Economy
GCR Affirms Forte Oil Issuer, Bond Ratings At A-(NG)
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The national scale issuer ratings assigned to Forte Oil Plc of A-(NG) and A1-(NG) in the long term and short term respectively have been affirmed by Global Credit Ratings (GCR) with the outlook accorded as Stable.
Concurrently, the Series 1 Fixed Bond rating has been affirmed at A-(NG) and placed on Stable Outlook. The ratings expire in June 2018.
A statement issued by GCR explained that the ratings were accorded to Forte Oil Plc after taking cognisance of the firm’s top-tier position in the Nigerian downstream petroleum industry, underpinned by a visible brand, significant assets across the value chain, strong relationships with suppliers, experienced management team, as well as an extensive distribution and retail network.
The downstream petroleum industry is heavily reliant on imports, due to low levels of domestic refining. As a result, challenges were heightened by hard currency shortages (which resulted in product scarcity), adverse exchange rate movements and delayed subsidy payments in 2016.
In addition, the harsh economic environment and reduced consumer spending power led to a temporary decline in demand for petrol (following a 67% increase in the pump price in May 2016).
In a bid to reduce exposure to foreign exchange fluctuations, Forte Oil significantly scaled back its refined petroleum product import volumes. As such, FY16 and 1Q FY17 revenue and earnings were significantly below initial forecasts.
Forte Oil’s revenue increased by 19% to N148.6bn in FY16, underpinned by a general price increase across business segments and higher traded lubricant sales volumes. However, the partial cost pass through saw the gross margin decline to 13.9% in FY16, before rebounding to 17.6% in 1Q FY17. Effective cost management and focus on high margin, non-regulated products, saw operating margin increased from 5% in FY15 to 6.3% in FY16 edging up to 9.5% in the 3-month period to March 2017.
The net finance charge spiked to N4.2bn in FY16 (FY15: N1.6bn), due to the impact of Naira devaluation on import finance facilities and higher lending rates. Accordingly, net interest cover reduced to 2.2x in FY16 (FY15: 3.6x), and further to 2x in 1Q FY17.
The N9bn Series 1 Bond Issue and funding raised for the Geregu Power plant overhaul pushed debt up to N49.4bn at FY16. Coupled with a reduction in distributable reserves (following a dividend payment), this drove net gearing up to 75% at FY16 and 80% at 1Q FY17.
Positively, net debt to EBITDA improved to a respective 263% and 209% at FY16 and 1Q FY17, albeit behind target.
Forte Oil plans to raise additional capital of N20bn equity during 3Q 2017. Following the equity raise, management anticipates net gearing to reduce below 35% at FYE17 and FYE18 respectively, while net debt to EBITDA is projected to register around 100% for both years.
Despite the downstream petroleum industry challenges, prospects are enhanced by a strong baseline of demand, on the back of the country’s large urban population and heavy vehicular traffic.
In addition, the completion of Dangote Group’s 650,000bbl/d refinery (set for 2019), is expected to materially reduce the dependence on imports, with the Ministry of Petroleum projecting the cessation of fuel importation once the plant is at full capacity.
Forte Oil plans to expand its retail network and diversify its non-fuel revenue streams with strong local and international brands. In this regard, the power generation business had increased capacity utilisation to 100% by 1H FY17 (1H FY16: 35%) and should contribute materially to earnings in the medium term.
The Group also anticipates a rebound in the upstream oil and gas services business on the back of broader economic recovery in the medium term, and thus plans to expand service offerings.
Sustainable margin enhancement, on the back of the materialisation of current business plans could result in positive rating action if it translates to stronger credit protection metrics in the medium term.
Conversely, adverse regulatory/policy changes, or other external factors could adversely affect earnings and result in liquidity strain and/or increased gearing metrics, placing downward pressure on the ratings. In addition, sustained increase in debt levels and gearing metrics would lead to negative rating action
As the Series 1 Fixed Rate Bond is a senior unsecured obligation of the Issuer, the Bonds will bear the same rating as the Issuer, and any change in the rating assigned to the Issuer will directly affect the Bond rating.
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
The federal government, the 36 states of the federation and the 774 local government areas have received N1.727 trillion from the Federal Accounts Allocation Committee (FAAC) for December 2024.
The funds were disbursed to the three tiers of government from the revenue generated by the nation in November 2024.
At the December meeting of FAAC held in Abuja, it was stated that the amount distributed comprised distributable statutory revenue of N455.354 billion, distributable Value Added Tax (VAT) revenue of N585.700 billion, Electronic Money Transfer Levy (EMTL) revenue of N15.046 billion and Exchange Difference revenue of N671.392 billion.
According to a statement signed on Friday by the Director of Press and Public Relations for FAAC, Mr Bawa Mokwa, the money generated last month was about N3.143 trillion, with N103.307 billion used for cost of collection and N1.312 trillion for transfers, interventions and refunds.
It was disclosed that gross statutory revenue of N1.827 trillion was received compared with the N1.336 trillion recorded a month earlier.
The statement said gross revenue of N628.972 billion was available from VAT versus N668.291 billion in the preceding month.
The organisation stated that last month, oil and gas royalty and CET levies recorded significant increases, while excise duty, VAT, import duty, Petroleum Profit Tax (PPT), Companies Income Tax (CIT) and EMTL decreased considerably.
As for the sharing, FAAC disclosed that from the N1.727 trillion, the central government got N581.856 billion, the states received N549.792 billion, the councils took N402.553 billion, while the benefiting states got N193.291 billion as 13 per cent derivation revenue.
From the N585.700 billion VAT earnings, the national government got N87.855 billion, the states received N292.850 billion and the local councils were given N204.995 billion.
Also, from the N455.354 billion distributable statutory revenue, the federal government was given N175.690 billion, the states got N89.113 billion, the local governments had N68.702 billion, and the benefiting states received N121.849 billion as 13 per cent derivation revenue.
In addition, from the N15.046 billion EMTL revenue, FAAC shared N2.257 billion to the federal government, disbursed N7.523 billion to the states and transferred N5.266 billion to the local councils.
Further, from the N671.392 billion Exchange Difference earnings, it gave central government N316.054 billion, the states N160.306 billion, the local government areas N123.590 billion, and the oil-producing states N71.442 billion as 13 per cent derivation revenue.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange recorded a 0.65 per cent gain on Friday, December 13, boosted by three equities admitted on the trading platform.
On the last trading session of the week, Okitipupa Plc appreciated by N2.70 to settle at N29.74 per share versus Thursday’s closing price of N27.04 per share, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc added N2.49 to end the session at N42.85 per unit compared with the previous day’s N40.36 per unit, and Afriland Properties Plc gained 50 Kobo to close at N16.30 per share, in contrast to the preceding session’s N15.80 per share.
Consequently, the market capitalisation added N6.89 billion to settle at N1.062 trillion compared with the preceding day’s N1.055 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) gained 19.66 points to wrap the session at 3,032.16 points compared with 3,012.50 points recorded in the previous session.
Yesterday, the volume of securities traded by investors increased by 171.6 per cent to 1.2 million units from the 447,905 units recorded a day earlier, but the value of shares traded by the market participants declined by 19.3 per cent to N2.4 million from the N3.02 million achieved a day earlier, and the number of deals went down by 14.3 per cent to 18 deals from 21 deals.
At the close of business, Geo-Fluids Plc was the most active stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with a turnover of 1.7 billion units worth N3.9 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with the sale of 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.3 million units sold for N5.3 million.
In the same vein, Aradel Holdings Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with the sale of 108.7 million units for N89.2 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with a turnover of 297.3 million units worth N5.3 billion.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Naira appreciated further against the United States Dollar at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) by N1.50 or 0.09 per cent to close at N1,533.00/$1 on Friday, December 13 versus the N1,534.50/$1 it was transacted on Thursday.
The local currency has continued to benefit from the Electronic Foreign Exchange Matching System (EFEMS) introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) this month.
The implementation of the forex system comes with diverse implications for all segments of the financial markets that deal with FX, including the rebound in the value of the Naira across markets.
The system instantly reflects data on all FX transactions conducted in the interbank market and approved by the CBN.
Market analysts say the publication of real-time prices and buy-sell orders data from this system has lent support to the Naira in the official market and tackled speculation.
In the official market yesterday, the domestic currency improved its value against the Pound Sterling by N12.58 to wrap the session at N1,942.19/£1 compared with the previous day’s N1,954.77/£1 and against the Euro, it gained N2.44 to close at N1,612.85/€1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N1,610.41/€1.
At the black market, the Nigerian Naira appreciated against the greenback on Friday by N30 to sell for N1,650/$1 compared with the preceding session’s value of N1,680/$1.
Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was largely positive as investors banked on recent signals, including fresh support from US President-elect, Mr Donald Trump, as well as interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB).
Ripple (XRP) added 7.3 per cent to sell at $2.49, Binance Coin (BNB) rose by 3.5 per cent to $728.28, Cardano (ADA) expanded by 2.4 per cent to trade at $1.11, Litecoin (LTC) increased by 2.3 per cent to $122.56, Bitcoin (BTC) gained 1.9 per cent to settle at $101,766.17, Dogecoin (DOGE) jumped by 1.2 per cent to $0.4064, Solana (SOL) soared by 0.7 per cent to $226.15 and Ethereum (ETH) advanced by 0.6 per cent to $3,925.35, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.
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