Economy
Food Blockade, Devaluation, Others to Push Inflation to 16.98%—Analysts
By Dipo Olowookere
Next week, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release the consumer price index (CPI) in Nigeria for the month of February 2021.
The CPI measures the headline inflation and it is calculated by dividing the cost of market basket in the current period with the cost of market basket in the base period and the result multiplied by 100 to get the percentage change.
In the month of January 2021, the stats office said the inflation rate in Nigeria increased year-on-year by 16.47 per cent, 0.71 per cent higher than the 15.75 per cent recorded in December 2020.
As Nigerians await the next figures next Tuesday, analysts at Meristem Research have projected that inflation would jump to 16.98 per cent.
Explaining how they arrived at this, the analysts said the food crisis last month from the ethnic crisis in the Shasha area of Oyo State was one of the reasons.
Last month, some people of Yoruba extraction attacked Hausa traders at a market in the community and this triggered the blockade of food items from the northern part of the country, where most of the foods are grown, to the south.
It took the intervention of some eminent Nigerians to resolve the crisis as the farmers and cattle rearers said they must be paid N4.7 billion as compensation before they could transport food items to the south.
Within the period the Amalgamated Union of Foodstuff and Cattle Dealers of Nigeria (AUFCDN) blocked food to the southern part of the country, prices of food items increased at the market because of disruption in the supply chain.
According to the analysts, this and other factors will push the inflation rate higher.
“We note that while post-harvest supplies of key food items like cereals, yam, and other tubers were expected to moderate demand pressures, heightened supply chain bottlenecks and insecurity issues in the food-producing regions posed significant threats to the food supply.
“In particular, we point to the Shasha crisis which occurred in Oyo state, as well as the strike action by the Amalgamated Union of Foodstuff and Cattle Dealers of Nigeria (AUFCDN) around mid-February, which triggered a diversion of food supply away from the South to neighbouring countries.
“On the other hand, we attribute the rising prices of non-food items to higher transport (exacerbated by artificial scarcity which pushed pump prices of petrol slightly higher) and healthcare services costs.
“In addition to these, the FX devaluation in the I&E window to N410/$1 (vs prev. N400/$1) in February and a corresponding movement in the parallel market rate to N475/$1 also played its part.
“In sum, we expect consumer prices to rise by 16.98 per cent year-on-year in February,” analysts at Meristem Research said in their report seen by Business Post.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian equity market showed no signs of slowing down, as it further appreciated by 1.30 per cent on Friday on the back of sustained buying pressure.
Unlike the preceding sessions, investor sentiment was bullish yesterday after the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited ended with 43 price gainers and 26 price losers, implying a positive market breadth index, the first this week.
UPDC gained 10.00 per cent to close at N4.40, Academy Press also appreciated by 10.00 per cent to quote at N7.70, Haldane McCall improved by 9.97 per cent to N3.97, Zichis soared by 9.94 per cent to N15.60, and Wema Bank added 9.84 per cent to settle at N31.25.
Conversely, Meyer lost 9.92 per cent to sell for N16.80, Trans-Nationwide Express also crashed by 9.92 per cent to end at N7.90, C&I Leasing slipped by 8.53 per cent to N5.90, Omatek dipped by 7.34 per cent to N2.02, and eTranzact decreased by 5.28 per cent to N17.05.
When the bourse closed its doors to business, the All-Share Index (ASI) rose by 2,884.81 points to 225,722.49 points from 222,837.68 points, and the market capitalisation grew by N1.858 trillion to N145.335 trillion from N143.477 trillion.
A look at the activity chart showed that market participants transacted 627.6 million shares worth N44.5 billion in 55,232 deals during the trading day compared with the 667.9 million shares valued at N38.1 billion traded in 53,062 deals a day earlier.
This indicated that the volume of transactions went down by 6.03 per cent, the value of trades went up by 16.80 per cent, and the number of deals jumped by 4.09 per cent.
Access Holdings closed the session as investors’ toast, with a turnover of 75.6 million units worth N2.4 billion. UBA transacted 43.1 million units valued at N2.3 billion, Wema Bank exchanged 41.5 million units for N1.3 billion, Zenith Bank traded 38.4 million units valued at N5.2 billion, and Universal Insurance sold 29.5 million units for N35.9 million.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Mr Taiwo Oyedele has set some goals he intends to achieve as Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy.
While taking over from his predecessor, Mr Wale Edun, on Thursday, the tax expert assured that he has no plans to overturn some of the reforms already put in place by the former occupier of the seat.
In a message on Friday, he emphasised that, “Our immediate task is to consolidate these gains, deepen ongoing reforms, and ensure they translate into tangible benefits for all Nigerians.”
He promised to ensure fiscal discipline by embracing transparent and prudent management of public resources, while also harmonising revenue administration, broadening the tax base, reducing the burden on the vulnerable population, and supporting economic growth.
Mr Oyedele further said his other strategic priorities include creating a predictable and investor-friendly environment anchored on policy coherence, consistency, and clarity; and aligning efforts across all tiers and institutions to maximise policy impact.
He also said efforts would be made to deepen collaboration with the private sector and other key stakeholders for data-driven policy design, co-implementation, and feedback for continuous improvement.
According to him, “Good policy design alone is not enough; success will be defined by execution. We are committed to disciplined implementation, accountability, and measurable results.”
“I look forward to working with colleagues across government, the private sector, and all Nigerians as we move from reform to result, accelerate growth and build a more stable, inclusive, and prosperous economy,” he stated.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further appreciated by 0.23 per cent on Thursday, April 23, with the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) adding 8.99 points to close at 3,969.96 points against the previous day’s 3,968 points.
The rise in the share price of Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc by N2.86 to N69.34 per unit from N66.48 per unit raised the market capitalisation of the NASD bourse by N5.38 billion to N2.380 trillion from N2.375 trillion.
Yesterday, there were two price losers, led by Food Concepts Plc, which lost 29 Kobo to sell at N2.65 per share versus N2.94 per share, while UBN Property Plc dipped by 22 Kobo to N2.03 per unit from N2.25 per unit.
During the session, the volume of securities traded declined by 97.9 per cent to 451,522 units from 21.5 million units on Wednesday, the value of securities depreciated by 52.32 per cent to N23.6 million from N49.5 million, and the number of deals depreciated by 3.6 per cent to 27 deals from 28 deals.
At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 59.5 million units exchanged for N4.0 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units sold for N1.2 billion.
-
Feature/OPED6 years agoDavos was Different this year
-
Travel/Tourism10 years ago
Lagos Seals Western Lodge Hotel In Ikorodu
-
Showbiz3 years agoEstranged Lover Releases Videos of Empress Njamah Bathing
-
Banking8 years agoSort Codes of GTBank Branches in Nigeria
-
Economy3 years agoSubsidy Removal: CNG at N130 Per Litre Cheaper Than Petrol—IPMAN
-
Banking3 years agoSort Codes of UBA Branches in Nigeria
-
Banking3 years agoFirst Bank Announces Planned Downtime
-
Sports3 years agoHighest Paid Nigerian Footballer – How Much Do Nigerian Footballers Earn