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Economy

Dec 2016 Inflation Rate Expected to Shrink to 18.44%

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

FSDH Securities Ltd has predicted that Nigeria’s inflation rate for December 2016 is expected to “marginally to 18.44 percent from 18.48 percent recorded in the month of November 2016.”

In its latest report, the firm explained this fall would be driven by lower than anticipated price increases within the Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages division, as well as the base effect.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release the inflation rate for the month of December 2016 on January 13, 2016 based on the information on the twitter handle of the Statistician General of the Federation and Chief Executive Officer of the NBS.

The monthly Food Price Index (FPI) released by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) shows that the FPI remained relatively the same in December. The Index was marginally down by 0.07 percent, compared with its revised November figure. Year-on-year (YoY), it grew by 12.02 percent.

According to the FAO, the performance of the Index was largely driven by a sharp fall in sugar prices. The FAO Sugar Index fell by 8.56 percent, on the back of the weakening Brazilian currency against the US Dollar.

Also, favourable reports emanating from the main producing region (Central South) contributed to the fall in prices. YoY, the Index rose by 26.34 percent.

The FAO Meat Price Index was down by 1.09 percent, as all meat categories recorded lower prices in December 2016.

On the flip side, the FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index appreciated by 4.22 percent. The rebound was primarily driven by lower global inventory level for palm oil. YoY, the Index appreciated by 29.31 percent in December 2016. The FAO Dairy Index appreciated by 3.35 percent from November 2016, as a result of weaker dairy production in the European Union (EU) and Oceania.

The Index recorded a YoY growth of 28.83 percent. The FAO Cereal Price Index increased marginally by 0.50 percent, mainly due to the increase in the prices of rice and maize. YoY, the Index declined by 6.25 percent.

Analysis by the FSDH Securities Ltd indicates that the value of the Naira remained stable at the inter-bank market while it depreciated at the parallel market by 2.65 percent to close at $/N491 from $/N478 at the end of November.

The depreciation in the parallel market led to an increase in the prices of imported consumer goods in Nigeria between the two months under review.

The prices of food items that FSDH Research monitored in December 2016 moved in varying directions.

The prices of vegetable oil, palm oil, meat, fish, sweet potatoes, onions and Irish potatoes were up by 25 percent, 21 percent, 14.2 percent, 12.5 percent, 7.1 percent, 4.2 percent and 4.17 percent respectively.

The prices of tomatoes and beans were down by 5 percent and 4.49 percent respectively. The prices of rice, garri, and yam remained unchanged. The movement in the prices of food items during the month resulted in a 1.04 percent increase in our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index to 216.99 points.

FSDH Securities Ltd said it also noticed increases in the prices of Clothing and Footwear; Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels divisions between November and December 2016.

It emphasised that its model indicates that the price movements in the consumer goods and services in December 2016 would increase the Composite Consumer Price Index (CCPI) to 213.35 points, representing a month-on-month increase of 0.96 percent.

“We estimate that the increase in the CCPI in December will produce an inflation rate of 18.44 percent,” FSDH Securities Ltd stated in its report.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Dangote Refinery Shares to be Available to Public in Five Months

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The chairman of Dangote Group, Mr Aliko Dangote, has said that within the next five months, Nigerians should be able to purchase shares of Dangote Petroleum and Refinery.

Mr Dangote made this revelation on Sunday during a tour of the facility by the chief executive of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, Mr Bayo Ojulari, alongside members of the company’s executive management.

The $20 billion refinery is the largest single-train refinery in the world with 650,000 barrels per day refining capacity. There are efforts to boost the capacity to 1.4 million barrels per day soon.

Speaking with journalists, Mr Dangote said, “And the other issue is that they (NNPC) are holding 7.25 per cent of the shares that we have here, which is more than the shares Elon Musk has in Tesla. And they are holding that on behalf of Nigerians,” he said.

“So individually, Nigerians too will have an opportunity in the next, maybe a maximum of four to five months. There will actually be an opportunity to buy the shares.”

He added that shareholders will have the option to receive their dividends in either naira or dollars, as the refinery also earns in dollars.

Commenting on Mr Ojulari’s visit, the billionaire businessman said the NNPC, represented by Mr Ojulari and its management team, was not just a guest but a shareholder.

“Today is really our best day ever” at the facility. I know NNPC invested in us when we were not really sure whether the refinery would be successful.

“So that’s the kind of level of confidence. But right now, the relationship with the new set of people that we have at NNPC, I think the sky is the limit, and we will cooperate and also make sure that we work together to make sure that we make Nigerians proud.”

Speaking on prospects of partnership with NNPC in the upstream sector, he said, “We have block 71, 72, but we’re going to look much deeper”.

“Most likely, depending on our own discussions with them, we will partner with them, maybe in some of the upstream. They, too, will partner with us here because here is not just a refinery, it’s an industrial hub.

“And that’s why we’re doing linear alkaline benzene, which is a raw material for detergents, ” he added.

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Economy

NGX Investigates Zichis Stocks After 859% Rise in One Month

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Zichis Agro-Allied Industries

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited has launched an investigation into trading activities on the shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc.

A notice from Customs Street on Monday disclosed that this has led to the suspension of the company for now.

This development comes about a month after Zichis was listed on the domestic bourse and placed in the growth board of the NGX.

In the circular, it was disclosed that the suspension may be lifted after the conclusion of the findings, but for now, investors will not be able to trade the organisation’s securities on the NGX platform.

“The suspension of trading in Zichis shares shall be lifted upon the conclusion of an investigation into the trading activities on the company’s shares,” a part of the disclosure stated.

The bourse explained that it wielded the big stick on Zichis in compliance with Rule 7.0, Rules on Suspension of Trading in Listed Securities, Rulebook of The Exchange (Issuers’ Rules).

This part of the law states that, “Notwithstanding any of the foregoing provisions, the exchange may, in accordance with any of its rules, place the trading of any security on suspension.

“It may also do so if it is of the view that such suspension will be in the interest of the investing public and in accordance with the SEC Rules.”

In announcing the action on the firm, the NGX declared that, “The shares of Zichis Agro-Allied Industries Plc have been suspended from trading on the facilities of Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), effective today, Monday, February 23, 2026.”

Business Post reports that last week, shares of Zichis appreciated by 60.74 per cent to N17.36. It joined the stock exchange at N1.81, indicating it has gained N15.55 or 859.12 per cent in one month.

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Economy

Nigeria Investment Fund, Japan Unveil $50m Innovation Fund for Startups

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African Startups by Venture Capitalists

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigeria Investment Authority (NSIA) and Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) have finalised agreements to launch a $50  Sovereignmillion impact innovation fund aimed at strengthening the Nigerian start-up ecosystem.

The fund is expected to provide patient capital to pre-seed, seed, and early-stage startups addressing critical social challenges in sectors such as agriculture, healthcare, education, energy, waste and water management.

JICA will provide $14 million in grant support, while NSIA contributes up to $20 million to match the grant.

Structured as an onshore public fund, the initiative combines financial support with technical assistance to help startups refine products, scale operations, and expand into new markets.

The fund is expected to create jobs, improve livelihoods, and contribute to sustainable economic development across Nigeria.

Speaking at the agreement signing ceremony between NSIA and JICA at the Ministry of Budget and Economic Planning, Mr Aminu Umar-Sadiq, the chief executive of NSIA, said: “The Fund represents a transformative step for Nigeria’s startup ecosystem. By providing early-stage ventures in high-impact sectors with the capital and support they need to grow, we are enabling innovators to tackle some of Nigeria’s most pressing challenges. Our collaboration with JICA underscores our commitment to entrepreneurship, inclusive growth, and sustainable development.”

Preparations are underway to operationalise the Fund and develop a pipeline of high-impact startups ready for investment. NSIA remains committed to advancing socio-economic development through strategic partnerships that scale impact, expand innovative solutions, and unlock access to capital.

On his part, the Japanese Ambassador to Nigeria, Mr Suzuki Hideo, said, “The Government of Japan hopes this new project will take root in Nigeria and bear fruit swiftly.”

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