Economy
Crude Oil: Saudi Arabia Extends One Million bpd Cut till December
By Adedapo Adesanya
Saudi Arabia on Tuesday extended its 1-million-barrels-per-day voluntary oil production cut until the end of the year.
The Kingdom first applied the 1 million barrels per day reduction in July and has since extended it on a monthly basis.
The cut adds to 1.66 million barrels per day of other voluntary crude output declines that some members of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) have put in place until the end of 2024.
The reduction will put Saudi crude output near 9 million barrels per day over October, November and December and will be reviewed on a monthly basis.
Fellow heavyweight oil producer Russia — which leads the contingent that joins OPEC nations in the OPEC+ coalition — also pledged to voluntarily reduce exports by 500,000 barrels per day in August and by 300,000 barrels per day in September.
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak on Tuesday said that it will extend its 300,000 barrels-per-day reduction of exports until the end of December 2023 and will likewise review the measure on a monthly basis.
The cuts are described as voluntary because they are outside of OPEC+’s official policy, which commits every non-exempt member to a share of production quotas.
OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al-Ghais has previously said that resorting to voluntary reductions outside of OPEC+ decisions does not suggest divisions in policy views among alliance members.
This move has lifted prices, with Brent crude currently trading at $90.07 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) jumped to $86.95 per barrel. This move further compounds worries for Nigeria, which will mean an increase in fuel costs at the pumps.
According to CNBC, Saudi Arabia faces a difficult juggling act between implementing oil production cuts and the blow to its crude-reliant economy. However, it could raise prices of its headline crude to offset the trimmed production.
Saudi Arabia depends on oil revenues to support several so-called “giga-projects” designed to diversify its economy. Crude output cuts and a fall in oil prices earlier this year led to a slowdown in its GDP, which expanded by an annual 1.1 per cent in the second quarter, down from 3.8 per cent in the previous quarter and 11.2 per cent in the same period of 2022.
Saudi state-controlled company Aramco typically sells crude supplies through annual contracts that often state minimal volumes to be made available to clients. While Aramco and its customers can mutually agree to forego this requirement, customers can insist on receiving their contracted volumes — which would push Saudi Arabia to either withdraw from its dwindling stocks or increase production.
The Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA) expects increasing supply tightness in the second half of 2023 as demand recovers in China, the world’s largest crude importer, but that hasn’t materialised.
Economy
Naira Appreciates to N1,441/$1 as FX Pressure Eases
By Adedapo Adesanya
Recent foreign exchange (FX) pressure on the Naira eased on Thursday as its against the US Dollar closed stronger in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) by N1.64 or 0.11 per cent to N1,441.44/$1 from the N1,443.08/$1 it was exchanged a day earlier.
Equally, the Nigerian Naira improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market by N2.44 to sell for N1,898.96/£1 versus the previous day’s N1,901.40/£1. However, it depreciated against the Euro by 99 Kobo to close at N1,674.96/€1, in contrast to Wednesday’s closing price of N1,673.97/€1.
At the GTBank forex counter, the domestic depreciated against the Dollar yesterday by N3 to settle at N1,450/$1 versus the preceding session’s rate of N1,447/$1, and in the black market, the exchange rate of the Naira to the Dollar remained unchanged at N1,455/$1.
The local currency is trying to claw back some losses recorded this week as unmet demand from thin US dollar supply has invited pressure across key segments.
However, positive signals like Nigeria’s gross external reserves rising by more than $30 million day on day to close at $43.427 billion as of November 11, 2025, gives the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) enough power to make significant intervention.
In recent weeks, the apex bank FX injection has been minimal and erratic due to increasing FX inflows from foreign portfolio investors and exporters. FX inflow into currency market has fallen from peaked of $1.37 billion to $899 million.
In the cryptocurrency market, there were significant declines on Thursday as short and long-term investors liquidated their positions. More than $1 billion in leveraged crypto positions were wiped out over 24 hours, with roughly $887 million coming from longs.
Ethereum (ETH) slumped by 10.9 per cent to $3,160.25, Solana (SOL) went south by 10.3 per cent to $140.65, Cardano (ADA) depreciated by 9.6 per cent to $0.5146, Ripple (XRP) fell by 9.2 per cent to $2.27, Dogecoin (DOGE) slipped by 8.2 per cent to $0.1620, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 6.9 per cent to $96,351.91, Binance Coin (BNB) shrank by 6.1 per cent to $909.83, and Litecoin (LTC) went down by 5.4 per cent to $95.57, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.
Economy
Oil Rises Amid Global Oversupply Concerns, Lukoil Sanctions
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil gained on Thursday as investors weighed concerns about global oversupply with looming sanctions against Russia’s Lukoil.
The price of the Brent crude grade chalked up 30 cents or 0.5 per cent to $63.01 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude increased by 20 cents or 0.3 per cent to $58.69 a barrel.
The US has imposed sanctions on Lukoil as part of its efforts to bring the Russian government to peace talks with Ukraine. The sanctions prohibit transactions with the Russian company after November 21.
According to JPMorgan, nearly a third of Russia’s current seaborne oil export potential is now stuck in tankers as the US sanctions upend crude flows and Russia’s top buyers, China and India, are still struggling to assess the implications of the sanctions.
“Russia’s oil exports are entering a new phase of disruption as sanctions targeting Rosneft and Lukoil are set to take effect, prompting its two largest customers — India and China — to sharply reduce their December purchases,” the Wall Street bank said in a note.
JPMorgan estimates that as many as 1.4 million barrels per day of Russian crude oil or nearly a third of its exporting potential are on tankers at present, amid re-routing and slowed unloading as buyers are hesitant following the US sanctions on Russia’s top oil producers and exporters, Rosneft and Lukoil.
Also, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed a larger-than-expected rise in US crude stocks, while gasoline and distillate inventories fell less than expected last week. Crude inventories rose by 6.4 million barrels to 427.6 million barrels in the week ended November 7, the EIA said.
The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said global oil supplies would slightly exceed demand in 2026, a further shift from the group’s earlier projections of a deficit.
It also said it expected the supply surplus next year because of wider production increases by OPEC+, a group of producers that includes OPEC members and allies like Russia.
The International Energy Agency (EIA) raised its global oil supply growth forecasts for this year and next in its monthly oil market report on Thursday, signaling a bigger surplus in 2026.
The US EIA also said in its Short-Term Energy Outlook on Wednesday that U.S. oil production is expected to set a larger record this year than previously forecast.
Global oil inventories will grow through 2026 as production increases faster than demand for petroleum fuels, adding to pressure on oil prices, the EIA added.
Economy
Nigerian Exchange Rallies 1.08%
By Dipo Olowookere
The bulls tightened their grip on the local bourse by 1.08 per cent on Thursday as investors mopped up shares selling at attractive prices.
On Wednesday, the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) rebounded after enduring a series of losses due to a special interest of the United States in the incessant attacks on Christians in the country by some alleged Islamic terrorists.
However, clarity in the implementation of the controversial capital gains tax (CGT) by the Minister of Finance, Mr Wale Edun, on Tuesday, triggered a fresh round of buying pressure.
Yesterday, apart from the industrial goods space, which lost 0.09 per cent and the commodity index, which closed flat, every other sector ended in green.
The insurance counter appreciated by 4.58 per cent, the banking industry improved by 3.80 per cent, the consumer goods space rose by 1.73 per cent, and the energy sector grew by 0.65 per cent.
Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) went up by 1,577.34 points to 146,981.17 points from 145,403.83 points and the market capitalisation soared by N1.003 trillion to N93.481 trillion from N92.478 trillion.
Linkage Assurance advanced by 10.00 per cent to N1.76, Custodian Investment also surged by 10.00 per cent to N38.50, Oando increased by 9.97 per cent to N43.55, Legend Internet expanded by 9.96 per cent to N5.74, and NAHCO jumped by 9.96 per cent to N106.55.
Conversely, Austin Laz lost 9.96 per cent to sell for N2.35, Union Dicon declined by 9.68 per cent to N7.00, Sterling Holdings shed 5.81 per cent to N7.30, NGX Group crashed by 5.31 per cent to N52.60, and Guinness Nigeria depleted by 5.14 per cent to N166.00.
Business Post reports that 55 equities ended on the advancers’ chart and 10 equities finished on the decliners’ table, indicating a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.
However, the level of activity was lower than the preceding session as the trading volume, value, and number of deals went down by 25.63 per cent, 53.32 per cent and 3.40 per cent, respectively.
This was because traders transacted 599.7 million shares worth N22.7 billion in 23,675 deals during the trading day versus the 806.4 million shares valued at N50.8 billion traded in 24,509 deals at midweek.
Wema Bank was the busiest yesterday with 98.4 million units sold for N2.0 billion, UBA transacted 53.0 million units worth N2.2 billion, Access Holdings exchanged 50.9 million units valued at N1.2 billion, Fidelity Bank traded 41.2 million units for N784.0 million, and Zenith Bank transacted 40.8 million units valued at N2.6 billion.
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