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Economy

IMF Approves $204m for Rwanda’s PSI-Supported Program

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Monday completed the sixth review of Rwanda’s performance under the Policy Support Instrument (PSI)  and the first review of the arrangement under the Standby Credit Facility (SCF).

The Board’s decision was taken on a lapse of time basis.

Requests for an 18-month SCF arrangement with access of about $204 million or 90 percent of Rwanda’s quota and to extend Rwanda’s PSI-supported program through end-2017, were approved by the Board on June 8, 2016.

Half was disbursed upon approval of the SCF arrangement, and with completion of the first review of the SCF arrangement another $48.65 million becomes available for disbursement.

The remaining financing will be considered in two subsequent reviews in 2017. Rwanda’s PSI-supported program was originally approved on December 2, 2013.

In completing the reviews, the Board also approved modification of end-December 2016 program targets (to reflect new information on external assistance) and granted a waiver for a minor and temporary non-observance of the continuous zero limit on external arrears accumulation.

The main near-term objective of the current programs is to respond to adverse global developments, most notably commodity prices, which has led to growing external imbalances, resulting in pressure on the Rwandan franc and the banking system’s foreign exchange reserves. Restoring external sustainability is imperative for realization of medium-term program objectives, namely sustained high and inclusive growth, including through public infrastructure investment, and reduced dependence on donor support through higher domestic revenues.

Early evidence suggests that the short term adjustment policies have been effective in addressing external imbalances. The authorities have continued to allow exchange rate flexibility to serve as the main policy adjustment instrument, with depreciation of 9 percent over the first 10 months of 2016, complemented by modest fiscal consolidation and monetary tightening.

These demand management policies have been accompanied by the government’s home-grown ‘Made in Rwanda’ initiative, which seeks to substitute domestic production for some key imported goods, and export promotion efforts.

Performance under the program has been strong, with almost all program targets set through end-June 2016 and structural reforms through end-September 2016 being achieved.

The agreed policy mix remains appropriate for safeguarding external and fiscal sustainability, while supporting growth objectives. If current trends continue, the current account deficit should fall over the course of 2017-18, bringing official reserves above 4 months of imports.

The authorities have acted decisively to address growing external imbalances and thereby should avoid more painful adjustment that otherwise would have been needed, as illustrated by the experience of some other countries adversely affected by commodity prices.

Inflation pressure is currently supply driven with end-year inflation projections of 6.0 percent and 5 percent over the medium term. But the situation should be monitored closely to assess potential second-round effects of the inflationary impact of a depreciated exchange rate, and more monetary tightening may be needed if inflation pressures are greater than projected. Clearer communication regarding the policy stance could help steer inflation expectations. Decisive efforts would be needed to develop minimum conditions for inflation targeting within the agreed East African Community timeline.

Looking ahead, risks to the growth outlook are balanced. The government’s deliberate incentives to promote domestic production and add value to its exports should keep growth buoyant. However, should the drought be prolonged, both growth and inflation could be adversely affected.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

Luno Introduces Crypto Price Prediction Product in Nigeria

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By Adedapo Adesanya

Global cryptocurrency platform, Luno, has launched a structured crypto prediction markets product in Nigeria, which will enable customers to apply their market knowledge to short-term crypto price events and earn USDC when their insights are correct.

The prediction market allows customers to express a view on whether the price of selected crypto assets, being BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE, and XRP, will be above or below the daily price event. The market operates daily with clearly defined rules and settlement periods, offering customers structured, time-bound opportunities to act on their conviction.

Nigeria remains one of the most active crypto markets globally, with increasing demand for tools that combine simplicity and transparency. By introducing Prediction Markets focused solely on price levels, Luno aims to provide a fast, confident, and opportunity-forward format for market engagement.

Unlike traditional gaming or prediction firms like Polymarket and Kalshi, in which the odds are set by the company, Luno’s Prediction Market, powered by Limitless, is focused exclusively on crypto asset price movements within the Luno platform.

This means customers are not purchasing the underlying asset, but participating in a defined, outcome-based market that settles transparently based on real-time price data.

According to a statement, the launch reflects a broader shift in how customer behaviour is evolving in Nigeria’s growing crypto asset ecosystem, particularly as crypto asset adoption matures, many users are seeking more flexible and responsive ways to engage with markets beyond long-term holding or traditional spot trading.

Luno’s Prediction Markets product is designed to meet this demand within a familiar and regulated platform environment. The feature builds on how customers already interact with crypto asset prices – analysing charts, following market news, and forming views- and provides a structured framework for expressing those views.

According to Mr Ayotunde Alabi, chief executive of Luno Nigeria, the company is combining crypto education with a secure platform to help Nigerians confidently apply their market knowledge in a responsible and practical way.

“We are seeing a clear shift in how Nigerians want to engage with crypto assets. Many already follow price movements closely and form strong market views; we want to lead with education as well as provide a safe and secure platform to help them apply that knowledge. This feature is designed to be a natural extension for those who enjoy forecasting.

“By tying this to our ongoing educational initiatives, such as our scholarships with AltSchool, we are encouraging users to apply what they have learned about market analysis into a practical, responsible framework. Our priority is ensuring that where confidence meets opportunity, it is supported by the standards of trust our customers expect.”

Luno said it will further support the rollout with Learn & Earn educational content and tutorials explaining market mechanics and price determination. To promote informed decision-making and ensure the product is used responsibly,

Luno has embedded specific controls, including customers reading and acknowledging a risk disclosure before participating, as well as moving funds from their ordinary USDC wallet to a separate prediction wallet, which will be used to participate in prediction markets.

The firm also said that customers cannot hold both sides of the same market, in this case, Above and Below at the same time.

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Economy

Nigerian Capital Market to Transition to T+1 Settlement May 29

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigerian capital market will transition to a T+1 settlement cycle from May 29, as part of efforts to enhance efficiency and align with global standards, the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc said in a notice.

If this is achieved, it would be about six months after the Nigerian central depository, clearing, and settlement agent switched to a T+2 settlement cycle from the previous T+3 cycle. The previous transitioning was precisely on November 28, 2025.

This switch will shorten the settlement period for trades, allowing transactions to be completed one business day after the execution date, instead of the current two-day cycle.

CSCS Plc, in the disclosure, said the move represents the next phase in the development of Nigeria’s capital market infrastructure.

It stated that the new settlement cycle is expected to improve post-trade efficiency, reduce settlement risk and speed up the movement of securities and funds across the capital market.

The company added that trades executed on Thursday, May 28, the final trading day under the T+2 cycle, and those executed on Friday, May 29, the first trading day under the T+1 cycle, would both settle on Monday, June 1.

“This transition requires coordinated readiness across all market participants, including exchanges, brokers, custodians, registrars, settlement banks and institutional investors.

“Industry-wide engagements and technical readiness initiatives are ongoing to ensure a seamless transition.

“All market participants are encouraged to review their internal processes, systems and operational workflows to ensure alignment with the new settlement framework,” the company stated.

After the T+2 settlement cycle went live last year, the erstwhile chief executive of the company, Mr Haruna Jalo-Waziri, at the time said CSCS Plc is already preparing to shift to a T+1 settlement cycle by mid-2026.

Mr Kalo-Waziri, who has since been replaced by Mr Shehu Yahaya Shantali, said the organisation had been strengthening its capacity over time, ensuring that the eventual migration would be efficient, stable, and cost-effective, stressing that the transition aligns with global best practices and reflects the market’s readiness for faster, more reliable settlement processes.

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Economy

FrieslandCampina, Geo-Fluids Collapse NASD Exchange by 0.12%

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The duo of FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc and Geo-Fluids Plc weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.12 per cent on Monday, March 16.

FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc lost N1.45 during the session to sell at N123.55 per share versus the previous price of N125.00 per share, and Geo Fluids Plc depreciated by 5 Kobo to N3.05 per unit from N3.10 per unit.

The losses recorded by the two securities lowered the market capitalisation by N8.88 billion to N2.480 trillion from N2.489 trillion, and crashed the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 14.86 points to 4,145.60 points from 4,160.46 points.

On the first trading day of the week, the value of securities transacted by investors went up by 10.8 per cent to N33.2 million from N29.9 million, but the volume of securities dipped 97.5 per cent to 265,610 units from 10.4 million units, and the number of deals decreased by 43.5 per cent to 26 deals from 46 deals.

At the close of trades, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc was the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.6 million units sold for N2.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 6.4 million units traded for N1.2 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 6.5 million units worth N609.6 million.

Resourcery Plc closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.6 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.8 million units transacted for N504.5 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.6 million units exchanged for N2.4 billion.

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