Economy
Meristem Sees Nigeria’s May Inflation at 22.42%
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Analysts at Meristem Research are projecting that inflation in May 2023 will rise to 22.42 per cent from the 22.22 per cent recorded in April 2023.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release the inflation numbers today, June 15.
In a note obtained by Business Post, Meristem said the rise in the average cost of goods and services in the period under review would be caused by an “increase in food prices,” especially in vegetables, oils, bread, and tubers.
“We expect the headline inflation to increase by 20 basis points to 22.42 per cent from 22.22 per cent YoY in April 2023,” Meristem said.
“Contrary to the decline in global food prices, key food prices in the domestic economy are expected to remain elevated based on our perception of market prices.
“Also, gleaning insights from the NBS’ selected food price watch for April 2023, the increase in food prices for May is likely to result from the higher cost of vegetables, oils, bread, and tubers.
“In addition, the supply shortage of tomatoes due to the outbreak of the tomato disease, as noted in April’s report, persists and resulted in a 3.97% MoM increase in tomato prices, according to the NBS.
“The core index is also expected to increase on the back of higher gas prices, Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), and National Household Kerosene (NHK). Reported cases of fuel scarcity are likely to be catalysts underlining higher PMS prices in May.
“Lingering challenges with sourcing FX and the 10.56% YoY depreciation of the domestic currency against the greenback on the I&E window are also factors expected to increase the prices of import-dependent items,” it stated.
Meristem noted that, “The deregulation of PMS and the intention to unify the exchange rate windows pose a significant upside risk to inflation.
“Fuel subsidy removal, which has led to a repricing of the commodity, is expected to significantly impact the core index.
“Also, we expect the impact of higher PMS prices to trickle to the food index due to its expected impact on transportation costs.
“Furthermore, we expect the proposed unification of the exchange rate to result in the devaluation of the naira on the official window. Thus, domestic prices are projected to remain high in the near to medium term,” the report stated.
By Adedapo Adesanya
Oil was up by 1 per cent on Tuesday as doubts about a potential United States-Iran peace deal fueled concerns that Middle East supply disruptions would persist.
As a result, Brent futures rose by $1.19 or 1.4 per cent to $88.91 a barrel, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures expanded by $1.07 or 1.3 per cent to $83.20 per barrel.
Both contracts had jumped about 5 per cent on Monday as hopes for a peace deal between the US and Iran started to fade.
It looked worse on Tuesday when Iran said the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed unless the US ends the war and meets Iran’s conditions, raising the bar for a deal that would restore more oil traffic through the key waterway. About 20 per cent of global oil supply passed through the strait before the start of the Iran war on February 28.
Mr Mohsen Rezaei, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, said it has also delivered additional conditions to the US through mediators.
US officials had suggested last week that negotiations involving Iran and Oman were making progress toward allowing more vessels through Hormuz.
Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz fell sharply on Monday as tensions continued to disrupt maritime activity across the Middle East.
Shipping data showed that only six vessels passed through the strategic waterway on Monday, below the 10-day average of about 11 vessels. Before the conflict, daily traffic through the strait averaged between 125 and 140 vessels.
The disruption comes amid heightened security concerns across key regional shipping routes.
In the Bab el-Mandeb, Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis attacked a Saudi vessel carrying military equipment, according to the Houthi-run Saba news agency.
Separately, Reuters reported a missile attack on a container ship off Pakistan in what was suspected to be a US strike, further underscoring the security risks facing commercial shipping in the region.
The disruption to regional maritime traffic has also raised concerns about the recovery of oil production in the Middle East.
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that some oil producers in the region could struggle to restore output to pre-conflict levels by the end of 2027, even if shipping and trade patterns return to normal by early next year.
The outlook highlights the potential for prolonged disruptions to global oil supplies despite a possible normalisation of trade flows in the coming months.
In Libya, a member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), renewed violence in the strategic city of Zawiya has disrupted the oil industry, with state oil firm the National Oil Corporation saying it could declare force majeure if drone attacks on energy assets in the city continued.
In Europe, the Ukrainian military said on Tuesday it attacked an oil refinery in the Russian city of Orsk, the second-largest city in the Orenburg region and an important industrial hub.
The combination of Ukraine’s attacks on Russian energy infrastructure and the Iran war has limited global supplies and boosted global energy prices.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
African leaders have been advised to focus on economic integration through industrialisation, as this would make the continent a formidable force in the global market.
This charge was given by the Minister of State in the Tanzanian President’s Office responsible for Planning and Investment, Prof. Kitila A. Mkumbo, during a visit to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals in Lagos.
“Africa now needs economic liberation, and that can only come through industrialisation,” he said, describing Mr Aliko Dangote as Africa’s leading industrialist whose investments are increasingly extending beyond Nigeria to support development across the continent.
He added that Tanzania looks forward to working with Dangote Group as part of a broader vision of accelerating Pan-African industrialisation and strengthening regional manufacturing capacity.
The Minister also highlighted the importance of local refining capacity in improving Africa’s energy security, particularly in light of recent disruptions in global oil markets.
Referring to the impact of tensions around the Strait of Hormuz on global fuel prices, he said increased refining capacity from facilities such as the Dangote Petroleum Refinery would help cushion African economies against external shocks.
According to him, affordable and reliable energy remains one of the most important drivers of economic development, noting that expanded refining capacity across the continent would contribute significantly to lowering energy costs and improving the quality of life for millions of Africans.
The Tanzanian delegation was in Nigeria to follow up on discussions held earlier this year between President Samia Suluhu Hassan and Mr Dangote regarding the expansion of Dangote Group’s investment footprint in Tanzania.
The East African nation reaffirmed its commitment to deepening economic cooperation with Dangote Group, expressing strong interest in attracting new investments in fertiliser production, energy and industrial infrastructure to support the country’s long-term development agenda.
“We have come here to make a follow-up on what they deliberated with our President in terms of further Dangote investments in Tanzania,” Mr Mkumbo said.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
One of the leading brewers and beverage companies listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited, Champion Breweries Plc, has expressed its commitment to strengthening its market position.
The beer maker gave this assurance while reacting to its financial performance for the first half of 2026, which was strong, driven by solid commercial performance, improved operational efficiencies, and the successful expansion of its business portfolio following the acquisition of EnjoyBev B.V.
In the period under review, the organisation boosted its growth platform through strategic investment, delivered resilient operating performance, and successfully transitioned to a new group structure.
Its revenue reached N35.73 billion, while second-quarter revenue amounted to N21.37 billion. Operating profit stood at N6.17 billion, and profit after tax attributable to the group was N2.65 billion, with second-quarter profit after tax of N1.76 billion.
The firm also successfully completed the acquisition of an 80 per cent equity interest in EnjoyBev B.V., strengthened its capital base through a successful capital raising programme that increased shareholders’ equity to N69.08 billion, and maintained full compliance with NGX free float requirements, with free float increasing to 25.72 per cent as of June 30, 2026.
“The first half of 2026 marks a defining chapter in Champion Breweries’ journey. We have not only delivered a strong operating performance but also successfully transformed our business into a broader beverage group with an expanded platform for sustainable growth.
“While higher finance costs associated with our strategic investment programme impacted profitability during the period, our underlying business remains strong.
“The combination of disciplined commercial execution, continued investment in our brands and route-to-market capabilities and improving operational efficiency positions us well for future growth.
“We remain focused on creating long-term value for shareholders, strengthening our market position, and capturing the opportunities presented by our expanded business platform,” the acting chief executive of Champion Breweries, Mr Rasheed Adebiyi, said.
