Economy
KPMG Lowers Nigeria’s Economic Growth Forecast to 2.65%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The local subsidiary of the global consultancy firm, KPMG Nigeria, has cut down its forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth rate for this year.
In its Flashnotes for August 2023, the firm now put Nigeria’s expected growth at 2.65 per cent, in contrast to an initial forecast of 2.85 per cent, the consultancy said in its latest commentary.
This came as the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released the country’s GDP for the three months through June (Q2 2023).
In the KPMG report signed by its chief economist (a former head of the NBS), Mr Yemi Kale, the downward review of the projection was done after it figured out that the country could not attain the estimated target initially set amid headwinds in the economy, including subsidy regime and a weakening of the Naira, which has shot up the Dollar exchange rate.
It also blamed muted government investment in the economy in Q2 and Q3 2023, with the new administrations at the federal and state levels settling in Q3 2023.
KPMG noted that the country needed a minimum 3.3 per cent growth for the second half of the year to keep alive the dream of 2.9 per cent growth for 2023.
“Q2 2023 is the quarter where the impact of subsidy removal, FX unification, and other reforms of the new administration had its major impact on squeezing household consumption demand and firms’ costs of operations as well as reduced private investment,” it said.
According to the NBS, Nigeria’s GDP expansion rate grew to 2.51 per cent in Q2, affected by further drops in oil production level and a host of economic reforms that are taking their toll on disposable income and compounding a cost-of-living crisis.
Growth was driven by the services sector, which grew by 4.42 per cent. The agricultural sector reversed its first Quarter 2023 contraction, growing by 1.50 per cent compared to -0.90 per cent in Q1 2023 and 1.20 per cent in Q2 2022.
Industry, which had reversed its seven-quarter-long contraction, growing by 0.31 per cent in Q1 2023, returned to contraction in Q2 2023, recording -1.94 per cent. Accordingly, the non-oil grew by 3.58 per cent in Q2 2023, compared to 2.77 per cent in Q1 2023, while the oil sector, which has contracted since Q1 2020, further declined by -13.43 per cent in Q2 2023 compared to -4.21 per cent in Q1 2023 and -11.77 per cent in Q2 2022.
KPMG expects oil production in Nigeria, the continent’s top producer, to shrink tighter in August and September as it did in July.
“If this trend continues for the remaining two months of Q3 2023, we will have a situation where non-oil sector growth and oil sector growth underperform,” the report noted.
“Finally, with rising inflation in the first month of Q3 2023 and our expectation of further increases in inflation for the rest of the year, the pressure on nominal to real GDP will be higher, thereby curtailing higher real GDP growth in Q3 2023,” it added.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns in Lagos State has been extended by one week from February 1 to 7, 2026.
This information was revealed in a statement signed by the Head of Corporate Communications of the Lagos State Internal Revenue Service (LIRS), Mrs Monsurat Amasa-Oyelude.
In the statement issued over the weekend, the chairman of the tax collecting organisation, Mr Ayodele Subair, explained that the statutory deadline for filing of employers’ annual tax returns is January 31, every year, noting that the extension is intended to provide employers with additional time to complete and submit accurate tax returns.
According to him, employers must give priority to the timely filing of their annual returns, noting that compliance should be embedded as a routine business practice.
He also reiterated that electronic filing through the LIRS eTax platform remains the only approved method for submitting annual returns, as manual filings have been completely phased out. Employers are therefore required to file their returns exclusively through the LIRS eTax portal: https://etax.lirs.net.
Describing the platform as secure, user-friendly, and accessible 24/7, Mr Subair advised employers to ensure that the Tax ID (Tax Identification Number) of all employees is correctly captured in their submissions.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The chief executive of Airtel Africa Plc, Mr Sunil Kumar Taldar, has disclosed that the company is still on track to list its mobile money business, Airtel Money, before the end of June 2026.
Recall that Business Post reported in March 2024 that the mobile network operator was considering selling the shares of Airtel Money to the public through the IPO vehicle in a transaction expected to raise about $4 billion.
The firm had been in talks with possible advisors for a planned listing of the shares from the initial public offer on a stock exchange with some options including London, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), or Europe.
However, so far no final decisions have been made regarding the timing, location, or scale of the IPO.
In September 2025, the telco reportedly picked Citigroup Incorporated as advisors for the planned IPO which will see Airtel Money become a standalone entity before it can attain the prestige of trading on a stock exchange.
Mr Taldar, noted that metrics continued to show improvements ahead of the listing with its customer base hitting 52 million, compared to around 44.6 million users it had as of June 2025.
He added that the subsidiary processed over $210 billion in a year, according to the company’s nine-month financial results released on Friday.
“Our push to enhance financial inclusion across the continent continues to gain momentum with our Mobile Money customer base expanding to 52 million, surpassing the 50 million milestone. Annualised total processed value of over $210 billion in Q3’26 underscores the depth of our merchants, agents, and partner ecosystem and remains a key player in driving improved access to financial services across Africa.
“We remain on track for the listing of Airtel Money in the first half of 2026,” Mr Taldar said.
Estimating Airtel Money at $4 billion is higher than its valuation of $2.65 billion in 2021. In 2021, Airtel Money received significant investments, including $200 million from TPG Incorporated at a valuation of $2.65 billion and $100 million from Mastercard. Later that same year, an affiliate of Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund also acquired an undisclosed stake in the unit.
The mobile money sector in Africa is expanding rapidly, driven by a young population increasingly adopting technology for financial services, making the continent a key market for fintech companies.
By Dipo Olowookere
A cryptocurrency investor and owner of Polyfarm, Mr Bamu Gift Wandji, is currently cooling off in the custody of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC).
He was handed over to the anti-money laundering agency by the Nigerian Security and Civil Defence Corps (NSCDC) on Friday, January 30, 2026, after his arrest on Monday, January 12, 2026.
A statement from the EFCC yesterday disclosed that the suspect was apprehended by the NSCDC in Gwagwalada, Abuja for running an investment scheme without the authorisation of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which is the apex capital market regulator in Nigeria.
It was claimed that Mr Wandji created a fraudulent crypto investment platform called Polyfarm, where he allegedly lured innocent Nigerians to invest in Polygon, a crypto token that attracts high returns.
Investigation further revealed that he also deceived the public that his project, Polyfarm, has its native token called “polyfarm coin” which he sold to the public.
In his bid to promote the scheme, the suspect posted about this on social media platforms, including WhatsApp, X (formally Twitter) and Telegram. He also conducted seminars in some major cities in Nigeria including Kaduna, Lagos, Port Harcourt and Abuja where he described the scheme as a life-changing programme.
Further investigation revealed that in October, 2025, subscribers who could not access their funds were informed by the suspect that the site was attacked by Lazarus group, a cyber attacking group linked to North Korea.
Further investigations showed that Polyfarm is not registered and not licensed with SEC to carry out crypto transactions in Nigeria. Also, no investment happened with subscribers’ funds and that the suspect used funds paid by subscribers to pay others in the name of profit.
Investigation also revealed that native coin, polyfarm coin was never listed on coin market cap and that the suspect sold worthless coins to the general public.
Contrary to the claim of the suspect that his platform was attacked, EFCC’s investigations revealed that the platform was never attacked or hacked by anyone and that the suspect withdrew investors’ funds and utilized the same for his personal gains.
The EFCC, in the statement, disclosed that Mr Wandji would be charged to court upon conclusion of investigations.
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