Connect with us

Economy

Low GDP Growth Rate in Nigeria: A New Norm?

Published

on

GDP Nigeria growth

By FSDH Research

The real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate of 1.50 percent recorded in Q2 2018 was below the expectations of most analysts.

The GDP numbers reflect the impact of the rising uncertainties in the country. The low growth and contraction across many sectors of the Nigerian economy also underscore the need for an urgent set of policies and engagements to rescue the economy.

Although the fragile growth was driven by the Non-Oil sector, the fact that dominant sectors of the economy either recorded low growth or contracted in Q2 2018 indicates that urgent actions are required. Agriculture, which is the largest sector of the Nigerian economy at 22.86 percent, recorded a marginal growth of only 1.19 percent.

FSDH Research notes that the slow growth in the Agriculture sector, if not checked, may lead to food shortage in the country and consequently escalating food prices and rising inflation rate.

Trade, which is the second largest sector of the Nigerian economy, contracted by 2.14 percent and also entered a recession in Q2 2018.

The weak purchasing power in the country (occasioned by non-payment of salaries, high unemployment rate and high consumer prices) is responsible for the contraction in the Trade sector.

Improvement in the business environment that can lead to job creation and payment of salary of workers, particularly among the state civil servants, will stimulate purchasing power.

FSDH Research observes strong growth in the Information & Communication and the Construction sectors of the economy.

The growth in internet data consumption and increase in road and rail construction works across the country are the major drivers of the growth in the Information & Communication and the Construction respectively.

We believe the two sectors can achieve higher growth rates given the enormous potentials inherent in these sectors.

The contraction in the Real Estate sector can be reversed if government at all levels partners with private sector operators to provide affordable housing units for Nigerians.

Government can provide land, lower the cost of registration and perfection of titles, and provide long-term loans for their employees. The current low GDP growth rate is not strong enough to stimulate credit creation. It has also increased the risk of doing business in Nigeria. Therefore, urgent measures are required so that low GDP growth rate does not become a new norm in Nigeria.

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Economy

NASD OTC Exchange Gains N26.99bn as Investors Drive 1.04% Rally

Published

on

NASD OTC exchange

By Adedapo Adesanya

The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange jumped 1.04 per cent on Wednesday, June 17, with the market capitalisation adding N26.99 billion to settle at N2.619 trillion compared with the previous session’s N2.592 trillion, and the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) rising by 45.1 points to close at 4,378.45 points, in contrast to the preceding day’s 4,333.35 points.

The rally was driven by the gains reported by two securities, which outweighed the losses posted by three securities, led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which dipped by N1.95 to N178.19 per unit from N180.14 per unit. Geo-Fluids Plc lost 19 Kobo to close at N2.61 per share compared with Tuesday’s closing price of N2.80 per share, and Food Concepts Plc slid by 1 Kobo to N1.77 per unit from N1.78 per unit.

On the flip side, Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc recorded a N6.33 appreciation to trade at N86.57 per share versus the previous day’s N80.24 per share, and Light House Financial Services Plc grew by 10 Kobo to N1.13 per unit from the N1.03 per unit it closed a day earlier.

In the midweek session, the value of stocks traded by investors surged by 181.0 per cent to N128.3 million from the preceding session’s N45.6 million, the volume of securities increased by 305.6 per cent to 2.8 million units from Tuesday’s 688,290 units, and the number of deals executed jumped by 6.5 per cent to 33 deals from 31 deals.

At the close of trades, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 67.3 million units exchanged for N4.6 billion.

GNI Plc also ended as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units sold for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units traded for N415.7 million.

Continue Reading

Economy

Ayobo-Ipaja LCDA Explores Commercial Ostrich, Crocodile Farming

Published

on

ostrich and Crocodile Farming

By Dipo Olowookere

As part of moves to boost its internally generated revenue (IGR) and increase its streams of income, Ayobo-Ipaja Local Council Development Area (LCDA) is considering commercial ostrich and crocodile farming.

The council recently held a sensitisation programme, where agribusiness experts engaged stakeholders, including residents and entrepreneurs, on the viability of this.

The programme provided participants with the knowledge on investment requirements, training opportunities, startup funding, and regulatory frameworks guiding ostrich and crocodile farming in Nigeria.

The chairman of Ayobo-Ipaja LCDA, Mr Lukmon Agbaje, commended the initiative, reiterating his administration’s commitment to promoting innovative agricultural practices as a pathway to sustainable development.

He described agriculture as a critical driver of economic transformation, stressing that modern farming has evolved into a profitable business venture with immense potential for youth empowerment and enterprise development.

Mr Agbaje further assured participants of the council’s readiness to partner with investors, agricultural institutions, and other relevant stakeholders to facilitate training, capacity building, and access to opportunities across the agricultural value chain.

On his part, the council’s Head of Department of Agriculture, Mr Wale Atepe, emphasised the growing market demand for products such as leather, meat, feathers, and other valuable by-products, adding that strategic investment in the sector could unlock significant opportunities for employment, wealth creation, and export earnings.

Continue Reading

Economy

Naira Tumbles to N1,360/$1 at Official Market

Published

on

Official FX Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira depreciated against the United States Dollar by 0.21 per cent or N2.89 in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Wednesday, June 17, to N1,360.07/$1 from Tuesday’s closing rate of N1,357.18/$1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian Naira weakened against the Pound Sterling in the official market during the session by N4.42 to trade at N1,824.81/£1 versus the preceding session’s N1,820.39/£1, and lost N4.19 on the Euro to sell at N1,577.96/€1 compared with the previous day’s N1,573.79/€1.

However, at the GTBank segment, the local currency gained N1 against the greenback yesterday to exchange at N1,372/$1 versus N1,373/$1, and at the parallel market, it remained unchanged at N1,385/$1 at midweek.

The Naira’s performance comes amid tight inflows from exporters, non-bank corporates, and foreign investors, evidenced by the slow movement of the country’s gross external reserves level of $50.505 billion, despite muted inflows from oil sales after a recent drop in prices.

There have been reduced FX market interventions by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) as it maintains its stance to keep the local unit stable enough to retain foreign investments.

The Nigerian government also dismissed a report suggesting that it was considering new taxes on telecommunications services and petroleum products, which would have spooked investors.

The federal government said that the reports misrepresented recommendations contained in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Article IV Consultation Report on Nigeria, explaining that the recommendations were advisory and do not constitute government policy or binding obligations on Nigeria.

In the cryptocurrency market, prices were negative as traders and investors shrugged off a signed Iran peace deal that lifted stocks, after the Federal Reserve held interest rates but made clear it is more worried about inflation than growth.

Under the new Chair, Mr Kevin Warsh, the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 3.5 per cent to 3.75 per cent,  in line with expectations, but its updated projections pointed to higher inflation and a slower pace of future rate cuts, and some officials floated the possibility that rates may still need to rise.

Cardano (ADA) slid 4.5 per cent to trade at $0.1731, Ripple (XRP) went down by 4.2 per cent to $1.16, Ethereum (ETH) shrank by 3.5 per cent to $1,727.55, Solana (SOL) lost 3.4 per cent to sell $71.05, Dogecoin (DOGE) also fell by 3.4 per cent to $0.0843, Binance Coin (BNB) slumped by 3.1 per cent to $587.53, and Bitcoin (BTC) crashed by 2.6 per cent to $63,892.28, while TRON (TRX) gained 0.7 per cent to finish at $0.3201, with the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) closing flat at $1.00 each.

Continue Reading

Trending