Economy
CBN Foresees Inflation Cooling from May 2024
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is forecasting an ease in inflation from May 2024 but expects the average prices of goods and services to peak at 32.63 per cent in March 2024.
The Deputy Governor of the bank for Economic Policy Directorate, Mr Muhammad Sani Abdullahi, said this at the CITI-CEEMA Macro Conference held on Wednesday in London.
Nigeria’s inflation rose to 31.70 per cent in February 2024 from 29.90 per cent in January 2024.
Mr Abdullahi attributed the spike in inflation to three major factors: escalated energy costs, the impact of exchange rate fluctuations, and ongoing insecurity concerns.
“Headline inflation is expected to rise to 32.63 per cent in March 2024, due to high energy prices. Lingering impact of fuel subsidy removal, resulting in an increase in the cost of household utilities, transportation and production costs.
“Depreciation of the Naira resulting from the market-determined exchange rate policy is likely to have a passthrough effect on domestic prices.
“Impact of insecurity on food production, the winding down of the harvest season, and high cost of farm input could impact negatively food prices,” he said.
The CBN, however, anticipates a turnaround, with inflation expected to start its downward trajectory beginning in May 2024.
This optimism is based on a series of strategic measures to tackle rising inflation. Among these is the adoption of an inflation-targeting framework, deploying more active communication strategies, and shifting towards a tighter monetary policy stance.
The inflationary surge expected in the next two months is likely to happen despite tightened monetary policy by the Central Bank.
At the last Monetary Policy Meeting (MPC) in February, the apex bank increased the benchmark interest rate by 400 basis points to a record 22.75 per cent. The lender also increased the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) to 45 per cent from the prior 32.5 per cent.
Furthermore, adjustments have been made to the asymmetric corridor around the MPR to +100/-700 basis points from +100/-300 basis points, signalling a robust stance on managing inflation expectations.
Justifying reasons for the hike, the CBN Governor, Mr Yemi Cardoso, explained that members considered various scenarios including whether to hold or hike policy and concluded that inflation could become more persistent in the medium term and pose more regulatory issues if not well-anchored.
By all indications, there are signals that more rate hikes will happen at the meeting scheduled to start on Monday, March 25.
Economy
Yuletide: Rite Foods Reiterates Commitment to Quality, Innovation
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigerian food and beverage company, Rite Foods Limited, has extended warm Yuletide greetings to Nigerians as families and communities worldwide come together to celebrate the Christmas season and usher in a new year filled with hope and renewed possibilities.
In a statement, Rite Foods encouraged consumers to savour these special occasions with its wide range of quality brands, including the 13 variants of Bigi Carbonated Soft Drinks, premium Bigi Table Water, Sosa Fruit Drink in its refreshing flavours, the Fearless Energy Drink, and its tasty sausage rolls — all produced in a world-class facility with modern technology and global best practices.
Speaking on the season, the Managing Director of Rite Foods Limited, Mr Seleem Adegunwa, said the company remains deeply committed to enriching the lives of consumers beyond refreshment. According to him, the Yuletide period underscores the values of generosity, unity, and gratitude, which resonate strongly with the company’s philosophy.
“Christmas is a season that reminds us of the importance of giving, togetherness, and gratitude. At Rite Foods, we are thankful for the continued trust of Nigerians in our brands. This season strengthens our resolve to consistently deliver quality products that bring joy to everyday moments while contributing positively to society,” Mr Adegunwa stated.
He noted that the company’s steady progress in brand acceptance, operational excellence, and responsible business practices reflects a culture of continuous improvement, innovation, and responsiveness to consumer needs. These efforts, he said, have further strengthened Rite Foods’ position as a proudly Nigerian brand with growing relevance and impact across the country.
Mr Adegunwa reaffirmed that Rite Foods will continue to invest in research and development, efficient production processes, and initiatives that support communities, while maintaining quality standards across its product portfolio.
“As the year comes to a close, Rite Foods Limited wishes Nigerians a joyful Christmas celebration and a prosperous New Year filled with peace, progress, and shared success.”
Economy
Naira Appreciates to N1,443/$1 at Official FX Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira closed the pre-Christmas trading day positive after it gained N6.61 or 0.46 per cent against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Wednesday, December 24, trading at N1,443.38/$1 compared with the previous day’s N1,449.99/$1.
Equally, the Naira appreciated against the Pound Sterling in the same market segment by N1.30 to close at N1,949.57/£1 versus Tuesday’s closing price of N1,956.03/£1 and gained N2.94 on the Euro to finish at N1,701.31/€1 compared with the preceding day’s N1,707.65/€1.
At the parallel market, the local currency maintained stability against the greenback yesterday at N1,485/$1 and also traded flat at the GTBank forex counter at N1,465/$1.
Further support came as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) funded international payments with additional $150 million sales to banks and authorised dealers at the official window.
This helped eased pressure on the local currency, reflecting a steep increase in imports. Market participants saw a sequence of exchange rate swings amidst limited FX inflows.
Last week, the apex bank led the pack in terms of FX supply into the market as total inflows fell by about 50 per cent week on week from $1.46 billion in the previous week.
Foreign portfolio investors’ inflows ranked behind exporters and the CBN supply, but there was support from non-bank corporate Dollar volume.
As for the cryptocurrency market, it witnessed a slight recovery as tokens struggled to attract either risk-on enthusiasm or defensive flows.
The inertia follows a sharp reversal earlier in the quarter. A heavy selloff in October pulled Bitcoin and other coins down from record levels, leaving BTC roughly down by 30 per cent since that period and on track for its weakest quarterly performance since the second quarter of 2022. But on Wednesday, its value went up by 0.9 per cent to $87,727.35.
Further, Ripple (XRP) appreciated by 1.7 per cent to $1.87, Cardano (ADA) expanded by 1.2 per cent to $0.3602, Dogecoin (DOGE) grew by 1.1 per cent to $0.1282, Litecoin (LTC) also increased by 1.1 per cent to $76.57, Solana (SOL) soared by 1.0 per cent to $122.31, Binance Coin (BNB) rose by 0.6 per cent to $842.37, and Ethereum (ETH) added 0.3 per cent to finish at $2,938.83, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
Economy
Oil Market Down Amid US Data, Geopolitical Tensions
By Adedapo Adesanya
The oil market settled lower on Wednesday as investors weighed US economic growth and assessed the risk of supply disruptions from Venezuela and Russia.
Brent crude futures depleted by 14 cents or 0.2 per cent to close at $62.24 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declined by 3 cents or 0.05 per cent to $58.29 per barrel.
US data showed the world’s largest economy grew at its fastest pace in two years in the third quarter, fueled by robust consumer spending and a sharp rebound in exports.
The stronger-than-expected increase in gross domestic product last quarter, which was reported by the Commerce Department on Tuesday, showed gross domestic product (GDP) increased at a 4.3 per cent annualized rate last quarter, the fastest pace since the third quarter of 2023.
Still, Brent and WTI prices are on track to drop about 16 per cent and 18 per cent, respectively, this year, their steepest declines since 2020 when the COVID pandemic hit oil demand, as supply is expected to outpace demand next year.
On the supply side, disruptions to Venezuelan exports have been the most significant factor pushing up oil prices, while market analysts noted that Russian and Ukrainian attacks on each other’s energy infrastructure have also supported the market.
Recently, Ukraine launched a drone strike on a Russian shadow fleet vessel in the Mediterranean. The country has been attacking Russian oil refineries throughout 2024 and 2025, but has visibly widened its campaign in recent weeks, striking oil rigs in the Caspian Sea and claiming credit for sea-drone attacks on three tankers in the Black Sea.
Russian President Vladimir Putin, who ordered a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, has threatened to sever Ukraine’s access to the Black Sea in response to the attacks on tankers, which he regards as piracy.
In Venezuela, loaded vessels are waiting for new directions from their owners after the US seized the supertanker Skipper earlier this month and targeted two additional vessels over the weekend.
Reuters reported that oil shipments from Kazakhstan via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium are set to drop by a third in December to the lowest since October 2024 after a Ukrainian drone attack damaged facilities at the main CPC export terminal.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US saw a build of 2.4 million barrels in the week ending December 19. Crude oil inventories shrank by 9.3 million barrels in the week prior. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) is due to release official inventory data on Monday, later than usual due to the Christmas holiday.
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