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Economy

Drop in US Inventories, Improved Demand Spur 2% Rise in Brent

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brent crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

News that oil inventories fell in the largest producing country, the United States, boosted major oil benchmarks by 2 per cent on Wednesday backed by hopes that fuel demand will withstand the coronavirus pandemic.

The international benchmark, Brent crude futures was up by 84 cents or 1.89 per cent at $45.34 per barrel, while the US benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures increased by 95 cents or 2.28 per cent to $42.56 per barrel.

Prices had found support when data from the American government through the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday showed that crude inventories fell by 4.5 million barrels.

This marked a consecutive week of output drops after it fell to 10.7 million barrels per day from 11 million barrels in the previous week, according to the report.

Another industry group, the American Petroleum Institute (API), reported a weekly decrease of roughly 4 million barrels, according to data released on Wednesday.

The biggest obstacle for the oil market continues to be the uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus and with the global tally for confirmed cases of the coronavirus at more than 20.7 million, there are still some fears about demand worries.

Meanwhile, in a monthly report issued Wednesday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said it now expects global oil demand growth to fall by 9.1 million barrels a day this year to 90.6 million barrels per day, due mainly to lower economic activity levels in developing economies.

The expected decline in demand growth is 100,000 barrels a day lower than last month’s forecast, spelling hope that the market might hold on through the pandemic.

“The forecast assumes that COVID-19 will largely be contained globally, with no further major disruptions to the global economy,” OPEC said in its report.

However, it added that “the global economic growth forecast for 2020 is revised down to -4.0 per cent compared to last month’s forecast of -3.7 per cent, following a further negative impact from the COVID-19 pandemic.”

Demand growth in 2021 is expected to rise by 7 million to 97.6 million barrels per day unchanged from July’s forecast while demand for OPEC crude in 2021 is anticipated to average 29.3 million barrels per day in 2021, around 5.9 million barrels per day higher than the average of 2020.

The COVID-19 pandemic, which began in the first quarter of 2020, has quickly spread around the world, causing a recession in the global economy as well as an unprecedented shock in global oil demand, leading to a large supply glut on the oil market.

Another factor that could boost the market, however, remains undecided. Investors are now showing uncertainty over the indecision in the US over a stimulus package meant to support recovery from the pandemic and this may weigh on prices.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

NASD OTC Exchange Gains N26.99bn as Investors Drive 1.04% Rally

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NASD OTC exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange jumped 1.04 per cent on Wednesday, June 17, with the market capitalisation adding N26.99 billion to settle at N2.619 trillion compared with the previous session’s N2.592 trillion, and the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) rising by 45.1 points to close at 4,378.45 points, in contrast to the preceding day’s 4,333.35 points.

The rally was driven by the gains reported by two securities, which outweighed the losses posted by three securities, led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which dipped by N1.95 to N178.19 per unit from N180.14 per unit. Geo-Fluids Plc lost 19 Kobo to close at N2.61 per share compared with Tuesday’s closing price of N2.80 per share, and Food Concepts Plc slid by 1 Kobo to N1.77 per unit from N1.78 per unit.

On the flip side, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc recorded a N6.33 appreciation to trade at N86.57 per share versus the previous day’s N80.24 per share, and Light House Financial Services Plc grew by 10 Kobo to N1.13 per unit from the N1.03 per unit it closed a day earlier.

In the midweek session, the value of stocks traded by investors surged by 181.0 per cent to N128.3 million from the preceding session’s N45.6 million, the volume of securities increased by 305.6 per cent to 2.8 million units from Tuesday’s 688,290 units, and the number of deals executed jumped by 6.5 per cent to 33 deals from 31 deals.

At the close of trades, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 67.3 million units exchanged for N4.6 billion.

GNI Plc also ended as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.

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Economy

Ayobo-Ipaja LCDA Explores Commercial Ostrich, Crocodile Farming

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ostrich and Crocodile Farming

By Dipo Olowookere

As part of moves to boost its internally generated revenue (IGR) and increase its streams of income, Ayobo-Ipaja Local Council Development Area (LCDA) is considering commercial ostrich and crocodile farming.

The council recently held a sensitisation programme, where agribusiness experts engaged stakeholders, including residents and entrepreneurs, on the viability of this.

The programme provided participants with the knowledge on investment requirements, training opportunities, startup funding, and regulatory frameworks guiding ostrich and crocodile farming in Nigeria.

The chairman of Ayobo-Ipaja LCDA, Mr Lukmon Agbaje, commended the initiative, reiterating his administration’s commitment to promoting innovative agricultural practices as a pathway to sustainable development.

He described agriculture as a critical driver of economic transformation, stressing that modern farming has evolved into a profitable business venture with immense potential for youth empowerment and enterprise development.

Mr Agbaje further assured participants of the council’s readiness to partner with investors, agricultural institutions, and other relevant stakeholders to facilitate training, capacity building, and access to opportunities across the agricultural value chain.

On his part, the council’s Head of Department of Agriculture, Mr Wale Atepe, emphasised the growing market demand for products such as leather, meat, feathers, and other valuable by-products, adding that strategic investment in the sector could unlock significant opportunities for employment, wealth creation, and export earnings.

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Economy

Naira Tumbles to N1,360/$1 at Official Market

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Official FX Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira depreciated against the United States Dollar by 0.21 per cent or N2.89 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, June 17, to N1,360.07/$1 from Tuesday’s closing rate of N1,357.18/$1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira weakened against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N4.42 to trade at N1,824.81/£1 versus the preceding session’s N1,820.39/£1, and lost N4.19 on the Euro to sell at N1,577.96/€1 compared with the previous day’s N1,573.79/€1.

However, at the GTBank segment, the local currency gained N1 against the greenback yesterday to exchange at N1,372/$1 versus N1,373/$1, and at the parallel market, it remained unchanged at N1,385/$1 at midweek.

The Naira’s performance comes amid tight inflows from exporters, non-bank corporates, and foreign investors, evidenced by the slow movement of the country’s gross external reserves level of $50.505 billion, despite muted inflows from oil sales after a recent drop in prices.

There have been reduced FX market interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) as it maintains its stance to keep the local unit stable enough to retain foreign investments.

The Nigerian government also dismissed a report suggesting that it was considering new taxes on telecommunications services and petroleum products, which would have spooked investors.

The federal government said that the reports misrepresented recommendations contained in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Article IV Consultation Report on Nigeria, explaining that the recommendations were advisory and do not constitute government policy or binding obligations on Nigeria.

In the cryptocurrency market, prices were negative as traders and investors shrugged off a signed Iran peace deal that lifted stocks, after the Federal Reserve held interest rates but made clear it is more worried about inflation than growth.

Under the new Chair, Mr Kevin Warsh, the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 3.5 per cent to 3.75 per cent,  in line with expectations, but its updated projections pointed to higher inflation and a slower pace of future rate cuts, and some officials floated the possibility that rates may still need to rise.

Cardano (ADA) slid 4.5 per cent to trade at $0.1731, Ripple (XRP) went down by 4.2 per cent to $1.16, Ethereum (ETH) shrank by 3.5 per cent to $1,727.55, Solana (SOL) lost 3.4 per cent to sell $71.05, Dogecoin (DOGE) also fell by 3.4 per cent to $0.0843, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 3.1 per cent to $587.53, and Bitcoin (BTC) crashed by 2.6 per cent to $63,892.28, while TRON (TRX) gained 0.7 per cent to finish at $0.3201, with the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closing flat at $1.00 each.

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