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Economy

Petrol, Electricity Subsidies Will Gulp 3% of Nigeria’s GDP—IMF

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petrol subsidy

By Adedapo Adesanya

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned the Nigerian government the payment of subsidies on petrol and electricity could take up to 3 per cent of the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024.

The IMF stated this in a statement released on Monday on the completion of its 2024 Article IV Mission to Nigeria.

The lender said that the recent improvements in revenue collection and oil production are encouraging, as “low revenue mobilization constrains the government’s ability to respond to shocks and to promote long-term development.”

But it emphasised that, “The capping of fuel pump prices and electricity tariffs below cost recovery could have a fiscal cost of up to 3 per cent of GDP in 2024.”

Recall that during his inaugural speech in May last year, President Bola Tinubu announced that “The fuel subsidy is gone,” adding that the 2023 budget by his predecessor, Mr Muhammadu Buhari, made no provision for fuel subsidy and more so, subsidy payment was no longer justifiable.

The removal has tripled the price of petrol across major cities from less than N200 per litre to about N700 per litre. This has also led to a huge increase in the costs of goods and services, further worsening the economic situation for millions of citizens.

However, current trajectories indicate that prices should be higher but it has not moved based on the removal of the caps. This, according to experts, can only point to continued payment of subsidies of up to N1 trillion per month.

The Bretton Wood institution warned that the continuous payment of subsidies would affect the government, especially at a time when it is struggling to feed its citizens.

It said about 8 per cent (about 18.6 million Nigerians) are food insecure, and urged the federal government to tackle rising food insecurity as its immediate priority.

Despite this, it welcomed the FG’s approval of an “effective and well-targeted social protection system,” the government’s release of grains, seeds, and fertilizers, as well as the introduction of dry-season farming.

“The recently approved targeted social safety net program that will provide cash transfers to vulnerable households needs to be fully implemented before the government can address costly, implicit fuel and electricity subsidies in a manner that will ensure low-income households are protected,” it, however, said.

The IMF said it supports the decision of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) decision to further tighten monetary policy by hiking the policy rate by 400 basis points to 22.75 per cent, as it believes, “should help contain inflation, which reached 29.9 per cent year-on-year in January 2024, and put pressures on the Naira.”

On the country’s growth prospects, the IMF said — “Nigeria’s economic outlook is challenging. Economic growth strengthened in the fourth quarter, with GDP growth reaching 2.8 per cent in 2023.

“This falls slightly short of population growth dynamics. Improved oil production and an expected better harvest in the second half of the year are positive for 2024 GDP growth, which is projected to reach 3.2 per cent, although high inflation, Naira weakness, and policy tightening will provide headwinds.”

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Stocks Sheds 0.94% on Commencement of NGX Extended Market Session

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NGX Group

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited suffered a 0.94 per cent loss on Monday, April 27, 2026, which marked the commencement of an extended market session.

A few weeks ago, it was announced that trading activities on Customs Street would now be from 9:00 am to 4:00 pm instead of the usual 9:30 am to 2:30 pm.

This action was taken to allow market participants more time to explore the bourse and further make it robust, especially after the restoration of Nigeria’s frontier market status by FTSE Russell.

The NGX came under selling pressure, which resulted in 35 equities finishing on the gainers’ chart and 40 equities ending on the losers’ table, indicating a negative market breadth index and weak investor sentiment.

Trans-Nationwide Express, First Holdco, and UBA were the worst-performing equities after giving up 10.00 per cent each to trade at N7.11, N67.50, and N49.50, respectively. Access Holdings depreciated by 9.90 per cent to N28.20, and Fidelity Bank crashed by 9.87 per cent to N20.10.

The best-performing equity for the session was Abbey Mortgage Bank, which gained 9.26 per cent to N5.90, Zichis went up by 8.91 per cent to N16.99, Wema Bank expanded by 8.80 per cent to N34.00, NPF Microfinance Bank soared by 8.19 per cent to N5.68, and Coronation Insurance grew by 7.27 per cent to N2.66.

It was observed that the profit-taking was mainly from banking stocks, as the index shed 6.49 per cent. The consumer goods sector lost 0.41 per cent, and the energy counter depreciated by 0.24 per cent.

However, the industrial goods space improved by 0.85 per cent, and the insurance segment appreciated by 0.15 per cent.

But at the close of business, the All-Share Index (ASI) slipped by 2,120.20 points to 223,602.29 points from 225,722.49 points, and the market capitalisation shrank by N1.365 trillion to N143.970 trillion from N145.335 trillion.

A total of 678.2 million shares worth N44.1 billion were traded in 82,838 deals on Monday compared with 627.6 million shares valued at 44.5 billion transacted in 55,232 deals last Friday, representing a drop in the trading value by 0.90 per cent, and a surge in the trading volume and number of deals by 8.06 per cent and 49.98 per cent, respectively.

Zenith Bank was at the zenith of the activity chart yesterday with 76.1 million units sold for N9.5 billion. Wema Bank traded 49.9 million units worth N1.7 billion, Access Holdings exchanged 39.1 million units valued at N1.1 billion, Tantalizers transacted 30.0 million units worth N113.9 million, and AIICO Insurance traded 28.3 million units valued at N118.3 million.

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Economy

Nigeria Boosts Oil Theft Curbing with Naval Drill

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Crude Oil Theft special court

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria has ramped up efforts to secure its oil-rich waters and curb maritime crime, deploying significant naval assets under Exercise Obangame Express 2026 to protect critical energy infrastructure and trade routes in the Gulf of Guinea.

Flagging off the exercise in Onne, Rivers State, the Chief of Naval Staff, Vice Admiral Idi Abbas, said the exercise is central to safeguarding economic assets and sustaining investor confidence in Nigeria’s maritime domain.

“The safer maritime environment has enhanced investor confidence, increased shipping activities and supports the Federal Government’s drive towards a sustainable blue economy,” he said in a statement.

The multinational exercise, coordinated with the United States Africa Command, focuses on combating oil theft, piracy, illegal trafficking and other threats that directly impact Nigeria’s oil revenues and regional trade flows.

The focus on maritime security comes amid persistent concerns over crude oil theft and supply chain disruptions, which continue to undermine Nigeria’s production capacity.

Mr Abbas emphasised that coordinated regional efforts remain the most effective response to evolving threats.

“OBANGAME EXPRESS provides a unique opportunity for participating nations to train together, operate together and build the trust necessary for real-time coordination,” he said.

He added that no country can independently secure its maritime domain, stressing the need for sustained partnerships to protect the Gulf’s strategic energy corridor.

Also, the Commander, Eastern Naval Command, Rear Admiral CD Okehie, said the operation reflects a strategic shift toward protecting high-value maritime assets.

“The Gulf of Guinea serves as a major global sea lane of commerce, making it indispensable not only to regional economies but also to international trade,” he noted.

According to him, the Navy’s deployment of 10 ships, helicopters and special forces is designed to strengthen surveillance, interdiction and rapid response capabilities.

With Nigeria’s offshore assets and export routes forming a backbone of national revenue, the exercise signals a renewed push to tighten security, reduce losses and stabilise the broader oil and gas ecosystem.

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Economy

Why We Did Not Pay Dividend for FY 2025—Nigerian Breweries

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Nigerian Breweries

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

When shareholders of Nigerian Breweries Plc gathered at the company’s 80th Annual General Meeting (AGM) in Lagos, on Wednesday, April 22, 2026, one thing they were sure was not on the agenda was the approval of a dividend for the 2025 financial year.

This was because the board did not propose the payment of a cash reward to investors for the fiscal year for some reasons, which were explained at the meeting.

The chairman of the organisation, Ms Juliet Anammah, told shareholders that the dividend payout was skipped to rebuild retained earnings impacted by prior macroeconomic shocks, particularly foreign exchange-related losses.

“We recognise the importance of dividend payments to our shareholders and sincerely appreciate your continued understanding.

“While we are not declaring a dividend at this time due to negative retained earnings, we are working diligently to restore the company’s financial position and return to dividend payments as soon as it is sustainable to do so,” she explained.

Ms Anammah noted that the board remains vigilant to external risks, including the Middle East crisis and broader macroeconomic challenges, which may impact the pace of improvement in the 2026 financial year.

She thanked shareholders for their continued support and reaffirmed that the company will build on its 2025 performance as it accelerates growth ambitions.

“We have a solid foundation built over eight decades, anchored on a strong portfolio of brands, an extensive nationwide sales and supply chain network, ongoing digital transformation, and most importantly, our people. These strengths remain critical to sustaining our leadership position,” she said.

Despite the non-payment of cash reward for the year, shareholders applauded Nigerian Breweries for strong recovery and improved profitability in the 2025 financial year, driven by disciplined cost management and a significant reduction in finance expenses.

One of them, Mr Eke Emmanuel, who is the immediate past Secretary of the Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria, praised the board and management for steering the company through a volatile macroeconomic environment while strengthening its financial position, noting that the company’s resilience, at a time when several businesses exited the country, reflects strong leadership and a sound strategic direction.

“It is good news that we have been here for 80 years. There is no reason why we will not be here for the next 80 years with what we have achieved. To return to this level of profitability and cash position shows the Board has done an enormous amount of work,” he said.

Another shareholder, Mr Owolabi Opeyemi of the Noble Shareholders Association, confessed that, “We are proud of how the company has withstood the ups and downs of a challenging environment. The return to profitability and the reversal of the negative cash position recorded in the previous two financial years is commendable.”

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