Economy
Russia-Ukraine Tension Buoys Crude Oil Prices by 2%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil prices increased by about 2 per cent on Thursday as tensions between Russia and Ukraine continued to heighten as the countries launched missiles at each other, worrying markets about crude supply, with Brent crude soaring by $1.42 or 1.95 per cent to $74.23 per barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude up by $1.35 or 2 per cent to $70.10 a barrel.
Russian President, Mr Vladimir Putin, said yesterday that his country had launched a hypersonic medium-range ballistic missile attack on a Ukrainian military facility, warning the West that Russia, which is the world’s second-largest crude exporter, could strike the military installations of any country whose weapons were used against it.
This came after Ukraine fired US and British missiles at targets inside Russia this week despite warnings that it would see such action as a major escalation.
President Putin also said the West was escalating the conflict in Ukraine by allowing it to strike Russia with long-range missiles, and that the war was becoming a global conflict, triggering supply worries in the market, with oil traders pricing in potential supply disruptions.
Analysts warned that a Ukraine strike could potentially hit Russian energy infrastructure or trigger a Russian retaliation that could restrict oil production or exports.
Also pressuring the market was the rise in US crude inventories of 545,000 barrels to 430.3 million barrels in the week ended November 15.
China on Thursday announced policy measures to boost trade, including support for energy product imports, amid worries over US President-elect Donald Trump’s threats to impose tariffs.
Meanwhile, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) may push back output increases again when it meets on December 1 due to weak global oil demand.
The 22-member alliance which pumps around half the world’s oil had initially planned to gradually reverse production cuts from late 2024 and through 2025. This will possibly lend support to the market.
Iran, also a member of OPEC+, agreed to stop stockpiling uranium, turning the tension down in the Middle East region.
Signals of further slower interest rate cuts in the US continued to trail the global economy.
However, slower-than-expected interest rate cuts keep the cost of borrowing elevated in the meantime, which can slow economic activity and dampen demand for oil.
Economy
Naira Trades Flat Across FX Market Windows as CBN Moves to Ease Pressure
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira was flat against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Tuesday, December 16, retaining the previous closing value of N1,451.82/$1.
In the same vein, the local currency saw no movement against the Pound Sterling and the Euro in the spot market during the session at N1,943.98/£1 and N1,705.74/€1, respectively.
Also, the Nigerian Naira remained unchanged in the black market yesterday at N1,475/$1 and was N1,460/$1 at the GTBank forex counter.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has strengthened US Dollar supply with $250 million to authorised dealer banks at the official window cumulatively as foreign portfolio investors, exporters and non-bank corporate supply dripped.
The spread between official and other non-regulated markets decreased to N30.59$/1 from N44.57/$1, from the previous week, research subsidiary of Coronation Merchant Bank Limited said in a report.
FX analysts said foreign exchange inflows through the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market decreased to $716.3 million from $844.70 million in the previous week , a 15 per cent drop in a week.
Foreign portfolio investors accounted for the highest share of inflows at 32.98 per cent, followed by exporters at 30.84 per cent, the CBN (17.36 per cent), Non-bank Corporates (16.94 per cent), others (0.72 per cent) and Individuals (0.63 per cent).
On Monday, Nigeria’s headline inflation rate eased to 14.45 per cent in November 2025, down from 16.05 per cent recorded in October, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), representing a decrease of 1.6 percentage points month-on-month and marks a significant moderation compared to the same period last year.
As for the cryptocurrency market, there was some recoveries after overall capitalization falling below $3 trillion for the third time in a month. Large-cap assets, particularly those with Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) exposure, are experiencing selling pressure as institutional investors reassess risk.
Ripple (XRP) appreciated by 1.5 per cent to $1.92, Litecoin (LTC) expanded by 1.5 per cent to $78.91, Dogecoin (DOGE) rose by 0.8 per cent to $0.1308, Solana (SOL) went up by 0.4 per cent to $127.60, Binance Coin (BNB) grew by 0.3 per cent to $865.40, and Bitcoin (BTC) gained 0.2 per cent to sell at $86,735.17.
On the flip side, Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 1.0 per cent to $0.3802 and Ethereum (ETH) slumped by 0.4 per cent to $2,935.85, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) were flat at $1.00 each.
Economy
Stock Investors’ Portfolios Swell N14bn as Index Rises 0.01%
By Dipo Olowookere
A marginal 0.01 per cent rise was recorded by the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited on Tuesday. This was different from the flattish mode of the market the previous day.
Investor sentiment remained bullish as Customs Street finished with 31 price gainers and 26 price losers, implying a positive market breadth index.
Aluminium Extrusion topped the gainers’ log after it improved its price by 10.00 per cent to N9.35, Guinness Nigeria appreciated by 9.98 per cent to N263.40, Multiverse expanded by 9.95 per cent to N12.15, MeCure Industries also soared by 9.95 per cent to N45.85, and Sovereign Trust Insurance advanced by 9.89 per cent to N4.11.
Conversely, Haldane McCall led the losers’ chart after it shed 9.93 per cent to settle at N3.72, Veritas Kapital lost 9.09 per cent to close at N1.60, LivingTrust Mortgage Bank also declined by 9.09 per cent to N3.50, and Linkage Assurance depreciated by 5.71 per cent to N1.65.
During the trading day, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 21.23 points to 149,459.11 points from the previous day’s 149,437.88 points and the market capitalisation increased by N14 billion to N95.281 trillion from N95.267 trillion.
Yesterday, traders transacted 1.0 billion equities for N21.8 billion in 23,701 deals compared with the 553.1 million equities valued at N13.3 billion traded in 28,907 deals on Monday, representing a decline in the number of deals by 18.01 per cent, and a surge in the trading volume and value by 80.80 per cent and 63.91 per cent apiece.
Access Holdings traded 385.8 million stocks worth N7.7 billion, Champion Breweries transacted 111.8 million shares valued at N817.8 million, Sterling Holdings exchanged 85.5 million equities for N589.9 million, FCMB sold 74.7 million shares valued at N791.5 million, and First Holdco transacted 51.9 million equities worth N1.8 billion.
Economy
Brent Crude Drops Below $60 Per Barrel
By Adedapo Adesanya
The price of the global crude oil benchmark, Brent crude, lost 2.71 per cent or $1.64 to settle at $58.92 per barrel on Tuesday, its lowest level since early 2021, as a looming surplus and possible peace agreement in Ukraine weigh on the market.
The US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 2.73 per cent or $1.55 to close at $55.27 per barrel, the lowest since February 2021 during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Fears of an oversupply were marginally offset by the US seizing an oil tanker off Venezuela last week, but traders and analysts said a glut of floating storage.
Also, a surge in Chinese buying from Venezuela in anticipation of sanctions were also limiting the market impact.
The oil market is under pressure this year as members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) have rapidly ramped up production after years of output cuts.
Investors are also pricing in the possibility of lower geopolitical risk as President Donald Trump pressures Ukraine to accept a peace agreement with Russia.
The threat of supply disruptions has loomed over the oil market since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The US and its European allies targeted Russia’s crude industry with sanctions in response.
Now, with the US offering to provide NATO-style security guarantees for Ukraine and European negotiators reporting progress in talks on Monday, there was renewed optimism that an end to the war was closer.
Ukraine’s attacks on oil infrastructure and US sanctions on Russian oil companies would likely be lifted relatively quickly in the event of an agreement.
Market analysts noted that the end of US sanctions on Russia would also change the incentives for OPEC+ as the group would likely resume a strategy to retake market share through higher production. More supply could lead to weaker prices.
Adding to the pressure, soft Chinese economic data on Monday further fuelled concerns that global demand may not be strong enough to absorb recent supply growth.
Falling oil prices could signal a slowing economy after the US job growth totalled 64,000 in November but declined by 105,000 in October. The unemployment rate hit a four-year high of 4.6 per cent.
Barclays analysts expect Brent to average $65 per barrel in 2026, slightly ahead of the forward curve, due to the expected 1.9 million barrels per day surplus they see as being priced in already.
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