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More Worries as Nigeria Struggles to Get Buyers for Crude Oil

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crude oil

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria’s problems continue to compound as the largest oil exporter in Africa is reportedly struggling to get buyers for crude oil for October exports.

This has sent a signal that the recovery in global oil demand still has some way to go, with volumes for next month’s loading struggling to find a home, even among its main customers.

According to a report from Bloomberg, as much as two-thirds of Nigeria’s crude for October export is yet to be booked by customers.

The report noted that according to traders specializing in the West African market, this is equal to 30 Suezmax tankers, each carrying 1 million barrels of oil.

It was noted that Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), Asia’s biggest buyer of Nigerian crude from the region, has disappointed the market for a second week.

This is also worse as Nigeria is seeing sluggish sales to Europe, the producer’s other main market.

As a result, earnings for ships hauling West African oil to that region are at the lowest level in a month.

The state oil refining giant purchased just 2 million barrels of Nigerian oil in its latest tender after a 1-million-barrel buy the previous week.

IOC typically bought as much as 20 million barrels of West African crude per month before the pandemic but this has dropped drastically as competitive prices from other producers are also taking away the patronage.

Last year, India led the pack of buyers of Nigeria’s crude for the 2020 trading year with 107.89 million barrels, followed by the Netherlands with 73 million barrels and Spain with a total quantity of 70.4 million barrels.

Now, China’s auction of oil from its strategic reserves looks to impact the market with the initial sale of about 7.38 million barrels of crude on September 24, the National Food and Strategic Reserves Administration said. That is less than what China typically imports in one day.

The sale is part of an effort by the world’s largest importer to cool surging prices for raw materials and keep a lid on inflation.

If Nigeria is unable to get buyers for its crude, its foreign exchange (FX) earnings will suffer and further add to the forex crisis causing the Naira to crash at the black market.

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

Sell-Offs in GTCO, First Holdco Crash NGX All-Share Index by 0.62%

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NSE All-Share Index

By Dipo Olowookere

The local stock exchange remained in the red on Friday after it further depreciated by 0.62 per cent due to panic sell-offs in some bellwether equities.

NAHCO lost 10.00 per cent to trade at N148.50, Royal Exchange depreciated by 10.00 per cent to N1.53, GTCO slumped by 9.97 per cent to N115.55, First Holdco dropped 9.84 per cent to quote at N55.00, and Neimeth slipped by 9.60 per cent to N28.12.

On the flip side, Deap Capital increased by 9.89 per cent to N4.89, RT Briscoe expanded by 9.62 per cent to N13.10, International Energy Insurance advanced by 7.43 per cent to N5.06, Jaiz Bank gained 7.14 per cent to sell for N9.00, and Living Trust Mortgage Bank rose by 5.26 per cent to N4.00.

During the session, the energy index chalked up 2.35 per cent, but this was not enough to lift the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited when the closing gong was struck by 4 pm to signify the close of trading activities.

This was because the banking sector lost 4.41 per cent, the insurance counter shed 1.52 per cent, the industrial goods space declined by 0.71 per cent, and the consumer goods segment tumbled by 0.13 per cent.

Consequently, the All-Share Index (ASI) contracted by 1,463.45 points to 235,941.27 points from 237,404.92 points, and the market capitalisation retreated by M939 billion to N151.327 trillion from N152.266 trillion.

The activity chart was topped by Access Holdings, which posted a turnover of 65.0 million shares valued at N1.5 billion. Zenith Bank sold 35.2 million stocks worth N3.9 billion, Sterling Holdings exchanged 28.4 million equities for N217.8 million, UBA transacted 16.3 million shares valued at N650.7 million, and GTCO traded 14.0 million stocks worth N1.8 billion.

In all, investors transacted 440.4 million equities for N24.7 billion in 50,273 deals, in contrast to the 691.6 million equities valued at N116.9 billion traded in 50,025 deals on Thursday, implying an uptick in the number of deals by 0.50 per cent, and a decrease in the trading volume and value by 36.32 per cent and 78.87 per cent, respectively.

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Economy

Naira Crashes to N1,370/$ at Official Market, N1,390/$1 at Black Market

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forex Black Market

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Naira again depreciated against the United States Dollar by N7.16 or 0.53 per cent in the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEX) on Friday, June 19, to N1,370.46/$1 from the previous day’s N1,363.30/$1.

In the same vein, the Nigerian currency lost N9.07 against the Pound Sterling at the official market yesterday to trade at N1,814.76/£1 compared with Thursday’s closing price of N1,805.69/£1, and crashed against the Euro by N6.43 to settle at N1,571.50/€1 versus N1,565.07/€1.

Also, the Naira weakened against the greenback in the black market during the session by N5 to sell for N1,390/$1, in contrast to the preceding day’s N1,385/$1, and at the GTBank FX desk, it shed N3 to close at N1,376/$1 versus N1,373/$1.

The official market’s FX liquidity has been facing pressure over the last three trading sessions, contributing to a decline in the official exchange rate due to rising demand for foreign payments.

FX reserves rose to $51.03 billion, the highest level since January 20, 2009, according to data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). The figure also represents the highest since the beginning of the year and under the administration of the current Governor of CBN, Mr Yemi Cardoso.

The latest figure underscores the steady strengthening of Nigeria’s external buffers, which continues to reinforce investor confidence in the Nigerian economy and support exchange rate stability.

Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market was mixed, with Bitcoin (BTC) up by 0.8 per cent to $63,225.80 after trading activity was relatively subdued due to a US federal holiday, as the absence of stock and bond market activity led to quieter conditions across crypto markets, even though digital assets continue to trade around the clock.

Further, TRON (TRX) also gained 0.8 per cent to sell at $0.3230, Binance Coin (BNB) jumped 0.5 per cent to $579.84, and Ethereum (ETH) appreciated by 0.1 per cent to $1,704.23.

On the flip side, Ripple (XRP) declined by 0.9 per cent to $1.13, Cardano (ADA) shed 0.8 per cent to trade at $0.1611, Solana (SOL) fell by 0.1 per cent to $69.23, and Dogecoin (DOGE) slipped by 0.1 per cent to $0.0831, while the US Dollar Tether (USDT) and the US Dollar Coin (USDC) remained unchanged at $1.00 each.

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Economy

Brent Rises to $80 as Israel, Hezbollah Agree Ceasefire

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Brent crude oil price

By Adedapo Adesanya

Brent crude gained 66 cents or 0.53 per cent to sell for $80.38 per barrel ​on Friday after Israel and Hezbollah agreed on a ceasefire in Lebanon, though Iran set conditions for using the vital Strait of Hormuz.

Also, the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 94 cents or 1.23 per cent to $77.54 per barrel, amid light trading volumes due to the US Juneteenth holiday.

In spite of Friday’s gains, Brent was down about 8 per cent week-over-week, ​reflecting a significant easing of supply concerns in the wake of the US-Iran deal to end the war.

Gulf producers were preparing to raise exports after Israel and Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire, ​which began on Friday.

Israel and Hezbollah agreed to halt fighting in southern Lebanon after days of escalating clashes threatened to derail the fragile US-Iran peace process, reducing the risk that the first major test of the agreement would turn into its first major failure.

At least four tankers carrying crude, oil products and liquefied petroleum gas (LNG) entered the ​Strait of Hormuz on Friday, heading for Iraqi Gulf ports. However, despite the uptick in activity, Iran signalled ⁠tighter control over shipping.

Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority said “no vessel is permitted to pass through the Strait of Hormuz without a valid ​passage permit issued by the PGSA”.

Concerns also remain as a planned meeting between Iranian and American officials in Switzerland on Friday was postponed, with arrangements underway for talks in the coming days.

Iran’s Foreign Ministry said the meeting was no longer urgent because a memorandum of understanding on ending the war had already been signed digitally between the two sides.

Analysts expect ​the deal to release more than 85 million ​barrels of oil stranded in the ⁠Middle East Gulf into global markets. The agreement also includes the lifting of US sanctions on Iranian oil, which would add more supply.

However, recovery in flows of supply that transits Hormuz and production after the US-Iran ​deal could take several months.

On the demand front, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said in its 2026 World Oil Outlook that world ​demand will rise to 113.3 million barrels per day in 2030 from 105.1 million barrels per day in 2025.

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