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Brent, WTI Weaken on Stronger US Dollar, Demand Worries

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By Adedapo Adesanya 

The prices of the crude oil benchmarks, Brent and the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell to a near five-month low on Tuesday on a stronger US Dollar and demand concerns.

According to data obtained by Business Post, Brent futures went down by 83 cents or 1.1 per cent to $77.20 a barrel and WTI weakened by 72 cents or 1.0 per cent to $72.32 per barrel.

The prices were the lowest for both crude benchmarks since July 6. This put the market down for a fourth day in a row on doubts over voluntary supply cuts announced by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) last week.

The fall in prices came despite comments from Russian Deputy Prime Minister, Mr Alexander Novak, that OPEC+ stands ready to deepen oil production cuts in the first quarter of 2024 to eliminate “speculation and volatility” if existing actions to cut production were not enough.

On November 30, OPEC+ agreed to voluntary output cuts of about 2.2 million barrels per day for the first quarter of 2024. But at least 1.3 million barrels per day of those cuts were an extension of voluntary curbs Saudi Arabia and Russia already had in place.

Analysts noted that the voluntary element of the deal left the markets questioning whether the supply reduction would come into effect.

Meanwhile, President Vladimir Putin will visit OPEC members – the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Saudi Arabia – on Wednesday and host Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi in Moscow on Thursday. This development is coming after the Russian government said the OPEC+ production cuts will take time to kick in.

Top OPEC exporter Saudi Arabia lowered the price of its flagship Arab Light crude to Asian customers in January for the first time in seven months, reacting to weakening premiums in the physical market amidst supply overhang concerns.

OPEC member Libya’s National Oil Corporation, meanwhile, said it was on track to grow oil output to 2 million barrels per day in the next three to five years.

Crude oil inventories in the US rose this week by 594,000 barrels for the week ending December 1, according to The American Petroleum Institute (API), after an 817,000-barrel draw in crude inventories in the week prior.

The official data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be published later on Wednesday.

Elsewhere, countries at the COP28 climate conference are considering calling for a formal phase-out of fossil fuels as part of the United Nations summit’s final deal to tackle global warming.

The US Dollar rose to a two-week high against a basket of currencies after fresh employment data showed job openings dropped in October to the lowest level since early 2021.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Rivers Police Arrests Two Suspects Over Shell Pipeline Explosion

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Two persons have been apprehended by the Rivers State Police Command in connection with the explosion that affected the Trans Niger Delta Pipeline operated by Shell Petroleum Development Company (SPDC) at the border of Kpor and Bodo communities.

On Monday night, the oil facility was affected by an inferno, which forced Shell to shut it down to prevent further damage.

It was gathered that the first was noticed during a routine night patrol by security operatives, who “promptly alerted SPDC management.”

The company initiated necessary safety protocols, including shutting down the affected pipe​line, a statement from the Police Public Relations Officer for Rivers Command, Ms Grace Iringe-Koko, a Superintendent of Police (SP), said on Tuesday.

The police said the swift intervention brought “the situation is now under control, and there is no further threat to residents or the environment.”

According to her, the two accused persons were picked up after the commencement of “a thorough investigation to determine the cause of the fire.”

She said the suspects are answering questions to help the police “uncover any potential act of sabotage,” promising to ensure that perpetrators of criminal activities are identified and brought to justice.

“We urge residents to remain calm and vigilant, assuring them of our unwavering commitment to protecting lives and property. The Command will not relent in its efforts to rid the state of criminal elements and maintain peace and security for all.

“For any useful information regarding this incident or any suspicious activities, members of the public are encouraged to contact the nearest police station,” the statement said.

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Nigeria’s Cooling Inflation May Fuel Further Interest Rate Pause

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Cooling inflation in Nigeria could encourage the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to hold interest rate steady again when the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets in May.

On Monday, Nigeria’s annual inflation eased for a second straight month after the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) overhauled the index for the first time in 16 years in January 2025.

The move was carried out to better reflect the inflation pressures facing households in Africa’s most-populous nation with the base year changed from 2009 to 2024.

According to the NBS, consumer prices rose 23.18 per cent in February by 8.52 per cent from the 31.70 per cent achieved in January 2024.

In the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the NBS said last month, the headline inflation slowed due to decline in the average prices of food items like yam tuber, potatoes, soya beans, flour of maize/cornmeal, cassava, bambara beans (dried), etc compared with the prices in the first month of this year.

Nigeria’s economy has grown in the last two quarters in Nigeria by over 2-3 per cent caused by inflation and the weakening of the local currency. This is slower compared to expected outcomes.

However, with further moderation, this could spur policymakers at the apex bank to pause rate hikes for yet another cycle.

The President Bola Tinubu administration is targeting a 15 per cent inflation level.

At its last meeting in February, the MPC held all rates across board with the headline monetary policy rate (MPR) retained at 27.50 per cent.

According to the Governor of the CBN, Mr Yemi Cardoso, the asymmetric corridor was retained around the MPR at +500/-100 basis points and the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) of Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) at 50.00 per cent and Merchant Banks at 16 per cent. Also, the MPC retained the Liquidity Ratio at 30.00 per cent.

The CBN had hiked interest rates by 875 basis points in the last year as Mr Cardoso favoured inflation targeting tools to fix skyrocketing cost of prices.

Market analysts noted that subsequent ease inflation in March and April could lead to even cuts but argued that pausing the rate will offer succour to businesses who have lamented the consistent hiking on their operations.

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NASD Index Opens Week in Green Territory After 0.15% Growth

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By Adedapo Adesanya

There was a 0.15 per cent appreciation at NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange on Monday March 17, with the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) increasing by 4.90 points to close at 3,368.64 points, in contrast to last Friday’s 3,363.74 points and the market capitalisation of the bourse rose by N2.83 billion to settle at N1.945 trillion compared with the preceding trading day’s N1.942 trillion.

Okitipupa Plc gained N7.66 during the session to close at N307.66 per unit compared with the preceding session’s N300.00 per unit, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc expanded by 78 Kobo to settle at N39.01 per share versus last Friday’s price of N38.23 per share, and Geo Fluids Plc grew by 6 Kobo to trade at N2.90 per unit, in contrast to the previous trading day’s N2.84 per unit.

On the flip side, Afriland Properties Plc lost N2.01 to close at N21.19 per share compared with its previous rate of N23.20 per share.

Yesterday, the volume of securities traded at the bourse went down by 55.8 per cent to 288,383 units from the 652,237 units recorded last Friday, the value of securities traded by investor depreciated by 45.3per cent to N18.2 million from the N33.1 million quoted at the preceding session, and the number of deals executed at the first session of the week shrank by 27 per cent to 27 deals from 37 deals.

When the market closed for the session, Impresit Bakolori Plc remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with a turnover of 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, followed by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 13.0 million units valued at N505.1 million, and Afriland Properties Plc with 17.4 million units sold for N357.0 million.

Also, Impresit Bakolori Plc remained as the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 533.9 million units worth N520.9 million, trailed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 69.9 million units sold for N23.7 million, and Afriland Properties Plc with 17.4 million units valued at N357.0 million.

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