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Nembe Oil Spill: Expert Wants Preservation of Failed Wellhead for Analysis

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Nembe Oil Spill

By Adedapo Adesanya

An American university professor, Rick Steiner, has said between 532,000 and 1,064,000 barrels of crude oil has been spilt in the Nembe Oil Mining Lease (OML) 29 blowout, making the blowout one of the largest in world history.

Mr Steiner in a letter to the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) Limited advised that the failed wellhead of the Nembe oil spill should be preserved for independent engineering forensic analysis to determine the cause of failure.

The professor, who is the Technical Advisor to the Ijaw Diaspora Council, said the failed wellhead should be assessed by either the US offshore oil regulatory agency, the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) and or Det Norsk Veritas (DNV) in Norway.

He maintained that the Nembe spill was much larger than government and industry statements suggest to date, and it would be prudent to correct those estimates.

“I understand that the Nembe OML 29 blowout may have been killed as of December 8, 2021, and as Technical Advisor to the Ijaw Diaspora Council, I wanted to provide you with my estimate of total discharge.

“If we assume 1-2 cubic feet of discharge per second (a very reasonable assumption), and that the blowout first occurred on November 1 (as reported by the Nembe communities), then the release lasted for a total of 38 days. This would have released a total of 532,000 barrels – 1,064,000 barrels of oil and gas, making the Nembe OML 29 blowout one of the largest in world history.

“Now that the blowout has apparently been killed, I urge you to preserve the failed wellhead for independent engineering forensic analysis to determine the cause of failure. The wellhead must be preserved as evidence, in standard criminal evidentiary procedures, to prevent any further alteration or adulteration, and then submitted to independent assessment.

“The people of Nigeria clearly deserve an independent assessment of what caused this catastrophic failure, and this is essential in preventing a repeat of this catastrophic failure in the future.

“I encourage the failed wellhead infrastructure to be assessed by either the U.S. offshore oil regulatory agency – the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) and/or Det Norsk Veritas (DNV) in Norway.

“Absent of a rigorous chain-of-custody, evidentiary preservation process for the failed equipment, and independent forensic evaluation, the true cause of the failure will never be conclusively determined.”

The university don regretted that the oil industry and government have been in the negative habit of underestimating oil spill volume, as was clearly seen in the 2010 United States’ deepwater horizon.

“A good example of the industry/government habit to underestimate spill volume was the 2010 Deepwater Horizon here in the U.S. BP and the US government first stated the flow rate from the failed seabed wellhead was 1,000 – 5,000 bbls/ day, and they clung to that estimate for some time (even though their internal engineers, and we, told them the flow was much higher).

“When an exact measure was finally conducted, using Particle Image Velocimetry and other engineering methodologies (by the Flow Rate Technical Group), the Macondo blowout outflow was put at 62,000 bbls/day. Again, this seems to always happen with spill volume estimates.”

Adedapo Adesanya is a journalist, polymath, and connoisseur of everything art. When he is not writing, he has his nose buried in one of the many books or articles he has bookmarked or simply listening to good music with a bottle of beer or wine. He supports the greatest club in the world, Manchester United F.C.

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Economy

NGX RegCo Revokes Trading Licence of Monument Securities

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NGX RegCo

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The trading licence of Monument Securities and Finance Limited has been revoked by the regulatory arm of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Group Plc.

Known as NGX Regulations Limited (NGX Regco), the regulator said it took back the operating licence of the organisation after it shut down its operations.

The revocation of the licence was approved by Regulation and New Business Committee (RNBC) at its meeting held on September 24, 2025, a notice from the signed by the Head of Market Regulations at the agency, Chinedu Akamaka, said.

“This is to formally notify all trading license holders that the board of NGX Regulation Limited (NGX RegCo) has approved the decision of the Regulation and New Business Committee (RNBC)” in respect of Monument Securities and Finance Limited, a part of the disclosure stated.

Monument Securities and Finance Limited was earlier licensed to assist clients with the trading of stocks in the Nigerian capital market.

However, with the latest development, the firm is no longer authorised to perform this function.

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Economy

NEITI Advocates Fiscal Discipline, Transparency as FG, States, LGs Get N6trn in Three Months

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NEITI

By Adedapo Adesanya

The Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI) has called for fiscal discipline and transparency as data showed that federal government, states, and local governments shared a whopping N6 trillion Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) disbursements in the third quarter of last year.

In its analysis of the FAAC Q3 2025 allocation, the body revealed that the federal government received N2.19 trillion, states received N1.97 trillion, and local governments received N1.45 trillion.

According to a statement by the Director of Communication and Stakeholders Management at NEITI, Mrs Obiageli Onuorah, the allocation indicated a historic rise in federation account receipts and distributions, explaining that year-on-year quarterly FAAC allocations in 2025 grew by 55.6 per cent compared with Q3 of 2024 while it more than doubling allocations over two years.

The report contained in the agency’s Quarterly Review noted that the N6 trillion included 13 per cent payments to derivative states. It also showed that statutory revenues accounted for 62 per cent of shared receipts, while Value Added Tax (VAT) was 34 per cent, and Electronic Money Transfer Levy (EMTL) and augmentation from non-oil excess revenue each accounted for 2 per cent, respectively.

The distribution to the 36 states comprised revenues from statutory sources, VAT, EMTL, and ecological funds. States also received additional N100 billion as augmentation from the non-oil excess revenue account.

The Executive Secretary of NEITI, Mr Sarkin Adar, called on the Office of the Accountant General of the Federation, the Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission (RMAFC) FAAC, the National Economic Council (NEC), the National Assembly, and state governments to act on the recommendations to strengthen transparency, accountability, and long-term fiscal sustainability.

“Though the Quarter 3 2025 FAAC results are encouraging, NEITI reiterates that the data presents an opportunity to the government to institutionalise prudent fiscal practices that will protect the gains that have been recorded so far in growing revenue and reduce vulnerability to commodity shocks.

“The Q3 2025 FAAC results are encouraging, but windfalls must be managed with discipline. Greater transparency, realistic budgeting, and stronger stabilisation mechanisms will ensure these resources deliver durable benefits for all Nigerians,” Mr Adar said.

NEITI urged the government at all levels to ensure the growth of Nigeria’s sovereign wealth and stabilisation capacity, by committing to regular transfers to the Nigeria Sovereign Wealth Fund and other related stabilisation mechanisms in line with the fiscal responsibility frameworks.

It further advised governments at all levels to adopt realistic budget benchmarks by setting more conservative and achievable crude oil production and price assumptions in the budget to reduce implementation gaps, deficit, and debt metrics.

This, it said, is in addition to accelerating revenue diversification by prioritising reforms that would attract investments into the mining sector, expedite legislation to modernise the Mineral and Mining Act, support reforms in the downstream petroleum sector, as well as the full implementation of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) to expand domestic refining and value addition.

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Economy

World Bank Upwardly Reviews Nigeria’s 2026 Growth Forecast to 4.4%

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Nigeria's economic growth

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Nigeria has been projected to record an economic growth rate of 4.4 per cent in 2026 by the World Bank Group, higher than the 3.7 per cent earlier predicted in June 2025.

In its 2026 Global Economic Prospects report released on Tuesday, the global lender also said the growth for next year for Nigeria is 4.4 per cent rather than the 3.8 per cent earlier projected.

As for the sub-Saharan African region, the economy is forecast to move up to 4.3 per cent this year and 4.5 per cent next year.

It stressed that growth in developing economies should slow to 4 per cent from 4.2 per cent in 2025 before rising to 4.1 per cent in 2027 as trade tensions ease, commodity prices stabilise, financial conditions improve, and investment flows strengthen.

In the report, it also noted that growth is expected to jump in low-income countries by 5.6 per cent due to stronger domestic demand, recovering exports, and moderating inflation.

As for the world economy, the bank said it is now 2.6 per cent and not 2.4 per cent due to growing resilience despite persistent trade tensions and policy uncertainty.

“The resilience reflects better-than-expected growth — especially in the United States, which accounts for about two-thirds of the upward revision to the forecast in 2026,” a part of the report stated.

“But economic dynamism and resilience cannot diverge for long without fracturing public finance and credit markets,” it noted.

World Bank also said, “Over the coming years, the world economy is set to grow slower than it did in the troubled 1990s — while carrying record levels of public and private debt.

“To avert stagnation and joblessness, governments in emerging and advanced economies must aggressively liberalise private investment and trade, rein in public consumption, and invest in new technologies and education.”

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