Economy
Drop in US Inventories, Improved Demand Spur 2% Rise in Brent

By Adedapo Adesanya
News that oil inventories fell in the largest producing country, the United States, boosted major oil benchmarks by 2 per cent on Wednesday backed by hopes that fuel demand will withstand the coronavirus pandemic.
The international benchmark, Brent crude futures was up by 84 cents or 1.89 per cent at $45.34 per barrel, while the US benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures increased by 95 cents or 2.28 per cent to $42.56 per barrel.
Prices had found support when data from the American government through the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday showed that crude inventories fell by 4.5 million barrels.
This marked a consecutive week of output drops after it fell to 10.7 million barrels per day from 11 million barrels in the previous week, according to the report.
Another industry group, the American Petroleum Institute (API), reported a weekly decrease of roughly 4 million barrels, according to data released on Wednesday.
The biggest obstacle for the oil market continues to be the uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus and with the global tally for confirmed cases of the coronavirus at more than 20.7 million, there are still some fears about demand worries.
Meanwhile, in a monthly report issued Wednesday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said it now expects global oil demand growth to fall by 9.1 million barrels a day this year to 90.6 million barrels per day, due mainly to lower economic activity levels in developing economies.
The expected decline in demand growth is 100,000 barrels a day lower than last month’s forecast, spelling hope that the market might hold on through the pandemic.
“The forecast assumes that COVID-19 will largely be contained globally, with no further major disruptions to the global economy,” OPEC said in its report.
However, it added that “the global economic growth forecast for 2020 is revised down to -4.0 per cent compared to last month’s forecast of -3.7 per cent, following a further negative impact from the COVID-19 pandemic.”
Demand growth in 2021 is expected to rise by 7 million to 97.6 million barrels per day unchanged from July’s forecast while demand for OPEC crude in 2021 is anticipated to average 29.3 million barrels per day in 2021, around 5.9 million barrels per day higher than the average of 2020.
The COVID-19 pandemic, which began in the first quarter of 2020, has quickly spread around the world, causing a recession in the global economy as well as an unprecedented shock in global oil demand, leading to a large supply glut on the oil market.
Another factor that could boost the market, however, remains undecided. Investors are now showing uncertainty over the indecision in the US over a stimulus package meant to support recovery from the pandemic and this may weigh on prices.
Economy
Nigeria’s Oil Production Drops 64,000b/d to 1.401m/d in April 2025

By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria’s average daily crude oil production declined by 64,000 barrels per day or 4.4 per cent to 1.401 million barrels per day in April 2025 from 1.465 million barrels per day recorded in the preceding month (March).
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) April Monthly Oil Market Report revealed this, saying the numbers are based on direct communication from the producing countries.
The report also indicated that oil production fell by 6.6 per cent below OPEC’s 1.5 million barrels per day quota, and approximately 32 per cent belief of the country’s 2025 budget target of 2.06 million barrels per day.
Nigeria’s persistent shortfalls in meeting government production targets comes from challenges such as underinvestment and rampant oil theft, all contributing to suppressed output.
Nigeria’s oil production peaked at 2.5 million barrels decades ago and despite ambitious 3-4 million barrels promises by subsequent governments, the highest actualisation in recent times have been 1.8 million barrels per day.
The decline in oil production since then and the falling oil prices in the international market are likely to strain fiscal revenues, worsening budgetary pressures
Market analysts have pointed out that this will impact national reserves, thereby reducing the availability of resources for developmental spending.
While the government has no control over global oil prices, it can, to some extent, meet its OPEC production quota.
Therefore, the government must intensify efforts by enforcing stricter penalties for oil theft, while fostering greater collaboration with local communities.
Simultaneously, there is a need to attract investment in the sector by ensuring that regulatory bodies and the judiciary work together to provide an enabling environment for investment and modernisation of oil infrastructure.
Economy
USDT/Naira Stablecoin Pair Emerges Most Traded on Crypto Exchanges

By Modupe Gbadeyanka
A new report has shown the wide adoption of digital currencies in Nigeria despite efforts by the authorities to discourage the use of crypto.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has yet to lift the ban of crypto transactions through the banking system in the country after almost five years.
In a report made available to Business Post by a venture capital firm, Hashed Emergent, it was stated that the USDT/Naira stablecoin pair has become the most traded on centralized exchanges, with stablecoin transfers in Nigeria nearing $3 billion in the first quarter of 2024, signalling the practical adoption of blockchain for real-world challenges like inflation and cross-border payments.
Last year, Nigeria ranked second globally for crypto adoption, according to Chainalysis, with $59 billion in crypto value received—$24 billion of that in stablecoins.
Stablecoin trading has overtaken Bitcoin trading on centralized exchanges, reflecting changing behaviour: for many, crypto is not speculative—it’s practical; it is how people hedge against inflation, send money, and make real-world payments.
According to the report, national agencies and multiple state governments are already implementing blockchain-based solutions across areas like identity verification, land registries, education records, and healthcare systems.
These aren’t pilots; they’re operational systems designed to improve transparency, efficiency, and trust in public services.
However, integration into existing public infrastructure remains a key challenge. Many legacy systems lack the technical readiness or interoperability needed for seamless adoption, and institutional capacity gaps—such as limited digital skills and fragmented procurement processes—continue to slow implementation.
Without addressing these bottlenecks, the long-term impact of public sector blockchain adoption may remain limited despite early momentum.
Economy
ExxonMobil Plans $1.5bn Investment in Usan Deepwater Oil Field

By Adedapo Adesanya
ExxonMobil is planning a $1.5 billion investment in deepwater exploration and development of the Usan oilfield in Nigeria.
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) revealed this in a statement, noting that commitment will be implemented between this current quarter (Q2 2025) and 2027.
This announcement, it said, was made during a visit by ExxonMobil’s Managing Director in Nigeria, Mr Shane Harris, to the Commission’s Chief Executive of the NUPRC, Mr Gbenga Komolafe.
The company proposed a Final Investment Decision (FID) for late Q3 2025, subject to final Field Development Plan (FDP) approval as well as internal and partner funding approvals, the upstream regulator added.
According to the NUPRC, this is in addition to investment targeted at the accelerated development of the Owowo and Erha deepwater oil fields, amongst others.
Mr Harris, while speaking, stated that the planned capital deployment reflects ExxonMobil’s confidence in Nigeria’s upstream potential and its dedication to playing a pivotal role in the sector’s growth.
He also voiced ExxonMobil’s support for the NUPRC’s “Project 1 Million Barrels” initiative, which aims to increase Nigeria’s crude oil production to 2.4 million barrels per day in the medium term.
The initiative has gotten commitments from other oil firms operating in the country since it was floated last year.
On his part, the NUPRC Chief Executive, Mr Komolafe, welcomed the announcement, reaffirming the NUPRC’s role as a business enabler and pledging regulatory support to facilitate ExxonMobil’s operations.
Mr Komolafe highlighted the importance of sustained collaboration between regulators and investors to meet Nigeria’s production and energy security goals, highlighting compliance with the Domestic Crude Supply Obligation (DCSO) and the need for transparent pricing and accountability in the sector.
“The commission is committed to the implementation of Section 109 of the PIA, which addresses the subject of willing buyer, willing seller, and we urge producers to comply,” he stated.
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