Economy
Nigerian Equity Market Extends Rally by 0.58% Amid Weak Sentiment
By Dipo Olowookere
The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited consolidated its gains on Thursday with a 0.58 per cent appreciation amid weak investor sentiment triggered by a further rise in inflation.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) yesterday said the average prices of goods and services increased by 29.90 per cent in January 2024 compared with 28.92 per cent in December 2023.
The rising food prices in the country were attributed to this, and this development only makes investors continue to shop for asset classes that can beat the high inflation rate.
This affected the level of activity at the equity market on Thursday as the trading volume, value and the number of deals waned by 33.36 per cent, 42.98 per cent, and 5.62 per cent, respectively.
Business Post reports that traders bought and sold 284.5 million equities worth N6.9 billion in 8,168 deals versus the 426.9 million equities worth N12.1 billion traded a day earlier in 8,654 deals.
The busiest stock for the day was GTCO with a turnover of 56.6 million units valued at N2.2 billion, followed by Transcorp with the sale of 33.2 million units worth N418.3 million, UBA exchanged 18.4 million units for N453.0 million, Mutual Benefits transacted 16.8 million units worth N11.5 million, and AXA Mansard traded 12.5 million units valued at N75.6 million.
Investor sentiment was weak yesterday as the bourse closed with 26 price losers and 24 price gainers, implying a negative market breadth index.
The biggest price gainer was University Press, growing by 9.96 per cent to N2.87 trailed by Juli, which soared by 9.84 per cent to N1.34. Mutual Benefits appreciated by 9.38 per cent to 70 Kobo, DAAR Communications expanded by 8.82 per cent to 74 Kobo, and Honeywell Flour increased by 7.50 per cent to N4.30.
Conversely, Unilever Nigeria was the biggest price loser after it shed 9.80 per cent to close at N16.10, Julius Berger declined by 9.64 per cent to N50.60, Morison Industries crashed by 9.60 per cent to N2.73, May & Baker decreased by 6.52 per cent to N6.45, and NASCON went down by 5.37 per cent to N59.05.
The banking sector suffered a loss of 1.32 per cent during the session, though this did not affect the outcome of the market.
This was because the industrial goods space jumped by 1.95 per cent, the consumer goods index improved by 0.22 per cent, and the insurance counter gained 0.18 per cent, while the energy sector closed flat.
As a result, the All-Share Index (ASI) moved up by 601.72 points to 104,100.00 points from 103,498.28 points, as the market capitalisation surged by N329 billion to N56.962 trillion from N56.633 trillion.
Economy
Tinubu to Present 2025 Budget of N47.9trn to NASS December 17
By Aduragbemi Omiyale
On Tuesday, December 17, 2024, President Bola Tinubu will present the 2025 budget to a joint session of the National Assembly.
The size of the 2025 Appropriation Bill is about N47.9 trillion and would be presented to the parliament for approval.
Speaking at the plenary on Thursday, December 12, 2024, the President of the Senate, Mr Godswill Akpabio, said the presentation by Mr Tinubu would be at the chamber of the House of Representatives.
However, it is not certain if the lawmakers will pass the budget before December 31 to allow for a recent budget cycle of January to December.
Recall that on December 3, the senate approved the Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper (MTEF/FSP) for 2025 to 2027.
This was after the President presented this the National Assembly on November 19 ahead of the consideration of the 2025 budget proposal.
In the MTEF/FSP, the government said it planned to borrow about N9.22 trillion from local and foreign sources to finance the budget deficit.
It pegged the crude oil benchmark at $75 per barrel and a daily oil production of 2.06 million barrels at an exchange rate of N1,400 to $1, and a targeted gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 6.4 percent.
At the plenary today, Mr Akpabio informed his colleagues that, “The President has made his intention known to the National Assembly to present the 2025 budget to the joint session of the National Assembly on December 17, 2024.”
Economy
Nigeria Adds 150,000 b/d Crude Production in November 2024
By Adedapo Adesanya
Nigeria added 150,000 barrels per day to its crude production in November 2024 as it continues to pursue an ambitious 2 million barrels per day target.
According to the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Nigeria’s oil production rose to 1.48 million barrels per day in November, up from 1.33 million barrels per day the previous month.
In its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR), OPEC revealed that at 1.48 million barrels per day, it is the continent’s leading oil producer, surpassing Algeria’s 908,000 barrels per day and Congo’s 268,000 barrels per day.
Business Post reports that OPEC doesn’t account for condensates, which Nigeria’s accounts for in its broader 2 million barrels per day target.
Despite the surge in production levels, Nigeria is still under producing its 1.5 million barrels per day output quota under a deal involving OPEC and 10 other producers known as OPEC+.
OPEC said it relied on primary data gotten through direct communication, noting that secondary sources reported 1.417 million barrels per day as Nigeria’s crude production in November — up from 1.4 million barrels per day in October.
The data also shows that OPEC’s total oil production among its 12 members rose by 104,000 barrels per day in the month under review.
According to secondary sources, the total of the 12 OPEC countries’ crude oil production averaged 26.66 million barrels per day in November 2024.
“Crude oil output increased mainly in Libya, Iran, and Nigeria, while production in Iraq, Venezuela, and Kuwait decreased”, OPEC said.
“At the same time, total non-OPEC DoC crude oil production averaged 14.01 mb/d in November 2024, which is 219 tb/d higher, m-o-m. Crude oil output increased mainly in Kazakhstan and Malaysia,” the organisation added.
In a related development, OPEC trimmed its 2024 and 2025 oil demand growth forecasts for the fifth time this year.
Now, the cartel expects the world’s oil demand growth at 1.61 million barrels per day from the previously 1.82 million barrels per day.
For 2025, OPEC says the world oil demand growth forecast is now at 1.45 million barrels per day, a 900,000 barrels per day cut from the previously expected 1.54 million barrels per day.
On the changes, OPEC says that the downgrade for this year owes to more bearish data received in the third quarter of 2024 while the projections for next year relate to the potential impact that will arise from US tariffs.
Economy
Afriland Properties, Geo-Fluids Shrink OTC Securities Exchange by 0.06%
By Adedapo Adesanya
The duo of Afriland Properties Plc and Geo-Fluids Plc crashed the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange by a marginal 0.06 per cent on Wednesday, December 11 due to profit-taking activities.
The OTC securities exchange experienced a downfall at midweek despite UBN Property Plc posting a price appreciation of 17 Kobo to close at N1.96 per share, in contrast to Tuesday’s closing price of N1.79.
Business Post reports that Afriland Properties Plc slid by N1.14 to finish at N15.80 per unit versus the preceding day’s N16.94 per unit, and Geo-Fluids Plc declined by 1 Kobo to trade at N3.92 per share compared with the N3.93 it ended a day earlier.
At the close of transactions, the market capitalisation of the bourse, which measures the total value of securities on the platform, shrank by N650 million to finish at N1.055 trillion compared with the previous day’s N1.056 trillion and the NASD Unlisted Security Index (NSI) went down by 1.86 points to wrap the session at 3,012.50 points compared with 3,014.36 points recorded in the previous session.
The alternative stock market was busy yesterday as the volume of securities traded by investors soared by 146.9 per cent to 5.9 million units from 2.4 million units, as the value of shares transacted by the market participants jumped by 360.9 per cent to N22.5 million from N4.9 million, and the number of deals increased by 50 per cent to 21 deals from 14 deals.
When the bourse closed for the day, Geo-Fluids Plc remained the most active stock by volume (year-to-date) with 1.7 billion units valued at N3.9 billion, followed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units worth N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc 297.5 million units sold for N5.3 million.
Also, Aradel Holdings Plc, which is now listed on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited after its exit from NASD, remained the most active stock by value (year-to-date) with 108.7 million units sold for N89.2 billion, trailed by Okitipupa Plc with 752.2 million units valued at N7.8 billion, and Afriland Properties Plc with 297.5 million units worth N5.3 billion.
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