Economy
Experts Foresee Bitcoin Reaching $115,733 in 2024, $250,000 in 2025
The recent uptick in the price of Bitcoin has continued to attract interest in the digital currency, with experts at CoinLedger projecting that it could sell for $115,000 this year.
Bitcoin mining is a crucial function in the production of new coins through the verification of payments. This system means that ‘miners’ are essentially getting paid for their work as auditors. They are verifying the legitimacy of Bitcoin transactions and being rewarded for it with Bitcoin.
However, every time 210,000 blocks are mined the block reward for mining is halved. The first halving event occurred in 2012 when the reward of 50 BTC was reduced to 25 BTC. This is a key mechanism to control the supply of new Bitcoin entering circulation https://eralmonumapp.app/.
In the past, this has also led to positive price action, as limiting the supply and controlling inflation can benefit the ecosystem.
A new study by crypto tax experts at CoinLedger has analysed the past three halvings to see what price Bitcoin would be if it followed the past patterns. For this research, CoinLedger has based figures on if Bitcoin is at its most recent high of $69,000 when it halves at some point in April.
The data took the average price increase from the 2016 and 2020 halvings to calculate the price of Bitcoin.
3 months post-halving
In 2016 the price on the halving day was $650; after three months, this increased to $722, a 10.99% increase.
In 2020, the price rose from $8,572 to $11,393 within three months, an increase of 32.91%.
The average increase across these two events is 21.95%, which would mean that in 2024, three months after Bitcoin halves, the price could rise to $84,145 if it were to follow historical patterns (based on a price of $69,000 at the time of halving).
6 months post-halving
In 2016, six months after the halving the price rose further to $986, which is an increase of 51.57% from the post-halving price of $650.
In 2020, the price of Bitcoin increased to $15,702 after six months, which is a rise of 83.17%.
Based on the average figures from above this is equal to an average increase of 67.73% after six months. If a similar pattern were to follow, then Bitcoin could rise to a high of $115,733. Although this seems like a high estimation Bitcoin has shocked people before in past bull runs.
12 months post-halving
One year after the halving has seen eye-watering price action in the past. In 2012, after the first halving, the price rose from $12 to $1,003 over a year, an 8,000% increase. The research didn’t include 2012 in the averages, as at the current price and market cap it would be almost impossible to see increases of this nature.
In 2016, the price after a year was $2,502, an increase of 284%. In 2020, the price of a Bitcoin was $56,764, which was a 562% increase from the pre-halving price of $8,572.
This is an average of 423% a year after a halving event. This would give Bitcoin a price of $361,152. It is extremely unlikely that Bitcoin will reach this figure within 12 months, however, many analysts have figures of $150,000 to $250,000 in 2025.
A spokesperson from CoinLedger commented: “Bitcoin has performed well recently very early on into this cycle. This has got many people excited about how high Bitcoin could rise in the coming year and the halving only adds to this, as history has proven that halving events can positively impact the price.
“Time will tell which Bitcoin price predictions for the 2024 halving come true, if any. As always, we recommend doing your own research, staying on top of the latest industry happenings, and never investing more money than you can afford to lose!”
Economy
Tinubu Presents N58.47trn Budget for 2026 to National Assembly
By Adedapo Adesanya
President Bola Tinubu on Friday presented a budget proposal of N58.47 trillion for the 2026 fiscal year titled Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity to a joint session of the National Assembly, with capital recurrent (non‑debt) expenditure standing at 15.25 trillion, and the capital expenditure at N26.08 trillion, while the crude oil benchmark was pegged at $64.85 per barrel.
Business Post reports that the Brent crude grade currently trades around $60 per barrel. It is also expected to trade at that level or lower next year over worries about oil glut.
At the budget presentation today, Mr Tinubu said the expected total revenue for the year is N34.33 trillion, and the proposal is anchored on a crude oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of N1,400 to the US Dollar.
In terms of sectoral allocation, defence and security took the lion’s share with N5.41 trillion, followed by infrastructure at N3.56 trillion, education received N3.52 trillion, while health received N2.48 trillion.
Addressing the lawmakers, the President described the budget proposal as not “just accounting lines”.
“They are a statement of national priorities,” the president told the gathering. “We remain firmly committed to fiscal sustainability, debt transparency, and value‑for‑money spending.”
The presentation came at a time of heightened insecurity in parts of the country, with mass abductions and other crimes making headlines.
Outlining his government’s plan to address the challenge, President Tinubu reminded the gathering that security “remains the foundation of development”.
He said some of the measures in place to tame insecurity include the modernisation of the Armed Forces, intelligence‑driven policing and joint operations, border security, and technology‑enabled surveillance and community‑based peacebuilding and conflict prevention.
“We will invest in security with clear accountability for outcomes—because security spending must deliver security results,” the president said.
“To secure our country, our priority will remain on increasing the fighting capability of our armed forces and other security agencies by boosting personnel and procuring cutting-edge platforms and other hardware,” he added.
Economy
PenCom Extends Deadline for Pension Recapitalisation to June 2027
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The deadline for the recapitalisation of the Nigerian pension industry has been extended by six months to June 2027 from December 2026.
This extension was approved by the National Pension Commission (PenCom), the agency, which regulates the sector in the country.
Addressing newsmen on Thursday in Lagos, the Director-General of PenCom, Ms Omolola Oloworaran, explained that the shift in deadline was to give operators more time to boost the capital base, dismissing speculations that the exercise had been suspended.
“The recapitalisation has not been suspended. We have communicated the requirements to the Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs), and we expect every operator to be compliant by June 2027. Anyone who is not compliant by then will lose their licence,” Ms Oloworaran told journalists.
She added that, “From a regulatory standpoint, our major challenge is ensuring compliance. We are working with ICPC, labour and the TUC to ensure employers remit pension contributions for their employees.”
The DG noted that engagements with industry operators indicated broad acceptance of the policy, with many PFAs already taking steps to raise additional capital or explore mergers and acquisitions.
“You may see some mergers and acquisitions in the industry, but what is clear is that the recapitalisation exercise is on track and the industry agrees with us,” she stated.
PenCom wants the PFAs to increase their capital base and has created three categories, with the first consists operators with Assets Under Management of N500 billion and above. They are expected to have a minimum capital of N20 billion and one per cent of AUM above N500 billion.
The second category has PFAs with AUM below N500 billion, which must have at least N20 billion as capital base.
The last segment comprises special-purpose PFAs such as NPF Pensions Limited, whose minimum capital was pegged at N30 billion, and the Nigerian University Pension Management Company Limited, whose minimum capital was fixed at N20 billion.
Economy
Three Securities Sink NASD Exchange by 0.68%
By Adedapo Adesanya
Three securities weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.68 per cent on Thursday, December 18.
According to data, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc led the losers’ group after it slipped by N2.87 to N36.78 per share from N39.65 per share, Golden Capital Plc depreciated by 77 Kobo to end at N6.98 per unit versus the previous day’s N7.77 per unit, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc dropped 19 Kobo to sell at N60.00 per share versus Wednesday’s closing price of N60.19 per share.
At the close of business, the market capitalisation lost N16.81 billion to finish at N2.147 billion compared with the preceding session’s N2.164 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) declined by 24.76 points to 3,589.88 points from 3,614.64 points.
Yesterday, the volume of securities bought and sold increased by 49.3 per cent to 30.5 million units from 20.4 million units, the value of securities surged by 211.8 per cent to N225.1 million from N72.2 million, and the number of deals jumped by 33.3 per cent to 28 deals from 21 deals.
Infrastructure Credit Guarantee Company (InfraCredit) Plc remained the most traded stock by value with a year-to-date sale of 5.8 billion units valued at N16.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 178.9 million units transacted for N9.5 billion, and MRS Oil Plc with 36.1 million units worth N4.9 billion.
Similarly, InfraCredit Plc ended as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 5.8 billion units traded for N16.4 billion, trailed by Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc with 1.2 billion units sold for N420.7 million, and Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units exchanged for N524.9 million.
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