Economy
Dec 2016 Inflation Rate Expected to Shrink to 18.44%

By Modupe Gbadeyanka
FSDH Securities Ltd has predicted that Nigeria’s inflation rate for December 2016 is expected to “marginally to 18.44 percent from 18.48 percent recorded in the month of November 2016.”
In its latest report, the firm explained this fall would be driven by lower than anticipated price increases within the Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages division, as well as the base effect.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release the inflation rate for the month of December 2016 on January 13, 2016 based on the information on the twitter handle of the Statistician General of the Federation and Chief Executive Officer of the NBS.
The monthly Food Price Index (FPI) released by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) shows that the FPI remained relatively the same in December. The Index was marginally down by 0.07 percent, compared with its revised November figure. Year-on-year (YoY), it grew by 12.02 percent.
According to the FAO, the performance of the Index was largely driven by a sharp fall in sugar prices. The FAO Sugar Index fell by 8.56 percent, on the back of the weakening Brazilian currency against the US Dollar.
Also, favourable reports emanating from the main producing region (Central South) contributed to the fall in prices. YoY, the Index rose by 26.34 percent.
The FAO Meat Price Index was down by 1.09 percent, as all meat categories recorded lower prices in December 2016.
On the flip side, the FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index appreciated by 4.22 percent. The rebound was primarily driven by lower global inventory level for palm oil. YoY, the Index appreciated by 29.31 percent in December 2016. The FAO Dairy Index appreciated by 3.35 percent from November 2016, as a result of weaker dairy production in the European Union (EU) and Oceania.
The Index recorded a YoY growth of 28.83 percent. The FAO Cereal Price Index increased marginally by 0.50 percent, mainly due to the increase in the prices of rice and maize. YoY, the Index declined by 6.25 percent.
Analysis by the FSDH Securities Ltd indicates that the value of the Naira remained stable at the inter-bank market while it depreciated at the parallel market by 2.65 percent to close at $/N491 from $/N478 at the end of November.
The depreciation in the parallel market led to an increase in the prices of imported consumer goods in Nigeria between the two months under review.
The prices of food items that FSDH Research monitored in December 2016 moved in varying directions.
The prices of vegetable oil, palm oil, meat, fish, sweet potatoes, onions and Irish potatoes were up by 25 percent, 21 percent, 14.2 percent, 12.5 percent, 7.1 percent, 4.2 percent and 4.17 percent respectively.
The prices of tomatoes and beans were down by 5 percent and 4.49 percent respectively. The prices of rice, garri, and yam remained unchanged. The movement in the prices of food items during the month resulted in a 1.04 percent increase in our Food and Non-Alcoholic Index to 216.99 points.
FSDH Securities Ltd said it also noticed increases in the prices of Clothing and Footwear; Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels divisions between November and December 2016.
It emphasised that its model indicates that the price movements in the consumer goods and services in December 2016 would increase the Composite Consumer Price Index (CCPI) to 213.35 points, representing a month-on-month increase of 0.96 percent.
“We estimate that the increase in the CCPI in December will produce an inflation rate of 18.44 percent,” FSDH Securities Ltd stated in its report.
Economy
NASD Bourse Edges Up 0.23% as NSI Nears 3,970 Points
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further appreciated by 0.23 per cent on Thursday, April 23, with the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) adding 8.99 points to close at 3,969.96 points against the previous day’s 3,968 points.
The rise in the share price of Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc by N2.86 to N69.34 per unit from N66.48 per unit raised the market capitalisation of the NASD bourse by N5.38 billion to N2.380 trillion from N2.375 trillion.
Yesterday, there were two price losers, led by Food Concepts Plc, which lost 29 Kobo to sell at N2.65 per share versus N2.94 per share, while UBN Property Plc dipped by 22 Kobo to N2.03 per unit from N2.25 per unit.
During the session, the volume of securities traded declined by 97.9 per cent to 451,522 units from 21.5 million units on Wednesday, the value of securities depreciated by 52.32 per cent to N23.6 million from N49.5 million, and the number of deals depreciated by 3.6 per cent to 27 deals from 28 deals.
At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 59.5 million units exchanged for N4.0 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units sold for N1.2 billion.
Economy
Naira Weakens to N1,353/$ at Official Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
Fresh foreign exchange (forex) demand pressure saw the Naira depreciate against the United States Dollar in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Thursday, April 22, by N5.46 or 0.4 per cent to trade at N1,353.91/$1 compared with the preceding day’s value of N1,348.45/$1.
It was the same outcome for the local currency in the official market after it depreciated against the Pound Sterling by N4.13 to close at N1,825.88/£1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,821.75/£1, and against the Euro, it dropped 72 Kobo to finish at N1,582.72/€1 versus N1,582.00/€1.
But the Nigerian Naira appreciated against the US Dollar at the GTBank FX desk by N2 during the session to quote at N1,361/$1 compared with Wednesday’s closing price of N1,361/$1, and at the parallel market, it closed flat at N1,375/$1.
FX Pressure came as data showed that NFEM interbank turnover was N28.117 million, lower than the N66.084 million recorded the previous day.
Concerns over liquidity pressures, policy transparency, and confidence in Nigeria’s FX market continue to grip the market while the country’s foreign reserve declines further, even as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) recently said that the recent decline in Nigeria’s external reserves should not be a cause for concern.
Global developments also played a significant role, as rising geopolitical tensions boosted demand for the US Dollar, further weakening emerging market currencies, including the Naira.
As for the cryptocurrency market, there was a mixed outcome as traders reacted to rising geopolitical tensions from the Iran war and fresh inflation data from Japan.
Japanese inflation ticked higher in March, stoking expectations that the Bank of Japan may soon signal rate hikes, which could strengthen the yen and unsettle global risk assets.
The Iran conflict has disrupted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, raising energy costs and inflation risks worldwide and potentially complicating efforts by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
Ethereum (ETH) declined by 1.8 per cent to $2,316.53, Bitcoin (BTC) lost 0.6 per cent to sell at $77,935.53, Solana (SOL) fell by 0.5 per cent to $85.67, and Binance Coin (BNB) dropped 0.4 per cent to sell for $634.85.
However, Dogecoin (DOGE) appreciated by 1.4 per cent to $0.0976, Ripple (XRP) grew by 0.7 per cent to $1.43, Cardano (ADA) expanded by 0.6 per cent to $0.2493, and TRON (TRX) improved by 0.2 per cent to $0.3279, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) traded flat at $1.00 each.
Economy
NB Plc’s Strong Recovery, Improved Profitability Excite Shareholders
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The resilience shown by Nigerian Breweries Plc in the 2025 fiscal year, despite a volatile macroeconomic environment, which consumed several businesses, has not got without notice.
Shareholders of the brewery giant applauded the board and management for the strong recovery and improved profitability recorded in the year.
At the company’s 80th Annual General Meeting (AGM) on Wednesday, April 22, 2026, in Lagos, they attributed these achievements to disciplined cost management and a significant reduction in finance expenses.
“We are proud of how the company has withstood the ups and downs of a challenging environment. The return to profitability and the reversal of the negative cash position recorded in the previous two financial years are commendable,” a member of the Noble Shareholders Association, Mr Owolabi Opeyemi, said at the gathering.
Also, the immediate past Secretary of the Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria (ISAN), Mr Eke Emmanuel, noted that the company’s resilience reflects strong leadership and a sound strategic direction.
“It is good news that we have been here for 80 years. There is no reason why we will not be here for the next 80 years with what we have achieved. To return to this level of profitability and cash position shows the Board has done an enormous amount of work,” he said.
Addressing investors at the AGM, the board chairman, Mrs Juliet Anammah, expressed confidence that the company is firmly on a recovery path following the net losses recorded in the past two years due to macroeconomic pressures and fiscal reforms.
She thanked shareholders for their continued support and reaffirmed that the company will build on its 2025 performance as it accelerates growth ambitions.
“We have a solid foundation built over eight decades, anchored on a strong portfolio of brands, an extensive nationwide sales and supply chain network, ongoing digital transformation, and most importantly, our people. These strengths remain critical to sustaining our leadership position,” the former chief executive of Jumia Nigeria said.
Ms Anammah also addressed the company’s dividend position, noting that the decision not to declare a dividend reflects the need to rebuild retained earnings impacted by prior macroeconomic shocks, particularly foreign exchange-related losses.
“We recognise the importance of dividend payments to our shareholders and sincerely appreciate your continued understanding. While we are not declaring a dividend at this time due to negative retained earnings, we are working diligently to restore the company’s financial position and return to dividend payments as soon as it is sustainable to do so,” she added.
She further noted that the board remains vigilant to external risks, including the Middle East crisis and broader macroeconomic challenges, which may impact the pace of improvement in the 2026 financial year.
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