Connect with us

Economy

Dec 2016 Inflation Rate Expected to Shrink to 18.44%

Published

on

inflation-nigeria

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

FSDH Securities Ltd has predicted that Nigeria’s inflation rate for December 2016 is expected to “marginally to 18.44 percent from 18.48 percent recorded in the month of November 2016.”

In its latest report, the firm explained this fall would be driven by lower than anticipated price increases within the Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages division, as well as the base effect.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release the inflation rate for the month of December 2016 on January 13, 2016 based on the information on the twitter handle of the Statistician General of the Federation and Chief Executive Officer of the NBS.

The monthly Food Price Index (FPI) released by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) shows that the FPI remained relatively the same in December. The Index was marginally down by 0.07 percent, compared with its revised November figure. Year-on-year (YoY), it grew by 12.02 percent.

According to the FAO, the performance of the Index was largely driven by a sharp fall in sugar prices. The FAO Sugar Index fell by 8.56 percent, on the back of the weakening Brazilian currency against the US Dollar.

Also, favourable reports emanating from the main producing region (Central South) contributed to the fall in prices. YoY, the Index rose by 26.34 percent.

The FAO Meat Price Index was down by 1.09 percent, as all meat categories recorded lower prices in December 2016.

On the flip side, the FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index appreciated by 4.22 percent. The rebound was primarily driven by lower global inventory level for palm oil. YoY, the Index appreciated by 29.31 percent in December 2016. The FAO Dairy Index appreciated by 3.35 percent from November 2016, as a result of weaker dairy production in the European Union (EU) and Oceania.

The Index recorded a YoY growth of 28.83 percent. The FAO Cereal Price Index increased marginally by 0.50 percent, mainly due to the increase in the prices of rice and maize. YoY, the Index declined by 6.25 percent.

Analysis by the FSDH Securities Ltd indicates that the value of the Naira remained stable at the inter-bank market while it depreciated at the parallel market by 2.65 percent to close at $/N491 from $/N478 at the end of November.

The depreciation in the parallel market led to an increase in the prices of imported consumer goods in Nigeria between the two months under review.

The prices of food items that FSDH Research monitored in December 2016 moved in varying directions.

The prices of vegetable oil, palm oil, meat, fish, sweet potatoes, onions and Irish potatoes were up by 25 percent, 21 percent, 14.2 percent, 12.5 percent, 7.1 percent, 4.2 percent and 4.17 percent respectively.

The prices of tomatoes and beans were down by 5 percent and 4.49 percent respectively. The prices of rice, garri, and yam remained unchanged. The movement in the prices of food items during the month resulted in a 1.04 percent increase in our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index to 216.99 points.

FSDH Securities Ltd said it also noticed increases in the prices of Clothing and Footwear; Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels divisions between November and December 2016.

It emphasised that its model indicates that the price movements in the consumer goods and services in December 2016 would increase the Composite Consumer Price Index (CCPI) to 213.35 points, representing a month-on-month increase of 0.96 percent.

“We estimate that the increase in the CCPI in December will produce an inflation rate of 18.44 percent,” FSDH Securities Ltd stated in its report.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Economy

Naira Falls to N1,500/$1 at Official Market, Appreciates to N1,570/$1 at Black Market

Published

on

paying remittances in Naira

By Adedapo Adesanya

For the fourth consecutive trading session, the value of the Nigerian currency, the Naira, depreciated against the US Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) on Thursday by 0.06 per cent or N89 Kobo to trade at N1,500.65/$1 compared with the previous day’s value of N1,499.76/$1.

However, the Naira improved its value against the Pound Sterling in the official market yesterday by N8.19 to sell for N1,859.98/£1 compared with Wednesday’s closing price of N1,868.17/£1, but against the Euro, the local currency depreciated by N1.77 to settle at N1,555.18/€1, in contrast to midweek’s value of nN1,553.41/€1.

At the black market, the local currency gained N20 against the greenback during the session to quote at N1,570/$1 versus the N1,590/$1 it was traded a day earlier.

In the cryptocurrency market, it was majorly red on Thursday due to profit-taking as the US Securities and Exchange Commission took the first step toward allowing new crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking the price of assets like Litecoin and Solana, as well as new ways of redeeming funds from existing crypto ETFs.

Meanwhile, companies took another step toward launching Ripple (XRP) ETFs in a further sign of the new crypto-friendlier administration at the agency.

Data indicated that Cardano (ADA) went down by 5.1 per cent to trade at $0.7169, Solana (SOL) slumped by 4.8 per cent to finish at $192.63, and Dogecoin (DOGE) depreciated by 4.5 per cent to sell at $0.2509.

In addition, Ethereum (ETH) went down by 4.3 per cent to close at $2,713.47, Ripple (XRP) weakened by 3.6 per cent to end at $2.36, Litecoin (LTC) retreated by 1.9 per cent to close at $103.95, and Bitcoin (BTC) dipped by 0.5 per cent to sell for $97,344.70.

However, the price of Binance Coin (BNB) went up by 0.4 per cent to trade at $579.91, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 apiece.

Continue Reading

Economy

Buying Pressure Buoys NGX All-Share Index by 0.10%

Published

on

All-Share Index NGX

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited witnessed continued buying interest from offshore and domestic investors on Thursday, strengthening the market further by 0.10 per cent at the close of transactions.

Data revealed that the All-Share Index (ASI) was up by 105.26 points yesterday to 105,430.15 points from the preceding day’s 105,324.89 points, and the market capitalisation expanded by N65 billion to close at N65.287 trillion compared with the previous session’s N65.222 trillion.

Business Post observed that the market participants showed interest in equities across the key sectors of the exchange because of their prospects to yield better value later.

The insurance counter gained 0.63 per cent, the consumer goods index appreciated by 0.18 per cent, the energy index improved by 0.13 per cent, the banking space jumped by 0.09 per cent, and the industrial goods industry grew by 0.04 per cent.

Eterna chalked up 9.88 per cent to trade at N33.35, Cadbury Nigeria also gained 9.88 per cent to finish at N26.70, Fidson increased its value by 9.77 per cent to N19.10, UPDC rose by 9.77 per cent to N2.36, and Deap Capital soared by 9.38 per cent to N1.05.

On the flip side, Tripple G lost 9.72 per cent to end at N2.23, Golden Breweries receded by 8.91 per cent to N7.87, Veritas Kapital slumped by 7.81 per cent to N1.18, Caverton dipped by 5.53 per cent to N2.05, and Regency Alliance slipped by 4.05 per cent to 71 Kobo.

When the bourse closed for the session, there were 33 price advancers and 23 price decliners, indicating a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.

Yesterday, investors bought and sold 537.2 million shares valued at N23.0 billion in 15,450 deals versus the 1.1 billion shares worth N28.8 billion traded in 15,080 deals on Wednesday, representing a rise in the number of deals by 2.45 per cent, and a decline in the trading volume and value by 49.19 per cent and 20.14 per cent, respectively.

Access Holdings led the activity log with 61.6 million stocks valued at N1.7 billion, Sterling Holdings exchanged 50.2 million equities for N296.2 million, Zenith Bank traded 40.5 million shares worth N2.0 billion, FBN Holdings sold 38.8 million equities valued at N1.3 billion, and UPDC transacted 23.6 million stocks worth N54.4 million.

Continue Reading

Economy

Crude Oil Market Dips as Trump Reiterates US Plans to Boost Production

Published

on

crude oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The crude oil market continued its downward movement on Thursday after the US President, Mr Donald Trump, repeated a pledge to raise his country’s oil production.

Consequently, the price of Brent crude futures fell by 32 cents or 0.4 per cent to $74.29 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude declined by 42 cents or 0.6 per cent to $70.61 per barrel.

President Trump repeated a pledge to boost US production in a bid to lower oil prices and ease consumer inflation. The US is already the biggest crude producer in the world.

This move unnerved traders a day after the country reported a much bigger-than-anticipated jump in crude stockpiles.

Market analysts have questioned whether US oil producers will be willing to pump more barrels in the current market especially with Trump’s tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports looming.

US government data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed domestic crude stockpiles rose by 8.7 million barrels last week on Wednesday.

Prices also drew support from new US sanctions against individuals and entities for facilitating shipments of Iranian oil to China.

This is as President Trump reimposed a maximum pressure campaign against Iran, but also said he was open to a deal with the oil producing country.

The US said the tankers onboarded Iranian crude from storage in China as part of a scheme involving Iran’s military, which stands to profit from the sale of the oil.

The sanctions block access of the individuals and entities to any of their assets in the US and prohibit US foreign assistance.

China is also not sitting on its oars, it responded to the US blanket tariff of 10 per cent on all Chinese imports with several measured retaliatory tariffs, including a 15 per cent levy on LNG and 10 per cent on crude oil imports from the US.

US crude exports could slide to 3.6 million barrels per day this year, especially if the Trump Administration enacts the tariffs on Mexico and Canada – currently on pause until March 4.

Amid these developments, Saudi Arabia’s state oil company, Aramco has sharply raised prices for buyers in Asia.

Continue Reading

Trending