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Economy

Naira, Fuel Scarcity Sharply Weakens Nigerian Business Activity

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Nigerian business activity

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

For the first time in many months, the Nigerian business activity index fell into the negative region in February 2023 due to the scarcity of fuel and Naira in the financial system.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) redesigned the N200, N500, and N1,000 banknotes last year and gave Nigerians till January 31, 2023, to swap their old notes for the new ones.

However, after calls from various quarters, the deadline was shifted to February 10, 2023.

Two days before the expiration, three state governments went to the supreme court to stop the implementation of the policy designed to reduce the amount of cash in the system.

The apex bank asked the parties to maintain the status quo pending the determination of the matter, and before the presidential election last Saturday, many Nigerians and businesses found it difficult to get cash to carry out transactions.

In its Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for February 2023, Stanbic IBTC Bank said it had a reading of 44.7 points compared with the 53.5 points achieved in January 2023.

Business Post reports that readings above 50.0 signal an improvement in business conditions in the previous month, while readings below 50.0 show deterioration.

In the report, it was observed that cash shortages across the Nigerian economy had a severe impact on the private sector midway through the first quarter of the year. Substantial declines were seen in both output and new orders, while firms scaled back their purchasing activity and employment.

Companies were also impacted by shortages of fuel, which added to price pressures and led to supplier delivery delays.

The 44.7 points recorded last month ended the 31-month sequence of expansion. The decline in operating conditions was the sharpest since the survey began in January 2014, excluding the opening wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in the second quarter of 2020.

The most severe impacts of cash shortages were seen with regard to output and new orders, which both fell substantially as customers were often unable to secure the funds to commit to spending.

The decline in new orders was the first since June 2020, while the fall in output ended a seven-month sequence of growth. In both cases, the reductions were the most pronounced in the survey’s history, apart from during the opening wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.

With new orders and output falling, companies reduced their input buying and staffing levels accordingly. The declines were the first in 32 and 25 months, respectively. The decrease in purchasing reflected not only a drop in customer demand but also difficulties for companies to find the funds to pay for items.

Alongside cash shortages, the private sector was also impacted by a scarcity of fuel in February. This had a notable impact on suppliers’ delivery times, which lengthened for the first time in close to six-and-a-half years and to the greatest extent since April 2016.

The slump in PMI shows that while the central bank has managed to reduce the amount of cash held outside the banking system to a record low, it has come at a cost to the economy.

“The lingering cash shortages will likely continue to dampen economic activities and could depress economic growth” this quarter, said the Head of Equity Research West Africa at Stanbic IBTC Bank, Muyiwa Oni, adding that the Nigerian economy could grow at 3 per cent in 2023 due to the challenges.

“Furthermore, persistent fuel shortages from the beginning of the year saw petrol pump prices increase, which both increased production costs for firms and led to supplier delivery delays. Sure, the lingering cash shortages will likely continue to dampen economic activities and could depress economic growth in Q1:23,” he stated.

In turn, shortages led to a rise in fuel costs which were widely mentioned as having been behind a further marked increase in purchase prices.

Higher raw material costs and currency weakness were also factors pushing up purchase prices. The rate of inflation was the softest since June 2020 but marked nonetheless and stronger than the series average. Staff costs also rose again in February, but at a modest pace.

The passing on of higher input costs to customers resulted in a further sharp rise in output prices, albeit one that was the weakest in four months.

Hopes that economic conditions will improve, alongside business expansion and investment plans, led to confidence in the year-ahead outlook for business activity. The sentiment was at a five-month high but still relatively muted.

Aduragbemi Omiyale is a journalist with Business Post Nigeria, who has passion for news writing. In her leisure time, she loves to read.

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Economy

Lokpobiri Begs Lawmakers to Reschedule Oil Revenue Executive Order Probe

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Heineken Lokpobiri oil fields dispute

By Adedapo Adesanya

A joint National Assembly probe into President Bola Tinubu’s new oil revenue executive order was stalled on Thursday following a request for more time by the Minister of Petroleum Resources, Mr Heineken Lokpobiri.

The hearing was convened to scrutinise the executive order directing that royalty oil, tax oil, profit oil, profit gas and other revenues due to the Federation under various petroleum contracts be paid directly into the Federation Account.

Mr Lokpobiri told lawmakers that although he attended out of respect for parliament, he had been notified of the hearing only a day earlier and had not obtained all the relevant documents needed to defend the policy adequately.

He appealed for the session to be rescheduled.

Co-chairman of the joint committee and Chairman of the Senate Committee on Gas, Mr Agom Jarigbe, put the request to a voice vote, and lawmakers approved the adjournment.

A new date is expected to be communicated to the minister.

The executive order signed last week also scrapped the 30 per cent Frontier Exploration Fund created under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) and discontinued the 30 per cent management fee on profit oil and profit gas previously retained by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited.

Anchored on Sections 5 and 44(3) of the Constitution, the presidency said the directive was aimed at safeguarding oil and gas revenues, curbing excessive deductions and restoring the constitutional entitlements of federal, state and local governments to the

However, the order has sparked criticism within the industry, one of which was from the Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria (PENGASSAN), whose president, Mr Festus Osifo, called for an immediate withdrawal of the order, warning that it could undermine the PIA and erode investor confidence.

Meanwhile, at another session, the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Finance, Senator Mohammed Sani Musa, disclosed that President Tinubu would soon transmit proposals to amend certain provisions of the PIA to align with current economic realities.

He noted that while many expect the executive order to boost revenue automatically, Nigeria has yet to achieve its desired income levels.

He did not specify which sections of the law would be targeted, but suggested that the drive to enhance revenue generation would necessitate legislative adjustments.

The PIA, signed into law in 2021 by the late ex-President Muhammadu Buhari, overhauled the governance, regulatory and fiscal framework of Nigeria’s oil and gas sector, commercialised the NNPC and restructured revenue-sharing arrangements.

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Economy

NGX Group Declares N2 Final Dividend, 1-for-3 Bonus Issue for FY’25

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NGX Group Shares

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Shareholders of Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc will receive one new share for every three held as of April 10, 2026, as a bonus, according to a proposal from the board.

This is in addition to a final dividend of N2.00 proposed by the board to shareholders for the 2025 fiscal year, which raised the total dividend for the year to N3.00, according to the financial statements of the company filed with NGX Limited.

Last year, NGX Group recorded a sterling performance, with its earnings growing by 36.0 per cent to N22.9 billion from N16.9 billion due to sustained growth across core business segments, improved customer penetration on the back of increased investor activity and rising investor confidence.

The operating profit in the year increased by 44.4 per cent to N11.8 billion, while pre-tax profit jumped to N15.6 billion from N13.6 billion in 2024, with the earnings per share (EPS) at N4.75.

As for its balance sheet, total assets increased to N71.0 billion from N68.0 billion, while shareholders’ equity strengthened to N55.2 billion

The improved debt-to-equity position reflects a conservative capital structure, enhanced solvency profile, and strong retained earnings growth.

“Our 2025 performance demonstrates the resilience of our business model and the effectiveness of disciplined strategic execution. Strong revenue growth, improved operating margins and a strengthened balance sheet reinforce our commitment to delivering sustainable long-term shareholder value.

“The increased dividend and bonus issue reflect the Board’s confidence in the sustainability of our earnings and the robustness of our capital position as we continue to deepen Nigeria’s capital markets.

“We are confident that the momentum that we have built in 2025 will be sustained, given investor confidence in the Nigerian capital market and a pipeline of exciting new listings that will broaden and deepen the market,” the chairman of NGX Group, Mr Umaru Kwairanga, said.

On his part, the chief executive of the organisation, Mr Temi Popoola, said, “We delivered strong top-line growth and enhanced profitability in 2025 despite macroeconomic headwinds.

“Our 36 per cent core revenue growth, improved operating efficiency and successful deleveraging have strengthened our capital base and financial flexibility, supporting the increased dividend and bonus issuance.

“As regulatory standards evolve, including the recent upward review of minimum capital requirements by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), our robust balance sheet positions us to meet new thresholds seamlessly while continuing to invest in liquidity expansion, product innovation and market infrastructure to build a resilient, globally competitive exchange group.”

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Economy

FG Targets Credit Access For 50% Workers By 2030

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Workers' Day

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Vice President, Mr Kashim Shettima, inaugurated the Board of the Nigerian Consumer Credit Corporation (CREDICORP) and gave a 50 per cent access target for workers, saying consumer credit was critical to Nigeria’s ambition of becoming a one-trillion-dollar economy by 2030.

According to him, President Bola Tinubu established the CREDICORP to build a trusted credit infrastructure, provide catalytic capital to lower borrowing costs, and help Nigerians overcome long-standing cultural resistance to credit.

Speaking on Thursday in Abuja when he inaugurated the board on behalf of the President, the Vice President, in a statement by his spokesman, Mr Stanley Nkwocha, said that the quality of life of Nigerians cannot improve without closing the gap between access to capital and human dignity.

“A civil servant who earns honestly does not have to chase sudden wealth just to buy a vehicle, or save for ten years to buy one. A young professional should not remain in darkness simply because solar power must be paid for all at once,” the Vice President said.

VP Shettima disclosed that in just one year of operations, CREDICORP has disbursed over ₦37 billion in consumer credit to more than 200,000 Nigerians, with over half of them accessing formal credit for the first time.

The Vice President said the organisation was specifically tasked with building credit infrastructure to bridge the trust gap between lenders and borrowers, providing wholesale capital and credit guarantees through its portfolio company.

“Ultimately, these critical jobs of CREDICORP will enable access to consumer credit to at least 50 per cent of working Nigerians by 2030,” he said.

The Vice President explained that the new board’s role was not ceremonial as they are custodians of the organisation’s mission, adding that the long-term strength of the institution would depend on their “vigilance, integrity, sacrifice, and commitment.”

He directed Board members to uphold Public Service Rules, the Board Charter, and all applicable governance frameworks, warning that accountability and stewardship of public resources were non-negotiable.

The Chairman of CREDICORP, Mr Aderemi Abdul, expressed appreciation to President Tinubu for his vision behind the formation of CREDICORP and for the confidence reposed in them, noting that the establishment of the corporation marked an important step towards strengthening the nation’s financial architecture.

He assured President Tinubu that the board understands its responsibility and will guide the institution to deliver meaningful benefits to Nigerians.

For his part, Mr Uzoma Nwagba, Managing Director/CEO of CREDICORP, recalled watching President Tinubu say 20 years ago that consumer credit is one of the major tools that will improve the lives of Nigerians.

He noted that over the past 18 months, the institution has benefited more than 200,000 Nigerians, including students.

He assured that the presidential vision behind CREDICORP would not be taken lightly, as the team considers their appointments a unique, once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.

Other members of the board inaugurated include Mrs Olanike Kolawole, Executive Director, Operations; Mrs Aisha Abdullahi, Executive Director, Credit and Portfolio Management; Mr Armstrong Ume-Takang (MD, MoFI), Representative of MoFI; Mrs Bisoye Coke-Odusote (DG, NIMC), Representative of NIMC; and Mr Mohammed Naziru Abbas, Representative of FMITI.

Others are Mr Marvin Nadah, Representative of FCCPC; Mrs Chinonyelum Ndidi, Representative of the Federal Ministry of Finance; Mr Mohammed Abbas Jega, Independent Director; and Mrs Toyin Adeniji, Independent Director.

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