Economy
Despite CBN RT200 FX Programme, Forex Scarcity Worsens
By Dipo Olowookere
Over a year ago, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) announced that it was coming up with an initiative designed to attract $200 billion inflow from non-oil exports over the next three to five years.
The initiative, the RT200 FX programme, was to ensure exporters channel their inflow through the official window and sell it through the Investors and Exporters (I&E) segment of the foreign exchange (forex) market.
While speaking in November 2022 at the second edition of the RT200 Export Summit in Lagos, the governor of the CBN, Mr Godwin Emefiele, informed the audience that about $4.987 billion had been repatriated into the country by non-oil exporters, higher than the $3.190 billion achieved in 2021, noting that, “Of this amount, only $1.966 billion qualified for the rebate program, and $1.559 billion was sold at the I&E window or for own use.”
He stated that the central bank had met just 3 per cent of the RT200 FX target in nine months.
Business Post observed that this scheme, designed to boost FX supply in the country, has not solved the liquidity crisis in Nigeria, as many customers are unable to access forex.
Also, the external reserves of the nation have continued to deplete very fast despite a slight improvement in the prices of crude oil benchmarks in the global market.
Data obtained by this newspaper from the CBN showed that as of Monday, April 3, 2023, the amount left in the reserves stood at $35.415 billion, 0.64 per cent or $228 million lower than the $35.643 billion as of Monday, March 27, 2023.
It was observed that customers who approach banks for FX have been finding it difficult to get allocation because of a shortage in supply.
Also, withdrawing forex from domiciliary accounts has been cumbersome for many customers as banks are unable to honour their requests, and when asked to transfer to another domiciliary account, this is only honoured if the receiver operates such an account with the same bank.
“I went to withdraw from my domiciliary account last week, but I was told it was impossible because there was no cash available. When I requested to have the funds transferred to a forex trader, who uses another bank, I was informed it would not be possible except I get someone who operates a domiciliary account with my bank,” a customer of one of the tier-1 banks, who identified himself as Mr Kingsley Oche, told this reporter.
Similarly, commercial banks in the country have blocked the transfer of funds into cards from foreign payment platforms like PayPal.
Before now, Nigerians doing remote jobs get payments via PayPal and transfer their funds through prepaid and debit cards of Nigerian banks, but most of them have been unable to get their funds since December 2022 because of the FX crisis in the country.
“I am already frustrated by this forex issue in the country,” Mr Goke Akinsanya told this newspaper, noting that this situation has left him without much to spend.
Also, those who receive funds from International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOs) like Western Union have been having a slight challenge getting their money over-the-counter in Nigeria because of the forex scarcity.
However, there are indications that things might get better when the next administration takes charge of the control of the economy next month.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Pension Commission (PenCom) has defended its decision to allow Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) to invest in the parent companies of their custodians, insisting that adequate safeguards are in place to protect contributors’ funds.
The director-general of the pension regulator, Ms Omolola Oloworaran, speaking on Tuesday during the Meet the Press Briefing at the Presidential Villa, Abuja, said the commission’s decision to relax the investment restriction followed a comprehensive risk assessment that found minimal conflict of interest.
She explained that under PenCom’s investment regulations, PFAs are only permitted to invest pension assets in carefully selected instruments that meet stringent criteria, including profitability, strong credit ratings and proven track records.
According to her, the commission regularly reviews its investment regulations, conducts routine examinations and spot checks on PFAs to ensure strict compliance with established risk management guidelines.
“PFAs cannot just go into the stock market and buy any kind of stock. There are strict guidelines. Companies must demonstrate profitability, have a proven track record and satisfy other criteria before pension funds can invest,” she said.
Ms Oloworaran noted that each PFA also operates under the oversight of a board, an investment committee and a risk management committee, providing additional layers of governance to safeguard contributors’ funds.
She said PenCom recently issued a circular allowing PFAs to invest in the parent companies of their custodians after determining that the potential conflict of interest was negligible.
The PenCom boss explained that the parent companies involved are largely Tier-1 banks, including First Bank, United Bank for Africa (UBA) and Zenith Bank, which she described as A-rated institutions with strong financial foundations.
She said the policy was intended to widen investment opportunities for pension funds without compromising safety.
Using Stanbic IBTC as an example, Ms Oloworaran explained that if its custodian is Zenith Bank, the previous restriction prevented the pension administrator from investing in Zenith Bank shares despite the bank’s strong performance.
“We reviewed the risks and any potential conflict of interest and found the risks to be very low. That is why we opened that investment window,” she said.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Analysts at Meristem Research have predicted that the inflation rate for June 2026 in Nigeria should marginally rise to 15.95 per cent on a year-on-year basis from the 15.93 per cent reported in May 2026.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release inflation numbers for last month later today, Wednesday, July 15, 2026.
In its report sighted by Business Post, Meristem Research said it expects inflationary pressures to re-emerge across key economies in the near term, as the re-escalation of the US-Iran conflict has reignited upward pressure on global oil prices.
It disclosed that this marks a sharp reversal from most of June, when the ceasefire between the two countries helped drive oil prices lower, raising expectations of some relief on the inflation front.
With conflicts now flaring up again, oil prices are likely to increase again, and the anticipated easing in energy-driven inflation may not materialise as broadly as earlier envisaged.
“Nonetheless, some relief is likely from the food segment, where robust supply conditions across major producing regions and softening demand should continue to ease food price pressures,” it stated.
The team also explained that it projected a 15.95 per cent inflation rate because of the lingering effects of persistent food price pressures.
“However, we expect core inflation to moderate as the sharp reversal in energy prices begins to filter through to transportation, distribution, and other energy-related costs, easing underlying price pressures.
“On a month-on-month basis, the combined effect of lower petrol prices, a relatively stable Naira, and the gradual pass-through of reduced energy costs across the supply chain should exert further downward pressure on inflation.
“Based on our assessment, food inflation is expected to remain the key swing factor, as seasonal pre-harvest supply constraints are likely to offset some of the gains from lower logistics costs,” it said.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc and Afriland Properties Plc weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 1.61 per cent on Tuesday, July 14.
CSCS Plc saw its stock value drop N9.08 to close at N82.40 per share compared with the preceding session’s N91.48 per share, and Afriland Properties Plc slid by 17 Kobo to sell at N15.00 per unit versus N15.70 per unit.
The losses recorded by the two securities pulled back the market capitalisation by N41.64 billion to N2.546 trillion from N2.587 trillion, and cracked the NASD Security Index (NSI) by 69.36 points to 4,242.31 points from 4,311.67 points.
It was observed that the exchange witnessed two price advancers during the session, led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which gained N1.37 to end at N151.37 per share compared with the previous day’s N150.00 per share, and Food Concepts Plc chalked up 5 Kobo to settle at N2.50 per unit versus N2.45 per unit.
The volume of securities traded by market participants surged by 50.7 per cent to 13.7 million units from the previous 9.1 million units, while the value of securities went down by 79.7 per cent to N65.2 million from N320.4 million, and the number of deals crashed by 3.6 per cent to 27 deals from the previous session’s 28 deals.
At the close of transactions, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with the sale of 3.4 billion units for N8.4 billion, trailed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc, which exchanged 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 73.9 million units transacted for N5.2 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the trading day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units traded for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.7 million.
