previously expected 1.54 million barrels per day.
On the changes, OPEC says that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.
Economy
Afriland Properties, Geo-Fluids Shrink OTC Securities Exchange by 0.06%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of Afriland Properties Plc and Geo-Fluids Plc crashed the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by a marginal 0.06 per cent on Wednesday, December 11 due to profit-taking activities.
The OTC securities exchange experienced a downfall at midweek despite UBN Property Plc posting a price appreciation of 17 Kobo to close at N1.96 per share, in contrast to Tuesday’s closing price of N1.79.
Business Post reports that Afriland Properties Plc slid by N1.14 to finish at N15.80 per unit versus the preceding day’s N16.94 per unit, and Geo-Fluids Plc declined by 1 Kobo to trade at N3.92 per share compared with the N3.93 it ended a day earlier.
At the close of transactions, the market capitalisation of the bourse, which measures the total value of securities on the platform, shrank by N650 million to finish at N1.055 trillion compared with the previous day’s N1.056 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went down by 1.86 points to wrap the session at 3,012.50 points compared with 3,014.36 points recorded in the previous session.
The alternative stock market was busy yesterday as the volume of securities traded by investors soared by 146.9 per cent to 5.9 million units from 2.4 million units, as the value of shares transacted by the market participants jumped by 360.9 per cent to N22.5 million from N4.9 million, and the number of deals increased by 50 per cent to 21 deals from 14 deals.
When the bourse closed for the day, Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units valued at N3.9 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units worth N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 million.
Also, Aradel Holdings Plc, which is now listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited after its exit from NASD, remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units sold for N89.2 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 billion.
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