Economy
New Excise Bill Not Good for Tinubu’s Fiscal Reform Agenda—OPS
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
The positive results being envisaged by President Bola Tinubu through his fiscal reform agenda could be undermined by the proposed amendment to the Customs, Excise and Tariff Bill.
This is the view of the Organized Private Sector (OPS) of Nigeria, comprising the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture (NACCIMA), the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA), National Association of Small and Medium Enterprises (NASME) and the National Association of Small Scale Industrialists (NASSI).
The group argued that the current draft of the bill does not align with the federal government’s fiscal reform direction because it contains several legal and administrative gaps.
As a result, the organisation advised the National Assembly to withdraw it in order not to slowdown the current economic progress.
In a paper presented on Thursday during a public hearing on the proposed amendment bill, which recently passed its second reading in the parliament, OPS submitted that policies must be holistic, harmonised, and context-appropriate, ensuring that they improve health outcomes without undermining jobs, investment, affordability, or industrial stability.
It maintained that Nigeria’s excise framework is increasingly fragmented, as new levies are introduced without coordinated assessment of their combined effects on production, investment, backward integration, employment, exports, and inflation, which may result in unintended consequences negating President Tinubu’s administration’s key economic reforms without delivering measurable public health gains.
The group further noted that a steep excise increase or introduction of a levy would impose substantial economic costs on businesses and consumers without delivering measurable public health gains. The group stated that the proposed excise amendment introduces mathematical, legal, and administrative contradictions, worsens Nigeria’s already fragmented fiscal environment, and directly conflicts with national industrialisation priorities, including the Nigeria Sugar Master Plan.
OPS also warned that the amendment could weaken the beverage value chain, one of the country’s most significant contributors to non-oil revenue and a major employer. Industry experts added that the levy would push up operating costs, reduce capacity utilisation, and raise consumer prices at a time when households and small businesses are already under pressure, with many slipping deeper into poverty. This, in turn, could reduce VAT and CIT collections, placing additional strain on medium-term FAAC revenues.
“Nigeria’s non-alcoholic drinks sector is a critical economic stabiliser, supporting 1.5 million jobs, driving backward integration under the NSMP II, and contributing 40 – 45 per cent of gross revenues as taxes and yet already operating under severe macroeconomic strain and thin margins,” said OPS.
According to the body, given that the beverage industry falls among the non-oil revenue contributors, passing the bill into law could undermine the administration’s ease of doing business objectives at such a sensitive economic period.
The group faulted the National Assembly for advancing the bills without coordination with the Ministry of Finance, the Presidential Fiscal Policy & Tax Reform Committee, FAAC, and other responsible institutions. It noted that the bill contradicts the President’s emphasis on stability, predictability, simplicity, and non-disruptive tax reform.
It further stressed that global and domestic evidence confirm that steep or ambiguous SSB taxes in low-income economies lead to job losses, contraction of MSMEs, reduced government revenue, and no measurable health benefits, while widening inequality and accelerating the growth of the informal market.
“The amendment bill contains internal contradictions (20 per cent levy per litre of retail price) that are impossible to implement consistently. Over-taxation may shrink the formal sector, reduce VAT and CIT collections and shift consumers to informal markets. The bill may cut medium-term FAAC distributions and weaken state-level revenue stability,” OPS added.
The association added that it remains open to continued engagement with lawmakers, fiscal agencies, and civil society groups to ensure that any revision to the excise regime supports investment, jobs, and long-term revenue stability.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Pension Commission (PenCom) has defended its decision to allow Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) to invest in the parent companies of their custodians, insisting that adequate safeguards are in place to protect contributors’ funds.
The director-general of the pension regulator, Ms Omolola Oloworaran, speaking on Tuesday during the Meet the Press Briefing at the Presidential Villa, Abuja, said the commission’s decision to relax the investment restriction followed a comprehensive risk assessment that found minimal conflict of interest.
She explained that under PenCom’s investment regulations, PFAs are only permitted to invest pension assets in carefully selected instruments that meet stringent criteria, including profitability, strong credit ratings and proven track records.
According to her, the commission regularly reviews its investment regulations, conducts routine examinations and spot checks on PFAs to ensure strict compliance with established risk management guidelines.
“PFAs cannot just go into the stock market and buy any kind of stock. There are strict guidelines. Companies must demonstrate profitability, have a proven track record and satisfy other criteria before pension funds can invest,” she said.
Ms Oloworaran noted that each PFA also operates under the oversight of a board, an investment committee and a risk management committee, providing additional layers of governance to safeguard contributors’ funds.
She said PenCom recently issued a circular allowing PFAs to invest in the parent companies of their custodians after determining that the potential conflict of interest was negligible.
The PenCom boss explained that the parent companies involved are largely Tier-1 banks, including First Bank, United Bank for Africa (UBA) and Zenith Bank, which she described as A-rated institutions with strong financial foundations.
She said the policy was intended to widen investment opportunities for pension funds without compromising safety.
Using Stanbic IBTC as an example, Ms Oloworaran explained that if its custodian is Zenith Bank, the previous restriction prevented the pension administrator from investing in Zenith Bank shares despite the bank’s strong performance.
“We reviewed the risks and any potential conflict of interest and found the risks to be very low. That is why we opened that investment window,” she said.
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
Analysts at Meristem Research have predicted that the inflation rate for June 2026 in Nigeria should marginally rise to 15.95 per cent on a year-on-year basis from the 15.93 per cent reported in May 2026.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release inflation numbers for last month later today, Wednesday, July 15, 2026.
In its report sighted by Business Post, Meristem Research said it expects inflationary pressures to re-emerge across key economies in the near term, as the re-escalation of the US-Iran conflict has reignited upward pressure on global oil prices.
It disclosed that this marks a sharp reversal from most of June, when the ceasefire between the two countries helped drive oil prices lower, raising expectations of some relief on the inflation front.
With conflicts now flaring up again, oil prices are likely to increase again, and the anticipated easing in energy-driven inflation may not materialise as broadly as earlier envisaged.
“Nonetheless, some relief is likely from the food segment, where robust supply conditions across major producing regions and softening demand should continue to ease food price pressures,” it stated.
The team also explained that it projected a 15.95 per cent inflation rate because of the lingering effects of persistent food price pressures.
“However, we expect core inflation to moderate as the sharp reversal in energy prices begins to filter through to transportation, distribution, and other energy-related costs, easing underlying price pressures.
“On a month-on-month basis, the combined effect of lower petrol prices, a relatively stable Naira, and the gradual pass-through of reduced energy costs across the supply chain should exert further downward pressure on inflation.
“Based on our assessment, food inflation is expected to remain the key swing factor, as seasonal pre-harvest supply constraints are likely to offset some of the gains from lower logistics costs,” it said.
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc and Afriland Properties Plc weakened the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by 1.61 per cent on Tuesday, July 14.
CSCS Plc saw its stock value drop N9.08 to close at N82.40 per share compared with the preceding session’s N91.48 per share, and Afriland Properties Plc slid by 17 Kobo to sell at N15.00 per unit versus N15.70 per unit.
The losses recorded by the two securities pulled back the market capitalisation by N41.64 billion to N2.546 trillion from N2.587 trillion, and cracked the NASD Security Index (NSI) by 69.36 points to 4,242.31 points from 4,311.67 points.
It was observed that the exchange witnessed two price advancers during the session, led by FrieslandCampina Wamco Nigeria Plc, which gained N1.37 to end at N151.37 per share compared with the previous day’s N150.00 per share, and Food Concepts Plc chalked up 5 Kobo to settle at N2.50 per unit versus N2.45 per unit.
The volume of securities traded by market participants surged by 50.7 per cent to 13.7 million units from the previous 9.1 million units, while the value of securities went down by 79.7 per cent to N65.2 million from N320.4 million, and the number of deals crashed by 3.6 per cent to 27 deals from the previous session’s 28 deals.
At the close of transactions, Great Nigeria Insurance (GNI) Plc remained the most traded stock by value on a year-to-date basis, with the sale of 3.4 billion units for N8.4 billion, trailed by Infrastructure Credit Guarantee (Infracredit) Plc, which exchanged 2.3 billion units valued at N6.5 billion, and CSCS Plc with 73.9 million units transacted for N5.2 billion.
GNI Plc also closed the trading day as the most traded stock by volume on a year-to-date basis, with 3.4 billion units worth N8.4 billion, followed by Infracredit Plc with 2.3 billion units traded for N6.5 billion, and Resourcery Plc with 1.1 billion units valued at N415.7 million.
