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Economy

IPMAN Changes Tone, Hails Dangote’s Distribution Move

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IPMAN fuel scarcity

By Adedapo Adesanya

In an apparent change of stance, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) has now hailed the management of Dangote Petroleum Refinery over its plan to commence free distribution of petrol and diesel to independent marketers an large-scale consumers across the country, beginning from August 15, 2025.

Earlier, the marketers’ association had lamented that the development could lead to problems, calling it a “dangerous monopoly.

In a new statement, IPMAN in Rivers State described the development as “bold, strategic and transformative,” noting that the initiative, accompanied by the deployment of 4,000 Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)-powered tankers, will significantly ease the challenges facing Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector.

Mr Tekena Ikpaki, Chairman of IPMAN Rivers State Chapter, in an official statement issued on Tuesday, said, “This is a timely intervention that could not have come at a better time. It addresses a multitude of issues plaguing our members, especially supply inconsistency, high transportation costs, infrastructural bottlenecks, and unstable market prices.”

Dangote Refinery last week announced it would distribute fuel free-of-charge to marketers and other large consumers, in what the company described as a corporate intervention aimed at stabilizing the downstream sector.

Mr Ikpaki emphasized that independent marketers, who account for the majority of fuel distribution in the country, stand to benefit significantly.

“With the planned deployment of 4,000 brand-new CNG-powered tankers, Dangote is not just addressing supply but also investing in a cleaner, more sustainable logistics model. This aligns with global climate goals while resolving domestic distribution gaps.”

IPMAN stressed that the emergence of Dangote as a credible alternative to the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited offers marketers a “multi-source supply model” that will drive competition and improve pricing mechanisms in the retail market.

“The era of single-source dependence is no longer viable. Multiple supply routes mean better pricing, improved logistics, and more reliability for consumers at the pump,” he added.

Mr Ikpaki also called for inclusive implementation and regulatory oversight to ensure that independent marketers from all regions benefit equitably from the initiative.

“While the offer of free product distribution appears generous, we encourage government regulators to ensure the program is implemented transparently and without favoritism. Independent marketers across Nigeria must benefit without discrimination.”

He further reiterated the association’s commitment to supporting investments aimed at improving Nigeria’s fuel supply chain, including infrastructure upgrades and market efficiency. But he warned against any monopolistic tendencies by dominant players.

“We welcome industry giants like Dangote and NNPCL playing critical roles, but we must ensure no single entity overwhelms the market to the detriment of smaller operators. A level playing field is non-negotiable.”

IPMAN also linked the Dangote initiative to NNPC’s ongoing Crude-for-Naira programme, describing both as complementary efforts aimed at improving fuel availability, supporting the naira, and stabilizing the energy sector.

“These are the types of public-private partnerships Nigeria needs, strategic actions with long-term benefits. They restore confidence and offer renewed hope for a more affordable, efficient, and inclusive energy future for Nigeria.”

He concluded by reaffirming the association’s readiness to collaborate with all key stakeholders, including the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority, (NMDPRA), to ensure successful execution of the fuel distribution program.

“Let us all work together to build a more resilient and prosperous petroleum sector that truly serves the Nigerian people,” he said.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

Economy

Nigerian Senate to Pass 2026 Budget March 17

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Tinubu 2026 Budget presentation

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Senate, through its Committee on Appropriations, has fixed March 17, 2026, as the tentative date for the final consideration and passage of the N58.472 trillion 2026 Appropriation Bill.

This was made known after a special session on Friday, where February 2 to 13, 2026, was approved for the consideration of budget estimates at the committee level.

The committee equally fixed Monday, February 9, 2026, for a public hearing on the budget proposal.

Chairman of the committee, Mr Solomon Olamilekan Adeola, further disclosed that Thursday, March 5, 2026, has been scheduled for an interactive session between members of the committee and key economic managers of the federal government, including the Ministers of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr Wale Edun, as well as the Minister of Budget and National Planning, Mr Atiku Bagudu.

According to him, February 16 to 23, 2026, has been earmarked for the submission of reports on budget defence by various standing committee chairmen, ahead of the presentation of the Appropriations Committee’s report to the Senate on March 17.

He disclosed that while the Senate leadership initially preferred the budget to be passed by March 12, 2026, he successfully appealed for an additional week to allow for more thorough scrutiny.

To aid detailed examination of the estimates, Senator Adeola said hard copies of the 2026 budget have been printed and distributed to chairmen and members of the Senate’s standing committees.

On December 19, 2025, President Bola Tinubu presented a budget proposal of N58.47 trillion for the 2026 fiscal year titled Budget of Consolidation, Renewed Resilience and Shared Prosperity to a joint session of the National Assembly.

The budget has a capital recurrent (non‑debt) expenditure standing at N15.25 trillion, and the capital expenditure at N26.08 trillion, while the crude oil benchmark was pegged at $64.85 per barrel.

Mr Tinubu said the expected total revenue for the year is N34.33 trillion, and the proposal is anchored on a crude oil production of 1.84 million barrels per day, and an exchange rate of N1,400 to the US Dollar.

In terms of sectoral allocation, defence and security took the lion’s share with N5.41 trillion, followed by infrastructure at N3.56 trillion, education received N3.52 trillion, while health received N2.48 trillion.

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Economy

Airtel Africa Grows Earnings to $4.7bn in Nine Months

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Airtel Africa nine-month results

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

About $4.7 billion was generated by Airtel Africa Plc in nine-month period ended December 31, 2025, details of the company’s financial statements revealed.

The telco disclosed that in the period under review, mobile services revenue grew by 23.3 per cent in constant currency, as data revenues, the largest contributor to group revenues, increased by 36.5 per cent, with voice revenues growing by 13.5 per cent.

In the same vein, EBITDA grew by 35.9 per cent in reported currency to $2.3 billion, with EBITDA margins expanding further to 48.9 per cent from 46.2 per cent in the prior period.

The third quarter of the fiscal year witnessed a further sequential increase in EBITDA margins to 49.6 per cent, driving EBITDA growth of 31.0 per cent in constant currency and 40.8 per cent in reported currency.

The financial results showed that profit after tax of $586 million improved from $248 million in the prior period. Higher profit after tax in the current period was driven by higher operating profit and derivative and foreign exchange gains of $99 million versus the $153 million derivative and foreign exchange losses in the prior period.

Commenting, the chief executive of Airtel Africa, Mr Sunil Taldar, said, “These results highlight the strength of our strategy, with strong operating and financial trends across the business. During the quarter, we accelerated investment to enhance coverage and data capacity while also expanding our fibre network.

“Coupling this investment with innovative partnerships, strengthens our customer proposition and positions us to capture the considerable growth opportunity across our markets.

“Digitisation, technology innovation and embedding AI in our processes will also optimise the customer experience with increased digital offerings and closer integration of GSM and Airtel Money services allowing us to unlock the strong demand across our markets. Smartphone adoption continues to increase with penetration of 48.1 per cent, and we are seeing solid progress in the development of our home broadband business, reflecting the need for reliable, high-speed connectivity across our markets.

“Our push to enhance financial inclusion across the continent continues to gain momentum with our Mobile Money customer base expanding to 52 million, surpassing the 50 million milestone. Annualised total processed value of over $210 billion in Q3’26 underscores the depth of our merchants, agents and partner ecosystem, and remains a key player in driving improved access to financial services across Africa. We remain on track for the listing of Airtel Money in the first half of 2026.

“Disciplined execution on cost efficiency, alongside accelerating revenue growth has enabled another sequential improvement in our quarterly EBITDA margin to 49.6 per cent, – underpinning constant currency EBITDA growth of 31 per cent – and we remain focussed on driving further incremental margin improvements.

“Our strategic priorities remain clear: to keep investing in best in class connectivity, accelerate financial inclusion through our mobile money platform and deliver a great customer experience. These results reinforce our confidence in the long term potential of our markets and our ability to create value for all our stakeholders.”

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Economy

Interest Rates May Remain Elevated Despite Inflation Cooling—PwC

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interest rate hike

By Adedapo Adesanya

According to PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), Nigeria’s benchmark interest rate is likely to remain elevated in 2026 even as inflation shows signs of easing.

Speaking at the PwC–BusinessDay Executive Roundtable on Nigeria’s 2026 budget and economic outlook in Lagos on Thursday, the Chief Economist and Head of Strategy at PwC, Mr Olusegun Zaccheaus, said expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts might be premature even with the core factor – inflation – seen cooling.

“Interest rates may remain elevated despite inflation cooling for most of 2025,” Mr Zaccheaus said. “Perhaps not by the 500 basis points some hope for, due to the need to manage liquidity.”

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) had more than doubled its policy rate from 2022 levels in a bid to rein in inflationary pressures, before implementing a 50 basis-point cut in September that brought the monetary policy rate to 27 per cent.

The move followed a sharp moderation in inflation from its late-2024 peak. Inflation slowed to 15.15 per cent in December 2025, while the economy expanded by 3.98 per cent in the third quarter, its strongest quarterly growth in years.

At the last Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting of the CBN in November 2025 voted to keep the interest steady.

The PwC official warned that warned that underlying risks, including exchange-rate volatility, fiscal pressures and global uncertainty, continue to complicate the outlook.

Mr Zaccheaus said that a major challenge for the apex bank will be to control the volume of money circulating in the economy.

He advised that liquidity management remains critical as excess cash can quickly undermine dis-inflation efforts particularly as the 2027 election cycle is around the corner.

He said that Nigeria typically experiences rapid growth in money supply ahead of election cycles, driven by increased government spending and political activity, adding that without careful coordination, such expansions risk fueling inflation and weakening investor confidence.

“The responsibility of the central bank is to ensure liquidity does not grow in a way that has a negative macroeconomic impact,” Mr Zaccheaus said.

He noted that a stable currency environment would support improved capital allocation and investment planning.

“FX stability is crucial,” Mr Zaccheaus said. “It gives investors confidence and allows businesses to plan. But that stability depends on disciplined policy execution.”

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