Economy

IMF Approves $204m for Rwanda’s PSI-Supported Program

Published

9 years ago

09/01/2017

Modupe Gbadeyanka

By Modupe Gbadeyanka

The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Monday completed the sixth review of Rwanda’s performance under the Policy Support Instrument (PSI) and the first review of the arrangement under the Standby Credit Facility (SCF).

The Board’s decision was taken on a lapse of time basis.

Requests for an 18-month SCF arrangement with access of about $204 million or 90 percent of Rwanda’s quota and to extend Rwanda’s PSI-supported program through end-2017, were approved by the Board on June 8, 2016.

Half was disbursed upon approval of the SCF arrangement, and with completion of the first review of the SCF arrangement another $48.65 million becomes available for disbursement.

The remaining financing will be considered in two subsequent reviews in 2017. Rwanda’s PSI-supported program was originally approved on December 2, 2013.

In completing the reviews, the Board also approved modification of end-December 2016 program targets (to reflect new information on external assistance) and granted a waiver for a minor and temporary non-observance of the continuous zero limit on external arrears accumulation.

The main near-term objective of the current programs is to respond to adverse global developments, most notably commodity prices, which has led to growing external imbalances, resulting in pressure on the Rwandan franc and the banking system’s foreign exchange reserves. Restoring external sustainability is imperative for realization of medium-term program objectives, namely sustained high and inclusive growth, including through public infrastructure investment, and reduced dependence on donor support through higher domestic revenues.

Early evidence suggests that the short term adjustment policies have been effective in addressing external imbalances. The authorities have continued to allow exchange rate flexibility to serve as the main policy adjustment instrument, with depreciation of 9 percent over the first 10 months of 2016, complemented by modest fiscal consolidation and monetary tightening.

These demand management policies have been accompanied by the government’s home-grown ‘Made in Rwanda’ initiative, which seeks to substitute domestic production for some key imported goods, and export promotion efforts.

Performance under the program has been strong, with almost all program targets set through end-June 2016 and structural reforms through end-September 2016 being achieved.

The agreed policy mix remains appropriate for safeguarding external and fiscal sustainability, while supporting growth objectives. If current trends continue, the current account deficit should fall over the course of 2017-18, bringing official reserves above 4 months of imports.

The authorities have acted decisively to address growing external imbalances and thereby should avoid more painful adjustment that otherwise would have been needed, as illustrated by the experience of some other countries adversely affected by commodity prices.

Inflation pressure is currently supply driven with end-year inflation projections of 6.0 percent and 5 percent over the medium term. But the situation should be monitored closely to assess potential second-round effects of the inflationary impact of a depreciated exchange rate, and more monetary tightening may be needed if inflation pressures are greater than projected. Clearer communication regarding the policy stance could help steer inflation expectations. Decisive efforts would be needed to develop minimum conditions for inflation targeting within the agreed East African Community timeline.

Looking ahead, risks to the growth outlook are balanced. The government’s deliberate incentives to promote domestic production and add value to its exports should keep growth buoyant. However, should the drought be prolonged, both growth and inflation could be adversely affected.

Economy

Bears Tighten Grip on NGX With 0.46% Loss Amid Weak Investor Sentiment

Published

17 hours ago

16/08/2025

Dipo Olowookere

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited suffered a loss on Friday, the third consecutive day it was closing lower. It lost 0.46 per cent when trading activities ended yesterday.

The decline was triggered by heavy profit-taking in the insurance space, with its index depleting by 8.73 per cent and the consumer goods counter losing 0.32 per cent.

However, the banking index gained 0.56 per cent, and the energy industry appreciated by 0.05 per cent, while the commodity and the industrial goods indices closed flat.

At the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) retracted by 671.81 points to 144,628.20 points from 145,300.01 points and the market capitalisation came down by N425 billion to N91.502 trillion from N91.927 trillion.

Investors transacted 1.4 billion equities worth N13.9 billion 32,065 deals compared with the 2.5 billion equities valued at N22.2 billion traded in 43,515 deals on Thursday, indicating a decline in the trading volume, value, and number of deals by 44.00 per cent, 37.39 per cent and 26.31 per cent, respectively.

Universal Insurance topped the activity log with 308.8 million shares valued at N371.1 million, AIICO Insurance sold 118.0 million equities worth N470.7 million, Mutual Benefits transacted 102.4 million stocks for N390.8 million, Veritas Kapital exchanged 70.4 million shares worth N160.0 million, and Sovereign Trust Insurance traded 62.2 million equities valued at N182.3 million.

The trio of Linkage Assurance, International Energy Insurance, and Lasaco Assurance lost 10.00 per cent to sell for N2.43, N3.33, and N4.05 apiece, NEM Insurance depreciated by 9.97 per cent to N32.50, and Meyer crashed by 9.95 per cent to N16.75.

On the flip side, Mutual Benefits rose by 10.00 per cent to N3.85, Ikeja Hotel gained 9.95 per cent to finish at N22.65, Wema Bank appreciated by 9.90 per cent to N22.75, Deap Capital improved by 9.52 per cent to N1.61, and Tripple Gee increased by 8.32 per cent to N5.60.

With 39 price losers and 30 price gainers, the market breadth index of Customs Street ended negative on Friday, with weak investor sentiment.

Economy

OTC Exchange Falls 1.13%

Published

18 hours ago

16/08/2025

Adedapo Adesanya

Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange fell by 1.13 per cent on Friday, August 15 after recording three price gainers and three price gainers.

During the trading day, the market capitalisation was down by N22.01 billion to N2.146 trillion from N2.171 trillion, and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) depreciated by 36.79 points to 3,587.76 points, from the 3,628.67 points achieved a day earlier.

According to data, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc crumbled by N4.86 to end at N43.82 per share versus the preceding day’s N48.68 per share, Okitipupa Plc plunged by N3.70 to finish at N233.30 per unit versus N237.00 per unit, and Afriland Properties Plc dipped by 56 Kobo to close at N21.00 per share compared with the previous day’s N21.56 per share.

Conversely, FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc gained 77 Kobo to settle at N68.61 per unit compared with N67.84 per unit, Acorn Petroleum Plc appreciated by 11 Kobo to N1.30 per share from N1.11 per share, and Industrial and General Insurance (IGI) Plc expanded by 5 Kobo to 57 Kobo per unit from the previous day’s 52 Kobo per unit.

The volume of trades declined by 87.1 per cent to 2.95 million units from 22.9 million units, the value of transactions depleted by 58.6 per cent to N15.4 million from N37.1 million, and the number of deals dropped by 34.9 per cent to 28 deals from 43 deals.

At the close of business, Okitipupa Plc was the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 158.6 million units worth N5.9 billion, followed by Air Liquide Plc with 507.2 million units valued at N4.2 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 44.0million units sold for N1.9 billion.

Also, IGI Plc was the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units transacted for N379.6 million, trailed by Impresit Bakolori Plc with 536.9 million units valued at N524.8 million, and Air Liquide Plc with 507.2 million units worth N4.2 billion.

Economy

Naira Firms to N1,532 at Official Market, N1,550/$1 at Black Market

Published

18 hours ago

16/08/2025

Adedapo Adesanya

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira appreciated against the United States Dollar in the black market segment of the foreign exchange (FX) market on Friday by N10 to trade at N1,550/$1 compared with the preceding day’s N1,560/$1.

In the same vein, it improved its value against the Dollar by N1.81 or 0.12 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) window yesterday to close at N1,532.73/$1 compared with the N1,534.54/$1 it was transacted on Thursday.

However, the domestic currency depreciated against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the trading day by 50 Kobo to sell for N2,078.39/£1 versus Thursday’s closing price of N2,077.89/£1 and shed N2.87 against the Euro to quote at N1,791.36/€1, in contrast to the previous session’s N1,788.49/€1.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has continued to back the Naira with sizeable forex sales with analysts expecting stability for the Naira, underpinned by robust FX liquidity and an efficient FX market,

“We expect sustained inflows from foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) due to existing carry trade opportunities and stronger market confidence,” analysts at Cordros Capital Limited said in a note.

Also, improving non-oil exports, as well as limited incentives for Naira hoarding and speculation, are expected to reinforce steady inflows from domestic sources.

July inflation also eased as the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported that headline inflation eased by 34 basis points to 21.88 per cent year-on-year in July from 22.22 per cent year on year.

On a month-on-month basis, consumer prices increased to 1.99 per cent versus 1.68 per cent on record in June. Food inflation increased by 77 basis points to 22.74 per cent in July from 21.97 per cent.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market further weakened as traders overlooked rising expectations for the US Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts in September coupled with surging exchange-traded funds (ETF) inflows and institutional adoption.

Market analysts noted that rising core inflation data and stretched valuations pose near-term risks, but institutional demand for crypto remains strong.

Solana (SOL) lost 4.7 per cent to sell at $187.75, Ethereum (ETH) dipped by 4.2 per cent to $4,446.58, Litecoin (LTC) slumped by 2.6 per cent to $118.60, Binance Coin (BNB) fell by 1.6 per cent to $863.13, and Bitcoin (BTC) went down by 1.2 per cent to $117,602.17.

On the flip side, Dogecoin (DOGE) rose by 1.1 per cent to $0.2328, Cardano (ADA) jumped by 0.9 per cent to $0.9571, and Ripple (XRP) appreciated by 0.1 per cent to $3.11, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.