Economy
Moody’s Raises Red Flag in Dangote Cement’s Liquidity Level
By Modupe Gbadeyanka
Reputable global rating agency, Moody’s Investors Service, has warned that Dangote Cement Plc could be exposed to a refinance risk as a result of its weak liquidity profile.
In a statement issued yesterday, Moody’s said the cement firm’s liquidity profile remains weak because it relies on the rollover of short-term debt and commercial paper funding, equal to N106 billion and N137 billion respectively as December 31, 2019.
It noted that “combined with the board recommended dividend of N273 billion, which if approved and paid in June 2020, will weaken Dangote Cement’s liquidity and expose the business to refinance risk.”
The rating company, which gave a negative outlook on Dangote Cement as a result of the Nigerian sovereign negative outlook, explained that this (outlook) was done due to the firm’s reliance on short-term funding combined with high annual dividends payments, which expose the company to a potential liquidity shortfall over the next 12 to 18 months.
Moody’s said it expects the issuance of long-term debt to reduce the reliance on short-term debt, alleviating near term liquidity risk.
Recently, Dangote Cement informed the market of its intention to issue the first tranche of its N300 billion debt programme, noting that it has already submitted some papers with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) concerning the exercise.
Dangote Cement said it would use proceeds from the exercise to refinance existing short-term debt previously applied towards cement expansion projects, working capital and general corporate purposes.
On Tuesday, Moody’s assigned B1 rating to the capital raising because of the company’s strong market presence in Nigeria and other African markets in which it operates; high gross margins above 60 percent on a Moody’s adjusted basis; low leverage of 0.9x, as measured by gross debt/EBITDA and high interest coverage of 6.6x, as measured by EBIT/interest expense, in 2019; funding policies that match debt funding to the local currency cash flow generation; and prudent financial policies that ensure credit metrics remain strong through operating and project build cycles.
In terms of corporate governance, Dangote Cement is 85.1 percent owned by Dangote Industries Limited, which is in turn owned by its founder and chairman, Mr Aliko Dangote.
In the view of Moody’s, this presents key man risk given that Mr Dangote continues to play a pivotal role in the fortunes of the company.
The rating organisation warned that it could downgrade Dangote Cement if liquidity does not improve; the Nigerian government introduces special taxes, levies or other punitive measures that negatively impact the firm’s profits or cashflow, such that operating margins falls below 20 percent on a sustained basis and adjusted debt to EBITDA trends above 4x or adjusted EBIT to interest expense trends below 2.5x; and the cement giant moves away from its policy of matching the currency of its underlying cash flows with that of its debt.
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian equity market showed no signs of slowing down, as it further appreciated by 1.30 per cent on Friday on the back of sustained buying pressure.
Unlike the preceding sessions, investor sentiment was bullish yesterday after the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited ended with 43 price gainers and 26 price losers, implying a positive market breadth index, the first this week.
UPDC gained 10.00 per cent to close at N4.40, Academy Press also appreciated by 10.00 per cent to quote at N7.70, Haldane McCall improved by 9.97 per cent to N3.97, Zichis soared by 9.94 per cent to N15.60, and Wema Bank added 9.84 per cent to settle at N31.25.
Conversely, Meyer lost 9.92 per cent to sell for N16.80, Trans-Nationwide Express also crashed by 9.92 per cent to end at N7.90, C&I Leasing slipped by 8.53 per cent to N5.90, Omatek dipped by 7.34 per cent to N2.02, and eTranzact decreased by 5.28 per cent to N17.05.
When the bourse closed its doors to business, the All-Share Index (ASI) rose by 2,884.81 points to 225,722.49 points from 222,837.68 points, and the market capitalisation grew by N1.858 trillion to N145.335 trillion from N143.477 trillion.
A look at the activity chart showed that market participants transacted 627.6 million shares worth N44.5 billion in 55,232 deals during the trading day compared with the 667.9 million shares valued at N38.1 billion traded in 53,062 deals a day earlier.
This indicated that the volume of transactions went down by 6.03 per cent, the value of trades went up by 16.80 per cent, and the number of deals jumped by 4.09 per cent.
Access Holdings closed the session as investors’ toast, with a turnover of 75.6 million units worth N2.4 billion. UBA transacted 43.1 million units valued at N2.3 billion, Wema Bank exchanged 41.5 million units for N1.3 billion, Zenith Bank traded 38.4 million units valued at N5.2 billion, and Universal Insurance sold 29.5 million units for N35.9 million.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Mr Taiwo Oyedele has set some goals he intends to achieve as Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy.
While taking over from his predecessor, Mr Wale Edun, on Thursday, the tax expert assured that he has no plans to overturn some of the reforms already put in place by the former occupier of the seat.
In a message on Friday, he emphasised that, “Our immediate task is to consolidate these gains, deepen ongoing reforms, and ensure they translate into tangible benefits for all Nigerians.”
He promised to ensure fiscal discipline by embracing transparent and prudent management of public resources, while also harmonising revenue administration, broadening the tax base, reducing the burden on the vulnerable population, and supporting economic growth.
Mr Oyedele further said his other strategic priorities include creating a predictable and investor-friendly environment anchored on policy coherence, consistency, and clarity; and aligning efforts across all tiers and institutions to maximise policy impact.
He also said efforts would be made to deepen collaboration with the private sector and other key stakeholders for data-driven policy design, co-implementation, and feedback for continuous improvement.
According to him, “Good policy design alone is not enough; success will be defined by execution. We are committed to disciplined implementation, accountability, and measurable results.”
“I look forward to working with colleagues across government, the private sector, and all Nigerians as we move from reform to result, accelerate growth and build a more stable, inclusive, and prosperous economy,” he stated.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange further appreciated by 0.23 per cent on Thursday, April 23, with the Unlisted Security Index (NSI) adding 8.99 points to close at 3,969.96 points against the previous day’s 3,968 points.
The rise in the share price of Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc by N2.86 to N69.34 per unit from N66.48 per unit raised the market capitalisation of the NASD bourse by N5.38 billion to N2.380 trillion from N2.375 trillion.
Yesterday, there were two price losers, led by Food Concepts Plc, which lost 29 Kobo to sell at N2.65 per share versus N2.94 per share, while UBN Property Plc dipped by 22 Kobo to N2.03 per unit from N2.25 per unit.
During the session, the volume of securities traded declined by 97.9 per cent to 451,522 units from 21.5 million units on Wednesday, the value of securities depreciated by 52.32 per cent to N23.6 million from N49.5 million, and the number of deals depreciated by 3.6 per cent to 27 deals from 28 deals.
At the close of business, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most active stock by value on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units valued at N8.4 billion, followed by CSCS Plc with 59.5 million units exchanged for N4.0 billion, and Okitipupa Plc with 27.8 million units traded for N1.9 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, trailed by Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units transacted for N415.7 million, and Infrastructure Guarantee Credit Plc with 400 million units sold for N1.2 billion.
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