Economy
Expectations from US Presidential Election Lift Oil Market
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil futures finished higher, gaining more than three per cent on Monday after a deep plunge last week as investors regained confidence ahead of the United States’ presidential election on Tuesday.
Yesterday, the Brent crude oil went up by 3.22 per cent or $1.22 to $39.16 per barrel while the United States’ futures, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, appreciated by 3.3 per cent or $1.18 to $36.97 a barrel.
The oil market had been under pressure in recent days, hit by concerns about weaker fuel demand as several European countries went into lockdown to curb the coronavirus, worsened by rising cases in the US.
President Donald Trump goes head-to-head against Democratic candidate, Mr Joe Biden, in the election, which has spiked concerns nationwide about disruptions and protests that could come from the results.
According to reports, while the talk of a coronavirus stimulus package had stalled between the Democrat-controlled House of Representatives and the White House, Mr Biden plans to unleash a large government spending programme to combat the effects of coronavirus on the world’s biggest economy.
Although the concerns of weakened demand and oil supply remain the major driver in the long term, the outcome of the election could be crucial to prices in the next few days.
But on Monday, signals that a key ally of the oil cabal, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), is in discussions about possibly postponing the group’s planned output hike in January, helped prices of the commodity to rise.
Russian oil companies and Energy Minister, Mr Alexander Novak, discussed the possibility of delaying a planned OPEC+ output increase which indicates that the group won’t add more supply than the market can absorb due to affected demand over renewed lockdowns in Europe.
Countries across Europe including France, Germany, Portugal, the United Kingdom among others have reimposed lockdown measures to try to slow COVID-19 infection rates that have accelerated over the past month.
OPEC+ is now facing an increasingly complicated decision on whether to add more supply to the market when the group meets at the end of the month. The second wave of the virus around the world could push global oil demand to as low 88 to 89 million barrels a day, more than 10 per cent from 2019 levels, according to analysts.
Supply developments in Libya will also raise the possibility that the OPEC+ group will consider a delay to the taper of its planned voluntary output cuts.
OPEC and allies including Russia are cutting output by about 7.7 million bpd to support prices. This OPEC+ group is scheduled to hold a policy meeting on November 30 and December 1, with some analysts expecting a postponement of plans to ramp up output by 2 million barrels daily from January.
Libyan supply stands at about 800,000 barrels per day up more than 100,000 barrels per day and slowly moving closer to a full daily capacity of 1.2 million barrels.
Economy
Nigeria Accesses First $1.5bn from UAE Lender’s $5bn Financing Facility
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria has gotten the first tranche of its $5 billion derivatives financing arrangement with the First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB), United Arab Emirates’ largest lender.
According to a Bloomberg report published on Friday, the federal government drew about $1.5 billion over the past two weeks through a Total Return Swap (TRS) transaction with the lender.
The report stated that Nigeria will provide naira-denominated securities valued at 133.3 per cent of the loan amount as collateral for the transaction, while international financial institutions continue to express concerns about the risks associated with such derivative-based financing structures.
The financing is expected to support the government’s debt management strategy by replacing more expensive borrowings while helping finance the country’s fiscal deficit.
The first tranche is priced at 395 basis points above the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), rising to SOFR plus 400 basis points thereafter.
The transaction further expands Nigeria’s financial relationship with First Abu Dhabi Bank, which had earlier provided about $1.2 billion to support the construction of a section of the ongoing Lagos-Calabar Coastal Highway.
The swap deal has come with much scrutiny from critics and international organisations. Recall that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) after a consultation visit warned Nigeria against the deal, noting that such transactions are often opaque and complex.
“Our view is that the transactions in these types of structures carry risks. Usually they are opaque, so the terms are not always very transparent when we reviewed these instruments across countries,” according to the IMF’s mission chief in Nigeria, Mr Christian Ebeke.
Mr Ebeke said Nigeria could instead issue eurobonds to finance its deficits or other means to raise funding, including on concessional terms.
The Senate in April gave its approval to the agreement put forward by President Bola Tinubu, who said his administration intends to use proceeds from the total return swap to refinance expensive debt and pay for infrastructure.
Economy
Nigeria Needs More Taxpayers, Not Higher Taxes—Oyedele
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Taiwo Oyedele, yesterday clarified that the federal government is not increasing taxes but making efforts to raise the tax net.
Mr Oyedele made this remark on Thursday while receiving a delegation from the Chartered Institute of Taxation of Nigeria (CITN) at his office in Abuja.
He hailed the institute for introducing a National Tax Awareness Day and for supporting the current tax reforms of the federal government.
The minister charged the institute to double its effort in public enlightenment, stressing that many Nigerians still view taxation as a means for the government to take money from citizens.
He reiterated that the priority of the government is not to increase tax rates but to broaden the tax base by ensuring that all eligible taxpayers meet their obligations.
“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes.
“It is not about increasing taxes but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he said.
Nigeria is challenged by the inability to generate adequate revenue from taxation despite ongoing reforms, stressing that a significant number of eligible taxpayers have yet to fulfil their civic obligations.
He said the challenge facing the country was not necessarily about raising tax rates but ensuring that individuals and businesses that ought to pay taxes do so in a fair and transparent system.
The minister also commended the institute for supporting the federal government’s tax reform agenda and promoting public understanding of taxation, but urged it to intensify its advocacy efforts, noting that many Nigerians still harbour misconceptions about taxation.
According to him, many citizens continue to view taxation merely as a tool for the government to take money from the people rather than as a critical instrument for national development.
“We are still not getting enough revenue from taxes. It is not about increasing taxes, but making sure that those who are supposed to pay taxes. We want to promote fairness in tax administration,” he added.
Mr Oyedele stressed that if Nigeria succeeds in building an efficient and equitable tax system, the impact on infrastructure, public services and economic development would be transformative, challenging the institute to introduce annual awards for the country’s most tax-compliant individuals and organisations as a means of encouraging voluntary compliance and recognising responsible taxpayers.
Economy
Akara, Kulikuli, Roasted Corn Business Not Capital Intensive—Remi Tinubu
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Nigeria’s First Lady, Mrs Oluremi Tinubu, has given Nigerians business advice that may not involve a lot of money to start.
Speaking with newsmen recently, the wife of President Bola Tinubu said businesses like akara (fried bean cake), kulikuli (a crunchy snack from roasted peanuts or groundnuts) and roasted corn can be set up without breaking the bank.
She disclosed that to support her husband’s Renewed Hope agenda, she has provided funding packages to traders and others to the tune of N3.5 billion.
“To start akara business doesn’t take a lot of money. To start roasting corn and kuli-kuli doesn’t take much. We didn’t give them a loan; we gave it to them as a grant,” she stated.
She further said, “We’ve encouraged Nigerians as best as we could, what is within our hands, I have given, and I keep giving. Those are the things we’ve done.”
“I remember giving for TB (tuberculosis) when I heard of many TB cases; I gave N2 billion, to breast cancer, I gave N1 billion, and to [tackle] malnutrition, I gave N500 million.
“These are the things we’ve been doing to assist the government. So, we’ve had impact in agriculture, social investment, education (as scholarship and ICT training) and others. We are still open to doing more,” she disclosed.
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