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Economy

Expectations from US Presidential Election Lift Oil Market

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global oil market

By Adedapo Adesanya

Oil futures finished higher, gaining more than three per cent on Monday after a deep plunge last week as investors regained confidence ahead of the United States’ presidential election on Tuesday.

Yesterday, the Brent crude oil went up by 3.22 per cent or $1.22 to $39.16 per barrel while the United States’ futures, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, appreciated by 3.3 per cent or $1.18 to $36.97 a barrel.

The oil market had been under pressure in recent days, hit by concerns about weaker fuel demand as several European countries went into lockdown to curb the coronavirus, worsened by rising cases in the US.

President Donald Trump goes head-to-head against Democratic candidate, Mr Joe Biden, in the election, which has spiked concerns nationwide about disruptions and protests that could come from the results.

According to reports, while the talk of a coronavirus stimulus package had stalled between the Democrat-controlled House of Representatives and the White House, Mr Biden plans to unleash a large government spending programme to combat the effects of coronavirus on the world’s biggest economy.

Although the concerns of weakened demand and oil supply remain the major driver in the long term, the outcome of the election could be crucial to prices in the next few days.

But on Monday, signals that a key ally of the oil cabal, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), is in discussions about possibly postponing the group’s planned output hike in January, helped prices of the commodity to rise.

Russian oil companies and Energy Minister, Mr Alexander Novak, discussed the possibility of delaying a planned OPEC+ output increase which indicates that the group won’t add more supply than the market can absorb due to affected demand over renewed lockdowns in Europe.

Countries across Europe including France, Germany, Portugal, the United Kingdom among others have reimposed lockdown measures to try to slow COVID-19 infection rates that have accelerated over the past month.

OPEC+ is now facing an increasingly complicated decision on whether to add more supply to the market when the group meets at the end of the month. The second wave of the virus around the world could push global oil demand to as low 88 to 89 million barrels a day, more than 10 per cent from 2019 levels, according to analysts.

Supply developments in Libya will also raise the possibility that the OPEC+ group will consider a delay to the taper of its planned voluntary output cuts.

OPEC and allies including Russia are cutting output by about 7.7 million bpd to support prices. This OPEC+ group is scheduled to hold a policy meeting on November 30 and December 1, with some analysts expecting a postponement of plans to ramp up output by 2 million barrels daily from January.

Libyan supply stands at about 800,000 barrels per day up more than 100,000 barrels per day and slowly moving closer to a full daily capacity of 1.2 million barrels.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Nigerians Pay More to Buy Eggs, Beans, Garri

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garri beans eggs

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigerians paid more to buy staple foods, including eggs, beans, and garri, in March 2026 compared with what they paid in the preceding month, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The agency, in its Selected Food Prices Watch report for March 2026, released on Wednesday, said that the average price of eggs (a crate of 30 pieces) on a month-on-month basis went up by 2.00 per cent from N6,007.35 in February 2026.

However, the price of the proteinous meal decreased by 20.12 per cent on a year-on-year basis from N7,670.56 recorded in March 2025 to N6,127.63 in March 2026.

Similarly, the report said that the average price of 1kg of brown beans decreased by 49.39 per cent on a year-on-year basis from N2,616.26 in March 2025 to N1,325.85 in March 2026, but on a month-on-month basis, the price increased by 1.41 per cent from the N1,307.44 recorded in February 2026. It also showed the average price of 1kg of white garri decreased by 41.19 per cent on a year-on-year basis from N1,362.96 in March 2025 to N801.4 in March 2026, and on a month-on-month basis, it rose by 1.38 per cent from the N790.62 recorded in February 2026.

The report said that the average price of 1kg of onion decreased by 19.63 per cent from N1,434.85 recorded in March 2025 to N1,153.14 in March 2026. On a month-on-month basis, 1kg of onions increased by 1,59 per cent in March from the N1,135.12 recorded in February 2026.

The report said the average price of 1kg of fresh ginger increased by 20.46 per cent from the N4,600.23 recorded in March 2025 to N5,541.25 in March 2026. On a month-on-month basis, 1kg of ginger increased by 0.61 per cent in March from the N5,507.43 recorded in February 2026.

However, it said the average price of one litre of palm oil decreased by 4.71 per cent on a year-on-year basis from N2,511.77 recorded in March 2025 to N2,393.38 in March 2026.

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Economy

NASD Exchange Rises 1%

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NASD Exchange bullish

By Adedapo Adesanya

Four securities buoyed the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 1.00 per cent on Wednesday, May 6.

During the session, 11 Plc soared by N19.10 to sell at N210.10 per unit compared with the previous day’s N191.00 per unit, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc gained N9.90 to close at N116.80 per share versus N106.90 per share, Food Concepts Plc rose by 23 Kobo to N2.59 per unit from N2.36 per unit, and IPWA Plc increased by 3 Kobo to trade at N7.3o per share compared with the preceding day’s N7.27 per share.

As a result, the market capitalisation went up by N24.32 billion to N2.454 trillion from N2.429 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) grew by 40.64 points to 4,101.58 points from 4,060.94 points.

It was observed that at midweek, there were two price decliners led by Okitipupa Plc, which shrank by N5.00 to finish at N300.00 per unit compared with the previous day’s N305.00 per unit, and Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc dipped by N1.14 to N76.00 per share from N77.14 per share.

The volume of securities traded by investors fell by 9.5 per cent to 506,651 units from the 679,768 units recorded a day earlier, and the number of deals slid by 15.9 per cent to 37 deals from 44 deals, while the value of securities went up by 25.5 per cent to N44.8 million from the N30.9 million recorded on Tuesday.

At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 60.3 million units exchanged for N4.1 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.

GNI Plc also ended the session as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units sold for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units transacted for N1.2 billion.

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Economy

Naira Rallies to N1,357/$1 at NAFEX, Remains N1,380/$1 at Parallel Market

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yuan-naira $10bn

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira maintained stability against the United States Dollar in the parallel market segment of the foreign exchange (FX) market on Wednesday at N1,380/$1, according to data obtained by Business Post.

However, at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX), it appreciated against the greenback by N9.22 or 0.67 per cent to quote at N1,357.34/$1 versus Tuesday’s closing value of N1,366.56/$1.

Equally, the local currency gained N5.58 against the Pound Sterling in the same market window at midweek to close at N1,847.20/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,852.78/£1, and against the Euro, it was strengthened by N3.74 to N1,595.00/€1 from N1,598.74/€1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira improved its rate against the US Dollar at the GTBank forex counter yesterday by N9 to sell at N1,375/$1, in contrast to the preceding session’s N1,384/$1.

Market activity improved notably, with total deals rising to 287 on Wednesday, a 25 per cent increase from 262 recorded on Tuesday. FX turnover climbed by 59.22 per cent or $157.88 million to $424.46 million from $266.58 million posted the previous day.

Activity in the interbank segment also strengthened. The number of deals rose by 62.6 per cent to 161 on Wednesday from 99 on Tuesday, while turnover surged by 120.95 per cent to $158.18 million from $71.59 million.

The improved liquidity conditions saw Nigeria’s external reserves continue their downward trend, declining to $48.33 billion as of May 5, 2026, according to data from the apex bank.

The Naira could face mild pressure from maturing securities, particularly the large volume of Open Market Operations (OMO) maturities exceeding N7 trillion. However, inflows from autonomous sources are expected to provide some cushion against potential volatility, analysts at the FMDA said.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was mixed as global stock markets ripped to fresh records on US-Iran ceasefire hopes, with reports indicating the two countries are working on a proposal to end the nearly 10-week conflict.

Binance Coin (BNB) gained 1.9 per cent to sell for $646.39, Solana (SOL) appreciated by 1.4 per cent to $88.55, Cardano (ADA) rose by 1.0 per cent to $0.2661, and TRON (TRX) increased by 0.3 per cent to $0.3447.

On the flip side, Dogecoin (DOGE) fell by 4.1 per cent to $0.1108, Ethereum (ETH) declined by 1.4 per cent to $2,329.51, Ripple (XRP) slipped by 1.7 per cent to $1.41, and Bitcoin (BTC) decreased by 0.3 per cent to $81,025.93, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closed flat at $1.00 apiece.

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