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Economy

Nigerian Pension Funds Outperform Bench Mark Index

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By Quantitative Financial Analytics

Nigerian pension funds once again recorded another year of brilliant performance in 2016 roundly beating the NSE Pension Index by wide margins.

The NSE Pension index ended the year 2016 at 810.04 points from its 2015 value of 815.16 points, thereby ending the year down by 5.13 points or -0.63%.

Savings Retirement Accounts (RSA):

Except for APT Pension Retirement Saving Account which ended the year with a negative performance of 22.96%, having lost N0.65 on the unit price of the RSA, every other RSA ended the year with positive performance of 8% or greater. The highest return of 12.67% came from AXA Mansard Pension Retirement Savings Account, followed by Future Unity Glanvills (FUG) RSA with 11.93%

Retiree Accounts:

The performance of the Retiree Accounts followed closely that of the RSA but unlike the RSAs, the Retiree Accounts did much better with no losses recorded by any one of them. Trust Pension Fund Retiree Account led the performance league with 14.68%. All the Retiree Accounts but one, recorded double digit positive return in 2016.

Asset Allocation is Everything

Asset allocation has been said to be responsible for most of the investment fortunes in history. That too can be rightly said about Nigerian pension funds. The implication of asset allocation is that it matters how a portfolio is divided between Bond, Equities, Cash, Money Market and other asset classes. Most Pension funds in Nigeria allocate at least 75% of their Asset Under Management (AUM) to fixed income securities (Government Bonds, Treasury Bills and corporate bonds). The interest rate on those assets has been on the increase over time and the CBN has signaled that it does not plan to reduce the rates any time soon. Though there is an inverse relationship between interest rate (yield) and bond prices, the increasing yield environment especially at the shorter end of the yield curve implies that matured bonds or treasury bills are being reinvested at higher yields and lower prices which benefits the pension funds. By having much of their AUM in fixed income securities, these PSAs tend to be insulated from the downside pressure of the stock market.

Asset Characteristics too

Another pointer to the performance of the Pension funds can be seen by looking at how they behave in relationship to the entire stock market. All the Pension funds have Betas of less than 1 indicating that they do not move in tandem with the stock market. This indication is also supported by the low R-Squared of the pension funds. All these relatively low statistics derive from the fact that majority of the pension fund assets are held in fixed income and money market instruments whose correlation with the market is relatively low.

A beta of 1 indicates that the security’s price moves in tandem with the market but a beta of less than 1 means that the security is imperially less volatile than the market while a beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security’s price is theoretically more volatile than the market. R-Squared on the other hand is a measure of the percentage of a portfolio’s or security’s performance that is attributable to the performance of its bench mark.

The implication of this is that for risk averse investors planning and saving for their retirement, it may be more prudent to overweight on pension fund assets by making additional voluntary contributions rather than investing same in the regular stock market.

Risk Adjusted Performance

Though the RSAs and other Retiree accounts are expectedly and comparatively less risky than similar products like Fixed Income Mutual Funds (as evidenced by their standard deviation of returns), their performance is not as mouthwatering as they seem when analyzed on a risk adjusted basis. Most of the pension funds have negative Alpha and negative Sharpe ratio, according to research by Quantitative Financial Analytics.

Alpha is a measure of the return on an investment compared to a suitable market index such that an alpha of 1% means the investment’s return over a period was 1% better than the market during that same period while an alpha of -1 means the investment underperformed the market. Sharpe ratio measures the risk adjusted performance of an asset or portfolio taking into consideration the prevailing risk-free rate.

The major reason for the negative alpha and Sharpe ratio is that the risk-free rate in Nigeria is quite high, (a risk-free rate of 15% was used for this analysis). Granting the low risk characteristics of the pension funds and the rising interest environment in Nigeria and compared to the performance of other asset classes, it will be appropriate to say Bravo to the pension fund managers for a job well done in 2016.

Contacts: [email protected]

Dipo Olowookere is a journalist based in Nigeria that has passion for reporting business news stories. At his leisure time, he watches football and supports 3SC of Ibadan. Mr Olowookere can be reached via [email protected]

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Economy

Transcorp, 33 Others Revive Nigerian Exchange by 0.32%

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Transcorp shares

By Dipo Olowookere

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) Limited rebounded by 0.32 per cent on Thursday following the interest of investors in Transcorp and 33 other equities.

Yesterday, Transcorp closed as the highest price gainer with a 9.98 per cent rise to settle at N51.80 and was trailed by SCOA Nigeria, which gained 9.88 per cent to trade at N3.78.

Further, Africa Prudential improved its value by 9.87 per cent to quote at N30.60, Tantalizers soared by 9.72 per cent to N2.37 and Caverton flew by 9.52 per cent to N2.76.

Conversely, Sunu Assurances, MRS Oil, and Red Star Express ended the day as the heaviest price losers after giving up 10.00 per cent each to sell for N4.77, N166.50, and N5.94, respectively, as Lasaco Assurance lost 7.99 per cent to finish at N2.65, and UPDC retreated by 6.76 per cent to N2.62.

At the close of business, 34 shares were on the gainers’ chart and 15 shares were on the losers’ log, implying a positive market breadth index and strong investor sentiment.

Business Post reports that the banking space expanded by 0.83 per cent, the consumer goods index increased by 0.78 per cent, the insurance sector jumped by 0.18 per cent, and the industrial goods industry chalked up 0.01 per cent, while the energy counter lost 0.09 per cent, with the commodity sector closing flat.

When the bourse ended for the session, the All-Share Index (ASI) was up by 344.24 points to 106,780.72 points from 106,436.48 points and the market capitalisation grew by N216 billion to N66.869 trillion from N66.653 trillion.

The level of activity waned on Thursday as 375.5 million stocks worth N10.2 billion exchanged hands in 11,447 deals compared with the 389.6 million stocks valued at N11.3 billion traded in 11,423 deals in the preceding day, indicating a rise in the number of deals by 0.21 per cent and a fall in the trading volume and value by 3.57 per cent and 9.74 per cent apiece.

The activity chart was dominated by banking equities, with GTCO selling 50.0 million units valued at N2.9 billion, Access Holdings exchanged 43.9 million units worth N1.0 billion, Zenith Bank traded 36.5 million units valued at N1.7 billion, Fidelity Bank transacted 27.1 million units for N468.7 million, and UBA sold 19.4 million units worth N705.1 million.

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Economy

CBN Cuts Rate to 17.82% After N1.8trn Bid for N500bn One-Year T-Bills

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t-bills market

By Dipo Olowookere

The treasury bills auction conducted by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Wednesday at the primary market received significant interests from investors, results of the exercise analysed by Business Post revealed.

It was observed that 364-day tenor was the most attractive, forcing the apex bank to slice the stop rate by 0.61 per cent to 17.82 per cent.

Details of the sales indicated that the central bank approached the market with N500 billion worth of the maturity, but it got bids valued at N1.8 trillion from investors, showing a strong appetite.

However, only N717.97 billion was allotted by the CBN at the close of the PMA. At the previous exercise, the 12-month paper cleared at 18.43 per cent.

Also, the central bank tampered with stop rate of the 182-day treasury bills during the session, cut by 0.25 per cent to 17.75 per cent from the previous 18.00 per cent.

This action was taken despite the tenor not experiencing an oversubscription like the long-dated bill.

Business Post reports that N80.00 billion worth of the six-month maturity was brought to the market for sale but investors submitted bids valued at N60.05 billion, with N50.95 billion approved by the apex bank.

But the stop rate of the 91-day instrument was left intact by the central bank at 17.00 per cent at the exercise.

About N70.00 billion worth of the three-month T-bills were auctioned on Wednesday, but the bids received were just N62.57 billion, with N61.52 billion allotted at the end of the exercise.

From the analysis, the CBN auctioned a total of N650 billion treasury bills during the PMA, but it got bids valued at N1.92 trillion, and allotted N830.44 billion.

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Economy

Dangote Pays N402.3bn Tax to Boost Nigerian Economy

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Dangote Group

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

Over N402.3 billion was paid in taxes in 2024 by Dangote Industries Limited (DIL) as part of its efforts to support the federal government.

The taxes were paid by the subsidiaries of the pan-African conglomerate comprising Dangote Cement, NASCON, Dangote Packaging Limited among others.

Recall that Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) had in late 2024 recognised DIL and its subsidiary, Bluestar Shipping as the most tax compliant organizations in the country during its Special Day at the 2024 Lagos International Trade Fair organised by the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI).

The FIRS is the agency responsible for assessing, collecting and accounting for tax and other revenues accruing to the Federal Government of Nigeria.

The N402.3 billion paid by DIL last year made the company the highest taxpayer in the country.

Speaking during a meeting with some senior media executives in Lagos, the Chief Branding and Communication Officer of Dangote Group, Mr Anthony Chiejina, as a responsible business organisation, DIL and its subsidiaries have never shied away from its obligations either to the government in the form of tax payment at all levels or to host communities in the form of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR).

According to him, the group’s corporate strategy has evolved just as its businesses have grown, matured and diversified into new sectors and regions over the last four decades, noting that Dangote Group has almost single-handedly taken Nigeria to self-sufficiency in cement and refined petroleum products and is expanding rapidly across Africa.

Dangote Group and its subsidiaries were recognised as number one most compliant in tax payment in the country, just as the cement business at another occasion won three awards at the FMDQ Gold Awards in Lagos as the most active business in the Foreign Exchange market.

Dangote Cement Plc was adjudged as the Largest Commercial Paper Quotation on FMDQ and Single Largest Corporate Debt Issue on FMDQ. Also, Dangote Industries Ltd also emerged as the “Most active corporate in the foreign exchange market”.

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