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Nigeria’s GDP to Grow by 1% in 2017—World Bank

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

World Bank has forecasted that Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would increase by one percent in 2017.

It also predicted that the country will get out of recession this year after going into its worst recession in over 20 years.

In a World Bank report titled ‘January 2017 Global Economic Prospects’ released on Tuesday, January 10, 2017, the global financial institution said, “Nigeria is forecast to rebound from recession and grow at a 1 percent pace.”

It also predicted that, “Sub-Saharan African growth is expected to pick up modestly to 2.9 percent in 2017 as the region continues to adjust to lower commodity prices.”

“Growth in South Africa and oil exporters is expected to be weaker, while growth in economies that are not natural-resource intensive should remain robust.

“Growth in South Africa is expected to edge up to a 1.1 percent pace this year,” the World Bank said, adding that, “Angola is projected to expand at a 1.2 per cent pace.”

“Global economic growth is forecast to accelerate moderately to 2.7 percent in 2017 after a post-crisis low last year as obstacles to activity recede among emerging market and developing economy commodity exporters, while domestic demand remains solid among emerging and developing commodity importers,” the World Bank disclosed in a statement issued on Tuesday.

It added that growth in advanced economies is expected to edge up to 1.8 percent in 2017, emphasising that fiscal stimulus in major economies, particularly in the United States, could generate faster domestic and global growth than projected, although rising trade protection could have adverse effects.

“Growth in emerging market and developing economies as a whole should pick up to 4.2 percent this year from 3.4 percent in the year just ended amid modestly rising commodity prices,” the statement noted.

Nevertheless, the outlook is clouded by uncertainty about policy direction in major economies. A protracted period of uncertainty could prolong the slow growth in investment that is holding back low, middle, and high income countries, it said.

“After years of disappointing global growth, we are encouraged to see stronger economic prospects on the horizon,” World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim said. “Now is the time to take advantage of this momentum and increase investments in infrastructure and people. This is vital to accelerating the sustainable and inclusive economic growth required to end extreme poverty.”

The report analysed the worrisome recent weakening of investment growth in emerging market and developing economies, which account for one-third of global GDP and about three-quarters of the world’s population and the world’s poor.

Investment growth fell to 3.4 percent in 2015 from 10 percent on average in 2010, and likely declined another half percentage point last year.

Slowing investment growth is partly a correction from high pre-crisis levels, but also reflects obstacles to growth that emerging and developing economies have faced, including low oil prices (for oil exporters), slowing foreign direct investment (for commodity importers), and more broadly, private debt burdens and political risk.

“We can help governments offer the private sector more opportunities to invest with confidence that the new capital it produces can plug into the infrastructure of global connectivity,” said World Bank Chief Economist Paul Romer. “Without new streets, the private sector has no incentive to invest in the physical capital of new buildings. Without new work space connected to new living space, the billions of people who want to join the modern economy will lose the chance to invest in the human capital that comes from learning on the job.”

Emerging market and developing economy commodity exporters are expected to expand by 2.3 percent in 2017 after an almost negligible 0.3 percent pace in 2016, as commodity prices gradually recover and as Russia and Brazil resume growing after recessions, it said.

Commodity-importing emerging market and developing economies, in contrast, should grow at 5.6 percent this year, unchanged from 2016. China is projected to continue an orderly growth slowdown to a 6.5 percent rate. However, overall prospects for emerging market and developing economies are dampened by tepid international trade, subdued investment, and weak productivity growth.

Among advanced economies, growth in the United States is expected to pick up to 2.2 percent, as manufacturing and investment growth gain traction after a weak 2016. The report looks at how proposed fiscal stimulus and other policy initiatives in the United States could spill over to the global economy.

“Because of the outsize role the United States plays in the world economy, changes in policy direction may have global ripple effects. More expansionary U.S. fiscal policies could lead to stronger growth in the United States and abroad over the near-term, but changes to trade or other policies could offset those gains,” said World Bank Development Economics Prospects Director Ayhan Kose. “Elevated policy uncertainty in major economies could also have adverse impacts on global growth.”

 

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

Economy

Nigeria Boosts Oil Theft Curbing with Naval Drill

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Crude Oil Theft special court

By Adedapo Adesanya

Nigeria has ramped up efforts to secure its oil-rich waters and curb maritime crime, deploying significant naval assets under Exercise Obangame Express 2026 to protect critical energy infrastructure and trade routes in the Gulf of Guinea.

Flagging off the exercise in Onne, Rivers State, the Chief of Naval Staff, Vice Admiral Idi Abbas, said the exercise is central to safeguarding economic assets and sustaining investor confidence in Nigeria’s maritime domain.

“The safer maritime environment has enhanced investor confidence, increased shipping activities and supports the Federal Government’s drive towards a sustainable blue economy,” he said in a statement.

The multinational exercise, coordinated with the United States Africa Command, focuses on combating oil theft, piracy, illegal trafficking and other threats that directly impact Nigeria’s oil revenues and regional trade flows.

The focus on maritime security comes amid persistent concerns over crude oil theft and supply chain disruptions, which continue to undermine Nigeria’s production capacity.

Mr Abbas emphasised that coordinated regional efforts remain the most effective response to evolving threats.

“OBANGAME EXPRESS provides a unique opportunity for participating nations to train together, operate together and build the trust necessary for real-time coordination,” he said.

He added that no country can independently secure its maritime domain, stressing the need for sustained partnerships to protect the Gulf’s strategic energy corridor.

Also, the Commander, Eastern Naval Command, Rear Admiral CD Okehie, said the operation reflects a strategic shift toward protecting high-value maritime assets.

“The Gulf of Guinea serves as a major global sea lane of commerce, making it indispensable not only to regional economies but also to international trade,” he noted.

According to him, the Navy’s deployment of 10 ships, helicopters and special forces is designed to strengthen surveillance, interdiction and rapid response capabilities.

With Nigeria’s offshore assets and export routes forming a backbone of national revenue, the exercise signals a renewed push to tighten security, reduce losses and stabilise the broader oil and gas ecosystem.

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Economy

Why We Did Not Pay Dividend for FY 2025—Nigerian Breweries

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Nigerian Breweries

By Aduragbemi Omiyale

When shareholders of Nigerian Breweries Plc gathered at the company’s 80th Annual General Meeting (AGM) in Lagos, on Wednesday, April 22, 2026, one thing they were sure was not on the agenda was the approval of a dividend for the 2025 financial year.

This was because the board did not propose the payment of a cash reward to investors for the fiscal year for some reasons, which were explained at the meeting.

The chairman of the organisation, Ms Juliet Anammah, told shareholders that the dividend payout was skipped to rebuild retained earnings impacted by prior macroeconomic shocks, particularly foreign exchange-related losses.

“We recognise the importance of dividend payments to our shareholders and sincerely appreciate your continued understanding.

“While we are not declaring a dividend at this time due to negative retained earnings, we are working diligently to restore the company’s financial position and return to dividend payments as soon as it is sustainable to do so,” she explained.

Ms Anammah noted that the board remains vigilant to external risks, including the Middle East crisis and broader macroeconomic challenges, which may impact the pace of improvement in the 2026 financial year.

She thanked shareholders for their continued support and reaffirmed that the company will build on its 2025 performance as it accelerates growth ambitions.

“We have a solid foundation built over eight decades, anchored on a strong portfolio of brands, an extensive nationwide sales and supply chain network, ongoing digital transformation, and most importantly, our people. These strengths remain critical to sustaining our leadership position,” she said.

Despite the non-payment of cash reward for the year, shareholders applauded Nigerian Breweries for strong recovery and improved profitability in the 2025 financial year, driven by disciplined cost management and a significant reduction in finance expenses.

One of them, Mr Eke Emmanuel, who is the immediate past Secretary of the Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria, praised the board and management for steering the company through a volatile macroeconomic environment while strengthening its financial position, noting that the company’s resilience, at a time when several businesses exited the country, reflects strong leadership and a sound strategic direction.

“It is good news that we have been here for 80 years. There is no reason why we will not be here for the next 80 years with what we have achieved. To return to this level of profitability and cash position shows the Board has done an enormous amount of work,” he said.

Another shareholder, Mr Owolabi Opeyemi of the Noble Shareholders Association, confessed that, “We are proud of how the company has withstood the ups and downs of a challenging environment. The return to profitability and the reversal of the negative cash position recorded in the previous two financial years is commendable.”

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Economy

Waltersmith Plans 30,000bpd Condensate Refinery, Industry Park

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Waltersmith Refinery

By Adedapo Adesanya

Waltersmith Refining and Petrochemical Company Limited has announced plans to commence two further phases of expansion, which will include the construction of a 30,000-barrel-per-day condensate refinery and an industry park that will accommodate other gas-based firms.

The chairman of Waltersmith Petroman, Mr Abdulrazak Isa, revealed this during a visit of the Executive Secretary of the Nigerian Content Development and Monitoring Board (NCDMB), Mr Felix Omatsola Ogbe, and the chief executive of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), Mr Saidu Mohammed, to the Waltersmith modular refinery at Ohaji- Egbema, Imo State.

Mr Isa said the firm would develop a gas line that would deliver 100 million standard cubic feet of gas per day, and provide an embedded captive power, to attract industries to co-locate in the industrial park.

Plans are afoot to conclude the partnership agreement for the condensate refinery by the 4th quarter of 2026, he said, adding that feedstock for the integrated expansions will come from the Ibigwe and Assa fields, as well as from nearby fields.

The chairman underlined the company’s determination to invest in the petrochemical sector, leveraging its access to gas and Naphtha, noting that the petrochemical industry is a key enabler of the economy.

He sought approvals from the NMDRA for the various stages of the upcoming developments.

The visit was to inspect the newly completed expansion of the firm’s refining capacity, from 5,000 barrels per day to 10,000 barrels per day.

NCDMB invested equity in Waltersmith Refining and Petrochemical Company Limited’s modular refinery in 2018 and helped catalyse the investment, leading to the commissioning of the first phase of the plant in November 2020.

NCDMB also participated in the expansion, which is now completed and operational, producing AGO (diesel), Household kerosine (HHK), HFO (Heavy Fuel Oil) and Naphtha.

The refinery has to date supplied over 1.1 billion litres of refined products to local and regional markets, helping to strengthen Nigeria’s and West Africa’s energy security and contributing immensely to the national economy. The refinery supplies most of its products to the South-East and South-South parts of the country, while the HFO gets to the West African sub-region.

On his part, Mr Mohammed expressed his delight at the success of the facility and promised the agency’s support to the company’s expansion plans, saying the midstream sector of the petroleum industry holds the key to the nation’s economic development, adding that the establishment of such projects is the dream of every administration.

He described Waltersmith as an octopus in the midstream sector and challenged the company to hasten the development of the condensate refinery. Mohammed also commended NCDMB for partnering with Waltersmith to develop the project, which had become a runaway success.

The Director of Legal Services at NCDMB, Mr Naboth Onyesoh, who represented the organisation’s scribe, conveyed the board’s delight at the success of Waltersmith modular refinery, describing the company as a model in local content implementation, especially in direct and indirect job creation, capital retention, industrialisation, import substitution and value addition to crude oil and gas resources.

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