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Nigeria’s Inflation for April to Hit 14%—FDC Analysts

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By Modupe Gbadeyanka

Last month, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced that inflation rate in Nigeria for the month of March 2020 increased to 12.26 percent.

One of the reasons for the rise was the continuous spike in the price of food items at the market caused by the border closure.

On March 29, 2020, President Muhammadu Buhari, in a nationwide broadcast, announced a lockdown of Lagos, Abuja and Ogun State to control the spread of Coronavirus in the country.

However, this did not affect the inflation rate for the month as pointed out by the stats office, which said in its report that “the lockdown in Abuja, Lagos and Ogun states and various major disruptions in normal economic activity in several states since then, started in April 2020 and accordingly would not have any major impact on March 2020 inflation which this report focuses on.”

The lockdown was only lifted on Monday, May 4, 2020 and during the period the movement cessation lasted, only businesses rendering essential services were allowed to operate, disrupting supply chain even for some food items, which were part of the essentials allowed to open.

Last month, Business Post reported that members of the Catfish and Allied Fish Farmers Association of Nigeria (CAFFAN) urged federal government to grant them special movement permit for the transportation of fish and its products from various fish farms to areas of need within the country.

National President of CAFFAN, Mr Rotimi Oloye, had said, “The inability of fish farmers to have access to their farms would have a multiplier effect across the fish value chain.”

According to him, this special permit was necessary to curb losses in the fish farming value chain during the lockdown declared by government in Lagos, Ogun and Abuja.

With the adverse event of lockdown in the three places, analysts at Financial Derivates Company (FDC) have said inflation rate in the month of April 2020 will likely jump by 1.74 percent.

In the company’s latest edition of Unity Bank Digest, it was disclosed that the lockdown induced by the the COVID-19 pandemic will probably lead the inflation to an eighth consecutive month rise to 14 percent.

“Headline inflation rose marginally to 12.26 percent (in March) from 12.20 percent in February.

“The slight uptick was mainly due to the base year effects of the border closure and the implementation of the new VAT rate (7.5 percent).

“March inflation figures did not reflect the adverse effect of the lockdown as the directive took full effect in April.

“As a result of the lockdown, businesses were shutdown, supply chains disrupted and panic buying commenced.

“On average, some domestic commodities prices spiked by over 50 percent.

“In all, it is expected that inflationary pressures will intensify and headline inflation for April could spike to 14 percent,” the analysts said.

Modupe Gbadeyanka is a fast-rising journalist with Business Post Nigeria. Her passion for journalism is amazing. She is willing to learn more with a view to becoming one of the best pen-pushers in Nigeria. Her role models are the duo of CNN's Richard Quest and Christiane Amanpour.

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Economy

CSCS Declares N1 Interim Dividend as H1 2026 Pre-Tax Profit Jumps 115%

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Central Securities Clearing System (CSCS) Plc has declared the first interim dividend in its history after posting its financial results for the first half of 2026, reflecting robust earnings growth, improved operating efficiency and stronger capital market activity.

The board approved an interim dividend of N1.00 per ordinary share for the six months ended June 30, 2026, citing the company’s strong cash generation, resilient balance sheet and confidence in the sustainability of its earnings.

The interim payout represents about 56 per cent of the total dividend of N1.78 per share paid for the 2025 financial year, underscoring its strong earnings momentum while preserving financial flexibility to invest in technology, innovation and future growth.

CSCS recorded one of the strongest financial performances in its history during the review period, with total operating income rising by 92 per cent to N18.51 billion from the corresponding period of 2025.

The growth was driven by higher transaction fee income as capital market activity strengthened, continued expansion in depository services, increased collateral management revenues and stronger contributions from data and technology-enabled services. Investment income also improved as the company optimised its investment portfolio.

Despite the sharp rise in revenue, operating expenses increased by only 38 per cent, reflecting disciplined cost management and the scalability of the company’s business model.

As a result, operating profit surged by 186 per cent to N10.11 billion, while profit before tax climbed by 115 per cent to N13.21 billion. Earnings per share also rose significantly to 190.1 kobo from 109.1 kobo in the corresponding period of 2025.

The organisation also recorded improvements in operating efficiency. Its cost-to-income ratio declined to 45.4 per cent from 63.2 per cent a year earlier, while operating profit margin improved to 54.6 per cent from 36.8 per cent.

According to the company, the results demonstrate not only the benefits of stronger market activity but also the resilience of its operating model and its ability to convert revenue growth into higher profitability, improved shareholder returns and sustainable long-term value creation.

Commenting on the interim dividend, the Chairman of CSCS Plc, Mr Temi Popoola, said the board’s decision reflected confidence in the firm’s financial strength, earnings quality and long-term strategic direction.

He said the strong performance was driven not only by increased market activity but also by sustained improvements in operational efficiency, disciplined cost management and the continued diversification of revenue streams.

Mr Popoola noted that the Board remained committed to balancing shareholder returns with investments in technology, innovation, resilience and new growth opportunities that would strengthen CSCS’ position as Nigeria’s leading financial market infrastructure and one of Africa’s foremost post-trade institutions.

The chief executive of CSCS Plc, Mr Shehu Yahaya Shantali, attributed the strong performance to the resilience of the entity’s business model, the dedication of its workforce and the confidence of market participants.

He said the first-ever interim dividend demonstrated the company’s ability to translate strong earnings growth and improved operating efficiency into enhanced shareholder value.

Mr Shantali added that CSCS would continue to strengthen its core market infrastructure, invest in technology and innovation, diversify its revenue base and enhance value creation for stakeholders while supporting the development of Nigeria’s capital market.

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Economy

Axxela’s National Scale Long-Term Issuer Rating Gets GCR Upgrade

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By Aduragbemi Omiyale

The national scale long-term issuer rating of Axxela Limited has been upgraded by GCR Rating to A+(NG), just as its short-term issuer rating was affirmed with a stable outlook.

The rating firm upgraded the long-term issue rating for Axxela Funding 1 Plc’s N16.4 billion series 1 senior unsecured bond to A+(NG), while the N11.5 billion series 1 senior secured bond was lifted to A+(NG)(EL).

GCR noted in a note that the actions reflect the leading gas and power portfolio company’s robust business model, strong earnings performance, and sustained financial profile, reinforcing its ability to deliver long-term value while maintaining financial discipline.

Axxela’s recent achievements have been driven by its continued focus on responsible growth, customer satisfaction, and creating lasting value for national development.

“The ratings upgrade by GCR is a strong endorsement of Axxela’s disciplined approach to business. Beyond recognising our financial strength, it reflects the resilience of our business model and the confidence in our strategic direction.

“Over the past few years, we have continued to make significant strides across the business by expanding our natural gas infrastructure, strengthening our operational footprint, advancing our sustainability agenda, and maintaining an unwavering commitment to operational excellence and safety,” the chief executive of Axxela, Mr Moshood Olajide, commented on the development.

As the company continues to advance its long-term growth strategy, the upgraded ratings reinforce confidence in Axxela’s credit profile, financial resilience, and ability to create enduring value for investors, customers and other stakeholders.

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Economy

FG Eyes Digital Identity Solution to End Illegal Mining

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By Adedapo Adesanya

The Ministry of Solid Minerals Development and the National Identity Management Commission (NIMC) have strengthened their partnership to deploy digital identity technology, aiming to combat illegal mining and enhance security in Nigeria’s mining sector.

Speaking while receiving the Director-General and management of NIMC on a courtesy visit to his office in Abuja, the Minister of Solid Minerals Development, Mr Dele Alake, described the commission as a critical institution in Nigeria’s development architecture, stressing that effective governance could not be achieved without a credible identity management system.

“NIMC occupies a critical position in translating policy into reality. It is pivotal to the development of any nation because governance today is driven by data, technology and credible identity systems,” he added.

He noted that inadequate identification systems had weakened enforcement efforts over the years, allowing illegal mining activities to flourish in mineral-rich communities.

“Without identification, we cannot trace or track, and insecurity will flourish. In the solid minerals sector, we need effective monitoring of both legal and illegal operations.

“A credible identity ecosystem will strengthen regulation, improve enforcement and support our efforts to sanitise the sector,” Mr Alake said.

The minister identified technology, statistics, data gathering and digital identity as critical enablers for evidence-based policymaking, improved regulatory oversight, efficient licensing, investment promotion and national development.

On her part, the DG of NIMC, Mrs Abisoye Coker-Odusote, highlighted several opportunities for collaboration between both institutions, noting that the newly enacted NIMC Act has positioned Nigeria to fully embrace a digital governance ecosystem.

She explained that deeper integration of identity management into the solid minerals sector would facilitate database integration across government institutions, enhance regulatory compliance, strengthen security and law enforcement, improve monitoring of operators, and provide stronger support for the implementation of Community Development Agreements (CDAs) in mining host communities.

Mrs Coker-Odusote added that NIMC’s upgraded digital infrastructure is capable of supporting government institutions in building reliable databases, improving transparency and delivering more efficient public services.

Both institutions said they would immediately begin implementing technology-driven initiatives under the partnership, expressing confidence that expanding access to trusted digital identities for miners and other eligible residents would enhance accountability and strengthen governance in the solid minerals sector.

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