Economy
Nigerian Pension Funds Outperform Bench Mark Index

By Quantitative Financial Analytics
Nigerian pension funds once again recorded another year of brilliant performance in 2016 roundly beating the NSE Pension Index by wide margins.
The NSE Pension index ended the year 2016 at 810.04 points from its 2015 value of 815.16 points, thereby ending the year down by 5.13 points or -0.63%.
Savings Retirement Accounts (RSA):
Except for APT Pension Retirement Saving Account which ended the year with a negative performance of 22.96%, having lost N0.65 on the unit price of the RSA, every other RSA ended the year with positive performance of 8% or greater. The highest return of 12.67% came from AXA Mansard Pension Retirement Savings Account, followed by Future Unity Glanvills (FUG) RSA with 11.93%
Retiree Accounts:
The performance of the Retiree Accounts followed closely that of the RSA but unlike the RSAs, the Retiree Accounts did much better with no losses recorded by any one of them. Trust Pension Fund Retiree Account led the performance league with 14.68%. All the Retiree Accounts but one, recorded double digit positive return in 2016.
Asset Allocation is Everything
Asset allocation has been said to be responsible for most of the investment fortunes in history. That too can be rightly said about Nigerian pension funds. The implication of asset allocation is that it matters how a portfolio is divided between Bond, Equities, Cash, Money Market and other asset classes. Most Pension funds in Nigeria allocate at least 75% of their Asset Under Management (AUM) to fixed income securities (Government Bonds, Treasury Bills and corporate bonds). The interest rate on those assets has been on the increase over time and the CBN has signaled that it does not plan to reduce the rates any time soon. Though there is an inverse relationship between interest rate (yield) and bond prices, the increasing yield environment especially at the shorter end of the yield curve implies that matured bonds or treasury bills are being reinvested at higher yields and lower prices which benefits the pension funds. By having much of their AUM in fixed income securities, these PSAs tend to be insulated from the downside pressure of the stock market.
Asset Characteristics too
Another pointer to the performance of the Pension funds can be seen by looking at how they behave in relationship to the entire stock market. All the Pension funds have Betas of less than 1 indicating that they do not move in tandem with the stock market. This indication is also supported by the low R-Squared of the pension funds. All these relatively low statistics derive from the fact that majority of the pension fund assets are held in fixed income and money market instruments whose correlation with the market is relatively low.
A beta of 1 indicates that the security’s price moves in tandem with the market but a beta of less than 1 means that the security is imperially less volatile than the market while a beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security’s price is theoretically more volatile than the market. R-Squared on the other hand is a measure of the percentage of a portfolio’s or security’s performance that is attributable to the performance of its bench mark.
The implication of this is that for risk averse investors planning and saving for their retirement, it may be more prudent to overweight on pension fund assets by making additional voluntary contributions rather than investing same in the regular stock market.
Risk Adjusted Performance
Though the RSAs and other Retiree accounts are expectedly and comparatively less risky than similar products like Fixed Income Mutual Funds (as evidenced by their standard deviation of returns), their performance is not as mouthwatering as they seem when analyzed on a risk adjusted basis. Most of the pension funds have negative Alpha and negative Sharpe ratio, according to research by Quantitative Financial Analytics.
Alpha is a measure of the return on an investment compared to a suitable market index such that an alpha of 1% means the investment’s return over a period was 1% better than the market during that same period while an alpha of -1 means the investment underperformed the market. Sharpe ratio measures the risk adjusted performance of an asset or portfolio taking into consideration the prevailing risk-free rate.
The major reason for the negative alpha and Sharpe ratio is that the risk-free rate in Nigeria is quite high, (a risk-free rate of 15% was used for this analysis). Granting the low risk characteristics of the pension funds and the rising interest environment in Nigeria and compared to the performance of other asset classes, it will be appropriate to say Bravo to the pension fund managers for a job well done in 2016.
Contacts: [email protected]
Economy
Insurance Firms Must Submit 2025 Assessment Returns by May 31—NAICOM
By Adedapo Adesanya
The National Insurance Commission has issued new guidelines for the collection, management, and administration of the Insurance Policyholders’ Protection Fund.
In a circular issued to all insurance institutions on Tuesday, the regulator also set May 31, 2026, as the deadline for insurers to submit their assessment returns for the 2025 financial year.
Recall that on August 5, 2025, President Bola Tinubu signed into law the Nigerian Insurance Industry Reform Act ( NIIRA 2025).
This landmark legislation repeals the Insurance Act 2003, and consolidates related provisions, ushering in a modern regulatory framework. It lays a strong foundation for sustainable growth and increased investment in the country’s insurance sector.
The commission said the guidelines were issued in exercise of its powers under the 2025 Act and other existing insurance laws and regulations to provide regulatory clarity, improve guidance, and ensure ease of compliance across the industry.
According to NAICOM, the guidelines establish a comprehensive structure for the operation of the IPPF, which serves as a statutory safety net to protect insurance policyholders in the event of distress or insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer. The framework also provides direction on the reimbursement of loans by insurers and reinsurers.
NAICOM stated, “The guidelines ensure regulatory clarity, guidance and ease of compliance, as it provides a comprehensive regulatory framework for the collection, management, and administration of the Fund, which serves as a statutory safety net designed to protect insurance policyholders against distress and insolvency of a licensed insurer or reinsurer, including guidance for the reimbursement of loans by an insurer or reinsurer.
“Please be informed that the IPPF Assessment Returns in respect of the year 2025 shall be submitted to the Commission not later than 31st May 2026, while subsequent submissions shall be in line with Section 4.3 of the Guideline on Insurance Policyholders Protection Fund.”
Economy
Dangote Refinery Sells Petrol at N1,200/L as Global Oil Prices Slump
By Adedapo Adesanya
The Dangote Refinery on Wednesday returned the petrol price to N1,200 per litre, less than 24 hours after it increased it by 5 per cent.
The private refinery had raised the ex-depot price by N75 on Tuesday, citing pressure from volatile global oil markets, but quickly brought it back to N1,200 per litre from N1,275 per litre.
The swift downward review is directly linked to a sharp drop in international crude prices. Brent crude has plunged to $95.05 per barrel, after a 13 per cent decline, while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude closed at $97.18, recording nearly a 14 per cent drop.
This development comes after US President Donald Trump announced a conditional two-week ceasefire with Iran, which eased fears of immediate supply disruptions in the global oil market.
“This will be a double-sided CEASEFIRE!” Trump said on social media, marking a sharp reversal from his earlier warning that “a whole civilisation will die tonight” if Iran failed to comply with US demands.
Iran’s Foreign Minister, Mr Abbas Araqchi, confirmed that the country would halt attacks provided strikes against Iran cease and transit through the Strait of Hormuz is coordinated by Iranian forces.
Despite the breakthrough, tensions remain elevated across the region, with several Gulf states reporting missile launches, drone activity, or issuing civil defence warnings.
While oil prices have fallen back below $100, they remain significantly elevated after surging by a record amount in March. Market analysts noted that regardless of how successful the ceasefire is, geopolitical risk related to the Strait of Hormuz is likely to remain elevated for the foreseeable future under the control of Iran.
Economy
Crude Deliveries Double to Dangote Refinery in Mix of Naira, Dollar Supply
By Adedapo Adesanya
Crude oil deliveries from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery doubled in March, boosting prospects for improved fuel availability.
This was revealed by the chief executive of Dangote Industries Limited, Mr Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday, when he received the Deputy Secretary-General of the United Nations, Mrs Amina Mohammed, at the industrial complex in Ibeju-Lekki, Lagos.
While speaking on feedstock supply, Mr Dangote commended the NNPC for increasing crude deliveries to the refinery in March, noting that volumes rose to 10 cargoes—six supplied in Naira and four in Dollars—to support domestic fuel availability, according to a statement by the Refinery.
“Last month, they gave us six cargoes for Naira and four cargoes for Dollars,” he said.
Despite the improvement, Mr Dangote noted that the supply remains below the 19 cargoes required for optimal operations, with the refinery continuing to bridge the gap through imports from the United States and other African producers.
He also expressed concern over the unwillingness of international oil companies operating in Nigeria to sell to the refinery, stating that their preference for selling crude to traders forces it to repurchase at higher costs, with broader implications for the economy.
Mr Dangote added that the refinery is seeking increased access to domestically priced crude under local currency arrangements as part of efforts to moderate fuel costs and enhance long-term energy and food security across the continent.
On her part, Mrs Mohammed underscored the strategic importance of Dangote Industries Limited -particularly Dangote Fertiliser Limited—in addressing Africa’s mounting food security challenges, while calling for stronger global partnerships to scale its impact.
Mrs Mohammed said the United Nations would prioritise amplifying scalable solutions capable of mitigating the continent’s food crisis, describing Dangote’s integrated industrial model as a critical pathway.
“I think the UN’s job here is to amplify and to put visibility on the possibilities of mitigating a food security crisis, and this is one of them,” she said. “I hope that when we go back, we can continue to engage partners and countries that should collaborate with Dangote Industries.”
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