Economy
EXPLAINER: How GTCO Was Able to Pay N7.03 Dividend, Higher Than Peers

By Adedapo Adesanya
Last week, Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) Plc declared a N7.03 final dividend, much to the joy of the investing community, especially as its fellow tier-1 banks like Zenith and UBA, declared N4 and N3, respectively.
The company declared a profit before tax of N1.27 trillion for the 2024 financial year, which is 107.8 per cent higher than the N609.31 billion reported in the 2023 fiscal year, as per its disclosure on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited last Friday.
The pre-tax profit was second only to Zenith Bank, which posted a PBT of N1.33 trillion for the same period.
It is increasingly clear that there is a form of competition between both institutions as evidenced in Zenith Bank having a total assets of N29.96 trillion compared to GTCO’s N14.79 trillion.
It would be expected that the bigger the assets, the bigger the dividends but it is not that simplistic.
The question as to why this is so is because GTCO has been able to keep its cost of funds low, kept its cost of risk minimal by not offering excessive loans while also not ballooning its operating costs.
This performance, according to the lender, reflects not just strong earnings but also the quality and sustainability of its earnings, underpinned by a well-diversified revenue base, robust risk management practice, and disciplined capital management.
The Group recorded growth across all financial and non-financial metrics, and continues to maintain a well-structured, healthy, and diversified balance sheet. The Group’s loan book (net) increased by just 12.3 per cent from N2.48 trillion in December 2023 to N2.79 trillion in December 2024, while deposit liabilities grew by 37.8 per cent from N7.55trillion to N10.40trillion during the same period.
GTCO’s shareholders’ funds closed at N2.7 trillion.
Meanwhile, Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) remained very robust and strong, closing at 39.3 per cent, likewise, asset quality was sustained as evidenced by IFRS 9 Stage 3 Loans which closed at 3.5 per cent at Bank Level and 5.2 per cent at Group in December 2024 (2023: Bank, 2.5 per cent; Group, 4.2 per cent) and cost of risk (COR) closed at 4.9 per cent from 4.5 per cent in December 2023.
Commenting on the results, the chief executive of GTCO Plc, Mr Segun Agbaje, said; “Our strong performance for 2024 underscores the resilience and depth of our business, driven by a well-diversified earnings base across our banking and non-banking subsidiaries, all of which are P&L positive.
“Our capacity to generate sustainable high-quality earnings, maintain strong asset quality, and drive cost efficiencies reflects the soundness of our long-term strategy and disciplined execution.
“We have also prudently provided for all our forbearance loans, well ahead of the June 2025 timeline, whilst fully accruing for the windfall tax, further strengthening our balance sheet and enhancing financial resilience.”
He further added; “The total dividend of N8.03k for the 2024 FYE is underpinned by the quality of our earnings and is in line with our long tradition of increasing dividend pay-out year-on year. Looking ahead, we remain committed to building a Financial Services Group that thrives on innovation, operational efficiency, and sustainable profitability.
“We will continue to deepen our relationships with customers, leverage technology to deliver cutting-edge financial solutions, and accelerate the growth of all our business verticals—Banking, Funds Management, Pension, and Payments—to unlock new opportunities and create more value for our shareholders,” he added.
Overall, the Group continues to post one of the best metrics in the Nigerian Financial Services industry in terms of key financial ratios i.e., Pre-Tax Return on Equity (ROAE) of 60.5 per cent, Pre-Tax Return on Assets (ROAA) of 10.3 per cent, Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) of 39.3 per cent and Cost to Income ratio of 24.1 per cent.
Economy
NMDPRA Calculations Show 67% Decline in Nigeria’s Petrol Imports

By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has confirmed that the daily importation of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), known as petrol, dropped by 67.04 per cent from 44.6 million litres in August 2024 to 14.7 million litres as of April 13, 2025.
This disclosure was part of revelations made by the chief executive of NMDPRA, Mr Farouk Ahmed, during the Meet-the-Press briefing series organised by the Presidential Communications Team (PTC) at the State House in Abuja on Tuesday.
He explained that the 30-million-litre drop in imports was due to increased contributions from local refineries, revealing that domestic production of petrol surged by 670 per cent during the same period.
He credited the rise to the gradual restart of the Port Harcourt Refining Company in November 2024, along with added output from modular refineries across the country.
“After contributing virtually nothing in August 2024, local plants delivered 26.2 million litres per day in early April, a jump from the 3.4 million litres recorded in September 2024, which was the first month with measurable output,” he said.
He, however, said that in spite the growth in domestic supply, total national supply exceeded the government’s 50 million litres per day consumption benchmark.
“Only twice within the eight-month period—56 million litres in November 2024 and 52.3 million litres in February, 2025.
He added that the month of March 2025 saw a slight dip to 51.5 million litres per day, while the first half of April recorded an even lower average of 40.9 million litres per day.
Mr Ahmed emphasised that the NMDPRA issues import licenses strictly in line with national supply requirements, underscoring the authority’s commitment to balancing imports with growing local production capacity.
He called for a collective national effort in protecting and maintaining Nigeria’s oil and gas infrastructure.
According to him, all stakeholders – including security agencies, political leaders, traditional rulers, youths, and oil companies must work together to secure national energy assets.
“It takes all of us—government, traditional institutions, companies, and the youth—to collaborate and resist criminal activities that threaten our infrastructure,” he said.
The CEO also stressed that local government authorities and international oil companies (IOCs) such as the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, as well as indigenous companies, must take responsibility in ensuring that oil assets are protected and maintained.
“Until we all commit to safeguarding these national assets, we should stop pointing fingers,” he added.
Mr Ahmed reaffirmed NMDPRA’s commitment to transparency and accountability in the midstream and downstream sectors.
Economy
Trump’s Tariffs Will Significantly Affect Nigerian Manufacturers—Ajayi-Kadir

By Adedapo Adesanya
The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) has said the US imposition of 14 per cent tariff on imported products may have a significant impact on Nigeria’s trade and industrial landscape.
The Director-General of MAN, Mr Segun Ajayi-Kadir, in a statement noted that the US remained one of Nigeria’s most significant trade partners, accounting for approximately 7 per cent of its non-oil exports.
President Donald Trump had earlier slammed a reciprocal tariff on all trading partners with the US with Nigeria getting a 14 per cent share. Although, it recently made a pause to the tariffs for a 90-day period, the possible impact remains.
Mr Ajayi-Kadir said the new tariff regime directly threatened this trade dynamic, particularly as Nigeria projected an ambitious N55 trillion budget and was experiencing a downward trend in global crude oil prices.
According to him, the hike has come at a vulnerable moment when the country is just recovering from the impact of the government’s policy mix that has had negative effects on the manufacturing sector.
“Nigeria’s manufacturing sector, which contributed 8.64 per cent to the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2024, is one of the most predisposed sectors of the economy when it comes to trade policy shifts.
“The imposition of a 14 percent tariff on Nigerian exports significantly undermines the competitiveness of locally manufactured goods in the US market.
“Manufacturers who are exporters in agro-processing, chemicals and pharmaceutical, basic metal, iron and steel, non-metallic mineral products and other light industrial manufacturing rely heavily on the U.S. for market access.
“With increased costs for American buyers due to the tariffs, demand for Nigerian products is expected to decline,” he noted.
Mr Ajayi-Kadir stated that in addition to revenue losses, the new tariffs posed a significant disincentive to firms investing in value-added manufacturing.
He noted that over the past decade, manufacturers had made concerted and strategic efforts to support the country’s transition from exporting raw commodities to semi-processed and finished goods.
“However, higher market-entry costs because of higher tariff on Nigerian products will reduce the profitability of such investments, making it more attractive for firms to revert to exporting raw materials.
“This is counterproductive to Nigeria’s industrialisation agenda and compromises the long-term goal of achieving export diversification under platforms such as the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA),” he said.
The MAN DG added that the implications of the tariff imposition on employment in the manufacturing sector were dire.
He noted that as export revenues fall, many companies may reduce their production scale or downsize their workforce to cut costs.
He added that beyond the manufacturing sector, the Nigerian economy was not insulated from the effects of the U.S. tariff decision with its direct impact on Nigeria’s trade balance.
Mr Ajayi-Kadir said with the country already grappling with a fragile external sector, any significant reduction in exports to the U.S. would erode the current trade surplus, potentially pushing the balance into deficit.
He expressed worry about potential pressure on Nigeria to reciprocate by reducing its own tariffs on U.S. goods.
He noted that while the U.S. may frame this as a step toward “fair trade,” the reality was that lowering tariffs on U.S. imports could flood the Nigerian market with subsidised goods, thereby undermining local producers.
“Nigeria has, in recent years, made commendable strides toward achieving self-sufficiency in several manufacturing segments and diversifying away from oil.
“However, succumbing to external pressures to liberalise trade prematurely would reverse these gains.
“Furthermore, the absence of institutional capacity to engage in sophisticated trade negotiations places Nigeria in a vulnerable position.
“While countries with advanced legal and economic institutions may be able to negotiate favourable terms, Nigeria is at a disadvantage due to capacity constraints,” he said.
Economy
Nigeria Issues 77 Licenses to Refiners for Robust Oil Market

By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria issued 47 Licenses to Establish (LTE) and 30 Licenses to Construct (LTC) refineries in the last year as it seeks to boost oil production in the country.
The move, according to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), marks a significant step towards enhancing Nigeria’s refining capacity and boosting petroleum products availability.
The chief executive of NMDPRA, Mr Farouk Ahmed, during the sixth Meet-the-Press briefing in Abuja on Tuesday, said the 47 issued licenses have a combined refining capacity of nearly three million barrels per day.
Detailing the breakdown of the licenses, Mr Ahmed stated: “We have issued 47 LTE translating to 1.75 million barrels per day and 30 LTC translating to 1.23 million barrels per day. Currently, only four plants hold LTC with a steady output of 27,000 barrels per day.”
Giving a further breakdown, he said the LTC projects included five which were at the commissioning or construction stage, including the Dangote Petroleum Refinery with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day while other smaller projects include; AIPCC Energy’s 30,000 barrels per day plant and Waltersmith’s second train with a capacity of 5,000 barrels per day.
Mr Ahmed also highlighted the current state of refining operations in Nigeria, saying six licensed private refineries and four public ones are producing a total of 1.12 million barrels per day.
Other private plants contribute 679,500 barrels per day, led by Dangote’s single-train plant with a refining capacity of 650,000 barrels per day.
Other modular refineries include; Aradel (11,000 barrels per day), OPAC (10,000 barrels per day), Waltersmith (5,000 barrels per day), Duport Midstream Limited (2,500 barrels per day), and Edo Refining and Petrochemicals Company Limited (1,000 barrels per day).
He explained further that publicly owned facilities operated by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited add another 445,000 barrels per day from the refurbished plants in Port Harcourt (150,000 barrels per day), Warri (125,000 barrels per day), Kaduna (110,000 barrels per day), and the old Port Harcourt plant (60,000 barrels per day).
“These developments underline our commitment to reducing dependency on imported refined products.”
He added that ongoing licensing efforts aimed at expanding domestic refining capacity were ongoing to further support economic growth through job creation and energy security.
The NMDPRA’s recent licensing activities also include approvals for modular refineries in Edo, Delta, and Abia states, expected to add an additional 140,000 barrels per day upon completion.
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