Economy
Inflation to Drop in June to 10.94% from 11.61%—FSDH Analysts
By Dipo Olowookere
Analysts at FSDH Research have predicted that the year-on-year inflation rate for the month of June 2018 would moderate further to 10.94 percent from the 11.61 percent recorded in May 2018.
According to its Inflation Watch released last Thursday, the drop in the inflation rate would reflect the base effect in the Composite Consumer Price Index (CCPI) from the previous year and slower rate of increase in prices.
Based on the calendar on its website, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is due to release the inflation rate for the month of June on Friday, July 13, 2018.
FSDH Research said in its report obtained by Business Post that it notes that consumer prices increased in June but at a lower rate than the increases recorded in May.
It noted that the prices of most of the food items monitored in June 2018 increased, leading to a 1.10 percent increase in its Food and Non-Alcoholic Index. This Index increased year-on-year by 12.43 percent, up from 245.10 points recorded in June 2017.
The leading investment firm also observed an increase in the prices of Transport and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & Other Fuels divisions between May and June 2018.
According to the Food Price Index (FPI) published last week by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) for the month of June 2018 shows that the Index averaged 173.7 points, 1.3 percent lower than the value for May 2018, and representing the first month-on-month decline in 2018.
The FAO explained that the rising tensions regarding international trade relations among large economies have weakened prices.
The FAO Cereal Price Index was down by 3.7 percent, but 8 percent higher than a year ago, with the drop driven largely by relatively sharp falls in maize and wheat prices, while rice prices increased.
The FAO Dairy Price Index also dropped by 0.90 percent between May and June; driven by the decrease in cheese prices, more than offsetting a rise in skim milk powder prices, while those of butter and whole milk powder remained unchanged.
The FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index was also down by 3 percent, primarily driven by a decline in the prices of palm oil, soybean and sunflower oils occasioned by slow global imports demand and large inventories.
However, the FAO Sugar Index increased by 1.2 percent from May, making it the first increase after six months of consecutive declines. The FAO Meat Index was also marginally up by 0.3 percent driven by the increase in the prices for ovine and pig meat.
FSDH Research said its analysis indicates that the value of the Naira appreciated at the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange (NAFEX) market in June 2018. The value of the Naira appreciated by 0.15 percent to close at $/N361.08k at the NAFEX market at the end of June.
The general decline in the international prices of food coupled with the appreciation in the value of the Naira muted the prices of imported consumer goods in Nigeria between the two months under review.
Economy
Luno Introduces Crypto Price Prediction Product in Nigeria
By Adedapo Adesanya
Global cryptocurrency platform, Luno, has launched a structured crypto prediction markets product in Nigeria, which will enable customers to apply their market knowledge to short-term crypto price events and earn USDC when their insights are correct.
The prediction market allows customers to express a view on whether the price of selected crypto assets, being BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE, and XRP, will be above or below the daily price event. The market operates daily with clearly defined rules and settlement periods, offering customers structured, time-bound opportunities to act on their conviction.
Nigeria remains one of the most active crypto markets globally, with increasing demand for tools that combine simplicity and transparency. By introducing Prediction Markets focused solely on price levels, Luno aims to provide a fast, confident, and opportunity-forward format for market engagement.
Unlike traditional gaming or prediction firms like Polymarket and Kalshi, in which the odds are set by the company, Luno’s Prediction Market, powered by Limitless, is focused exclusively on crypto asset price movements within the Luno platform.
This means customers are not purchasing the underlying asset, but participating in a defined, outcome-based market that settles transparently based on real-time price data.
According to a statement, the launch reflects a broader shift in how customer behaviour is evolving in Nigeria’s growing crypto asset ecosystem, particularly as crypto asset adoption matures, many users are seeking more flexible and responsive ways to engage with markets beyond long-term holding or traditional spot trading.
Luno’s Prediction Markets product is designed to meet this demand within a familiar and regulated platform environment. The feature builds on how customers already interact with crypto asset prices – analysing charts, following market news, and forming views- and provides a structured framework for expressing those views.
According to Mr Ayotunde Alabi, chief executive of Luno Nigeria, the company is combining crypto education with a secure platform to help Nigerians confidently apply their market knowledge in a responsible and practical way.
“We are seeing a clear shift in how Nigerians want to engage with crypto assets. Many already follow price movements closely and form strong market views; we want to lead with education as well as provide a safe and secure platform to help them apply that knowledge. This feature is designed to be a natural extension for those who enjoy forecasting.
“By tying this to our ongoing educational initiatives, such as our scholarships with AltSchool, we are encouraging users to apply what they have learned about market analysis into a practical, responsible framework. Our priority is ensuring that where confidence meets opportunity, it is supported by the standards of trust our customers expect.”
Luno said it will further support the rollout with Learn & Earn educational content and tutorials explaining market mechanics and price determination. To promote informed decision-making and ensure the product is used responsibly,
Luno has embedded specific controls, including customers reading and acknowledging a risk disclosure before participating, as well as moving funds from their ordinary USDC wallet to a separate prediction wallet, which will be used to participate in prediction markets.
The firm also said that customers cannot hold both sides of the same market, in this case, Above and Below at the same time.
Economy
Nigerian Capital Market to Transition to T+1 Settlement May 29
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Nigerian capital market will transition to a T+1 settlement cycle from May 29, as part of efforts to enhance efficiency and align with global standards, the Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc said in a notice.
If this is achieved, it would be about six months after the Nigerian central depository, clearing, and settlement agent switched to a T+2 settlement cycle from the previous T+3 cycle. The previous transitioning was precisely on November 28, 2025.
This switch will shorten the settlement period for trades, allowing transactions to be completed one business day after the execution date, instead of the current two-day cycle.
CSCS Plc, in the disclosure, said the move represents the next phase in the development of Nigeria’s capital market infrastructure.
It stated that the new settlement cycle is expected to improve post-trade efficiency, reduce settlement risk and speed up the movement of securities and funds across the capital market.
The company added that trades executed on Thursday, May 28, the final trading day under the T+2 cycle, and those executed on Friday, May 29, the first trading day under the T+1 cycle, would both settle on Monday, June 1.
“This transition requires coordinated readiness across all market participants, including exchanges, brokers, custodians, registrars, settlement banks and institutional investors.
“Industry-wide engagements and technical readiness initiatives are ongoing to ensure a seamless transition.
“All market participants are encouraged to review their internal processes, systems and operational workflows to ensure alignment with the new settlement framework,” the company stated.
After the T+2 settlement cycle went live last year, the erstwhile chief executive of the company, Mr Haruna Jalo-Waziri, at the time said CSCS Plc is already preparing to shift to a T+1 settlement cycle by mid-2026.
Mr Kalo-Waziri, who has since been replaced by Mr Shehu Yahaya Shantali, said the organisation had been strengthening its capacity over time, ensuring that the eventual migration would be efficient, stable, and cost-effective, stressing that the transition aligns with global best practices and reflects the market’s readiness for faster, more reliable settlement processes.
Economy
FrieslandCampina, Geo-Fluids Collapse NASD Exchange by 0.12%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc and Geo-Fluids Plc weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 0.12 per cent on Monday, March 16.
FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc lost N1.45 during the session to sell at N123.55 per share versus the previous price of N125.00 per share, and Geo Fluids Plc depreciated by 5 Kobo to N3.05 per unit from N3.10 per unit.
The losses recorded by the two securities lowered the market capitalisation by N8.88 billion to N2.480 trillion from N2.489 trillion, and crashed the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) by 14.86 points to 4,145.60 points from 4,160.46 points.
On the first trading day of the week, the value of securities transacted by investors went up by 10.8 per cent to N33.2 million from N29.9 million, but the volume of securities dipped 97.5 per cent to 265,610 units from 10.4 million units, and the number of deals decreased by 43.5 per cent to 26 deals from 46 deals.
At the close of trades, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc was the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 38.6 million units sold for N2.4 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 6.4 million units traded for N1.2 billion, and FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc with 6.5 million units worth N609.6 million.
Resourcery Plc closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.6 million, trailed by Geo-Fluids Plc with 130.8 million units transacted for N504.5 million, and CSCS Plc with 38.6 million units exchanged for N2.4 billion.
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